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Post by mrimpossible on Mar 13, 2021 4:13:04 GMT
I mean it can realistically get 13 Oscar nominations.
BEST PICTURE BEST DIRECTOR BEST LEADING ACTOR BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN BEST FILM EDITING BEST ORIGINAL SCORE BEST COSTUME DESIGN BEST VISUAL EFFECTS BEST SOUND BEST MAKEUP & HAIRSTYLING
Even if it misses 1-3 nominations, it'll still likely have the most. I'm currently predicting 12, don't think it'll make visual effects.
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Post by mhynson27 on Mar 13, 2021 4:25:24 GMT
Yep. Trial with the 2nd most.
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Post by Tommen_Saperstein on Mar 13, 2021 4:34:31 GMT
BEST PICTUREBEST DIRECTORBEST LEADING ACTORBEST SUPPORTING ACTRESSBEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAYBEST CINEMATOGRAPHYBEST PRODUCTION DESIGNBEST FILM EDITINGBEST ORIGINAL SCOREBEST COSTUME DESIGNBEST VISUAL EFFECTSBEST SOUNDBEST MAKEUP & HAIRSTYLING I'm predicting it for all of these minus Seyfried, although I could see it miss screenplay too.
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Post by dadsburgers on Mar 13, 2021 5:39:23 GMT
Even if it absolutely tanks with nominations, it would still get at least 7:
BEST PICTURE BEST DIRECTOR BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN BEST FILM EDITING BEST ORIGINAL SCORE BEST COSTUME DESIGN
So, almost definitely yes it will have the most nods.
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Post by mrimpossible on Mar 13, 2021 7:26:29 GMT
BEST PICTUREBEST DIRECTORBEST LEADING ACTORBEST SUPPORTING ACTRESSBEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAYBEST CINEMATOGRAPHYBEST PRODUCTION DESIGNBEST FILM EDITINGBEST ORIGINAL SCOREBEST COSTUME DESIGNBEST VISUAL EFFECTSBEST SOUNDBEST MAKEUP & HAIRSTYLING I'm predicting it for all of these minus Seyfried, although I could see it miss screenplay too. I find it hard to see it missing Screenplay considering it's a screenplay developed by Fincher's dad who passed away. He basically did the movie for his dad. Also Supporting Actress is such a clusterf-ck of a barren wasteland this year that Seyfried is a classic coattails nod, riding on the strength of her movie.
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Post by mhynson27 on Mar 13, 2021 7:29:08 GMT
I'm predicting it for all of these minus Seyfried, although I could see it miss screenplay too. I find it hard to see it missing Screenplay considering it's a screenplay developed by Fincher's dad who passed away. He basically did the movie for his dad. Also Supporting Actress is such a clusterf-ck of a barren wasteland this year that Seyfried is a classic coattails nod, riding on the strength of her movie. I think the big red flag for Seyfried is the SAG snub. Still having trouble with who to pick for the 5th spot between her and Close, which is funny, because at one point those two were the presumed frontrunners.
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Post by mrimpossible on Mar 13, 2021 7:34:47 GMT
I find it hard to see it missing Screenplay considering it's a screenplay developed by Fincher's dad who passed away. He basically did the movie for his dad. Also Supporting Actress is such a clusterf-ck of a barren wasteland this year that Seyfried is a classic coattails nod, riding on the strength of her movie. I think the big red flag for Seyfried is the SAG snub. Still having trouble with who to pick for the 5th spot between her and Close, which is funny, because at one point those two were the presumed frontrunners. It's a snub but I doubt big enough for her to miss. Again the category is extremely barren this year, and that usually favors coattails nods, I mean just look at Marina de Tavira who got in with no precursor support and stronger competition. Jacki Weaver in SLP. Yeah Mank is not as beloved as Roma but it's still a top 5 BP contender which will probably get the most nods.
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Post by mrimpossible on Mar 13, 2021 7:36:01 GMT
Yep. Trial with the 2nd most. Nomadland could be second especially if Strathairn surprises in supporting actor.
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Post by mhynson27 on Mar 13, 2021 7:38:26 GMT
Yep. Trial with the 2nd most. Nomadland could be second especially if Strathairn surprises in supporting actor. Trial can max out at 9, at absolute best I see Nomadland getting 7.
