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Post by stephen on Apr 23, 2021 13:12:51 GMT
Hopkins pulling a Colman? Even if Hopkins wins the Oscar, it's not "pulling a Colman." Colman won at every precursor except the SAG. True, some of them were comedy categories, but she still won awards and gained traction. It's just that some people deluded themselves into thinking SAG + a perceived overdue narrative automatically put Close in the pole position when she was always going to have trouble as the lone nominee against the lead of one of the two films that couped the most nominations. Colman was always a massive threat to people who hadn't gotten caught up in the "It's Glenn's time" hype. |
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Post by stabcaesar on Apr 23, 2021 15:18:20 GMT
Hopkins pulling a Colman? Even if Hopkins wins the Oscar, it's not "pulling a Colman." Colman won at every precursor except the SAG. True, some of them were comedy categories, but she still won awards and gained traction. It's just that some people deluded themselves into thinking SAG + a perceived overdue narrative automatically put Close in the pole position when she was always going to have trouble as the lone nominee against the lead of one of the two films that couped the most nominations. Colman was always a massive threat to people who hadn't gotten caught up in the "It's Glenn's time" hype. The closest Hopkins can be compared to is Cotillard, who did win a Golden Globe but everyone and their mother thought she didn't have a shot in hell. |
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Post by stephen on Apr 23, 2021 15:34:53 GMT
Even if Hopkins wins the Oscar, it's not "pulling a Colman." Colman won at every precursor except the SAG. True, some of them were comedy categories, but she still won awards and gained traction. It's just that some people deluded themselves into thinking SAG + a perceived overdue narrative automatically put Close in the pole position when she was always going to have trouble as the lone nominee against the lead of one of the two films that couped the most nominations. Colman was always a massive threat to people who hadn't gotten caught up in the "It's Glenn's time" hype. The closest Hopkins can be compared to is Cotillard, who did win a Golden Globe but everyone and their mother thought she didn't have a shot in hell. I was predicting Cotillard that year.  Hopkins's situation is kind of closer to Mark Rylance, in that there was a sentimental narrative forming around one candidate (Stallone), but even then, that year had a fractured race with the SAG going to Idris Elba. But BAFTA was the one that told the tale that year, and Rylance had extraordinary respect in a Best Picture nominee. Boseman's goodwill and narrative is stronger than Stallone's was, but it feels like the ISA and BAFTAs really should've been lay-ups for him; the ISAs may be voted on by "Film Twitter" but Boseman is still highly respected and even though Hopkins had the home court advantage, Boseman's narrative seemed like it would carry him through the year, at least with the industry awards. I really didn't think BAFTA would avoid that, even if they adored Hopkins. There is vulnerability in the race this year, and I think a late-minute surge for Hopkins very well could tip it in his favor. I'm not predicting it, but after BAFTA, I would not be shocked. |
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hilderic
Junior Member
Posts: 341
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Post by hilderic on Apr 23, 2021 18:10:15 GMT
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