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Post by michael128 on Dec 29, 2020 22:49:59 GMT
I think it’s time we start building her overdue narrative again (think circa 2007-2010). If they can donate a 4th Oscar to Katharine Hepburn for her vomit of a performance in ‘On Golden Pond’, surely they can reward Streep again for one of the performances she’s been churning out in her late 2010s renaissance.
Alternatively, please also just feel free to discuss and predict this event.
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Post by countjohn on Dec 29, 2020 23:18:09 GMT
I'm good without her getting a 4th one unless she gives a late career performance that is up their with her best work and really earns it. Unlikely she gets a 4th one in any case, the Academy seems good with Hepburn holding the record and 3 seems to be the cutoff these days. If DDL couldn't get no. 4 for Phantom Thread not sure who could.
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Post by pupdurcs on Dec 29, 2020 23:47:55 GMT
I'm good without her getting a 4th one unless she gives a late career performance that is up their with her best work and really earns it. Unlikely she gets a 4th one in any case, the Academy seems good with Hepburn holding the record and 3 seems to be the cutoff these days. If DDL couldn't get no. 4 for Phantom Thread not sure who could. Not sure DDL in Phantom Thread is a barometer of whether an actor could potentially win a 4th Oscar. I personally had him 2nd in my line-up (behind Washington for Roman J Israel Esq), but I don't think DDL was even runner-up in the actual race. It was a straight up coronation victory for Gary Oldman in Darkest Hour, but Timothee Chalamet in Call Me By Your Name was the critics favorite who made every precursor. Logically, he was next in line after Oldman. Even the London Film Critics Circle (which logically, you'd expect to go to Oldman or DDL or Daniel Kaaylua in Get Out) chose Chalamet (a little known American actor) for their Best Actor award, over three Brits. Overall, the race was effectively Oldman vs Chalamet. I don't see Phantom Thread as a winning role or performance, especially for an actor that already has 3 Oscars, so I'm not surprised he didn't have any winning momentum that season. Sometimes, you are just going to be a nominee and that's fine. And Vicky Krieps had the film's strongest lead performance, so the biggest awards season robbery from that movie was her lack of a nomination
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Post by pupdurcs on Dec 30, 2020 0:04:58 GMT
As for Streep herself winning a 4th Oscar, let's be honest, if anyone is likely or capable of doing it, it's her. She puts out something strong in a weak year, I can see it happening pretty easily at some point. It may take another 10 years or whatever, but it can happen.
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filmnoir
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Post by filmnoir on Dec 30, 2020 0:06:54 GMT
I'm good without her getting a 4th one unless she gives a late career performance that is up their with her best work and really earns it. Unlikely she gets a 4th one in any case, the Academy seems good with Hepburn holding the record and 3 seems to be the cutoff these days. If DDL couldn't get no. 4 for Phantom Thread not sure who could. I don't think getting a 4th Oscar is unlikely at all. I can see the Academy wanting to reward Steep with all her nominations. DDL with 6 career nods and 3 wins - was never a serious contender for Phantom Thread. He was snubbed even by SAG.
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Post by franklin on Dec 30, 2020 4:08:21 GMT
I don't think she'll ever get it.
I don't think industry folks are dying to give it another one to her especially since the third one for playing Margaret Thatcher aged pretty badly.
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Post by countjohn on Dec 30, 2020 5:47:49 GMT
I don't think she'll ever get it. I don't think industry folks are dying to give it another one to her especially since the third one for playing Margaret Thatcher aged pretty badly. I like that performance a lot more than some people, but it was clearly a make up win and everyone kind of rolled their eyes at the time. Adaptation or Doubt would have been much better third wins for her. That might play into people's perceptions of voting for her going forward to. There are jokes about her being overnodded even in the mainstream outside of Oscar-dom.
