jakob
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Post by jakob on Jul 22, 2019 21:50:14 GMT
This may be Sony’s best awards year to date (excluding Sony Pictures Classics, just regular studio Sony) as they have three heavy hitters. They’re gonna have to campaign wisely because they definitely probably won’t get all three in.
Honestly, I’d say Once Upon a Time In Hollywood is the guarantee for now, but ABDITN could become their strongest horse in the race come years end and on the back of a massive campaign for Hanks. Little Women will be a slam dunk for Actress and possibly Adapted, but Best Picture, I just don’t see happening. OUATIH may face some awards backlash with QT though, and ABDITH kind of looks like it has the hallmarks to be a squeaky clean contender.
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morton
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Post by morton on Jul 22, 2019 22:30:39 GMT
Right now I only voted for Once Upon a Time in Hollywood because it seems like a lock for at least the Best Picture nomination. Not sure about the win.
After that I'm not sure because Netflix has so many possible contenders, possibly 5 (The Irishman, Marriage Story, The Pope, The Laundromat, Dolemite Is My Name) although they won't all make it of course, but they're going to be out for revenge this year. Then, there's Fox Searchlight (Jojo Rabbit), (Harriet), and Warner Brothers (Just Mercy?) which will likely get their usual spots. Then, there's Universal (1917), A24 (The Farewell), and Amazon (The Aeronauts) which seem to have strong films. Then, there's Fox (Ad Astra or Ford v. Ferarri) and Neon (Parasite) in the mix too as well as other contenders I know I forgot.
So I don't know if Sony can get all 3 in, I would say 2 at most right now, and I would be more likely to go with Little Women just because it seems more likely to get technical nominations as well as a Best Actress nomination.
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Post by quetee on Jul 22, 2019 22:51:00 GMT
We probably should start by studio thread soon.
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Post by Tommen_Saperstein on Jul 22, 2019 23:18:21 GMT
Once Upon a Time and Little Women have the strongest cast right now. Not sure about Beautiful Day.
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Post by DeepArcher on Jul 22, 2019 23:23:50 GMT
Probably all three. Mr. Rogers looking like the BP frontrunner after that trailer if we’re being realistic...
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Zeb31
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Bernardo is not believing que vous êtes come to bing bing avec nous
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Post by Zeb31 on Jul 22, 2019 23:39:14 GMT
We probably should start by studio thread soon. On it! I'll try and post it as soon as I can. |
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Post by stephen on Jul 22, 2019 23:42:44 GMT
We probably should start by studio thread soon. On it! I'll try and post it as soon as I can. Doing the Lord's work. |
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Post by Martin Stett on Jul 23, 2019 4:59:51 GMT
I actually think that Hollywood doesn't have the strongest chance? If people are annoyed by Tarantino being immature or undisciplined (which is hogwash imho), I don't think that's gonna change with this picture. It's getting a Summer release, it'll have a lot of fans but also a lot of enemies. It is about Hollywood and movie-types eat that up, but I can see the movie losing steam.
I haven't seen the trailer for Mr. Rogers: Vampire Hunter, but it's likely safe and easy, although Hanks being safe and easy hasn't translated to awards recently.
As for Little Women, it is an adaptation of an old novel that has been forgotten by most everyone, but the Oscars won't care. In an attempt to include more women directors, Greta Gerwig will again be in the spotlight despite never writing a character that doesn't scream PUNCH ME in her life. It's getting in, I'm thinking. And Rogers too. And I'm gonna say that Hollywood can't scratch its way through.
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Post by TerryMontana on Jul 23, 2019 5:25:52 GMT
OUATIH is a lock for a BP nod.
Little Women and Mr. Rogers are also very lickely to be there.
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Post by Tommen_Saperstein on Jul 23, 2019 5:32:31 GMT
Probably all three. Mr. Rogers looking like the BP frontrunner after that trailer if we’re being realistic... How did i not know about the trailer??? After watching it I definitely agree, provided it gets the critical support (and my gut says it will). All three seem like very sure bets. |
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morton
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Post by morton on Jul 26, 2019 5:22:59 GMT
Uh, can I change my vote now, lol?
Not that Once Upon a Time in Hollywood won't get nominated for Best Picture with those MC/RT scores, cast, and Tarantino writing-directing it, but I put way too much confidence in it. It's good, but I don't think it's going to be a top tier contender like I thought.
Sony is probably better off pushing A Beautiful Day in the Neighborhood because at least on paper, imo, it has a better chance to win.
With Little Women looking like it's not going to Telluride, Toronto, or Venice, I'm less confident in it. I don't know that Sony can get 3 films nominated for Best Picture, so I have to drop something since I changed my mind on ABDitN.
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Post by TerryMontana on Jul 26, 2019 8:09:32 GMT
Reading the reviews here for OUATIH, I'm thinking maybe I shouldn't have voted for it in this poll.
Then again, Meta/RT/Imdb ratings are great. I'll wait till I watch this to decide if I change my vote.
Rogers project seems to be a lock at the moment.
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Post by Martin Stett on Jul 26, 2019 13:37:34 GMT
I'm still holding on Rogers/Women. LW is precisely the kind of movie that can be released in December with no festival push and get in for BP.
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Post by TerryMontana on Jul 26, 2019 16:17:19 GMT
I'm still holding on Rogers/Women. LW is precisely the kind of movie that can be released in December with no festival push and get in for BP. That was my front-runner for a BP Oscar. Then again, it's something we've already seen again and again. I dunno, I have to watch all of them and then come back here and vote again!  |
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