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Post by Brother Fease on Apr 25, 2021 2:37:23 GMT
Here's mine:
Picture - Nomadland. Won the PGA and DGA, and scored acting, writing, directing, and editing nominations.
Director - Chloe Zhao. Won the DGA award and the movie is my pick for who will win Best Picture.
Actor - Chadwick Boseman. Won the SAG and a career-ending performance.
Actress - Viola Davis. Really tough one. I went back and forth between all of them. Day, McDormand, and Mulligan all have a great shot at winning. We're either going to see a tie here or somebody winning by one or two votes. I like Davis here the best, because she plays a real-life person and undergoes a complete body transformation in a movie they have definitely seen.
Supporting Actor - Daniel Kaluuya. Easy call. He won the SAG and plays a real-life historic and tragic figure.
Supporting Actress - Yuh-Jung Youn. She won the SAG and attached to a Best Picture contender.
Adapted Screenplay - Chloe Zhao. Picture and Screenplay typically go together, especially since the Oscars expanded their Best Picture category.
Original Screenplay - Emerald Fennell. Best Picture nominee and won the WGA.
Film Editing - The Sound of Metal. The Best Film Editing and Best Sound streak continues.
The Shorts - Two Distant Strangers, If Anything Happens I Love You, and A Love Song for Latasha
Final Count:
Nomadland - 4 wins for picture, director, adapted screenplay, and cinematography Ma Rainey's Black Bottom - 4 wins for actor, actress, make-up, and costume design Sound of Metal - 2 wins for editing and sound Soul - 2 wins for animated feature and score Promising Young Woman - original screenplay Minari - supporting actress Judas and the Black Messiah - supporting actor Mank - art direction
Tenet - visual effects One Night in Miami - song
Another Round - international feature My October Teacher - documentary (hoping for Crip Camp) |
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Good God
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Post by Good God on Apr 25, 2021 3:00:06 GMT
Picture - Nomadland
Director - Chloe Zhao
Actor - Chadwick Boseman
Actress - Carey Mulligan (was going to go with Day, but I just changed my mind)
Supporting Actor - Daniel Kaluuya
Supporting Actress - Youn Yuh-jung
Adapted Screenplay - Chloe Zhao
Original Screenplay - Emerald Fennell
Film Editing - Sound of Metal
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Post by DeepArcher on Apr 25, 2021 3:07:54 GMT
BP: Nomadland
Director: Chloe Zhao
Actor: Chadwick Boseman
Actress: Andra Day
S. Actor: Daniel Kaluuya
S. Actress: Youn Yuh-jung
O. Screenplay: Promising Young Woman
A. Screenplay: The Father
Cinematography: Nomadland
Editing: Sound of Metal
Score: Soul
Song: One Night in Miami
PD: Mank
Costumes: Ma Rainey's
Makeup/Hair: Ma Rainey's
Sound: of Metal
VFX: Tenet
International: Another Round
Animated: Soul
Doc: Octopus movie, I guess?