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Post by mrimpossible on Mar 13, 2021 7:43:44 GMT
Nomadland could be second especially if Strathairn surprises in supporting actor. Trial can max out at 9, at absolute best I see Nomadland getting 7. Which nods are you predicting for Trial? I'm thinking 5 nods. Best Picture Best Director Best Supporting Actor Best Original Screenplay Best Film Editing Might miss director considering that branch loves to surprise.
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Post by Tommen_Saperstein on Mar 13, 2021 7:45:15 GMT
Supporting actress is anything but barren. I'm counting nine contenders with only 2 that feel genuinely safe. That there's a general lack of a frontrunner means that anyone could get in and someone like Close or Colman or Seyfried missing would be just as much of a "snub" as Foster or Zengel missing. The race is wide open and Seyfried whose performance is bland and underwritten is going to be particularly vulnerable to that chaos.
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Post by mrimpossible on Mar 13, 2021 7:53:07 GMT
Supporting actress is anything but barren. I'm counting nine contenders with only 2 that feel genuinely safe. That there's a general lack of a frontrunner means that anyone could get in and someone like Close or Colman or Seyfried missing would be just as much of a "snub" as Foster or Zengel missing. The race is wide open and Seyfried whose performance is bland and underwritten is going to be particularly vulnerable to that chaos. Even though there's a lot of contenders, most of them wouldn't be in the conversation in regular years. I think Seyfried will thrive in that chaos because she's the classic safe supporting actress pick. Again she has a big advantage in that her film will be seen and taken seriously by the Academy. Other contenders like Bakalova and Close might miss just from that like Lopez last Oscar season.
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Post by mhynson27 on Mar 13, 2021 7:53:34 GMT
Trial can max out at 9, at absolute best I see Nomadland getting 7. Which nods are you predicting for Trial? I'm thinking 5 nods. Best Picture Best Director Best Supporting Actor Best Original Screenplay Best Film Editing Might miss director considering that branch loves to surprise. On its best day, the 5 you mentioned + Cinematography, Production Design, Costume Design, Makeup and Hair and Sound. So shit, its ceiling is actually 10.
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Post by mhynson27 on Mar 13, 2021 7:56:11 GMT
Supporting actress is anything but barren. I'm counting nine contenders with only 2 that feel genuinely safe. That there's a general lack of a frontrunner means that anyone could get in and someone like Close or Colman or Seyfried missing would be just as much of a "snub" as Foster or Zengel missing. The race is wide open and Seyfried whose performance is bland and underwritten is going to be particularly vulnerable to that chaos. Even though there's a lot of contenders, most of them wouldn't be in the conversation in regular years. I think Seyfried will thrive in that chaos because she's the classic safe supporting actress pick. Again she has a big advantage in that her film will be seen and taken seriously by the Academy. Other contenders like Bakalova and Close might miss just from that like Lopez last Oscar season. This Lopez comparison for Bakalova has never made any sense to me. Bakalova has hit all 4 main precursors (the only one in the category to do so) and won 2/3 of the trifecta. Hustlers was never going to get any noms other than JLo, whilst Bakalova's film has a very real shot at a screenplay nod. Plus, the first Borat made screenplay which shows that the Academy isn't necessarily averse to this type of film, especially as the Academy welcomes more diverse voters.
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Post by mrimpossible on Mar 13, 2021 8:03:02 GMT
Even though there's a lot of contenders, most of them wouldn't be in the conversation in regular years. I think Seyfried will thrive in that chaos because she's the classic safe supporting actress pick. Again she has a big advantage in that her film will be seen and taken seriously by the Academy. Other contenders like Bakalova and Close might miss just from that like Lopez last Oscar season. This Lopez comparison for Bakalova has never made any sense to me. Bakalova has hit all 4 main precursors (the only one in the category to do so) and won 2/3 of the trifecta. Hustlers was never going to get any noms other than JLo, whilst Bakalova's film has a very real shot at a screenplay nod. Plus, the first Borat made screenplay which shows that the Academy isn't necessarily averse to this type of film, especially as the Academy welcomes more diverse voters. I'm currently predicting Bakalova but I could just see the Academy just not taking the film seriously enough which causes her to miss out. I want her to get in, she's easily the best part of the movie and absolutely hysterical. I love it when comedic, balls to the wall performances get recognized.