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morton
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Post by morton on Dec 30, 2020 7:10:00 GMT
I don't think she'll ever get it. I don't think industry folks are dying to give it another one to her especially since the third one for playing Margaret Thatcher aged pretty badly. I like that performance a lot more than some people, but it was clearly a make up win and everyone kind of rolled their eyes at the time. Adaptation or Doubt would have been much better third wins for her. That might play into people's perceptions of voting for her going forward to. There are jokes about her being overnodded even in the mainstream outside of Oscar-dom. Like 5 years ago, I would have definitely answered yes to this question, but I’m really unsure now. On one hand they do love her a lot, and I’m sure there are many voters that want to see her at least tie Hepburn’s record. On the other hand, she is 71. She looks great, and as far as I know is in good shape, but it’s been almost 10 years since her third win, and I don’t feel like she’s been close at all to getting a fourth win. In fact, I think she might have finished last or second to last for all of her nominations. While she’ll be the person most voters think of when they think of the best actor of all time, I don’t know that’s enough to build up enough momentum for a fourth win if perhaps they feel that all the nominations are enough reward. At least before The Iron Lady, she had Adaptation, The Devil Wears Prada, Doubt, Julie & Julia, and even Mamma Mia as things that helped build up the narrative of her third win. After she won though, she won NBR for The Post, and was finally honored by the Golden Globes, but she hasn’t been nominated since 2017 and likely will miss again this year. So I don’t really feel like there’s as much urgency to award her especially without a Harvey Weinstein type figure who goes all out campaigning for her to win. Ultimately I think a lot of it just depends on how long she continues to act. Not to be morbid, but she could be someone like Betty White and have 20 or more years left, in which case I think there’s a good chance she’ll win at least a fourth. In her favor is the fact that all of the best roles for women of a certain age will always go to her first, but even then that doesn’t always mean much like she had tons of buzz even before they started filming for many of her recent films, and even if she did get nominated for some of them, I feel like most of them didn’t live up to all the early hype at all. Even something like The Post which seemed like it had everything on paper kept missing a lot, and even though it did get nominated for Best Picture, I think it was probably last like Streep was in her category.
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Post by bob-coppola on Dec 30, 2020 13:42:02 GMT
I think she'll win a 4th one, that's for sure. But I think it'll be more towards the end of the decade. After her third Oscar, I feel like there's a crescent feeling that's overawarded, often name-checked for movies "nobody watches" and "steals" the spot for other people. I think it started in 2013 with August: Osage County, but it really grew in 2016, with the Adams snub for Arrival and the perception Streep in FFF stole her nod. But then again, she still has the Mamma Mia/TDWP goodwill from general audience and is still widely known as the greatest actress alive.
But thing is, she won Oscar #2 and #3 with subpar movies. If she keeps on being seen as a lazy name-check by a part of the public (a more cinephle, highbrow segment), she can't coast on just having a good role for the 4th Oscar. She'll need *the* role, *the* performance and *the* movie. If she gets a very good role after the few next years with a respected director, she'd be in a very good position to dominate the conversation in a good way. But not right now, as I think there's a Streep fatigue going on.
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Post by TerryMontana on Dec 30, 2020 14:37:08 GMT
I don't see her winning a 4th but it's not impossible. All it takes is a great late career performance in a weak year. It's obvious these guys love Meryl so... As for Hepburn, the op is right about her 4th win being unjust. She should have gotten one or two more Oscars many years earlier...
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Post by stephen on Dec 30, 2020 14:50:15 GMT
I don't think there's an overwhelming urge to give her a fourth Oscar to tie with Hepburn, as I feel that Streep's third win pretty much hinged on that narrative of putting her in that rarefied air at long last, and Weinstein capitalized on that. Streep could very well win a fourth (and I certainly expect it to happen), but it would be because the law of averages dictate that because she gets nominated so frequently rather than people wanting her to tie Hepburn (a stat that few people in the Academy think about, much less care about).
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Post by Deleted on Dec 30, 2020 14:56:35 GMT
bob-coppola - I can guarantee you that the vast majority of people do not see Sophie's Choice as a "subpar" movie... It's on AFI's list of 100 Greatest Films, for goodness' sake.
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Post by michael128 on Dec 30, 2020 16:01:10 GMT
bob-coppola - I can guarantee you that the vast majority of people do not see Sophie's Choice as a "subpar" movie... It's on AFI's list of 100 Greatest Films, for goodness' sake. That user is a troll. Just ignore them.
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Post by franklin on Dec 30, 2020 17:09:35 GMT
I'm more interested in seeing building an interest and an overdue narrative from film forums and the industry folks to give Al Pacino his second Oscar. Streep will be fine, she's been already over nominated and rewarded.
