Post by Brother Fease on Mar 13, 2021 2:33:25 GMT
By all means, tell me who you think will get in as well.
BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
1. Maria Bakalova - Globe, Critics Choice (won), SAG, BAFTA
2. Yuh-Jung Youn - Critics Choice, SAG, BAFTA
3. Olivia Colman - Globe, Critics Choice, SAG
4. Glenn Close - Globe, Critics Choice, SAG
5. Amanda Seyfield - Globe, Critics Choice
Strong contenders: Helena Zengel (SAG, Globe), Jodie Foster (Globe win), Niamh Algar, Kosar Ali, Dominique Fishback, Ashley Madekwe (BAFTA), Ellen Burstyn (Critics Choice).
Commentary: The first three are pretty secure in my book, last two are not. I fear Close's film will hurt her chances. For the last spot, it was either Zengel or Seyfield for me. I like Seyfield because she won the Satellite and attached to the more popular picture.
BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
1. Daniel Kaluuya - Won the Globe and Critics Choice, nominated for the SAG and BAFTA.
2. Leslie Odom, Jr. - Globe, Critics Choice, SAG, BAFTA
3. Sacha Baron Cohen - Globe, Critics Choice, SAG
4. Chadwick Boseman - SAG, Critics Choice
5. Paul Raci - Critics Choice, BAFTA
Strong contenders: Jared Leto (SAG, Globe), Bill Murray (Globe, Critics Choice), Barry Keoghan, Alan Kim, Clarke Peters (BAFTA), Glynn Turman (LA film critics win)
Commentary: I am the least sure about the last two, but I like the fact both received industry acting nominations (SAG/BAFTA) and won multiple critics circle awards.
BEST ACTRESS
1. Frances McDormand - Globe, Critics Choice, SAG, BAFTA
2. Vanessa Kirby - Globe, Critics Choice, SAG, BAFTA
3. Carey Mulligan - Globe, Critics Choice (won), SAG
4. Viola Davis - Globe, Critics Choice, SAG
5. Andra Day - Globe (won), Critics Choice
Strong contenders: Amy Adams (SAG), Rosamund Pike (Globe winner), Bukky Bakray, Radha Blank, Wunmi Mosaku (BAFTA), Sidney Flanigan (NY film critics winner, Critics Choice nominee).
Commentary: Probably the most sure out of the bunch.
BEST ACTOR
1. Chadwick Boseman - Globe and Critics Choice winner, SAG and BAFTA nominee
2. Riz Ahmed
3. Anthony Hopkins - Globe, Critics Choice, SAG, BAFTA
4. Gary Oldman - Globe, Critics Choice, SAG
5. Steven Yeun - Critics Choice, SAG
Strong contenders: Tahar Rahim (Globe, BAFTA), Mads Mikkelsen (BAFTA), Delroy Lindo (Critics Choice nominee, NY film critics and National society of film Critics winner), Ben Affleck, Tom Hanks (Critics Choice), Sacha Baron Cohen (Globe winner)
Commentary: The last one is the wild card for me. I like Yeun here due to the film's popularity.
BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
1. Nomadland - Critics Choice (winner), Scripter, Globe, BAFTA
2. The Father - Critics Choice, Globe, BAFTA
3. Ma Rainey's Black Bottom
4. One Night in Miami - Critics Choice, Scripter, WGA
5. News of the World - Critics Choice, WGA, BAFTA
Strong contenders: The White Tiger (WGA, BAFTA), Borat 2 (WGA), First Cow (Scripter, Critics Choice), The Dig, The Mauritanian (BAFTA), I'm Thinking of Ending Things (Boston film critics winner), The Life Ahead (Satellite nominee, foreign language script)
Commentary: Just as sure as the Best Actress predictions.
BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
1. The Trial of the Chicago 7 - Globe (winner), Critics Choice, WGA, BAFTA
2. Promising Young Woman - Globe, Critics Choice (winner), WGA, BAFTA
3. Mank - Globes, Critics Choice, BAFTA
4. Sound of Metal - Critics Choice, WGA
5. Minari - Critics Choice
Strong contenders: Judias and the Black Messiah (WGA), Palm Spring (WGA), Never Rarely Sometimes Always (Critics Choice, won NY and National Society of film critics), Another Round, Rocks (BAFTA), Soul (Satellite nominee, animated feature script)
Commentary: I am going to take a lucky guess and say Minari. Guild members seem to be nominating it for EVERYTHING.
Director and Picture coming soon.