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Post by mattfincher on Jul 1, 2020 20:52:55 GMT
The current record for credited Best Picture nominee appearances is 10 tied between Robert De Niro and Jack Nicholson. With the expansion of the BP category, it will now be easier for actors to hit or surpass that mark by the end of their careers. Which of these will hit or surpass that mark? I'm limiting this to actors with at least 5 already. Anyone who is 70+ and has less than 7 I excluded. I also excluded Robert Duvall because he's nearly 90 and needs 3 more and Hoffman because he's cancelled (well kinda) and needs 2 more. I might be missing a couple here, so don't yell at me if someone's missing and simply include them on your own. There will be a female poll coming shortly (as you'd expect, the list is far smaller).
Leonardo DiCaprio (9) Tom Hanks (9) Brad Pitt (8) Al Pacino (8) Daniel Day-Lewis (8) Harrison Ford (8) Tom Wilkinson (8) Michael Stuhlbarg (7) Matt Damon (6) Willem Dafoe (6) Ralph Fiennes (6) Christian Bale (5) George Clooney (5) Viggo Mortensen (5)
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Post by JangoB on Jul 1, 2020 20:55:07 GMT
Leopardo will definitely do that.
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Post by mattfincher on Jul 1, 2020 20:56:31 GMT
Leopardo will definitely do that. Well yes, he’s the biggest lock here and will probably demolish the record especially now that the field is expanded.
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Post by pacinoyes on Jul 1, 2020 20:59:01 GMT
Said it before, I'll say it again DiCaprio has re-written the metric rulebook - he's a historic figure in metrics/awards/nominations in a lot of ways. People roll their eyes when I say it but he compares with any actor ever RIGHT NOW........he's 45.
Hanks gets to 10 THIS YEAR .......his filmography is one reason I always say that he'll be considered the GOAT when all is said and done, his classics go across genre.
Pitt seems likely.......Bale possible.
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Post by mattfincher on Jul 1, 2020 21:07:18 GMT
Ranking from most to least likely:
Locked: DiCaprio Hanks
Likely: Dafoe (he already has two likely in The French Dispatch and Nightmare Alley) Pitt (not really sure why he’s not getting many votes. He had 5 in the last decade alone and all 8 of his have come since 2006 and y’all think he won’t get 2 more for the rest of his career?)
50/50: (FvF sneaking into that 9th slot certainly bolstered both Damon and Bale into the 50/50 category for me. Bale had 5 in the last decade alone.) Damon Bale
I have no idea but he’s not that old and only needs 3 more: Stuhlbarg
The rest are a no.
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Post by JangoB on Jul 1, 2020 21:08:03 GMT
Leopardo will definitely do that. Well yes, he’s the biggest lock here and will probably demolish the record especially now that the field is expanded. And I wonder how many BP nominees Pitt will have as a producer. He ain't fooling around.
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Post by mattfincher on Jul 1, 2020 21:11:04 GMT
Well yes, he’s the biggest lock here and will probably demolish the record especially now that the field is expanded. And I wonder how many BP nominees Pitt will have as a producer. He ain't fooling around. Pitt could well set the record for having his name attached the highest number of Best Picture nominees. Since 2006, he's had some sort of involvement whether it be acted/produced/exec produced or a combination of the two in 12 nominees.
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Post by TerryMontana on Jul 1, 2020 21:15:45 GMT
You may select up to 14 answers?????
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Post by countjohn on Jul 1, 2020 21:25:44 GMT
DiCaprio and Hanks seem like locks here. Pacino likely gets to 9 with the Scorsese/Leo thing and then would only need one more.
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Post by mattfincher on Jul 1, 2020 21:36:12 GMT
DiCaprio and Hanks seem like locks here. Pacino likely gets to 9 with the Scorsese/Leo thing and then would only need one more. I'm going to need a diagram of how 80-year old Pacino, who hadn't been in a Best Picture nominee in 20 years before last, is more likely than Bale (46, was in 5 in the last decade alone), Dafoe (is already finished/working on two likely nominees), Pitt (24 years his junior and has the same total), or even Damon (pretty much needs to average one per decade) because he could be in a Scorsese move that may or may not actually happen.
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futuretrunks
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Post by futuretrunks on Jul 1, 2020 23:13:15 GMT
DiCaprio, Pitt, and Hanks are inevitable. I think Damon is very likely. I don't think he's going to be in as many Clooney-directed flops over the next few decades.
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Post by quetee on Jul 1, 2020 23:26:56 GMT
I didn't realize Brad had so many. I'm actually shocked that Bale has only 5.
I think it is a race between Leo, Bobby D, and Hanks. I give the edge to Hanks cause he has a movie out this year and no not talking about "Greyhound". Then again, who knows with the way things are going this year. If Hanks doesn't happen this year then by default I say Bobby cause he and Leo will be in the same BP nod.