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Post by pacinoyes on Dec 30, 2020 17:21:53 GMT
I'm more interested in seeing building an interest and an overdue narrative from film forums and the industry folks to give Al Pacino his second Oscar. From your mouth to God's ear buddy. On the other hand it gives him a cool cache of being both the most nominated working actor and alternative/Punk Rock actor - most actors you can sum up by their Oscar nominations - that is not the case at all with Pacino - he's unique - list his non-nominated great performances and it's amazing. Even though he has more Oscar nominations than anybody working and I'm hoping for a meaty supporting role in the Ridley Scott "Gucci" film he never has been the Hollywood guy and yet across all mediums he has more Triple Crown awards than anybody, ever, period. Actually if people want to kill 2 birds with one stone and have Streep IMITATE Hepburn's 4th, Pacino and Streep could pull a Henry Fonda and Hepburn and team up again perhaps. They are very close friends and of course Pacino goes way back with Streep through his friendship with John Cazale as well.
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Post by michael128 on Dec 30, 2020 17:29:13 GMT
I'm more interested in seeing building an interest and an overdue narrative from film forums and the industry folks to give Al Pacino his second Oscar. From your mouth to God's ear buddy. On the other hand it gives him a cool cache of being both the most nominated working actor and alternative/Punk Rock actor - most actors you can sum up by their Oscar nominations - that is not the case at all with Pacino - he's unique - list his non-nominated great performances and it's amazing. Even though he has more Oscar nominations than anybody working and I'm hoping for a meaty supporting role in the Ridley Scott "Gucci" film he never has been the Hollywood guy and yet across all mediums he has more awards than anybody, ever, period. Actually if people want to kill 2 birds with one stone and have Streep IMITATE Hepburn's 4th, Pacino and Streep could pull a Henry Fonda and Hepburn and team up again perhaps. They are very close friends and of course Pacino goes way back with Streep through his friendship with John Cazale as well. I’ve never seen an Al Pacino movie, but this was beautiful. I would LOVE for those two to remake On Golden Pond. They would turn a stinky piece of trash into a masterpiece. (Well she would, I can’t speak for Al)
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Post by TerryMontana on Dec 30, 2020 17:57:23 GMT
I’ve never seen an Al Pacino movie
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Post by michael128 on Dec 30, 2020 18:10:45 GMT
I’ve never seen an Al Pacino movie Cruising (1980) is on my watch list :giveup:
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filmnoir
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Post by filmnoir on Dec 30, 2020 19:24:41 GMT
I think she'll win a 4th one, that's for sure. But I think it'll be more towards the end of the decade. After her third Oscar, I feel like there's a crescent feeling that's overawarded, often name-checked for movies "nobody watches" and "steals" the spot for other people. I think it started in 2013 with August: Osage County, but it really grew in 2016, with the Adams snub for Arrival and the perception Streep in FFF stole her nod. But then again, she still has the Mamma Mia/TDWP goodwill from general audience and is still widely known as the greatest actress alive. But thing is, she won Oscar #2 and #3 with subpar movies. If she keeps on being seen as a lazy name-check by a part of the public (a more cinephle, highbrow segment), she can't coast on just having a good role for the 4th Oscar. She'll need *the* role, *the* performance and *the* movie. If she gets a very good role after the few next years with a respected director, she'd be in a very good position to dominate the conversation in a good way. But not right now, as I think there's a Streep fatigue going on. The so-called "Streep fatigue" is more with this forum. Not with AMPAS who has continued to nominate her. They could care less about public perception. And she doesn't need a career defining performance like Sophie's Choice to win her 4th. She can get a sentimental win if it was a weak year.
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Post by stephen on Dec 30, 2020 19:32:21 GMT
The so-called "Streep fatigue" is more with this forum. Not with AMPAS who has continued to nominate her. They could care less about public perception. And she doesn't need a career defining performance like Sophie's Choice to win her 4th. She can get a sentimental win if it was a weak year. While I agree that Streep fatigue is not actually a thing with awards bodies, I don't know if I can see her winning a fourth based purely on sentimentality. People like to dunk on On Golden Pond with the perception that it's this film that runs purely on sentiment in hindsight, but that movie scored ten Oscar nominations and was probably second out of the overall race (yes, I think it pipped Reds to the post in the end). Sentiment might have helped Fonda at the end because he was sick and he died shortly thereafter, but they both were critically adored as well. I think Streep would need to have a couple of different things align for her fourth. She doesn't necessarily need the film to be good, but I think there needs to be some strength outside of her (even The Iron Lady won an Oscar alongside hers) and I think she'd have to have a Christoph Waltz-type scenario where she's up against prior winners or something. That, or if sentiment is going to come into play, it's gonna have to be like an end-of-career scenario with many more years distant from her third win, where that overdue narrative can work its magic again (it was almost fifteen years between Hepburn's third and fourth win). But yeah, I don't think there's fatigue; if there were, they just would stop nominating her.
