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Post by stephen on Mar 11, 2021 23:18:57 GMT
I feel like King is hovering around that 6-8 spot, and I could see One Night in Miami overperforming ( especially as it's likely to win one, maybe even two Oscars), and the industry really does like King an awful lot. I don't think predicting her is that outside the realm of possibility, especially as we haven't had a black woman get into that category yet. I'm not counting her out. What would be its second win??? Because there's no way Odom is beating Kaluuya. Adapted Screenplay.
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Post by mhynson27 on Mar 11, 2021 23:49:29 GMT
What would be its second win??? Because there's no way Odom is beating Kaluuya. Adapted Screenplay. Yeah good luck with that. Zhao has that category wrapped up.
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Post by stephen on Mar 11, 2021 23:51:34 GMT
Yeah good luck with that. Zhao has that category wrapped up. Nomadland is still what I'm predicting, but it is more of a director's showpiece than a writing one (as much as I loved the screenplay), and I could definitely see them going for the more traditional film in this category, especially as Kemp Powers has a strong shot of getting two nominations.
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Post by mhynson27 on Mar 12, 2021 0:08:31 GMT
Yeah good luck with that. Zhao has that category wrapped up. Nomadland is still what I'm predicting, but it is more of a director's showpiece than a writing one (as much as I loved the screenplay), and I could definitely see them going for the more traditional film in this category, especially as Kemp Powers has a strong shot of getting two nominations. Honestly, I think Miami is probably 4th in its category, and I doubt Soul gets into Original anymore.
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Post by The_Cake_of_Roth on Mar 13, 2021 6:59:34 GMT
Picture The Father Judas and the Black Messiah Ma Rainey's Black Bottom Mank Minari Nomadland One Night in Miami Promising Young Woman The Trial of the Chicago 7
Director Chung Fennell Fincher Sorkin Zhao
Actor Ahmed Boseman Hopkins Oldman Yeun
Actress Davis Day Kirby McDormand Mulligan
Supporting Actor Boseman Cohen Kaluuya Murray (NGNG) Odom Jr.
Supporting Actress Bakalova Close Colman Seyfried Youn
Original Screenplay Judas and the Black Messiah Mank Minari Promising Young Woman The Trial of the Chicago 7
Adapted Screenplay The Father I'm Thinking of Ending Things Ma Rainey's Black Bottom Nomadland One Night in Miami
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Post by mhynson27 on Mar 13, 2021 7:23:42 GMT
PictureThe Father Judas and the Black Messiah Ma Rainey's Black Bottom Mank Minari Nomadland One Night in Miami Promising Young Woman The Trial of the Chicago 7 DirectorChung Fennell Fincher Sorkin Zhao ActorAhmed Boseman Hopkins Oldman Yeun ActressDavis Day Kirby McDormand Mulligan Supporting ActorBoseman Cohen Kaluuya Murray (NGNG) Odom Jr. Supporting ActressBakalova Close Colman Seyfried Youn Original ScreenplayJudas and the Black Messiah Mank Minari Promising Young Woman The Trial of the Chicago 7 Adapted ScreenplayThe Father I'm Thinking of Ending Things Ma Rainey's Black Bottom Nomadland One Night in Miami I'd say I'm Thinking of Ending Things in AS is almost as big of a NGNG as Murray at this point.
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Post by JangoB on Mar 13, 2021 12:17:52 GMT
Updated my predictions post for the very final round of guesses. As you can see, I'm betting hard on Sound of Metal. Let's risk it. So much so that I'm having Darius Marder for Directing instead of Sorkin. Let's see if it pays off.
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Post by mhynson27 on Mar 13, 2021 12:32:35 GMT
Updated my predictions post for the very final round of guesses. As you can see, I'm betting hard on Sound of Metal. Let's risk it. So much so that I'm having Darius Marder for Directing instead of Sorkin. Let's see if it pays off. That director switch is very very tempting to predict too.
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Post by wilcinema on Mar 13, 2021 12:39:51 GMT
I think that it would be easier to predict a Sorkin snub if we had an obvious “director’s movie” like Cold War, Phantom Thread, Foxcatcher were. Vinterberg, Marder could upset but they are not obvious choices for the branch.