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Post by mrimpossible on Apr 25, 2021 4:12:52 GMT
Best Picture: Nomadland
Best Director: Chloe Zhao
Best Lead Actor: Anthony Hopkins
Best Lead Actress: Carey Mulligan
Best Supporting Actor: Daniel Kaluuya
Best Supporting Actress: Youn Yuh-jung
Best Original Screenplay: Promising Young Woman
Best Adapted Screenplay: The Father
Best Cinematography: Nomadland
Best Production Design: Mank
Best Film Editing: Trial of the Chicago 7
Best International Film: Another Round
Best Documentary: My Octopus Teacher
Best Original Score: Soul
Best Costume Design: Ma Rainey's Black Bottom
Best Visual Effects: Tenet
Best Sound: Sound of Metal
Best Makeup & Hairstyling: Ma Rainey's Black Bottom
Best Original Song: One Night in Miami
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Javi
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Post by Javi on Apr 25, 2021 4:24:54 GMT
Picture: Nomadland
Director: Zhao
Actor: Anthony Hopkins
Actress: Andra Day
Supp Actor: Kaluuya
Supp Actress: Youn
O. Screenplay: Promising Young Woman
A. Screenplay: The Father
Production Design: Mank
Cinematography: Nomadland
Costumes: Ma Rainey
Editing: Chicago 7
Makeup: Ma Rainey
Score: Soul
Song: One Night in Miami
Sound: Sound of Metal
VFX: Tenet
Animated: Soul
International: Another Round
Doc: Octopus
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Post by Miles Morales on Apr 25, 2021 6:15:14 GMT
Picture: Nomadland
Director: Chloe Zhao
Actor: Chadwick Boseman
Actress: Carey Mulligan
Supporting Actor: Daniel Kaluuya
Supporting Actress: Youn Yuh-jung
Original Screenplay: Promising Young Woman
Adapted Screenplay: Nomadland or The Father
Editing: Sound of Metal
Sound: Sound of Metal
Cinematography: Nomadland
Original Score: Soul
Original Song: Speak Now
Animated Feature: Soul
Production Design: Mank
Costume Design: Ma Rainey's Black Bottom
Makeup and Hairstyling: Ma Rainey's Black Bottom
Visual Effects: Tenet
Foreign Language Picture: Another Round
Documentary: My Octopus Teacher, I guess
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Post by mhynson27 on Apr 25, 2021 9:36:39 GMT
Picture: Nomadland
Director: Chloe Zhao
Actor: Anthony Hopkins
Actress: Carey Mulligan
Supporting Actor: Daniel Kaluuya
Supporting Actress: Youn Yuh-jung
Original Screenplay: Promising Young Woman
Adapted Screenplay: The Father
Editing: Sound of Metal
Sound: Sound of Metal
Cinematography: Nomadland
Original Score: Soul
Original Song: Speak Now
Animated Feature: Soul
Production Design: Mank
Costume Design: Ma Rainey's Black Bottom
Makeup and Hairstyling: Ma Rainey's Black Bottom
Visual Effects: Tenet
Foreign Language Picture: Another Round
Documentary: My Octopus Teacher
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Post by wilcinema on Apr 25, 2021 10:32:38 GMT
Best Picture: Nomadland Best Director: Chloe Zhao Best Lead Actor: Chadwick Boseman Best Lead Actress: Viola Davis Best Supporting Actor: Daniel Kaluuya Best Supporting Actress: Youn Yuh-jung Best Original Screenplay: Promising Young Woman Best Adapted Screenplay: The Father Best Cinematography: Nomadland Best Production Design: Mank Best Film Editing: Sound Of Metal Best International Film: Another Round Best Documentary: My Octopus Teacher Best Original Score: Soul Best Original Song: Speak Now (but I can totally see Husavik as the upset)
Best Costume Design: Ma Rainey's Black Bottom Best Visual Effects: Tenet Best Sound: Sound of Metal Best Makeup & Hairstyling: Ma Rainey's Black Bottom Best Original Song: One Night in Miami
Best Live Action Short: Feeling Through Best Animated Short: If Anything Happens, I Love You Best Documentary Short: A Love Song For Latasha
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Post by TerryMontana on Apr 25, 2021 10:54:37 GMT
Picture - Nomadland
Director - Chloe Zhao
Actor - Chadwick Boseman
Actress - Carey Mulligan
Supporting Actor - Daniel Kaluuya
Supporting Actress - Youn Yuh-jung
Adapted Screenplay - Chloe Zhao
Original Screenplay - Emerald Fennell
Film Editing - Sound of Metal
Cinematography - Nomadland
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Post by Tommen_Saperstein on Apr 25, 2021 14:06:18 GMT
ooookay let's get into it
PICTURE
Will win - Nomadland
Should win - The Father
Shoullda been here - Ma Rainey's
DIRECTOR
Will win - Zhao
Should win - Fennell
Shouldda been here - Zeller
LEAD ACTRESS
Will win - ummmmmmmm Mulligan
Should win - Mulligan / Day / Davis would all make terrific winners
Shouldda been here - Buckley
LEAD ACTOR
Will win - Boseman
Should win - my heart says Boseman, and by any metric he deserves it
Shouldda been here - Ben-Adir
SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Will win - Youn
Should win - Colman or Bakalova
Shouldda been here - Burstyn
SUPPORTING ACTOR
Will win - Kaluuya
Should win - Raci
Shouldda been here - Long-shot pick is Mendelsohn, more realistic pick is Rylance
ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
Will win - Promising Young Woman
Should win - Promising Young Woman
Shouldda been here - Forty Year-Old Version
ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
Will win - Nomadland
Should win - The Father
Shouldda been here - Ma Rainey's
CINEMATOGRAPHY
Will win - Nomadland
Should win - Nomadland
Shouldda been here - I'm Thinking of Ending Things
ORIGINAL SCORE
Will win - Soul
Should win - Minari, but Soul is great too
Shouldda been here - David Copperfield or Wolfwalkers
FILM EDITING
Will win - Trial of the Chicago 7
Should win - The Father
Shouldda been here - I'm Thinking of Ending Things, Mank or Ma Rainey's
PRODUCTION DESIGN
Will win - Mank
Should win - from these picks, Mank
Shouldda been here - Emma. I mean come on.
