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Post by HELENA MARIA on Mar 1, 2021 10:54:08 GMT
I mean can she still win the Oscar 🍿
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Post by wilcinema on Mar 1, 2021 11:00:20 GMT
She can, but she has to win SAG.
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Post by franklin on Mar 1, 2021 11:23:18 GMT
Foster's win doesn't mean anything but at the same time, Close doesn't have passion for a win.
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AKenjiB
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Post by AKenjiB on Mar 1, 2021 11:24:42 GMT
It’s certainly not impossible. Foster wasn’t nominated at SAG so whoever ends up winning at SAG should definitely be considered a serious contender.
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Post by pupdurcs on Mar 1, 2021 11:41:09 GMT
Yes...supporting actress is probably the most open acting race. If they just want to make sure Close has an Oscar, she might be an easy default. But the scorn and criticism her movie recieved obviously hurts her chances a lot. Voters might not be able to overlook that, even in a race with no obvious favorite that anyone is passionate about.
I mean, they gave Meryl Streep a third Oscar for The Iron Lady, which a lot of critics shitted on (though nowhere as much as Hillbilly Elegy to be fair). But as Glenn Close herself has been painfully reminded on several occassions when it comes to AMPAS, she ain't Meryl Streep.
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flasuss
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Post by flasuss on Mar 1, 2021 12:39:58 GMT
Yes, but at this point, pre-BAFTA, I'm betting she won't even be nominated
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Post by stephen on Mar 1, 2021 12:43:17 GMT
She needs SAG. Otherwise, I just can't really see the path for her. That performance is not BAFTA's cup of tea at all, and if she doesn't have any precursors, there's really no reason to back her even with her narrative.
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Post by TerryMontana on Mar 1, 2021 13:41:10 GMT
She can.
She won't.
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Post by stabcaesar on Mar 1, 2021 13:47:03 GMT
I think she’s done. Her trajectory reminds me of Amy Adams in 2019 except Vice had much, much better reviews and got a ton of Oscar nominations. Hillbilly Elegy on the other hand has Razzie nominations.
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morton
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Post by morton on Mar 1, 2021 14:04:27 GMT
Yes, but at this point, pre-BAFTA, I'm betting she won't even be nominated I have whiplash by her whole awards path this year, I can only imagine how bad it is for her to go through again after getting so close last time and losing. First I thought she was going to win because it looked to be a weak year, she had the role, but just needed the reviews to not be outright terrible. Unfortunately that didn’t happen, so I thought it wasn’t her year again, but then she gets in for the Globes and SAG while her competition misses key spots. So then it feels like her time again. Then she loses last night when she really should have won since the Globes usually set the pace for at least the acting winners. (Generally their Best Drama awards do as well, but they haven’t been as accurate lately as their acting winners.) She could comeback, but I don’t see it happening now. She just won SAG, so I don’t know if they will feel the need to award her again so soon especially as she seems less likely to win the Oscar at this point in the race than she did last time. They don’t mind repeat winners, but they seemed to love Minari, so I think Youn has a better chance there right now. So I agree that I think it’s likelier that she’s not even nominated now. Foster has a comeback narrative, the Globe, likely BAFTA nomination, and better reviewed film so I think she’s a very real possibility now. Colman seems the safest for the nomination although probably the least likely to win unless she wins BAFTA. The Academy does have a bias against Asian actors, but I think Youn is in. Then, Close, Bakalova, Seyfried, even Burstyn, and even Fishback since I think she could coattail are all fighting for the last two spots. It could be Close, but since I think it’s unlikely that she’s winning this year, I don’t see any reason why they would nominate her when there’s other choices whose films got much better reviews. Hell at this point I wouldn’t be surprised if Swankie pulls a de Tavira and surprises everyone than Close being nominated. ETA: I forgot Zengel too. |
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Post by dadsburgers on Mar 1, 2021 16:29:09 GMT
Yes, but at this point, pre-BAFTA, I'm betting she won't even be nominated I have whiplash by her whole awards path this year, I can only imagine how bad it is for her to go through again after getting so close last time and losing. First I thought she was going to win because it looked to be a weak year, she had the role, but just needed the reviews to not be outright terrible. Unfortunately that didn’t happen, so I thought it wasn’t her year again, but then she gets in for the Globes and SAG while her competition misses key spots. So then it feels like her time again. Then she loses last night when she really should have won since the Globes usually set the pace for at least the acting winners. (Generally their Best Drama awards do as well, but they haven’t been as accurate lately as their acting winners.) She could comeback, but I don’t see it happening now. She just won SAG, so I don’t know if they will feel the need to award her again so soon especially as she seems less likely to win the Oscar at this point in the race than she did last time. They don’t mind repeat winners, but they seemed to love Minari, so I think Youn has a better chance there right now. So I agree that I think it’s likelier that she’s not even nominated now. Foster has a comeback narrative, the Globe, likely BAFTA nomination, and better reviewed film so I think she’s a very real possibility now. Colman seems the safest for the nomination although probably the least likely to win unless she wins BAFTA. The Academy does have a bias against Asian actors, but I think Youn is in. Then, Close, Bakalova, Seyfried, even Burstyn, and even Fishback since I think she could coattail are all fighting for the last two spots. It could be Close, but since I think it’s unlikely that she’s winning this year, I don’t see any reason why they would nominate her when there’s other choices whose films got much better reviews. Hell at this point I wouldn’t be surprised if Swankie pulls a de Tavira and surprises everyone than Close being nominated. ETA: I forgot Zengel too. I honestly wouldn't count Swankie out, and I would absolutely love that (well, depending on who gets the snub I suppose) |
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filmnoir
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Post by filmnoir on Mar 1, 2021 16:37:31 GMT
Bakolova, Seyfried, Zengle needed the Globe win more. At least Close was a recent winner.
Bakolova should have been a slam dunk in a category with little competition. She could suffered J-Lo's fate with Oscar.
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flasuss
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Post by flasuss on Mar 1, 2021 19:05:02 GMT
Borat is a much bigger film than Hustlers, though.
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filmnoir
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Post by filmnoir on Mar 1, 2021 19:23:42 GMT
Borat is a much bigger film than Hustlers, though. And after all the hype, Bakolova still couldn't pull off a Globe win. It should have been a slam dunk.
I don't think it will be Close who will lose out on the Oscar nod. Bakolova, Seyfried, Zengel needed the Globe win more.
I also don't think they are going give Jodie Foster a 3rd Oscar.
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sirchuck23
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Post by sirchuck23 on Mar 1, 2021 20:08:35 GMT
Of course, she can...its a wide open race in Supporting Actress and she's a Bad Terminator.
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Post by sirjeremy on Mar 5, 2021 10:43:00 GMT
I think her overdue narrative, though not loud right now but will probably ramp up very soon, will give her the edge on the others, whose performances don't seem to have much support/passion. Well, maybe Youn's does but she's largely unknown, of course. It's quite different to 2011 and 2018 and who she lost to then. Having now seen her film, personally I don't want her to win for a film which doesn't showcase her immense talents.
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Post by quetee on Mar 6, 2021 22:04:11 GMT
Doubtful. It's usually loud and clear when someone who has been snubbed forever finally wins. If Glenn somehow pulls off a win I'm going to file that under pity points. Look at Leo and Brad, you could not escape the win chatter.
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