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flasuss
Badass
Posts: 1,840
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Post by flasuss on Mar 13, 2021 13:27:27 GMT
I might change many of those until the time of the nominations, but so far I'm going with: BEST PICTUREJudas and the Black Messiah Mank Minari News of the World Nomadland One Night in Miami Promising Young Woman The Sound of Metal The Trial of the Chicago 7 If there's 10 (but there's never 10) I bet on Borat Subsequent Moviefilm BEST DIRECTOR:Emerald Fennell, Promising Young Woman David Fincher: Mank Darius Marder: The Sound of Metal Aaron Sorkin: The Trial of the Chicago 7 Chloe Zhao: Nomadland. BEST ACTOR IN A LEADING ROLE:Riz Ahmed: Sound of Metal Chadwick Boseman: Ma' Rainey's Anthony Hopkins: The Father Delroy Lindo: Da 5 Bloods Steven Yeun: Minari BEST ACTRESS IN A LEADING ROLEViola Davis: Ma Rainey's Black Bottom Andra Day: The United States vs. Billie Holliday Vanessa Kirby: Pieces of a Woman Frances McDormand: Nomadland Carey Mulligan: Promising Young Woman BEST ACTOR IN A SUPPORTING ROLESacha Baron Cohen: The Trial of the Chicago 7 Chadwick Boseman- Da 5 Bloods Daniel Kaluuya: Judas and the Black Messiah. Leslie Odom Jr. : One Night in Miami Paul Raci: Sound of Metal. BEST ACTRESS IN A SUPPORTING ROLE:Maria Bakalova: Borat Subsequent Moviefilm Olivia Colman: The Father Amanda Seyfried: Mank Yuh-Jung Youn: Minari Helena Zengel: News Of The World BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAYJudas & the Black Messiah Mank Minari Promising Young Woman The Trial of the Chicago 7 BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAYBorat Subsequent Moviefilm The Father Ma Rainey's Black Bottom Nomadland One Night in Miami BEST ANIMATED FILMThe Croods: A New Age Onward Shaun the Sheep Movie: Farmageddon Soul Wolfwalkers BEST INTERNATIONAL FILMAnother Round Dear Comrades! La Llorona Quo Vadis, Aida? Two of Us
BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE: All In: The Fight for Democracy Collective Dick Johnson Is Dead Time Welcome to Chechnya
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Deleted
Deleted Member
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Post by Deleted on Mar 13, 2021 14:54:55 GMT
PICTURE The Father Mank Ma Rainey's Black Bottom Minari Nomadland One Night in Miami Promising Young Woman The Trial of the Chicago 7
DIRECTOR David Fincher, Mank Lee Isaac Chung, Minari Chloé Zhao, Nomadland Emerald Fennell, Promising Young Woman Aaron Sorkin, The Trial of the Chicago 7
ACTRESS Viola Davis, Ma Rainey's Black Bottom Andra Day, The United States vs. Billie Holiday Vanessa Kirby, Pieces of a Woman Frances McDormand, Nomadland Carey Mulligan, Promising Young Woman
ACTOR Riz Ahmed, Sound of Metal Chadwick Boseman, Ma Rainey's Black Bottom Anthony Hopkins, The Father Gary Oldman, Mank Steven Yeun, Minari
SUPPORTING ACTRESS Maria Bakalova, Borat Subsequent Moviefilm Glenn Close, Hillbilly Elegy Olivia Colman, The Father Amanda Seyfried, Mank Youn Yuh-jung, Minari
SUPPORTING ACTOR Sacha Baron Cohen, The Trial of the Chicago 7 Chadwick Boseman, Da 5 Bloods Daniel Kaluuya, Judas and the Black Messiah Leslie Odom Jr., One Night in Miami Paul Raci, Sound of Metal
ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY Mank Minari Never Rarely Sometimes Always Promising Young Woman The Trial of the Chicago 7
ADAPTED SCREENPLAY The Father First Cow Ma Rainey's Black Bottom Nomadland One Night in Miami
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Post by Sharbs on Mar 13, 2021 15:23:10 GMT
PICTURE The Father Judas and the Black Messiah Mank Ma Rainey's Black Bottom Minari Nomadland One Night in Miami Promising Young Woman The Trial of the Chicago 7
DIRECTOR Lee Isaac Chung, Minari Emerald Fennell, Promising Young Woman David Fincher, Mank Aaron Sorkin, The Trial of the Chicago 7 Chloé Zhao, Nomadland
ACTRESS Viola Davis, Ma Rainey's Black Bottom Andra Day, The United States vs. Billie Holiday Vanessa Kirby, Pieces of a Woman Frances McDormand, Nomadland Carey Mulligan, Promising Young Woman
ACTOR Riz Ahmed, Sound of Metal Chadwick Boseman, Ma Rainey's Black Bottom Anthony Hopkins, The Father Gary Oldman, Mank Steven Yeun, Minari
SUPPORTING ACTRESS Maria Bakalova, Borat Subsequent Moviefilm Glenn Close, Hillbilly Elegy Olivia Colman, The Father Jodie Foster, The Mauritanian Youn Yuh-jung, Minari
SUPPORTING ACTOR Sacha Baron Cohen, The Trial of the Chicago 7 Daniel Kaluuya, Judas and the Black Messiah Alan Kim, Minari Leslie Odom Jr., One Night in Miami Paul Raci, Sound of Metal
ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY Judas and the Black Messiah Mank Minari Promising Young Woman The Trial of the Chicago 7
ADAPTED SCREENPLAY Borat Subsequent Moviefilm The Father Ma Rainey's Black Bottom Nomadland One Night in Miami
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Post by pessimusreincarnated on Mar 13, 2021 16:57:52 GMT
Best Picture
The Father Judas and the Black Messiah Ma Rainey's Black Bottom Mank Minari Nomadland One Night in Miami Promising Young Woman The Trial of the Chicago 7
