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Post by alexanderblanchett on Feb 5, 2021 13:20:57 GMT
BEST PICTURE
The Father Da 5 Bloods Ma Rainey's Black Bottom Mank Minari News of the World. Least Likely Nomadland. Most likely One Night in Miami Promising Young Woman The Trial of the Chicago 7
BEST DIRECTOR:
Lee Isaac Chung: Minari. Least Likely David Fincher: Mank Spike Lee: Da 5 Bloods Aaron Sorkin: The Trial of the Chicago 7 Chloe Zhao: Nomadland. Most Likely
BEST ACTOR IN A LEADING ROLE:
Riz Ahmed: Sound of Metal Chadwick Boseman: Ma' Rainey's Black Bottom. Most Likely Anthony Hopkins: The Father Delroy Lindo: Da 5 Bloods. Least Likely Steven Yeun: Minari
BEST ACTRESS IN A LEADING ROLE
Viola Davis: Ma Rainey's Black Bottom Andra Day: The United States vs. Billie Holliday Least Likely Vanessa Kirby: Pieces of a Woman Frances McDormand: Nomadland Carey Mulligan: Promising Young Woman Most Likely
BEST ACTOR IN A SUPPORTING ROLE
Sacha Baron Cohen: The Trial of the Chicago 7 Daniel Kaluuya: Judas and the Black Messiah Most Likely Jared Leto: The Little Things Leslie Odom Jr. : One Night in Miami Paul Raci: Sound of Metal. Least Likely
BEST ACTRESS IN A SUPPORTING ROLE:
Maria Bakalova: Borat Subsequent Movie Glenn Close: Hillbilly Elegy Olivia Colman: The Father Most Likely Amanda Seyfried: Mank Least Likely Yuh-Jung Youn: Minari
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Post by pupdurcs on Feb 5, 2021 13:47:37 GMT
BEST PICTURE The Father Da 5 Bloods Ma Rainey's Black Bottom Mank Minari News of the World. Least LikelyNomadland. Most likelyOne Night in Miami Promising Young Woman The Trial of the Chicago 7 BEST DIRECTOR: Lee Isaac Chung: Minari. Least LikelyDavid Fincher: Mank Spike Lee: Da 5 Bloods Aaron Sorkin: The Trial of the Chicago 7 Chloe Zhao: Nomadland. Most LikelyBEST ACTOR IN A LEADING ROLE: Riz Ahmed: Sound of Metal Chadwick Boseman: Ma' Rainey's Black Bottom. Most LikelyAnthony Hopkins: The Father Delroy Lindo: Da 5 Bloods. Least LikelySteven Yeun: Minari BEST ACTRESS IN A LEADING ROLE Viola Davis: Ma Rainey's Black Bottom Andra Day: The United States vs. Billie Holliday Least LikelyVanessa Kirby: Pieces of a Woman Frances McDormand: Nomadland Carey Mulligan: Promising Young Woman Most LikelyBEST ACTOR IN A SUPPORTING ROLE Sacha Baron Cohen: The Trial of the Chicago 7 Daniel Kaluuya: Judas and the Black Messiah Most LikelyJared Leto: The Little Things Leslie Odom Jr. : One Night in Miami Paul Raci: Sound of Metal. Least LikelyBEST ACTRESS IN A SUPPORTING ROLE: Maria Bakalova: Borat Subsequent Movie Glenn Close: Hillbilly Elegy Olivia Colman: The Father Most LikelyAmanda Seyfried: Mank Least LikelyYuh-Jung Youn: Minari These are pretty good, but it's pretty brave at this stage to bet against Boseman getting double nods.
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Post by mhynson27 on Feb 5, 2021 14:17:43 GMT
Fennell and Oldman also feel pretty safe too.