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Post by mhynson27 on Mar 13, 2021 11:41:50 GMT
This Lopez comparison for Bakalova has never made any sense to me. Bakalova has hit all 4 main precursors (the only one in the category to do so) and won 2/3 of the trifecta. Hustlers was never going to get any noms other than JLo, whilst Bakalova's film has a very real shot at a screenplay nod. Plus, the first Borat made screenplay which shows that the Academy isn't necessarily averse to this type of film, especially as the Academy welcomes more diverse voters. I'm currently predicting Bakalova but I could just see the Academy just not taking the film seriously enough which causes her to miss out. I want her to get in, she's easily the best part of the movie and absolutely hysterical. I love it when comedic, balls to the wall performances get recognized. I see where you're coming from but I think the PGA nom kind of dispels that theory. I hope she gets in too
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Post by JangoB on Mar 13, 2021 12:05:07 GMT
Yeah, unless it totally flops (which I'm not seeing) it will definitely be the one. It has the biggest tech reach.
It's kind of funny how movies can either hit the jackpot bigtime or go with the minimum this year. Chicago 7 can snatch a whole bunch of nods - Picture, Director, Supporting Actor, Screenplay, Cinematography, Production Design, Editing, Sound, Song. And I can also just as easily see it do the bare minimum and getting only Picture, Supporting Actor, Screenplay and Editing.
I don't remember the last time there were so many options of how things were gonna go. The season started off boringly with critics but when it came to the awards that matter for the season, things sure became interesting. Very excited about the announcement.
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Post by mhynson27 on Mar 13, 2021 12:32:06 GMT
Fucking hell, I forgot about song. So Trial could actually get 10, might be close between that and Mank.
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Post by JangoB on Mar 13, 2021 12:33:24 GMT
Which nods are you predicting for Trial? I'm thinking 5 nods. Best Picture Best Director Best Supporting Actor Best Original Screenplay Best Film Editing Might miss director considering that branch loves to surprise. On its best day, the 5 you mentioned + Cinematography, Production Design, Costume Design, Makeup and Hair and Sound. So shit, its ceiling is actually 10. Trial is not on the Makeup shortlist.
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Post by mhynson27 on Mar 13, 2021 12:59:26 GMT
On its best day, the 5 you mentioned + Cinematography, Production Design, Costume Design, Makeup and Hair and Sound. So shit, its ceiling is actually 10. Trial is not on the Makeup shortlist. Ah ok, thanks for the heads up!
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Post by stephen on Mar 13, 2021 15:00:52 GMT
It's likely, but I could also see it missing a lot of those key categories, too. Thing is, there aren't a whole lot of big tech players this year that would hit the above-the-line categories, so it being the big nom-hauler means very little.
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Post by TerryMontana on Mar 13, 2021 15:04:23 GMT
I think it will score 12 nominations:
BEST PICTURE BEST DIRECTOR BEST LEADING ACTOR BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN BEST FILM EDITING BEST COSTUME DESIGN BEST ORIGINAL SCORE BEST VISUAL EFFECTS BEST SOUND
The thing is, it might very well win 0 Oscars!!! I still predict it for PD and would love it if Fincher won (not happening) but there is a good chance it leaves empty handed.
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Post by Pittsnogle_Goggins on Mar 13, 2021 15:10:04 GMT
I’d say so. That and Trial will likely be the top 2.
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Post by franklin on Mar 13, 2021 16:53:55 GMT
Give Fincher his Directing win!! Don't screw it up, Academy members.
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flasuss
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Post by flasuss on Mar 13, 2021 17:46:31 GMT
It's likely, but I could also see it missing a lot of those key categories, too. Thing is, there aren't a whole lot of big tech players this year that would hit the above-the-line categories, so it being the big nom-hauler means very little. Exactly. And of course the other movie that would be the big tech player, Tenet, didn't send screeners.
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