Outside looking in: News of the World, Sound of Metal
Best Director
Lee Isaac Chung, Minari Emerald Fennell, Promising Young Woman David Fincher, Mank Aaron Sorkin, The Trial of the Chicago 7 Chloe Zhao, Nomadland
Best Actor
Riz Ahmed, Sound of Metal Chadwick Boseman, Ma Rainey's Black Bottom Anthony Hopkins, The Father Gary Oldman, Mank Steven Yeun, Minari
Best Actress
Viola Davis, Ma Rainey's Black Bottom Andra Day, The United States vs. Billie Holiday Vanessa Kirby, Pieces of a Woman Francis McDormand, Nomadland Carrie Mulligan, Promising Young Woman
Best Supporting Actor
Sacha Baron Cohen, The Trial of the Chicago 7 Chadwick Boseman, Da 5 Bloods Daniel Kaluuya, Judas and the Black Messiah Leslie Odom Jr., One Night in Miami Paul Raci, Sound of Metal
Best Supporting Actress
Maria Bakalova, Borat Subsequent Moviefilm Ellen Burstyn, Pieces of a Woman Olivia Colman, The Father Amanda Seyfried, Mank Yuh-Jung Youn, Minari
Best Adapted Screenplay
Borat Subsequent Moviefilm The Father News of the World Nomadland One Night in Miami
Best Original Screenplay
Judas and the Black Messiah Mank Minari Promising Young Woman The Trial of the Chicago 7
Best Cinematography
Judas and the Black Messiah Mank News of the World Nomadland Tenet
Best Film Editing
The Father Nomadland Promising Young Woman Sound of Metal The Trial of the Chicago 7
Best Sound
Ma Rainey's Black Bottom Mank Sound of Metal Tenet The Trial of the Chicago 7
Best Costume Design
Emma Ma Rainey's Black Bottom Mank Mulan News of the World
Best Production Design
Ma Rainey's Black Bottom Mank Mulan News of the World Tenet
Best Makeup and Hairstyling
Emma Hillbilly Elegy Ma Rainey's Black Bottom Mank Pinocchio
Best Visual Effects
Mank The Midnight Sky Mulan The One and Only Ivan Tenet
Best Original Score
Mank Minari News of the World Soul Tenet
Best Animated Feature
Onward Over the Moon Shaun the Sheep: Farmageddon Soul Wolfwalkers
Best International Film
Another Round Collective La Llorona Quo Vadis, Aida? Two of Us
Best Documentary Feature
Collective Dick Johnson is Dead Time The Truffle Hunters Welcome to Chechnya
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Javi
Badass
Posts: 1,563
Likes: 1,665
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Post by Javi on Mar 13, 2021 17:30:20 GMT
PICTURE 1. Nomadland 2. The Trial of the Chicago 7 3. Minari 4. Promising Young Woman 5. Judas and the Black Messiah 6. Ma Rainey's Black Bottom 7. Mank 8. One Night in Miami 9. The Father 10. Sound of Metal
DIRECTOR Lee Isaac Chung, Minari David Fincher, Mank Aaron Sorkin, The Trial of the Chicago 7 Florian Zeller, The Father Chloe Zhao, Nomadland
ACTOR Riz Ahmed, Sound of Metal Chadwick Boseman, Ma Rainey's Tony Hopkins, The Father Mads Mikkelsen, Another Round Gary Oldman, Mank
ACTRESS Viola Davis, Ma Rainey's Andra Day, Billie Holiday Vanessa Kirby, Pieces of a Woman Frances McDormand, Nomadland Carey Mulligan, PYW
SUPPORTING ACTOR Sacha Baron Cohen, Trial Daniel Kaluuya, Judas Frank Langella, Trial Leslie Odom Jr., 1 Night in Miami Paul Raci, Sound of Metal
SUPPORTING ACTRESS Maria Bakalova, Borat Ellen Burstyn, Pieces of a Woman Olivia Colman, The Father Dominique Fishback, Judas Youn Yuh-jung, Minari
ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY Judas and the Black Messiah Mank Minari Promising Young Woman The Trial of the Chicago 7
ADAPTED SCREENPLAY Borat Subsequent Moviefilm The Father Ma Rainey's Black Bottom Nomadland One Night in Miami
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Post by stephen on Mar 13, 2021 17:54:52 GMT
BEST MOTION PICTURE: The Father Judas and the Black Messiah Ma Rainey's Black Bottom Mank Minari Nomadland One Night in Miami... Promising Young Woman Sound of Metal The Trial of the Chicago 7
BEST DIRECTOR: Lee Isaac Chung, Minari Emerald Fennell, Promising Young Woman David Fincher, Mank Aaron Sorkin, The Trial of the Chicago 7 Chloe Zhao, Nomadland
BEST ACTOR: Riz Ahmed, Sound of Metal Chadwick Boseman, Ma Rainey's Black Bottom Anthony Hopkins, The Father Gary Oldman, Mank Steven Yeun, Minari
BEST ACTRESS: Viola Davis, Ma Rainey's Black Bottom Andra Day, The United States vs. Billie Holiday Vanessa Kirby, Pieces of a Woman Frances McDormand, Nomadland Carey Mulligan, Promising Young Woman
BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR: Sacha Baron Cohen, Trial of the Chicago 7 Daniel Kaluuya, Judas and the Black Messiah Jared Leto, The Little Things Leslie Odom, Jr., One Night in Miami... Paul Raci, Sound of Metal
BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS: Maria Bakalova, Borat Subsequent Moviefilm Olivia Colman, The Father Glenn Close, Hillbilly Elegy Jodie Foster, The Mauritanian (probably silly of me, but I think Seyfried or Close will miss out and I think Foster got that Globe win at the right time) Yuh-jung Youn, Minari
BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY: Judas and the Black Messiah Mank Minari Promising Young Woman Sound of Metal
BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY: Borat Subsequent Moviefilm The Father Ma Rainey's Black Bottom Nomadland One Night in Miami...