COSTUME DESIGN
Will win - Ma Rainey's
Should win - Emma, but Mulan is the only wrong choice here
Shouldda been here - David Copperfield
MAKEUP & HAIRSTYLING
Will win - Ma Rainey's
Should win - if there's any justice in the world, Pinocchio for it's jaw-dropping anthropomorphic effects
Shouldda been here - Borat Subsequent Moviefilm
SOUND
Will win - Sound of Metal
Should win - Greyhound or Sound of Metal
Shouldda been here - The Outpost
VISUAL EFFECTS
Will win - I was saying Midnight Sky but yeah I guess this'll be Tenet
Should win - Love and Monsters for those glorious creature & landscape designs
Shouldda been here - Greyhound
and the other categories:
Animated Feature - Soul obviously, but should be Wolfwalkers
Documentary - My Octopus Teacher
International Film - Another Round
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Post by Brother Fease on Apr 25, 2021 14:18:18 GMT
ooookay let's get into it PICTUREWill win - Nomadland Should win - The Father Shoullda been here - Ma Rainey's DIRECTORWill win - Zhao Should win - Fennell Shouldda been here - Zeller LEAD ACTRESSWill win - ummmmmmmm Mulligan Should win - Mulligan / Day / Davis would all make terrific winners Shouldda been here - Buckley LEAD ACTORWill win - Boseman Should win - my heart says Boseman, and by any metric he deserves it Shouldda been here - Ben-Adir SUPPORTING ACTRESSWill win - Youn Should win - Colman or Bakalova Shouldda been here - Burstyn SUPPORTING ACTORWill win - Kaluuya Should win - Raci Shouldda been here - Long-shot pick is Mendelsohn, more realistic pick is Rylance ORIGINAL SCREENPLAYWill win - Promising Young Woman Should win - Promising Young Woman Shouldda been here - Forty Year-Old Version ADAPTED SCREENPLAYWill win - Nomadland Should win - The Father Shouldda been here - Ma Rainey's CINEMATOGRAPHYWill win - Nomadland Should win - Nomadland Shouldda been here - I'm Thinking of Ending Things ORIGINAL SCOREWill win - Soul Should win - Minari, but Soul is great too Shouldda been here - David Copperfield or Wolfwalkers FILM EDITINGWill win - Trial of the Chicago 7 Should win - The Father Shouldda been here - I'm Thinking of Ending Things, Mank or Ma Rainey's PRODUCTION DESIGNWill win - Mank Should win - from these picks, Mank Shouldda been here - Emma. I mean come on. COSTUME DESIGNWill win - Ma Rainey's Should win - Emma, but Mulan is the only wrong choice here Shouldda been here - David Copperfield MAKEUP & HAIRSTYLINGWill win - Ma Rainey's Should win - if there's any justice in the world, Pinocchio for it's jaw-dropping anthropomorphic effects Shouldda been here - Borat Subsequent Moviefilm SOUNDWill win - Sound of Metal Should win - Greyhound or Sound of Metal Shouldda been here - The Outpost VISUAL EFFECTSWill win - I was saying Midnight Sky but yeah I guess this'll be Tenet Should win - Love and Monsters for those glorious creature & landscape designs Shouldda been here - Greyhound and the other categories: Animated Feature - Soul obviously, but should be Wolfwalkers Documentary - My Octopus Teacher International Film - Another Round I agree. Ma Rainey's Black Bottom should have receive more nominations. Incredible film. Gets better with each viewing. |
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Post by stephen on Apr 25, 2021 14:20:02 GMT
Best Picture: I've been on the Nomadland train since Venice and I ain't getting off now.
