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Post by Tommen_Saperstein on Jan 9, 2019 10:33:13 GMT
Yeah. They're going the safe & boring route this year.
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Post by HELENA MARIA on Jan 9, 2019 10:45:59 GMT
Yeah. They're going the safe & boring route this year. I still think he'll take that 5th spot . A GG + SAG + bafta snub doesn't necessarily mean that it's ALL over . |
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Post by Johnny_Hellzapoppin on Jan 9, 2019 13:19:26 GMT
I certainly hope so.
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Post by JangoB on Jan 9, 2019 14:07:32 GMT
I've no idea why but I still have this hunch that AMPAS will nominate it for Actor and Script. I hope it does anyway...
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Post by Johnny_Hellzapoppin on Jan 9, 2019 14:55:45 GMT
I've no idea why but I still have this hunch that AMPAS will nominate it for Actor and Script. I hope it does anyway... I still think it'll get in for Actor too. |
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Post by ingmarhepburn on Jan 9, 2019 15:15:14 GMT
Best Picture is probably not happening, but there's still hope for Hawke and the screenplay. Let's be optimistic.
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Jan 9, 2019 15:34:16 GMT
No, you simply can't deny the power and pull of winning all three of the major critics' prizes.
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Post by sterlingarcher86 on Jan 9, 2019 16:15:40 GMT
No, you simply can't deny the power and pull of winning all three of the major critics' prizes. Tell that to Sally Hawkins and Bill Murray. Can’t is too strong of a word. They can do whatever they want. I’m still tentatively predicting him though. |
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Post by quetee on Jan 9, 2019 17:04:07 GMT
I'm going to say yes for everything except Ethan.
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Post by quetee on Jan 9, 2019 17:38:16 GMT
By the way, anyone know why Paul is hated?
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Post by theycallmemrfish on Jan 9, 2019 17:42:34 GMT
By the way, anyone know why Paul is hated? I heard he slapped Natalie Portman with a raw pork chop once. That could be some reason why... just kidding he's probably just an asshole. |
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matheusf
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Post by matheusf on Jan 9, 2019 18:18:36 GMT
BAFTA killed Schrader but not Hawke. I feel like the Oscars are a bit closer to critics than other industry awards usually are. That's why they nominated people like Rampling and Huppert in the past
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Post by sirjeremy on Jan 9, 2019 19:52:12 GMT
I don't think Hawke can overcome the advantages Washington has (his film, the campaign, and yes, his father). When was the last critical darling AMPAS nominated when that person had been snubbed by BAFTA, the Globes and SAG? And for a film likely to get no other nominations?
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speeders
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Post by speeders on Jan 9, 2019 20:43:08 GMT
When was the last critical darling AMPAS nominated when that person had been snubbed by BAFTA, the Globes and SAG? And for a film likely to get no other nominations? Charlotte Rampling 3 years ago and Marion Cotillard the year before that. |
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morton
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Post by morton on Jan 9, 2019 21:07:49 GMT
When was the last critical darling AMPAS nominated when that person had been snubbed by BAFTA, the Globes and SAG? And for a film likely to get no other nominations? Charlotte Rampling 3 years ago and Marion Cotillard the year before that. I don't want to rule out Hawke, but Rampling had never been nominated before and Cotillard had hit everywhere just a few years before with Rust and Bone and then missed the Oscar nomination. While the Best Actor race is weak this year in that, it narrowed down to about 7 candidates early on, I think 2014 and 2015 were really weak for Best Actress especially 2014. I don't know if Cotillard would have been able to get in during a more competitive year; although, to be fair to her I remember her getting a lot of praise from other actors for her performance, but her only competition for the last spot was Amy Adams in a film that got okay reviews, and Jennifer Aniston in a film that got poor reviews. In 2015, Maggie Smith and Lily Tomlin never got enough traction, so Jennifer Lawrence was still able to make it in despite mixed to poor reviews for Joy. Looking at who made what precursors, I forgot that was the year that at SAG Helen Mirren got double nominations, and Sarah Silverman shocked everyone by getting a Best Actress nomination. On paper, Hawke does feel like a passion choice like Cotillard and Rampling, but unfortunately the other potential nominees are all in films likely to be nominated for Best Picture. He's also been nominated before and wasn't snubbed a few years before like Cotillard, so Washington has the newbie factor working for him as well as being Hollywood royalty. |
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Post by sirjeremy on Jan 9, 2019 21:12:09 GMT
When was the last critical darling AMPAS nominated when that person had been snubbed by BAFTA, the Globes and SAG? And for a film likely to get no other nominations? Charlotte Rampling 3 years ago and Marion Cotillard the year before that. OK, so it has happened now and then. But Rampling campaigned her ass off, and Cotillard had the advantage of a weak year (the only person she ousted was Jennifer Aniston, who was never heavily favoured to be nominated for her film, anyway). |
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Post by finniussnrub on Jan 9, 2019 23:02:42 GMT
I'd say it's just about to drink Drano.
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Post by Pittsnogle_Goggins on Jan 10, 2019 0:17:29 GMT
Most likely
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Post by alexanderblanchett on Jan 12, 2019 10:54:55 GMT
I think Hawke has a little chance because the VERY strong critic support... and the Academy kinda likes him.
Tho the film might be too bleak for them to be recognized at all.
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Post by thomasjerome on Jan 12, 2019 11:04:11 GMT
A24 is terrible at campaigning this season. |
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wattsnew
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Post by wattsnew on Jan 14, 2019 0:35:12 GMT
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Post by Johnny_Hellzapoppin on Jan 14, 2019 8:37:49 GMT
I hate the film with a passion so fiery, that it was stoked in the bowels of hell itself. |
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