BEST ANIMATED FEATURE: The Croods: A New Age Onward Over the Moon Soul Wolfwalkers
BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE: All In: The Fight for Democracy Collective Dick Johnson Is Dead Time Welcome to Chechnya
BEST DOCUMENTARY SHORT SUBJECT: Abortion Helpline, This Is Lisa A Concerto Is a Conversation Hysterical Girl A Love Song for Latasha What Would Sophia Loren Do?
BEST INTERNATIONAL FILM: Another Round Collective Dear Comrades! La Llorona Quo Vadis, Aida
BEST LIVE-ACTION SHORT FILM: Bittu Da Yie The Human Voice The Letter Room Two Distant Strangers
BEST ANIMATED SHORT: Burrow If Anything Happens I Love You Opera Out The Snail and the Whale
BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY: Dear Comrades! Mank News of the World Nomadland The Trial of the Chicago 7
BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN: The Father Ma Rainey's Black Bottom Mank News of the World The Trial of the Chicago 7
BEST COSTUME DESIGN: Emma. Ma Rainey's Black Bottom Mank Mulan The Personal History of David Copperfield
BEST MAKEUP AND HAIRSTYLING: Birds of Prey and the Fantabulous Emancipation of One Harley Quinn Hillbilly Elegy The Little Things Ma Rainey's Black Bottom Pinocchio
BEST EDITING: The Father Mank Nomadland Sound of Metal The Trial of the Chicago 7
BEST VISUAL EFFECTS: Mank The Midnight Sky The One and Only Ivan Tenet Welcome to Chechnya
BEST SOUND: Mank News of the World Nomadland Sound of Metal Soul
BEST SCORE: The Little Things Mank Minari News of the World Soul
BEST SONG: "Fight For You" ~ Judas and the Black Messiah "Husavik" ~ Eurovision Song Contest: The Story of Fire Saga "Io Si (Seen)" ~ The Life Ahead "Speak Now" ~ One Night in Miami... "Turntables" ~ All In: The Fight for Democracy
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Post by mhynson27 on Mar 13, 2021 22:55:40 GMT
PICTURE 1. Nomadland 2. The Trial of the Chicago 7 3. Minari 4. Promising Young Woman 5. Judas and the Black Messiah 6. Ma Rainey's Black Bottom 7. Mank 8. One Night in Miami 9. The Father 10. Sound of Metal DIRECTOR Lee Isaac Chung, Minari David Fincher, Mank Aaron Sorkin, The Trial of the Chicago 7 Florian Zeller, The Father Chloe Zhao, Nomadland ACTOR Riz Ahmed, Sound of Metal Chadwick Boseman, Ma Rainey's Tony Hopkins, The Father Mads Mikkelsen, Another Round Gary Oldman, Mank ACTRESS Viola Davis, Ma Rainey's Andra Day, Billie Holiday Vanessa Kirby, Pieces of a Woman Frances McDormand, Nomadland Carey Mulligan, PYW SUPPORTING ACTOR Sacha Baron Cohen, Trial Daniel Kaluuya, Judas Frank Langella, TrialLeslie Odom Jr., 1 Night in Miami Paul Raci, Sound of Metal SUPPORTING ACTRESS Maria Bakalova, Borat Ellen Burstyn, Pieces of a Woman Olivia Colman, The Father Dominique Fishback, Judas Youn Yuh-jung, Minari ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY Judas and the Black Messiah Mank Minari Promising Young Woman The Trial of the Chicago 7 ADAPTED SCREENPLAY Borat Subsequent Moviefilm The Father Ma Rainey's Black Bottom Nomadland One Night in Miami Oh my, did Pittsnogle take over your account??