Best Director: Come on.
Best Actor: Hopkins could very well upset, but I think Boseman's still winning. However, I think that the margin of votes (if tabulated) would be much thinner than expected.
Best Actress: Seems to be the diciest category going into the night, but I'm sticking to my guns: it's Carey's night.
Best Supporting Actor: Daniel Kaluuya, Judas and the Black Messiah.
Best Supporting Actress: Youn Yuh-jung, Minari. Bakalova needed BAFTA to put up more of a fight, but SAG + BAFTA on Youn's side solidified it. Plus it's a win for Minari.
Best Original Screenplay: Promising Young Woman's got this.
Best Adapted Screenplay: I really feel like The Father will snatch this one from Zhao's hands at the last second. It also feels like a place they can safely recognize a film they clearly liked if they don't feel bold enough to vote for Hopkins.
Best International Feature: Another Round. (EDIT: I left this category off in my first post.)
Best Documentary Feature: My Octopus Lover Teacher.
Best Animated Feature: Wish it were Wolfwalkers, but you can't stop the Pixar train, especially for a film as good as Soul.
Best Live-Action Short: The Present feels like a stealth spoiler over the louder picks. I'll go with that.
Best Animated Short: If Anything Happens, I Love You.
Best Documentary (Short Subject): Do Not Split.
Best Cinematography: Nomadland. Don't be fooled by ASC.
Best Production Design: Mank had this locked from the start. Probably the second-biggest lock of the night behind Chloe.
Best Costume Design: Ma Rainey's Black Bottom.
Best Makeup & Hairstyling: It should be Pinocchio, but Ma Rainey's got this as well.
Best Visual Effects: Tenet feels like a safe bet, but I wouldn't be shocked by a Midnight Sky upset.
Best Film Editing: The ACE/BAFTA split really has me turned around. Stupid rationale incoming: I feel like if there were two sound categories, Sound of Metal would lead here, but I feel like with it only having the one, I'm leaning toward Trial. Feels like the one place they can reward it, plus it's flashier.
Best Sound: Sound of Metal, duh.
Best Score: Soul, also duh.
Best Song: While I really think "Husavik" is in with a very strong shot and they are campaigning it hard (and it helps that it's the best song of the lot), I think it'll still be "Speak Now" from One Night in Miami.
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Post by therealcomicman117 on Apr 25, 2021 14:53:13 GMT
Best Picture: Nomadland
Director: Chloe Zhao
Actor: Chadwick Boseman, Hopkins could absolutely upset however
Actress: Carey Mulligan
Supporting Actor: Daniel Kaluuya
Supporting Actress: Youn Yuh-jung
Original Screenplay: Promising Young Woman
Adapted Screenplay: The Father
Editing: Sound of Metal
Sound: Sound of Metal
Cinematography: Nomadland
Score: Soul
Song: Speak Now - One Night in Miami
Animated Feature: Soul
Production Design: Mank
Costumes: Ma Rainey's
Makeup/Hair: Ma Rainey's
VFX: Tenet
International: Another Round
Documentary: My Octopus Teacher
Best Live Action Short: The Present although Feeling Through could win as well
Best Animated Short: If Anything Happens, I Love You
Best Documentary Short: A Love Song For Latasha
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Apr 25, 2021 15:08:36 GMT
Picture: Nomadland
Director: Zhao
Actor: Boseman, tho Hopkins could upset def (wish a tie would happen here lol they both deserve it)
Actress: fuckit, Davis-Mulligan tie (tho u could replace Day and McDormand instead of either of those two easily this race is a mess lol, but going with this lol)(definitely gonna predict a tie tho no matter what lol cus I wanna a bit)
S Actor: Kaluuya, tho honestly (and unfortunately) I won't be shocked with a Cohen upset like idk Daniel doesn't feel as in stone to me as it shows esp with Stanfield there, tho like I'm def predicting Kaluuya
S. Actress: Youn
O Screenplay: Promising Young Woman, tho Trial could upset
A Screenplay: The Father, with Nomadland not far behind
Film Editing: Sound Of Metal
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morton
Based
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Likes: 2,954
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Post by morton on Apr 25, 2021 15:45:10 GMT
Picture - Nomadland
Director - Chloe Zhao
Actor - Chadwick Boseman
I think it will be close, but Boseman will end up winning,
Actress - Viola Davis
I honestly have no clue. I wouldn’t even be surprised if Kirby won in the end because of how crazy the year has been. Went with Davis though because she won SAG, and it seems like she’s been very visible during the voting period for the winners.
