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Post by Deleted on Jan 7, 2019 5:04:06 GMT
It has to be said that BAFTA has never been generous with her... She only has one nomination for Dangerous Liaisons. But, I think she's still incredibly respected in the UK, and I'm sure the general feeling that it's "her time" is present on the other side of the Atlantic, too.
One other thing in her favor: Funding for The Wife primarily came from the UK, and it was partially filmed there. Not sure if that will make a difference, but it might.
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Post by mrimpossible on Jan 7, 2019 6:40:05 GMT
Nah I think Colman has got it. She doesn’t need it.
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The-Havok
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Post by The-Havok on Jan 7, 2019 6:45:26 GMT
If she wins SAG yes. I have never bought the Brits help their compatriots narrative. It didn't help Pike or Jones, it didn't help many others in the past as well. This ain't the AACTAs.
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Post by morton on Jan 7, 2019 7:11:44 GMT
First, I voted maybe, but I think the BAFTAs will follow the other televised precursors like they've been doing for awhile now. So I think Close sweeps because her overdue narrative is huge.
I didn't really expect that at this point to be honest because she didn't go the Moore route at all, and all of her competitors are in way stronger films. Plus, honestly I wasn't sure how much she was revered now because it's been awhile since her peak in the '80s. I figured that at least Moore had the Game Change sweep along with being in the Hunger Games and getting some Oscar talk for A Single Man and The Kids Are Alright. She also had the incredibly weak year which again Close does not have.
It was a great moment though, and one of the few highlights for me especially right before the nightmare of the Best Drama winner. I loved that even she didn't believe that she had won. If only one overdue actress can win the Oscar this year, I hope it's Close.
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Post by HELENA MARIA on Jan 7, 2019 8:54:08 GMT
Nah, Colman is winning the bafta. Close is definitely winning the Sag and the Oscar, though.
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Post by stephen on Jan 7, 2019 13:24:44 GMT
Even if Close had been juggernaut-sweeping to the point of undeniability, I'd still probably bet on Colman. BAFTA likes to fancy itself an Oscar prognosticator most of the time, but even at times where it's clear who the winner is going to be (Bridges, Bale, Leo, McConaughey, Leto), they'll go with actors/films that are more their style. BAFTA adores Colman (three wins), and they've never shown a particular liking to Close, and that lone nod was thirty years ago.
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Post by JangoB on Jan 7, 2019 13:30:50 GMT
Nah, I have a hard time picturing Colman losing there.
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Post by Deleted on Jan 7, 2019 13:45:19 GMT
If she wins SAG yes. I have never bought the Brits help their compatriots narrative. It didn't help Pike or Jones, it didn't help many others in the past as well. This ain't the AACTAs. The last time they really went for a quintessentially "British" pick that the Oscars didn't co-sign was Mulligan back in '09. |
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Post by stabcaesar on Jan 7, 2019 14:56:45 GMT
The last time they really went for a quintessentially "British" pick that the Oscars didn't co-sign was Mulligan back in '09. You are forgetting Chiwetel Ejiofor, Kate Winslet (Steve Jobs) and Dev Patel. Plus Helena Bonham Carter and Geoffrey Rush, which I suspect is the treatment The Favourite would get. I can see The Favourite sweeping at the BAFTAs (aka BP, Colman and Weisz), but Glenn Close is still winning everything else. Though Glenn Close winning wouldn't surprise me either. Like Michael Esq. said, BAFTA nominates a lot of Brits, but when it comes to wins they usually follow the waves. |
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Post by Johnny_Hellzapoppin on Jan 7, 2019 15:11:00 GMT
I'm going to go out on a limb here and say she might not even be nominated. If she does get the nomination I don't see her winning over Colman anyway.