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Post by michael128 on Mar 14, 2021 4:17:12 GMT
Picture
Supporting Actress Glenn Close Maria Bakalova Ellen Burstyn Olivia Cookie Jodie Foster Youn Helena Zengel Dominic Fishbaque
Director Emeral Fennell Chloe Zhao Regina King Aaron Sorkin David Fincher Christopher Nolan Spike Lee
Actress Robin Wright Viola Davis Vanessa Kirby Carey Mulligan Andra Day Amy Adams Frances Mcdormand
Supporting Actor Sacha Baren Cohen Daniel Kaluuya Kim
Actor Ben Afflec Riz Ahmed Chadwick Boseman Delroy Lindo Anthony Hopkins Gary Oldman Yeun
These aren't final. Just posting my draft skeleton so I can edit later
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Post by Pittsnogle_Goggins on Mar 14, 2021 5:10:19 GMT
PICTURE 1. Nomadland 2. The Trial of the Chicago 7 3. Minari 4. Promising Young Woman 5. Judas and the Black Messiah 6. Ma Rainey's Black Bottom 7. Mank 8. One Night in Miami 9. The Father 10. Sound of Metal DIRECTOR Lee Isaac Chung, Minari David Fincher, Mank Aaron Sorkin, The Trial of the Chicago 7 Florian Zeller, The Father Chloe Zhao, Nomadland ACTOR Riz Ahmed, Sound of Metal Chadwick Boseman, Ma Rainey's Tony Hopkins, The Father Mads Mikkelsen, Another Round Gary Oldman, Mank ACTRESS Viola Davis, Ma Rainey's Andra Day, Billie Holiday Vanessa Kirby, Pieces of a Woman Frances McDormand, Nomadland Carey Mulligan, PYW SUPPORTING ACTOR Sacha Baron Cohen, Trial Daniel Kaluuya, Judas Frank Langella, TrialLeslie Odom Jr., 1 Night in Miami Paul Raci, Sound of Metal SUPPORTING ACTRESS Maria Bakalova, Borat Ellen Burstyn, Pieces of a Woman Olivia Colman, The Father Dominique Fishback, Judas Youn Yuh-jung, Minari ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY Judas and the Black Messiah Mank Minari Promising Young Woman The Trial of the Chicago 7 ADAPTED SCREENPLAY Borat Subsequent Moviefilm The Father Ma Rainey's Black Bottom Nomadland One Night in Miami Oh my, did Pittsnogle take over your account?? The hive is growing
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Post by Brother Fease on Mar 14, 2021 13:09:27 GMT
BEST PICTURE The Trial of the Chicago 7 Minari Nomadland Promising Young Woman Mank Ma Rainey's Black Bottom One Night in Miami... Sound of Metal The Father Judas and the Black Messiah
Borat 2 is the only PGA with the least likely chance of getting in. The Mauritanian and Da 5 Bloods could sneak into the top 10.
BEST DIRECTOR I am sticking with the DGA nominees Lee Isaac Chung, Emerald Fennell, David Fincher, Aaron Sorkin, and Chloe Zhao. Regina King, Spike Lee, Sarah Gavron, Shannon Murphy, Jasmila Zbanic, and Thomas Vinterberg are strong players here.
BEST ACTOR 1. Chadwick Boseman - Globe and Critics Choice winner 2. Riz Ahmed - Globe, Critics Choice, SAG, BAFTA 3. Anthony Hopkins - Ditto. 4. Gary Oldman - Globe, Critics Choice, SAG 5. Steven Yeun - Critics Choice, SAG
Delroy Lindo (Critics Choice), Tahar Rahim (Globe, BAFTA), and Mads Mikkelsen (BAFTA) could easily replace Yeun for that 5th spot.
BEST ACTRESS 1. Frances McDormand - Globe, Critics Choice, SAG, BAFTA 2. Vanessa Kirby - Globe, Critics Choice, SAG, BAFTA 3. Carey Mulligan - Globe, Critics Choice (winner), SAG 4. Viola Davis - Globe, Critics Choice, SAG 5. Audra Day - Globe (winner), Critics Choice
Amy Adams (SAG), Rosamund Pike (Globe winner), Sidney Flanigan (Critics Choice), Bukky Bakray, Radha Blank, and Wunmi Mosaku (BAFTA) as the strongest alternatives.
BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR 1. Daniel Kaluuya - Globe and Critics Choice winner 2. Leslie Odom Jr - Globe, Critics Choice, SAG, BAFTA 3. Sacha Baron Cohen - Globe, Critics Choice, SAG 4. Chadwick Boseman - Critics Choice, SAG 5. Paul Raci - Critics Choice, BAFTA
The last two could easily be replaced by Jared Leto (Globe, SAG), Bill Murray (Globe, Critics Choice), Barry Keoghan, Alan Kim, or Clarke Peters (BAFTA).
BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS 1. Maria Bakalova - Globe (lead), Critics Choice (winner), SAG, BAFTA 2. Yuh-Jung Youn - Critics Choice, SAG, BAFTA 3. Olivia Colman - Globe, Critics Choice, SAG 4. Glenn Close - Globe, Critics Choice, SAG 5. Amanda Seyfield - Globe, Critics Choice
The last two could easily be replaced by Helena Zengel (Globe, SAG), Jodi Foster (Globe winner), Ellen Burstyn (Critics Choice), Niamh Algar, Kosar Ali, Dominique Fishback, or Ashley Madekwe (BAFTA).
BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY 1. Nomadland - Globe, Critics Choice (winner), Scripter, BAFTA 2. Ma Rainey's Black Bottom - Critics Choice, WGA, Scripter 3. One Night in Miami - Critics Choice, WGA, Scripter 4. The Father - Critics Choice, Globe, BAFTA 5. News of the World - Critics Choice, WGA, BAFTA
Alternatives would be Borat 2 (WGA), White Tiger (WGA, BAFTA), First Cow (Scripter, Critics Choice), The Dig, and The Mauritanian (BAFTA).
BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY 1. Trial of the Chicago 7 - Globe (winner), Critics Choice, WGA, BAFTA 2. Promising Young Woman - Globe, Critics Choice (winner), WGA, BAFTA 3. Mank - Globe, Critics Choice, BAFTA 4. Sound of Metal - WGA, Critics Choice 5. Minari - Critics Choice
Judas and the Black Messiah (WGA), Another Round (BAFTA), Palm Springs (WGA), Never Really Somethings Always (Critics Choice), and Rocks (BAFTA) as alternatives.
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jakob
Full Member
Posts: 827
Likes: 698
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Post by jakob on Mar 14, 2021 18:10:35 GMT
BEST PICTURE (The Father) Judas and the Black Messiah Mank Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom Minari Nomadland ⭐️ One Night in Miami Promising Young Woman Sound of Metal The Trial of the Chicago 7
BEST DIRECTOR David Fincher, Mank Lee Isaac Chung, Minari Chloe Zhao, Nomadland ⭐️ Emerald Fennell, Promising Young Woman Aaron Sorkin, The Trial of the Chicago 7
BEST ACTOR Riz Amhed, Sound of Metal Chadwick Boseman, Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom⭐️ Anthony Hopkins, The Father Tahar Rahim, The Mauritanian Steven Yeun, Minari
BEST ACTRESS Viola Davis, Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom Andra Day, The United States vs Billie Holiday Vanessa Kirby, Pieces of a Woman Frances McDormand, Nomadland Carey Mulligan, Promising Young Woman⭐️
BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR Sacha Baron Cohen, The Trial of the Chicago 7 Daniel Kaluuya, Judas and the Black Messiah⭐️ Alan S. Kim, Minari Leslie Odom, Jr., One Night in Miami Paul Raci, Sound of Metal
BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS Maria Bakalova, Borat Subsequent Moviefilm Jodie Foster, The Mauritanian Olivia Colman, The Father Amanda Seyfried, Mank Youn Yuh-Jung, Minari ⭐️
BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY Judas and the Black Messiah Mank Minari Promising Young Woman The Trial of the Chicago 7 ⭐️
BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY Borat Subsequent Moviefilm The Father Nomadland ⭐️ One Night in Miami The White Tiger
BEST EDITING Mank Nomadland Promising Young Woman Sound of Metal The Trial of the Chicago 7⭐️
BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY Judas and the Black Messiah Mank News of the World Nomadland⭐️ The Trial of the Chicago 7
BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN Emma. Mank ⭐️ Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom The Midnight Sky News of the World
BEST COSTUME DESIGN Emma.⭐️ Mank Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom Mulan The United States Vs. Billie Holiday
BEST MAKEUP & HAIRSTYLING Birds of Prey (and the Fantabulous Emancipation of One Harley Quinn) The Glorias Hillbilly Elegy⭐️ Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom Pinocchio
BEST VISUAL EFFECTS Mank The Midnight Sky The One and Only Ivan Tenet⭐️ Welcome to Chechnya
BEST SOUND Greyhound Mank News of the World Nomadland Sound of Metal ⭐️
BEST ORIGINAL SCORE Mank The Midnight Sky Minari News of the World Soul⭐️
BEST ORIGINAL SONG All In: The Fight For Democracy, “Turntables” Eurovision Song Contest: The Story of Fire Saga, “Husavik” Judas and the Black Messiah, “Fight For You” The Life Ahead, “Io See” One Night in Miami, “Speak Now”⭐️
BEST ANIMATED FILM The Croods: A New Age Onward Over the Moon Soul⭐️ Wolfwalkers
BEST DOCUMENTARY FILM All In: The Fight For Democracy Boys State⭐️ Collective My Octopus Teacher Welcome to Chechnya
BEST FOREIGN FILM Another Round⭐️ Dear Comrades! Collective Quo Vadis Aida? Two of Us
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Post by therealcomicman117 on Mar 14, 2021 23:41:17 GMT
Well might as well try my best.