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Post by stephen on Jul 1, 2020 23:28:29 GMT
Hanks will do it first by sheer dint of his consistency and prolific nature, but DiCaprio will eventually set the new record and surpass them all.
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morton
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Post by morton on Jul 2, 2020 0:54:49 GMT
From most likely to maybe: Tom Hanks - will likely get it this year as long as News of the World is released this year, and/or if the Oscars aren’t canceled after all. (They probably won’t be, but who knows.)
Leonardo DiCaprio - I agree with everyone that he’ll get the record, but he probably won’t reach it before Hanks.
Brad Pitt - I would be surprised if he didn’t.
Matt Damon - He’s young enough and in demand enough that I believe he can get at least be in 4 more BP nominated films. Also wiling this, sort of, that The Last Duel will be BP#7. Okay probably not, but I choose to stay in denial as long as I possibly can with regards to TLD.
Christian Bale - He’s like Damon in that he’s young enough and in demand enough that he should reach at least 10 provided he doesn’t retire early or something unexpected doesn’t happen.
Ralph Fiennes - I am willing that he’ll go on a run similar to Colin Firth and win an Oscar, and also surprise when he’s in his 80s like Anthony Hopkins.
DDL - I think he’s young enough that he could come out of retirement and have his film get enough hype just for that alone and be nominated for Best Picture. Then he’ll retire again, and then come out of retirement for one last film, for real this time, and that hype will help lead to another Best Picture.
Not sure about Pacino, Ford, Wilkinson, and Dafoe due to age. Dafoe seems most likely, but 4 might be too tough depending on when filming can resume and who knows what will happen after things go back to even semi-normal in the US.
Stuhlbarg only needs 3 more, and as a character actor he might have the best chance outside of the top 3 of Hanks, DiCaprio, and Pitt, but I’m not as confident for some reason.
Clooney is still well liked, but I think his run is over. He might get one or two more acting nominations, but I don’t think he’ll star in at least 5 more BP nominated films.
Mortensen is such a wildcard. He could continue the nice run he’s been on in the last few years, or he could easily go cold for many years like before in his career. I’m leaning more towards another bad spell happening, so that plus his age makes me doubt that he’ll reach 10.
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flasuss
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Post by flasuss on Jul 2, 2020 2:22:36 GMT
Di Caprio will probably surpass Jack to be the #1 overall (though to be fair, he has the benefit of an expanded BP category, otherwise I doubt that would happen).
Pitt and Hanks seems locks for that as well.
For the rest, I see as being likely not only Damon and Bale, but also Stuhlbarg, because he managed so many very quickly, and is still relatively young.
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Post by therealcomicman117 on Jul 2, 2020 2:30:11 GMT
Hanks, DiCaprio, and Pitt are basically locked. I'd be shocked if they didn't at least appear in one more best picture nominee. They'd have to appear in nothing but flops from here.
Bale seems well-liked with the academy, and he's respected enough that'll he keep working with academy friendly director. I'd say the chances of him appearing in ten best picture nominees are very very strong.
Stuhlbarg's a character actor, so he doesn't have to worry as much about being the center of attention in a best picture winner, but then again his luck might run out for all we know. I think he has a strong chance of reaching 10 at least.
Damon's a curious case, because more often then not his actual Oscar attempts are failures as far as actually being best picture nominees, but he seems well-liked enough, and mostly good at picking projects that I could see reaching his tenth best picture nomination when he's like in his sixties or seventies.
I could definitely see Fiennes having a late career best picture resurgence, and appearing in like five or six nominees, as he becomes an elder statesmen.
Dafoe's another strong possibility especially with this late career Oscar resurgence he's been having. At the same time he's not getting younger, and it's hard to see him appearing in Best Picture Nominees annually. Hard to say.
Daniel Day-Lewis is heavily dependent on how many times he comes out of retirement to do a movie. If he somehow teams up with PTA again, then good chance, that pushes up to being a best picture nominee frontrunner.
Mortensen could certainly do it, but also him doing movies like Green Book are really a dime and dozen. His own artistic ambitions might hold him back from appearing in best picture nominees regularly.
Pacino maybe? Although I'm leaning more on no. The Irishman and Once Upon A Time in Hollywood are rare aberrations as far as his filmography goes these days.
Wilkson, probably no, especially since he hasn't been on the Oscars radar in like nearly a decade, and he's over seventy. Hard to see him appearing in another best pic nomination, although you never know.
Clooney seems done to me. He's not acting much anymore, and his recent films as a director have been duds. He could come out and appear in another critically acclaimed movies, but he's rich enough, that I really get the idea that he doesn't care as much anymore.
Ford is nearly eighty, and hasn't been in a picture nominee since 1994. Doubt he'll ever appear in another one again, and more then likely he doesn't care either.
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Post by mhynson27 on Jul 2, 2020 2:32:35 GMT
Hanks will do it this year.
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Post by TerryMontana on Jul 2, 2020 5:30:28 GMT
Hanks will be the first, Leo after him.
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