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Post by dadsburgers on Jan 23, 2020 5:30:19 GMT
Zellweger. Phoenix. Dern. Pitt.
I feel like no one's talking about how all the acting winners this year are going to be locked up and none of them will have missed anything. Isn't that a bummer? Usually there's at least one category that's close (Close/Colman, no pun intended). It's too bad because any of them could have deserving close competitors (and some, as much as I love them, shouldn't be getting nearly the acclaim they are). I feel like name recognition/ overdue factor are big time players in all four races.
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Post by TerryMontana on Jan 23, 2020 6:36:03 GMT
Imo only ScarJo could upset Renee but it's not very likely. The others are locks. I can't remember since when the winners in all four categories were so undisputable.
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jakob
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Post by jakob on Jan 23, 2020 6:41:50 GMT
I’m still so baffled as to why Dern is winning for Marriage Story (maybe less so had I not seen BLL, where she plays the same character and already swept the television awards season). And yet, I guess I’m happy because at least she’s finally winning? If it were a stronger, more competitive category this year, I’d have been more upset, but since it’s kind of bare bones, this may be the most forgettable Supporting Actress lineup in years.
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Post by cinemagirl16 on Jan 23, 2020 7:07:35 GMT
Yep. Trying to remember the last time an acting race was this dull...
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Post by Christ_Ian_Bale on Jan 23, 2020 7:21:39 GMT
Imo only ScarJo could upset Renee but it's not very likely. The others are locks. I can't remember since when the winners in all four categories were so undisputable. I was also feeling a potential Johansson upset but in supporting, given Jojo's momentum has been on the rise lately. Zellweger may seem only slightly more vulnerable than Dern because Dern's feels like an unstoppable career win while Zellweger has at least won before, though the Colman and Ali wins last year prove that the Academy may not give a shit about either of those things anymore. I don't actually believe Zellweger or Dern will lose, but this is the time of year where I like to pretend the acting races are actually exciting even though I know better.  |
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Post by TerryMontana on Jan 23, 2020 7:33:45 GMT
Imo only ScarJo could upset Renee but it's not very likely. The others are locks. I can't remember since when the winners in all four categories were so undisputable. I was also feeling a potential Johansson upset but in supporting, given Jojo's momentum has been on the rise lately. Zellweger may seem only slightly more vulnerable than Dern because Dern's feels like an unstoppable career win while Zellweger has at least won before, though the Colman and Ali wins last year prove that the Academy may not give a shit about either of those things anymore. I don't actually believe Zellweger or Dern will lose, but this is the time of year where I like to pretend the acting races are actually exciting even though I know better. The slight chances Scarlett might have are because she has a double nomination this year. But I don't think there is even 1% for her to win for Jojo. Dern will be the winner no matter what (I'll never understand why she's such a lock...) A couple of months ago I believed Phoenix and Driver will have a very tight race for BA. That's not the case anymore. |
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Jan 23, 2020 7:56:16 GMT
Imo only ScarJo could upset Renee but it's not very likely. The others are locks. I can't remember since when the winners in all four categories were so undisputable. I was also feeling a potential Johansson upset but in supporting, given Jojo's momentum has been on the rise lately. Zellweger may seem only slightly more vulnerable than Dern because Dern's feels like an unstoppable career win while Zellweger has at least won before, though the Colman and Ali wins last year prove that the Academy may not give a shit about either of those things anymore. I don't actually believe Zellweger or Dern will lose, but this is the time of year where I like to pretend the acting races are actually exciting even though I know better. If anything in Jojo Rabbit prevents Dern from getting her Oscar the same year Lynch got his, I'm going to put my Joker makeup on and lead a revolution against the Academy (still think she's beating Zellweger, personally) |
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Post by mhynson27 on Jan 23, 2020 9:17:11 GMT
Yep. Trying to remember the last time an acting race was this dull... We had the same thing with the 2017 race. |
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Post by wallsofjericho on Jan 23, 2020 11:05:18 GMT
I'm already ready for next season.
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Post by Sullivan on Jan 23, 2020 17:32:57 GMT
2015? Arquette, Simmons, Redmayne and Moore all won the GG/SAG/BAFTA heading into the Oscars. |
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Post by bob-coppola on Jan 23, 2020 17:50:37 GMT
So boring. It's frustrating how, regarding the acting categories, more and more award bodies try to predict the Oscars - thus conforming to what the media has declared as the frontrunners in the fall - instead of trying to show their own taste. I'm happy that Dern and Phoenix are finally winning, Pitt is my #1 since I saw OUATIH, but it feels anticlimatic that they win everything. How can we anticipate and feel happy when they win if there's no surprise? And if everyone's gonna try and mimick the Oscar, just shut all the other award-bodies down.
If someone has to sweep and win everything for months, than it should be reserved to Blue Jasmine-level work - which none of those four this year are. I can't remember the last time I was more excited for the BP race than the acting ones.
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filmnoir
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Post by filmnoir on Jan 23, 2020 17:53:45 GMT
Zellweger. Phoenix. Dern. Pitt. I feel like no one's talking about how all the acting winners this year are going to be locked up and none of them will have missed anything. Isn't that a bummer? Usually there's at least one category that's close (Close/Colman, no pun intended). It's too bad because any of them could have deserving close competitors (and some, as much as I love them, shouldn't be getting nearly the acclaim they are). I feel like name recognition/ overdue factor are big time players in all four races. The real races this year are in Picture, Director, and the Screenplays.
Look at the downfall of The Irishman, Once Upon A Time in Hollywood. The rise of 1917, Parasite.
This year's front runners are also getting career-best reviews for their performances.
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filmnoir
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Post by filmnoir on Jan 23, 2020 18:02:04 GMT
The Blue Jasmine type of sweep of taking the critics and televised awards is really the exception. Most acting winners did not do that.
Brad Pitt comes closest this year with the critics wins, including National Society of Film Critics. Then Laura Dern, who had the most wins in Supporting Actress including New York Film Critics, National Society of Film Critics.
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Post by ibbi on Jan 23, 2020 18:03:31 GMT
Why are people thinking everyones favourite Transgender Japanese Tree has a shot in best actress?
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Post by bob-coppola on Jan 23, 2020 18:25:03 GMT
The Blue Jasmine type of sweep of taking the critics and televised awards is really the exception. Most acting winners did not do that.
Brad Pitt comes closest this year with the critics wins, including National Society of Film Critics. Then Laura Dern, who had the most wins in Supporting Actress including New York Film Critics, National Society of Film Critics.
I was talking more about the televised awards - BAFTA, SAG, GG, Critics Choice, Oscars. As of lately, it’s been quite common that actors win if not all, most of these. |
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Post by stephen on Jan 23, 2020 20:31:39 GMT
Why are people thinking everyones favourite Transgender Japanese Tree has a shot in best actress? Double nominee, has two films in Best Picture (one of which is guaranteed at least one above-the-line Oscar win), fits the mold of the typical Best Actress winner, up against a frontrunner who a.) already has one Oscar, and b.) has been gone from the industry for quite a while. Zellweger pretty well locked it down at SAG, as I think if the worm were going to turn, it would be there, but she's always felt the most vulnerable. |
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Post by mrimpossible on Jan 24, 2020 0:35:14 GMT
Yep. Trying to remember the last time an acting race was this dull... 2010: Firth/Portman/Bale/Leo |
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