BEST MOTION PICTURE: The Father Judas and the Black Messiah Ma Rainey's Black Bottom Mank Minari Nomadland One Night in Miami... Promising Young Woman Sound of Metal The Trial of the Chicago 7
BEST DIRECTOR: Lee Isaac Chung, Minari Emerald Fennell, Promising Young Woman David Fincher, Mank Aaron Sorkin, The Trial of the Chicago 7 Chloe Zhao, Nomadland
BEST ACTOR: Riz Ahmed, Sound of Metal Chadwick Boseman, Ma Rainey's Black Bottom Anthony Hopkins, The Father Gary Oldman, Mank Steven Yeun, Minari
BEST ACTRESS: Viola Davis, Ma Rainey's Black Bottom Andra Day, The United States vs. Billie Holiday Vanessa Kirby, Pieces of a Woman Frances McDormand, Nomadland Carey Mulligan, Promising Young Woman
BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR: Sacha Baron Cohen, Trial of the Chicago 7 Daniel Kaluuya, Judas and the Black Messiah Alan S. Kim, Minari Leslie Odom, Jr., One Night in Miami... Paul Raci, Sound of Metal
BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS: Maria Bakalova, Borat Subsequent Moviefilm Olivia Colman, The Father Jodie Foster, The Mauritanian – Although Close could easily take her spot. Amanda Seyfried - Mank Yuh-jung Youn, Minari
BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY: Judas and the Black Messiah Mank Minari Promising Young Woman Sound of Metal
BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY: Borat Subsequent Moviefilm The Father Ma Rainey's Black Bottom Nomadland One Night in Miami...
BEST EDITING: The Father Mank Nomadland Sound of Metal The Trial of the Chicago 7
BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY: Judas and the Black Messiah Mank News of the World Nomadland The Trial of the Chicago 7
BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN: Ma Rainey's Black Bottom Mank News of the World The Midnight Sky The Trial of the Chicago 7
BEST COSTUME DESIGN: Emma. Ma Rainey's Black Bottom Mank Mulan The United States Vs. Billie Holiday
BEST MAKEUP AND HAIRSTYLING: Birds of Prey and the Fantabulous Emancipation of One Harley Quinn Hillbilly Elegy Ma Rainey's Black Bottom The Glorias Pinocchio
BEST VISUAL EFFECTS: Mank The Midnight Sky The One and Only Ivan Tenet Welcome to Chechnya
BEST SOUND: Greyhound Mank News of the World Nomadland Sound of Metal
BEST SCORE: Mank Minari News of the World Soul The Midnight Sky
BEST SONG: All In: The Fight for Democracy - Turntables "Fight For You" - Judas and the Black Messiah "Husavik" - Eurovision Song Contest: The Story of Fire Saga "Io Si (Seen)" ~ The Life Ahead "Speak Now" ~ One Night in Miami... BEST ANIMATED FEATURE: The Croods: A New Age Onward Over the Moon Soul Wolfwalkers
BEST ANIMATED SHORT: Burrow If Anything Happens I Love You Opera Out The Snail and the Whale BEST LIVE-ACTION SHORT FILM: Bittu Da Yie The Human Voice The Letter Room Two Distant Strangers
BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE: All In: The Fight for Democracy Collective Dick Johnson Is Dead My Octopus Teacher Welcome to Chechnya
BEST DOCUMENTARY SHORT SUBJECT: Abortion Helpline, This Is Lisa A Concerto Is a Conversation Hysterical Girl A Love Song for Latasha What Would Sophia Loren Do?
BEST INTERNATIONAL FILM: Another Round Collective Dear Comrades! Quo Vadis, Aida Two of Us
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Post by DeepArcher on Mar 15, 2021 3:23:21 GMT
I now present to you, my first and final predictions of the season. I will be very wrong.
Best Picture Judas and the Black Messiah Mank Ma Rainey's Black Bottom Minari Nomadland One Night in Miami Promising Young Woman Sound of Metal The Trial of the Chicago 7
Best Director Lee Isaac Chung, Minari Emerald Fennell, Promising Young Woman David Fincher, Mank Aaron Sorkin, The Trial of the Chicago 7 Chloe Zhao, Nomadland
Best Actor Riz Ahmed, Sound of Metal Chadwick Boseman, Ma Rainey's Black Bottom Anthony Hopkins, The Father Gary Oldman, Mank Tahar Rahim, The Mauritanian
Best Actress Viola Davis, Ma Rainey's Black Bottom Andra Day, The United States vs. Billie Holiday Vanessa Kirby, Pieces of a Woman Frances McDormand, Nomadland Carey Mulligan, Promising Young Woman
Best Supporting Actor Chadwick Boseman, Da 5 Bloods Sacha Baron Cohen, The Trial of the Chicago 7 Daniel Kaluuya, Judas and the Black Messiah Jared Leto, The Little Things Leslie Odom Jr., One Night in Miami
Best Supporting Actress Maria Bakalova, Borat Subsequent Moviefilm Olivia Colman, The Father Jodie Foster, The Mauritanian Amanda Seyfried, Mank Youn Yuh-jung, Minari
Best Original Screenplay Judas and the Black Messiah Mank Promising Young Woman Sound of Metal The Trial of the Chicago 7
Best Adapted Screenplay Borat Subsequent Moviefilm The Father Ma Rainey's Black Bottom Nomadland One Night in Miami
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Post by Tommen_Saperstein on Mar 15, 2021 4:22:12 GMT
seven hours to go!