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Post by alexanderblanchett on Feb 5, 2021 15:02:23 GMT
BEST PICTURE The Father Da 5 Bloods Ma Rainey's Black Bottom Mank Minari News of the World. Least LikelyNomadland. Most likelyOne Night in Miami Promising Young Woman The Trial of the Chicago 7 BEST DIRECTOR: Lee Isaac Chung: Minari. Least LikelyDavid Fincher: Mank Spike Lee: Da 5 Bloods Aaron Sorkin: The Trial of the Chicago 7 Chloe Zhao: Nomadland. Most LikelyBEST ACTOR IN A LEADING ROLE: Riz Ahmed: Sound of Metal Chadwick Boseman: Ma' Rainey's Black Bottom. Most LikelyAnthony Hopkins: The Father Delroy Lindo: Da 5 Bloods. Least LikelySteven Yeun: Minari BEST ACTRESS IN A LEADING ROLE Viola Davis: Ma Rainey's Black Bottom Andra Day: The United States vs. Billie Holliday Least LikelyVanessa Kirby: Pieces of a Woman Frances McDormand: Nomadland Carey Mulligan: Promising Young Woman Most LikelyBEST ACTOR IN A SUPPORTING ROLE Sacha Baron Cohen: The Trial of the Chicago 7 Daniel Kaluuya: Judas and the Black Messiah Most LikelyJared Leto: The Little Things Leslie Odom Jr. : One Night in Miami Paul Raci: Sound of Metal. Least LikelyBEST ACTRESS IN A SUPPORTING ROLE: Maria Bakalova: Borat Subsequent Movie Glenn Close: Hillbilly Elegy Olivia Colman: The Father Most LikelyAmanda Seyfried: Mank Least LikelyYuh-Jung Youn: Minari These are pretty good, but it's pretty brave at this stage to bet against Boseman getting double nods. I dont see the double nom at all to be honest. But I do think Boesman will win in Leading Actor.
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Post by alexanderblanchett on Feb 5, 2021 15:03:33 GMT
Fennell and Oldman also feel pretty safe too. Depends on how they really love Mank I could see Oldman missing and being the annual nominee for all major awards but missing out the Oscar nom candidate. I have Fennen as an alternative on 6th.
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Post by mhynson27 on Feb 11, 2021 1:12:30 GMT
Picture Da 5 Bloods The Father Mank Ma Rainey's Black Bottom Minari Nomadland One Night in Miami Promising Young Woman Sound of Metal The Trial of the Chicago 7
Director Aaron Sorkin- The Trial of the Chicago 7 Chloé Zhao- Nomadland David Fincher- Mank Emerald Fennell- Promising Young Woman Lee Isaac Chung- Minari
Lead Actor Anthony Hopkins- The Father Chadwick Boseman- Ma Rainey's Black Bottom Gary Oldman- Mank Riz Ahmed- Sound of Metal Steven Yeun- Minari
Lead Actress Andra Day- The United States vs. Billie Holiday Carey Mulligan- Promising Young Woman Frances McDormand- Nomadland Vanessa Kirby- Pieces of a Woman Viola Davis- Ma Rainey's Black Bottom
Supporting Actor Chadwick Boseman- Da 5 Bloods Daniel Kaluuya- Judas and the Black Messiah Leslie Odom Jr.- One Night in Miami Paul Raci- Sound of Metal Sacha Baron Cohen- The Trial of the Chicago 7
Supporting Actress Amanda Seyfried- Mank Glenn Close- Hillbilly Elegy Maria Bakalova- Borat Subsequent Moviefilm Olivia Colman- The Father Youn Yuh-jung- Minari
Best Original Screenplay Mank Minari Promising Young Woman Soul The Trial of the Chicago 7
Best Adapted Screenplay The Father Ma Rainey's Black Bottom News of the World Nomadland One Night in Miami
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Post by Tommen_Saperstein on Feb 11, 2021 2:27:16 GMT
*most confident*least confidentbest pictureda 5 bloodsthe father mank ma rainey's black bottom minari news of the world nomadlandone night in miami promising young woman the trial of the chicago 7 best directoremerald fennell david fincher aaron sorkin florian zellerchloe zhaobest actressviola davis andra dayvanessa kirby frances mcdormand carey mulliganbest actorriz ahmed chadwick bosemananthony hopkins delroy lindo gary oldmanbest supporting actressmaria bakalova glenn close olivia colman manda seyfriedhelena zengelbest supporting actorchadwick bosemansacha baron cohendaniel kaluuya leslie odom jr. paul raci best adapted screenplaythe father i'm thinking of ending thingsone night in miami ma rainey's black bottom nomadlandoriginal screenplaymank minari promising young woman sound of metalthe trial of the chicago 7(techs / misc) best cinematography mank minari news of the world nomadland tenet
best editing the father mank nomadland tenet trial of the chicago 7
best production design emma mank ma rainey's black bottom mulan tenet
best costume design emma mank ma rainey's black bottom mulan the united states vs. billie holiday
