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Post by therealcomicman117 on Feb 7, 2021 19:59:56 GMT
Best Actor seems pretty much over. Chadwick Boseman just won Actor Of The Year at the London Film Critics Circle, so that bodes well for him at BAFTA. Riz Ahmed wins British/Irish Actor Of The Year, so I'm guessing he will be the default British pick at BAFTA, if they don't give it to Boseman. Amazingly Boseman feels like as big of a lock for best actor as we've gotten in years. I can't even seen anyone currently upsetting him in that race, it's rather spectacular and tragic. |
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Post by pupdurcs on Feb 7, 2021 20:09:47 GMT
Best Actor seems pretty much over. Chadwick Boseman just won Actor Of The Year at the London Film Critics Circle, so that bodes well for him at BAFTA. Riz Ahmed wins British/Irish Actor Of The Year, so I'm guessing he will be the default British pick at BAFTA, if they don't give it to Boseman. Amazingly Boseman feels like as big of a lock for best actor as we've gotten in years. I can't even seen anyone currently upsetting him in that race, it's rather spectacular and tragic. Absolutely tragic. The guy was just coming into his prime as an actor, and it's clear the work he was doing would put him squarely in discussions for being the Best Actor Of his generation. But on the positive side, his incoming Best Actor Oscar + Likely double nods + his iconic stature as Black Panther in multiple Marvel films (not to mention Jackie Robinson, Thurgood Marshall and James Brown) will probably give him the most iconic posthumous legacy for an actor that died relatively young since James Dean (and I include Heath Ledger in that. Boseman is starting to feel bigger than Ledger, imho). |
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Post by therealcomicman117 on Feb 7, 2021 20:34:51 GMT
Amazingly Boseman feels like as big of a lock for best actor as we've gotten in years. I can't even seen anyone currently upsetting him in that race, it's rather spectacular and tragic. Absolutely tragic. The guy was just coming into his prime as an actor, and it's clear the work he was doing would put him squarely in discussions for being the Best Actor Of his generation. But on the positive side, his incoming Best Actor Oscar + Likely double nods + his iconic stature as Black Panther in multiple Marvel films (not to mention Jackie Robinson, Thurgood Marshall and James Brown) will probably give him the most iconic posthumous legacy for an actor that died relatively young since James Dean (and I include Heath Ledger in that. Boseman is starting to feel bigger than Ledger, imho). It feels like he's going to be remembered for a long time. Black Panther not just as a movie, but also as a cultural footprint, impacted a lot of people, more then you actually might imagine. It more or less cemented his "legacy" status. |
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flasuss
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Post by flasuss on Feb 7, 2021 20:49:46 GMT
Best Actor seems pretty much over. Chadwick Boseman just won Actor Of The Year at the London Film Critics Circle, so that bodes well for him at BAFTA. Like when Joaquin Phoenix won the LFCC for The Master over DDL for Lincoln?
Also Frances McDormand won over Carey Mulligan, I'm guessing the latter chances are over?
There's a lot of water to go under the bridge, particularly in such a crazy year, so treat anyone as a done deal for a win at this stage is non-sense, is just using one's confirmation bias to see whatever they want to see.
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Post by pupdurcs on Feb 7, 2021 21:05:18 GMT
Best Actor seems pretty much over. Chadwick Boseman just won Actor Of The Year at the London Film Critics Circle, so that bodes well for him at BAFTA. Like when Joaquin Phoenix won the LFCC for The Master over DDL for Lincoln?
Also Frances McDormand won over Carey Mulligan, I'm guessing the latter chances are over?
There's a lot of water to go under the bridge, particularly in such a crazy year, so treat anyone as a done deal for a win at this stage is non-sense, is just using one's confirmation bias to see whatever they want to see.