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Post by stabcaesar on Mar 15, 2021 8:30:04 GMT
I filled in the predictions on Goldderby for fun.
Best Picture Nomadland The Trial of the Chicago 7 Promising Young Woman Mank Ma Rainey's Black Bottom One Night in Miami The Father (seems extremely well-received by everyone who's seen it. I think it will have enough passion) Judas and the Black Messiah Minari Borat Subsequent Moviefilm (wild card nomination if they have 10 nominees this year)
Alternative pick: Da 5 Bloods
Best Director Chloe Zhao David Fincher Emerald Fennell Lee Isaac Chung Thomas Vintenberg (the avant garde nom of the year in this category)
Alternative pick: Aaron Sorkin
Actress - by far the most easy to predict. I don't see any of them missing. Carey Mulligan Viola Davis Frances McDormand Vanessa Kirby Andra Day
Alternative pick: none
Actor Chadwick Boseman Anthony Hopkins Riz Ahmed Gary Oldman Steven Yeun
Alternative pick: Tahar Rahim
Supporting Actress Maria Bakalova Olivia Colman Yuh-Jung Youn Jodie Foster Glenn Close
Alternative pick: Amanda Seyfried
Supporting Actor Daniel Kaluuya Sacha Baron Cohen Leslie Odom Jr. Chadwick Boseman Paul Raci
Alternative pick: David Strathairn (I was betting on Bo Burnham for a second but since Promising Young Woman bombed at the BAFTAs, Strathairn seems like a more likely wildcard)
Best Original Screenplay The Trial of the Chicago 7 Promising Young Woman Minari Sound of Metal Mank
Alternative pick: Judas and the Black Messiah
Best Adapted Screenplay Nomadland One Night in Miami Ma Rainey's Black Bottom The Father Borat Subsequent Moviefilm
Alternative pick: The Mauritanian
International Feature Denmark Bosnia and Herzegovina France Guatemala Taiwan (very off the radar but it's a big year for Asians and this is the only reasonable Asian candidate of the shortlist, and Ang Lee has been helping the campaign)
Alternative pick: Russia
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flasuss
Badass
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Post by flasuss on Mar 15, 2021 13:43:44 GMT
BEST PICTUREJudas and the Black Messiah Mank Minari News of the WorldNomadland One Night in MiamiPromising Young Woman The Sound of Metal The Trial of the Chicago 7
7/9
BEST DIRECTOR:Emerald Fennell, Promising Young Woman David Fincher: Mank Darius Marder: The Sound of Metal Aaron Sorkin: The Trial of the Chicago 7Chloe Zhao: Nomadland. 3/5
BEST ACTOR IN A LEADING ROLE:Riz Ahmed: Sound of Metal Chadwick Boseman: Ma' Rainey's Anthony Hopkins: The Father Delroy Lindo: Da 5 BloodsSteven Yeun: Minari
4/5
BEST ACTRESS IN A LEADING ROLEViola Davis: Ma Rainey's Black Bottom Andra Day: The United States vs. Billie Holliday Vanessa Kirby: Pieces of a Woman Frances McDormand: Nomadland Carey Mulligan: Promising Young Woman
5/5
BEST ACTOR IN A SUPPORTING ROLESacha Baron Cohen: The Trial of the Chicago 7 Chadwick Boseman- Da 5 BloodsDaniel Kaluuya: Judas and the Black Messiah. Leslie Odom Jr. : One Night in Miami Paul Raci: Sound of Metal. 4/5- But to be fair, no one in the world saw that Stanfield nomination coming.
BEST ACTRESS IN A SUPPORTING ROLE:Maria Bakalova: Borat Subsequent Moviefilm Olivia Colman: The Father Amanda Seyfried: Mank Yuh-Jung Youn: Minari Helena Zengel: News Of The World BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAYJudas & the Black Messiah MankMinari Promising Young Woman The Trial of the Chicago 7
4/5
BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAYBorat Subsequent Moviefilm The Father Ma Rainey's Black BottomNomadland One Night in Miami 4/5
BEST ANIMATED FILM The Croods: A New AgeOnward Shaun the Sheep Movie: Farmageddon Soul Wolfwalkers 4/5
BEST INTERNATIONAL FILMAnother Round Dear Comrades! La LloronaQuo Vadis, Aida?
Two of Us 2/5 Gee, that was bad. Though this branch usually surprises, and often in a bad way.
BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE: All In: The Fight for Democracy Collective Dick Johnson Is Dead Time Welcome to Chechnya
2/5 See above.
I'll freely admit in the big 8, my own biases were mostly responsible for the surprises most of the time- except in the screenplay ones.
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