Supporting Actor - Daniel Kaluuya
Supporting Actress - Youn Yuh-jung
Adapted Screenplay - Chloe Zhao
Could be The Father, but I think when Birdman won even though people thought there might be a split that they’ll just vote for the Best Picture winner in most categories.
Original Screenplay - Emerald Fennell
Film Editing - Sound of Metal
Cinematography - Nomadland
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Post by countjohn on Apr 25, 2021 16:56:08 GMT
BP- Nomadland
BD- Zhao
Actor- Boseman
Actress- Viola Davis
Sup. Actor- Kaluuya
Sup. Actress- Yuh-Jung Youn
O. Screenplay- Promising Young Woman
A. Screenplay- Nomadland
Foreign film- Another Round
Animated- Soul
Cinematography- Nomadland
Editing- Trial of the Chicago 7
PD- Mank
Costumes- Ma Rainey
Score- Soul
FX- Tenet
Make up/hair- Ma Rainey
Sound- Sound of Metal
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Post by Miles Morales on Apr 25, 2021 17:29:08 GMT
Actor: Boseman, tho Hopkins could upset def (wish a tie would happen here lol they both deserve it) Oh god, I couldn't agree more. Hopkins is my favourite nominee and yet Boseman was amazing as well, plus this is unfortunately the only opportunity he'll have for a win. I am also hoping for a tie since both of them genuinely deserve to win. |
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Post by michael128 on Apr 25, 2021 17:33:34 GMT
trial of chicago seven
chloe zhao
viola davis
anthony hopkins
glenn close
daniel kaluuya
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Post by Brother Fease on Apr 25, 2021 18:41:07 GMT
trial of chicago seven chloe zhao viola davis anthony hopkins glenn close daniel kaluuya Our first non-Nomadland here. Are you going for Chicago 7 for Original Screenplay and Film Editing? |
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Post by Brother Fease on Apr 25, 2021 18:50:53 GMT
Adapted Screenplay - Chloe Zhao Could be The Father, but I think when Birdman won even though people thought there might be a split that they’ll just vote for the Best Picture winner in most categories. Back in 2015 (2014 Oscars), I went with Birdman for picture, director and original screenplay under my "at least 2 major wins" rule. Most of the time, when a film wins best picture, it takes home at least 2 major Oscars.
2020 - Parasite won picture, director, original screenplay 2019 - Green Book won picture, supporting actor, original screenplay 2017 - Moonlight won picture, supporting actor, adapted screenplay 2015 - Birdman won picture, director, original screenplay 2014 - 12 Years A Slave won picture, supporting actress, adapted screenplay 2013 - Argo won picture, original screenplay, film editing 2012 - The Artist won picture, director, actor 2011 - King's Speech won picture, director, original screenplay, and actor 2010 - Hurt Locker won picture, director, original screenplay, editing
I think Nomadland's second biggest major win appears to be screenplay rather than editing (Chicago 7 or Sound of Metal) and actress (could go to any of those four).
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Post by stephen on Apr 25, 2021 18:51:40 GMT
trial of chicago seven chloe zhao viola davis anthony hopkins glenn close daniel kaluuya Aaron Sorkin gets on stage, pulls off his face to reveal he was Beyonce the whole time. |
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avnermoriarti
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Friends say I’ve changed. They’re right.