only likely stumbling block was if the Brits would go for him in Ma Rainey's Black Bottom, as they sometimes won't be as enthused by African-American narratives as Americans can be. Boseman winning the London Film Critics Circle effectively removes doubt that he can win at BAFTA, which pretty much kills the race, imho. This is not Phoenix (who wasn't even nominated at SAG) over DDL at LFCC , or McDormand winning. Boseman is a huge favorite in Best Actor stateside, with a huge narrative that none of his fellow actors can compete with. George Clooney, who has zero stake in Boseman winning, but understands the Hollywood landscape as well as anyone alive, is saying on Awards season roundtables that Boseman will win Best Actor. Who is saying that about McDormand in her category? This is not confirmation bias. It's a realistic reading of the situation as it currently stands. Sure, anything is possible, but Boseman going on to lose Best Actor from here would be a gigantic fucking upset. |
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Post by iheartamyadams on Feb 8, 2021 3:51:16 GMT
Best Actor seems pretty much over. Chadwick Boseman just won Actor Of The Year at the London Film Critics Circle, so that bodes well for him at BAFTA. Riz Ahmed wins British/Irish Actor Of The Year, so I'm guessing he will be the default British pick at BAFTA, if they don't give it to Boseman. I wouldn’t go that far. This is a great win, but it’s still a critic group as opposed to an industry precursor like BAFTA. Worth mentioning that Ma Rainey and The Father managed the same amount of nominations here which will definitely not be the case with BAFTA. The Father also did better at the Globes, I wouldn’t be shocked if they go for Hopkins there. BAFTA always goes another way if the black contender hasn’t swept and I don’t think this will be any different. Assuming Boseman wins GG/SAG, he’ll be fine. If Hopkins gets the Globe and Boseman SAG, I would be shocked if Hopkins didn’t win BAFTA. |
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Post by pupdurcs on Feb 8, 2021 5:14:55 GMT
LFCC functions differently to American Critics groups, in that it is essentially an industry thing as well, as most British critics are also BAFTA voters and members. So there is usually more crossover with this group and BAFTA than there might be with equivalent American Critics groups and industry events. The winners might not be the same, but expect most of them to at least show up at BAFTA.
I didn't even realise Hopkins was still a thing. I now have Ahmed as the likely runner-up (and a distant one at that). There has been zero passion for Hopkins up to now, and he can't even win British Actor Of The Year at LFCC over Ahmed. Him coming out of leftfield to win over Boseman now would just feel bizarre.
The Globes already look pretty stupid and racist with their Best Picture line-up and snubbing of Michaela Cole and I May Destroy You. They have a PR problem .I feel like they will be more hyper aware of the optics of not giving Best Actor to Boseman, the overwhelming frontrunner, over Hopkins who doesn't even have as much buzz as Ahmed currently. We'll see though, but I'm not seeing Hopkins as the threat. It's Ahmed, and I don't think he'll win the Oscar.
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Post by iheartamyadams on Feb 8, 2021 5:55:35 GMT
I didn't even realise Hopkins was still a thing. I now have Ahmed as the likely runner-up (and a distant one at that). There has been zero passion for Hopkins up to now, and he can't even win British Actor Of The Year at LFCC over Ahmed. Him coming out of leftfield to win over Boseman now would just feel bizarre. The Globes already look pretty stupid and racist with their Best Picture line-up and snubbing of Michaela Cole and I May Destroy You. They have PR problem .I feel like they will be more hyper aware of the optics of not giving Best Actor to Boseman, the overwhelming frontrunner, over Hopkins who doesn't even have as much buzz as Ahmed currently. We'll see though, but I'm not seeing Hopkins as the threat. It's Ahmed, and I don't think he'll win the Oscar. Ahmed is a lone nom at the Globes and SAG when Raci was expected to show up at the very least. He won’t be competitive for the Oscar. If Boseman doesn’t win the Globes, it will surely be Hopkins, who has never won a competitive Globe and is in a film that had four nominations. |
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Post by pupdurcs on Feb 8, 2021 6:04:22 GMT
I didn't even realise Hopkins was still a thing. I now have Ahmed as the likely runner-up (and a distant one at that). There has been zero passion for Hopkins up to now, and he can't even win British Actor Of The Year at LFCC over Ahmed. Him coming out of leftfield to win over Boseman now would just feel bizarre. The Globes already look pretty stupid and racist with their Best Picture line-up and snubbing of Michaela Cole and I May Destroy You. They have PR problem .I feel like they will be more hyper aware of the optics of not giving Best Actor to Boseman, the overwhelming frontrunner, over Hopkins who doesn't even have as much buzz as Ahmed currently. We'll see though, but I'm not seeing Hopkins as the threat. It's Ahmed, and I don't think he'll win the Oscar. Ahmed is a lone nom at the Globes and SAG when Raci was expected to show up at the very least. He won’t be competitive for the Oscar. If Boseman doesn’t win the Globes, it will surely be Hopkins, who has never won a competitive Globe and is in a film that had four nominations. As I added to my earlier post, LFCC is more of an industry thing than equivalent American Critics groups, because most British critics are BAFTA voters and members. So there is a lot more industry crossover, at least in the UK. Hopkins not being able to at least win British Actor over Ahmed, is a huge sign of weakness in his own country. And BAFTA was always Hopkins major play. If BAFTA doesn't go to Boseman, I believe they will default to Ahmed. Ahmed and Hopkins both have huge drawbacks. Neither is beating Boseman for the Oscar, no matter whom you want to put in front of the other. |
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