best makeup & hairstyling birds of prey hillbilly elegy mank ma rainey's black bottom pinocchio
best original score mank the midnight sky news of the world soul tenet
best original song "fight for you" - judas and the black messiah "hear my voice" - trial of the chicago 7 "húsavík" - eurovision song contest: the story of fire saga "io sì (seen)" - the life ahead "speak now" - one night in miami
best sound mank the midnight sky soul sound of metal tenet
best visual effects birds of prey mank the midnight sky mulan tenet
best animated feature onward over the moon soul the willoughbys wolfwalkers
best documentary boys state collective crip camp dick johnson is dead time
best international film another round collective la llorona quo vadis, aida? two of us
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Post by mhynson27 on Feb 11, 2021 2:36:22 GMT
*most confident*least confidentbest pictureda 5 bloodsthe father mank ma rainey's black bottom minari news of the world nomadlandone night in miami promising young woman the trial of the chicago 7 best directoremerald fennell david fincher aaron sorkin florian zellerchloe zhaobest actressviola davis andra dayvanessa kirby frances mcdormand carey mulliganbest actorriz ahmed chadwick bosemananthony hopkins delroy lindo gary oldmanbest supporting actressmaria bakalova glenn close olivia colman manda seyfriedhelena zengelbest supporting actorchadwick bosemansacha baron cohendaniel kaluuya leslie odom jr. paul raci best adapted screenplaythe father i'm thinking of ending thingsone night in miami ma rainey's black bottom nomadlandoriginal screenplaymank minari promising young woman sound of metalthe trial of the chicago 7(techs / misc) best cinematography mank minari news of the world nomadland tenet
best editing the father mank nomadland tenet trial of the chicago 7
best production design emma mank ma rainey's black bottom mulan tenet
best costume design emma mank ma rainey's black bottom mulan the united states vs. billie holiday
best makeup & hairstyling birds of prey hillbilly elegy mank ma rainey's black bottom pinocchio
best original score mank the midnight sky news of the world soul tenet
best original song "fight for you" - judas and the black messiah "hear my voice" - trial of the chicago 7 "húsavík" - eurovision song contest: the story of fire saga "io sì (seen)" - the life ahead "speak now" - one night in miami
best sound mank the midnight sky soul sound of metal tenet
best visual effects birds of prey mank the midnight sky mulan tenet
best animated feature onward over the moon soul the willoughbys wolfwalkers
best documentary boys state collective crip camp dick johnson is dead time
best international film another round collective la llorona quo vadis, aida? two of us
Looks pretty good, but I'm not sure how Lindo can be in 4th at this point.
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Post by Tommen_Saperstein on Feb 11, 2021 3:52:45 GMT
Looks pretty good, but I'm not sure how Lindo can be in 4th at this point. I hear that but despite the Globe/SAG snubs I can't see how he doesn't get in whether he's 4th or 5th. I'm underpredicting Da 5 Bloods for screenplay and directing but we're at a point where it'll be a snub if it misses BP, and Lindo's perf was by far the most striking aspect of the film. In a different year I'd say he looks weak but honestly, looking over the possible contenders, the only one who stands to unseat him is Yeun and I don't think that's gonna happen. Hanks isn't gonna do it, Ben-Adir isn't gonna do it. Maybe Mikkelsen has an outside chance...
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Post by dadsburgers on Feb 11, 2021 4:06:10 GMT
Looks pretty good, but I'm not sure how Lindo can be in 4th at this point. I hear that but despite the Globe/SAG snubs I can't see how he doesn't get in whether he's 4th or 5th. I'm underpredicting Da 5 Bloods for screenplay and directing but we're at a point where it'll be a snub if it misses BP, and Lindo's perf was by far the most striking aspect of the film. In a different year I'd say he looks weak but honestly, looking over the possible contenders, the only one who stands to unseat him is Yeun and I don't think that's gonna happen. Hanks isn't gonna do it, Ben-Adir isn't gonna do it. Maybe Mikkelsen has an outside chance... I do think Yeun is a very real threat, and I wouldn't call Oldman a lock, but at this point the voters have seen Lindo getting snubbed and should be (better be) prioritizing him so it doesn't happen again.
