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Post by sterlingarcher86 on Jan 1, 2021 18:28:38 GMT
Having seen it last night and think it fits nicely in the Ford V Ferrari older white voter bloc. Probably sneaks in at about the 8 or 9 spot.
Cinemagraphy was quite good and different from the work you usually see in a Greengrass movie and I think it’s pretty safely in the top four in that category right now.
It’s a bit methodical so I’m not sure about editing but maybe.
Pretty decent shot at art direction, score and costumes too.
Supporting actress would be nice but I doubt it.
Adapted screenplay depends on the success of some of the more art house contenders. (Particularity First Cow)
Not impossible but I’m not seeing director. If he didn’t for Captain Phillips I don’t know about this year. Kind of a weak year this year though for academy friendly director candidates with so many stagey and low key contenders but still thinking he misses.
Thoughts?
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Post by Tommen_Saperstein on Jan 1, 2021 18:51:59 GMT
haven't seen it yet but after reading the book I can't see it being a major contender. Your analysis feels right to me.
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Post by DanQuixote on Jan 1, 2021 20:01:07 GMT
Best Picture
Best Cinematography
Best Production Design
Best Costume Design
Best Original Score
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Post by stephen on Jan 1, 2021 20:11:21 GMT
Best Picture Best Cinematography Best Production Design Best Costume Design Best Original Score These, with Zengel as a strong possibility if the Academy still feels leery about Bakalova and Youn and they want a "safer" alternative. Hanks is a crazy good-luck charm for his costars. |
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Post by pupdurcs on Jan 1, 2021 20:24:59 GMT
Best Picture Best Cinematography Best Production Design Best Costume Design Best Original Score These, with Zengel as a strong possibility if the Academy still feels leery about Bakalova and Youn and they want a "safer" alternative. Hanks is a crazy good-luck charm for his costars. I don't think Hanks is so much a deliberate good luck charm for co-stars, but he often doesn't maximise the potential of a role ( usually always solid, but people seem to expect more), which gives room for a co-star (usually in support) to gain traction over him. It's a very typical situation with Hanks. He almost always starts out the one everyone is predicting for Oscar glory, then people start finding someone else in his movie the more exciting prospect to get behind. |
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Post by stephen on Jan 1, 2021 20:27:36 GMT
These, with Zengel as a strong possibility if the Academy still feels leery about Bakalova and Youn and they want a "safer" alternative. Hanks is a crazy good-luck charm for his costars. I don't think Hanks is so much a deliberate good luck charm for co-stars, but he often doesn't maximise the potential of a role ( usually always solid, but people seem to expect more), which gives room for a co-star (usually in support) to gain traction over him. It's a very typical situation with Hanks. He almost always starts out the one everyone is predicting for Oscar glory, then people start finding someone else in his movie the more exciting prospect to get behind. Eh, I think that's also the case of Hanks being an insanely generous screen partner. |
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Post by pupdurcs on Jan 1, 2021 20:36:10 GMT
I don't think Hanks is so much a deliberate good luck charm for co-stars, but he often doesn't maximise the potential of a role ( usually always solid, but people seem to expect more), which gives room for a co-star (usually in support) to gain traction over him. It's a very typical situation with Hanks. He almost always starts out the one everyone is predicting for Oscar glory, then people start finding someone else in his movie the more exciting prospect to get behind. Eh, I think that's also the case of Hanks being an insanely generous screen partner. Well, that's certainly the best case version of looking at things. I think my version is closer to reality, but nothing wrong with viewing it that way. I do actualy believe Hanks is a generous screen partner, but that doesn't mean you need to sacrifice your own performance being strong or interesting enough to recognise in the bargin. Ultimately he has a very specific dramatic range he tends plays into the vast majority of the time(paragon of decency and moral values) that people like and find endearing, but don't neccesarily consider interesting enough to repeatedly and continually reward. |
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Post by Pittsnogle_Goggins on Jan 1, 2021 20:48:13 GMT
What you predict seems rights but I could see this possibly over-performing.
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Post by TerryMontana on Jan 1, 2021 20:58:51 GMT
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Post by sterlingarcher86 on Jan 1, 2021 21:23:30 GMT
It’s way too early in the award season to say anybody doesn’t have a chance. I’m just not seeing it atm. After what happened with Captain Phillips I’m going to need to see a LOT before I believe in him getting in lead actor. |
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Post by JangoB on Jan 1, 2021 21:37:27 GMT
Well, I'm currently predicting it for these:
- Best Picture
- Best Cinematography
- Best Production Design
- Best Original Score
- Best Costume Design
- Best Sound
Sounds like way too much but it's a pretty empty year for prestige period pieces to fill in the tech categories so I guess it can get in those by default. In a normal year I wouldn't be predicting it for so many. Nor am I sure in the BP nomination at all.
I think it may absolutely just get in for some techs. My predictions is the best case scenario for it. I'm most confident in its nods for Cinematography (again, by default) and Sound (this seems like a good bet to me).
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Post by franklin on Jan 1, 2021 21:46:36 GMT
The category feels already incredibly packed with Boseman, Lindo, Hopkins, Ahmed, Yeun, and Oldman, without counting Mikkelsen, and the danger of late arrivals like Stanfield and JD Washington.
Hanks ain't happening.
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Post by mhynson27 on Jan 2, 2021 3:41:34 GMT
Yep, Picture and some techs.
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Post by Pittsnogle_Goggins on Jan 2, 2021 3:54:13 GMT
I’m not predicting Greengrass for a Director nom right now but it wouldn’t shock me if he picked up some momentum and made it in.
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Post by TerryMontana on Jan 2, 2021 14:13:54 GMT
I guess Greengrass and BP are safe atm. It's very early but I guess they'll be in.
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Post by mhynson27 on Jan 2, 2021 14:48:19 GMT
I guess Greengrass and BP are safe atm. It's very early but I guess they'll be in. I wouldn't say anyone is safe in director except for Zhao and Fincher. Especially not Greengrass. |
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Post by TerryMontana on Jan 2, 2021 18:32:32 GMT
I guess Greengrass and BP are safe atm. It's very early but I guess they'll be in. I wouldn't say anyone is safe in director except for Zhao and Fincher. Especially not Greengrass. I said "at the moment". Overall, safe is only Zhao imo. But atm I don't see Greengrass missing. |
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