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Post by Deleted on Jan 7, 2019 15:23:16 GMT
The last time they really went for a quintessentially "British" pick that the Oscars didn't co-sign was Mulligan back in '09. You are forgetting Chiwetel Ejiofor, Kate Winslet (Steve Jobs) and Dev Patel. Plus Helena Bonham Carter and Geoffrey Rush, which I suspect is the treatment The Favourite would get. I can see The Favourite sweeping at the BAFTAs (aka BP, Colman and Weisz), but Glenn Close is still winning everything else. Though Glenn Close winning wouldn't surprise me either. Like Michael Esq. said, BAFTA nominates a lot of Brits, but when it comes to wins they usually follow the waves. Ah, yes, there definitely was The King's Speech massive haul. We'll see I guess. It's just fun to speculate.  |
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Post by IceTruckDexter on Jan 7, 2019 15:26:22 GMT
If she wins SAG yes. I have never bought the Brits help their compatriots narrative. It didn't help Pike or Jones, it didn't help many others in the past as well. This ain't the AACTAs. Pike didn't have the film to back her up and if I remember right Jones was up against Julianne Moore who nobody was stopping. |
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Post by fiosnasiob on Jan 7, 2019 16:27:25 GMT
I'm going to go out on a limb here and say she might not even be nominated. If she does get the nomination I don't see her winning over Colman anyway. I was thinking about this the other day as I have always thought that if you are not Brit and that BAFTA don't like your movie (no other nomination) your chances to get nominated are very low. I may forget someone but in the best actress category I think it happenned only twice during the last 10 years, Meryl Streep (Julie & Julia) and Julianne Moore (Still Alice). The former being THE unstoppable awards magnet, the later end up winning the oscar. I think the lack of Brits actresses in the group of contenders (top 15-20) will certainly favors Glenn Close tho. Colman and Blunt are certainly in, then who they could nominate ? Pike (A Private War) then who else ? Mulligan (Wildlife) ? Maaaybe, then ??? And they might nominate Jonathan Pryce alongside Glenn Close too. |
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Post by Johnny_Hellzapoppin on Jan 7, 2019 16:33:45 GMT
I'm going to go out on a limb here and say she might not even be nominated. If she does get the nomination I don't see her winning over Colman anyway. I was thinking about this the other day as I have always thought that if you are not Brit and that BAFTA don't like your movie (no other nomination) your chances to get nominated are very low. I may forget someone but in the best actress category I think it happenned only twice during the last 10 years, Meryl Streep (Julie & Julia) and Julianne Moore (Still Alice). The former being THE unstoppable awards magnet, the later end up winning the oscar. I think the lack of Brits actresses in the group of contenders (top 15-20) will certainly favors Glenn Close tho. Colman and Blunt are certainly in, then who they could nominate ? Pike (A Private War) then who else ? Mulligan (Wildlife) ? Maaaybe, then ??? And they might nominate Jonathan Pryce alongside Glenn Close too. Fair points. I think her nomination is up in the air for now, and her inclusion or otherwise will not surprise me. |
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Post by Deleted on Jan 7, 2019 21:47:55 GMT
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Post by sirjeremy on Jan 7, 2019 22:35:33 GMT
I was thinking about this the other day as I have always thought that if you are not Brit and that BAFTA don't like your movie (no other nomination) your chances to get nominated are very low. I may forget someone but in the best actress category I think it happenned only twice during the last 10 years, Meryl Streep (Julie & Julia) and Julianne Moore (Still Alice). The former being THE unstoppable awards magnet, the later end up winning the oscar. I think the lack of Brits actresses in the group of contenders (top 15-20) will certainly favors Glenn Close tho. Colman and Blunt are certainly in, then who they could nominate ? Pike (A Private War) then who else ? Mulligan (Wildlife) ? Maaaybe, then ??? And they might nominate Jonathan Pryce alongside Glenn Close too. Fair points. I think her nomination is up in the air for now, and her inclusion or otherwise will not surprise me. She's in. BAFTA voters don't have much scope for original thought these days, so they're not going to snub the current joint favourite to win the Best Actress Oscar. |
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Post by Deleted on Jan 8, 2019 18:21:17 GMT
Yes, I think she is in a similar position as Julianne Moore in 2014, another veteran in a small film.
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Post by wilcinema on Jan 8, 2019 18:23:14 GMT
She will only if she wins Critics' Choice AND Sag. At that point, BAFTA would probably follow suit. But I think it's gonna be Colman's.
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