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Post by mhynson27 on Feb 11, 2021 4:10:13 GMT
Looks pretty good, but I'm not sure how Lindo can be in 4th at this point. I hear that but despite the Globe/SAG snubs I can't see how he doesn't get in whether he's 4th or 5th. I'm underpredicting Da 5 Bloods for screenplay and directing but we're at a point where it'll be a snub if it misses BP, and Lindo's perf was by far the most striking aspect of the film. In a different year I'd say he looks weak but honestly, looking over the possible contenders, the only one who stands to unseat him is Yeun and I don't think that's gonna happen. Hanks isn't gonna do it, Ben-Adir isn't gonna do it. Maybe Mikkelsen has an outside chance... I'm not sure Da 5 Bloods missing BP would be considered a snub, it's getting weaker and weaker by the day. Yes it may be a 'striking performance', but key awards bodies have already shown that they are more than willing to overlook him. Yeun is in a much stronger film than Lindo is, and has already shown he has industry support by getting that very important SAG nom. The critics came to bat for Lindo, but it looks like that won't be enough.
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Post by mhynson27 on Feb 11, 2021 4:10:36 GMT
I hear that but despite the Globe/SAG snubs I can't see how he doesn't get in whether he's 4th or 5th. I'm underpredicting Da 5 Bloods for screenplay and directing but we're at a point where it'll be a snub if it misses BP, and Lindo's perf was by far the most striking aspect of the film. In a different year I'd say he looks weak but honestly, looking over the possible contenders, the only one who stands to unseat him is Yeun and I don't think that's gonna happen. Hanks isn't gonna do it, Ben-Adir isn't gonna do it. Maybe Mikkelsen has an outside chance... I do think Yeun is a very real threat, and I wouldn't call Oldman a lock, but at this point the voters have seen Lindo getting snubbed and should be (better be) prioritizing him so it doesn't happen again. Yeah, that's not how things work.
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Post by dadsburgers on Feb 11, 2021 16:21:39 GMT
I do think Yeun is a very real threat, and I wouldn't call Oldman a lock, but at this point the voters have seen Lindo getting snubbed and should be (better be) prioritizing him so it doesn't happen again. Yeah, that's not how things work. Worked pretty well for Ben Affleck when he won BP just for throwing a fit over not getting nominated for BD. You never know.
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Post by mhynson27 on Feb 12, 2021 0:18:41 GMT
Yeah, that's not how things work. Worked pretty well for Ben Affleck when he won BP just for throwing a fit over not getting nominated for BD. You never know. Argo would have won BP regardless.
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Post by JangoB on Feb 13, 2021 13:07:13 GMT
In order of likelihood:
BEST PICTURE 1. Nomadland 2. The Trial of the Chicago 7 3. Mank 4. Promising Young Woman 5. The Father 6. Minari 7. One Night in Miami 8. Ma Rainey's Black Bottom 9. News of the World 10. Da 5 Bloods
BEST DIRECTOR 1. Chloe Zhao, Nomadland 2. David Fincher, Mank 3. Aaron Sorkin, The Trial of the Chicago 7 4. Emerald Fennell, Promising Young Woman 5. Florian Zeller, The Father
BEST ACTOR 1. Chadwick Boseman, Ma Rainey's Black Bottom 2. Anthony Hopkins, The Father 3. Gary Oldman, Mank 4. Riz Ahmed, Sound of Metal 5. Steven Yeun, Minari
BEST ACTRESS 1. Carey Mulligan, Promising Young Woman 2. Viola Davis, Ma Rainey's Black Bottom 3. Frances McDormand, Nomadland 4. Vanessa Kirby, Pieces of a Woman 5. Amy Adams, Hillbilly Elegy
BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR 1. Sacha Baron Cohen, The Trial of the Chicago 7 2. Daniel Kaluuya, Judas and the Black Messiah 3. Leslie Odom Jr., One Night in Miami 4. Chadwick Boseman, Da 5 Bloods 5. Paul Raci, Sound of Metal
BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS 1. Olivia Colman, The Father 2. Glenn Close, Hillbilly Elegy 3. Amanda Seyfried, Mank 4. Youn Yuh-jung, Minari 5. Maria Bakalova, Borat Subsequent Moviefilm
BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY 1. The Trial of the Chicago 7 2. Promising Young Woman 3. Mank 4. Minari 5. Soul
BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY 1. Nomadland 2. The Father 3. One Night in Miami 4. Ma Rainey's Black Bottom 5. News of the World
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Post by michael128 on Feb 13, 2021 19:42:41 GMT
Worked pretty well for Ben Affleck when he won BP just for throwing a fit over not getting nominated for BD. You never know. Argo would have won BP regardless. Hard disagree
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Post by Tommen_Saperstein on Feb 13, 2021 19:51:34 GMT
after these reviews I'm thinking Judas and the Black Messiah will be a bigger player than we thought.
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