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Post by avnermoriarti on Apr 25, 2021 18:59:29 GMT
Picture: Nomadland
Director: Chloé Zhao
Actor: Chadwick Boseman, tempted to get on the Hopkins train...
Actress: Carey Mulligan (cheers to who get this right )
Supporting Actor: Kaluuya
Supporting Actress: Youn Yuh-jung. I love this win because I saw her in a couple of Hong Sang-soo movies the past year and now she's here.
Original Screenplay: Promising Young Woman
Adapted Screenplay: The Father
Cinematography: Nomadland
Editing: The Trial of the Chicago 7
Production Design: Mank
Costume Design: Ma Rainey's Black Bottom ( should be Emma though)
Make-up & Hairstyling: Ma Rainey's Black Bottom ( should be Pinocchio, so unfair )
Sound of Metal
Song: One Night in Miami
Score: Soul
VFX: Tenet ( would be cool to see Love and Monsters get this one )
International Film: Another Round ( unfortunately the best film nominated this year in any category will go empty handed: Quo Vadis, Aida ? )
Documentary: My Octopus Fetishism
Can Netflix actually get the three short wins ? Don't think so...
Documentary Short: Colette
Live Action Short: Two Distant Strangers ( a quick twitter exchange adapted to the big screen ) would be the worst win of the night, if only White Eye had the same exposure....
Animated Short: If Anything Happens I Love You
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Post by franklin on Apr 25, 2021 19:48:58 GMT
Does anyone have a link or stream for people overseas to watch the Oscar ceremony??
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speeders
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Post by speeders on Apr 25, 2021 19:56:07 GMT
This is the most unpredictable race I've. Only director and maybe sound feels 100% locked to me, so I will be a bit bold, especially in the leading categories but what the hell. Picture: Nomadland (Upset: Trial of Chicago 7  ) Director: Chloe Zhao (Upset: c'mon.) Actor: Anthony Hopkins, The Father. I reckon it's incredibly close, I do think Boseman probably wins but I'm gonna throw Anthony a bone. Actress: Carey Mulligan, Promising Young Woman. Another insanely close race, Viola Davis is #2, but realistically any of the 5 could win, Kirby less likely than the others but would be pure chaos. Supporting Actor: Daniel Kaluuya, Judas and the Black Messiah (Upset: Sacha Baron Cohen) Supporting Actress: Youn Yuh-jung, Minari. (Upset: Glenn Close ) Original Screenplay: Promising Young Woman (Upset: Trial of Chicago 7) Adapted Screenplay: The Father (Upset: Nomadland) Editing: Sound of Metal (Upset: The Father) Sound: Sound of Metal Cinematography: Nomadland (Upset: Mank) Original Score: Soul Original Song: Speak Now (Upset: HúsavíkI Animated Feature: Soul Production Design: Mank Costume Design: Ma Rainey's Black Bottom Makeup and Hairstyling: Ma Rainey's Black Bottom Visual Effects: Tenet Foreign Language Picture: Another Round Documentary: My Octopus Teacher |
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Post by pessimusreincarnated on Apr 25, 2021 21:08:38 GMT
Best Picture- Nomadland
Best Director- Chloe Zhao, Nomadland
Best Actor- Chadwick Boseman, Ma Rainey's Black Bottom
BestActress- Carey Mulligan, Promising Young Woman
Best Supporting Actor- Daniel Kaluuya, Judas and the Black Messiah
Best Supporting Actress- Youn Yuh-Jung, Minari
Best Original Screenplay- Promising Young Woman
Best Adapted Screenplay- The Father
Best Animated Feature- Soul
Best International Feature- Another Round
Best Documentary Feature- Collective
Best Original Score- Minari
Best Original Song- "Speak Now", One Night in Miami
Best Cinematography- Nomadland
Best Film Editing- Sound of Metal
Best Sound- Sound of Metal
Best Production Design- Mank
Best Costume Design- Ma Rainey's Black Bottom
Best Makeup & Hairstyling- Hillbilly Elegy
Best Visual Effects- Tenet
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