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Post by pupdurcs on Dec 30, 2020 19:36:44 GMT
I think she'll win a 4th one, that's for sure. But I think it'll be more towards the end of the decade. After her third Oscar, I feel like there's a crescent feeling that's overawarded, often name-checked for movies "nobody watches" and "steals" the spot for other people. I think it started in 2013 with August: Osage County, but it really grew in 2016, with the Adams snub for Arrival and the perception Streep in FFF stole her nod. But then again, she still has the Mamma Mia/TDWP goodwill from general audience and is still widely known as the greatest actress alive. But thing is, she won Oscar #2 and #3 with subpar movies. If she keeps on being seen as a lazy name-check by a part of the public (a more cinephle, highbrow segment), she can't coast on just having a good role for the 4th Oscar. She'll need *the* role, *the* performance and *the* movie. If she gets a very good role after the few next years with a respected director, she'd be in a very good position to dominate the conversation in a good way. But not right now, as I think there's a Streep fatigue going on. The so-called "Streep fatigue" is more with this forum. Not with AMPAS who has continued to nominate her. They could care less about public perception. And she doesn't need a career defining performance like Sophie's Choice to win her 4th. She can get a sentimental win if it was a weak year. There is a certain element of Streep fatigue in some media and critical circles. Manhola Dargis and A.O Scott faced a lot of pushback when they omitted Streep from their 25 Greatest Actors of the 21st Century list for the New York Times last month. So I wouldn't say it's just a thing on this forum. I'd probably agree that AMPAS probably doesn't care at this point about "Streep fatigue", even though it is an actual thing in some circles. I mean there have been vocal pockets of people that have been saying Streep has been overrated since the 1980's, yet that has never stopped AMPAS from nominating her at the drop of a hat. She is an Academy institution at this juncture.
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Post by bob-coppola on Dec 30, 2020 20:19:00 GMT
bob-coppola - I can guarantee you that the vast majority of people do not see Sophie's Choice as a "subpar" movie... It's on AFI's list of 100 Greatest Films, for goodness' sake. That user is a troll. Just ignore them. I'm sorry... what the hell? Dude, I've been in this forum since day 1, and you wanna call me a troll for pointing out Sophie's Choice is not regarded as a masterpiece (even if I do consider Streep's acting in it top 5 of all time?). Anyways @tyler (lol ignore that guy), I understand where you're coming from, but I haven't - from my personal observations - seen Sophie's Choice being widely regarded as one of the greatest films in history. I like that film a lot tho, can't say the same about The Iron Lady on the other hand.
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Post by Deleted on Dec 30, 2020 20:29:55 GMT
bob-coppola - Oh no, I think you're right - it's not widely regarded as a masterpiece, but I was simply saying that it also is not widely regarded as "subpar."
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Post by mhynson27 on Dec 31, 2020 1:46:05 GMT
That user is a troll. Just ignore them. I'm sorry... what the hell? Dude, I've been in this forum since day 1, and you wanna call me a troll for pointing out Sophie's Choice is not regarded as a masterpiece (even if I do consider Streep's acting in it top 5 of all time?). Anyways @tyler (lol ignore that guy), I understand where you're coming from, but I haven't - from my personal observations - seen Sophie's Choice being widely regarded as one of the greatest films in history. I like that film a lot tho, can't say the same about The Iron Lady on the other hand. Haha dude just ignore him, he's a very obvious troll himself.
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filmnoir
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Post by filmnoir on Dec 31, 2020 3:02:00 GMT
That user is a troll. Just ignore them. Anyways @tyler (lol ignore that guy), I understand where you're coming from, but I haven't - from my personal observations - seen Sophie's Choice being widely regarded as one of the greatest films in history. I like that film a lot tho, can't say the same about The Iron Lady on the other hand. Streep's performance was one the most honored at the time. In addition to the Oscar, GG, she swept the Big 3 critics awards - NYFCC, LAFC, NSFC. She also won NBR, BFCA. The were a lot less film awards in 1982.
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