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Post by Ryan_MYeah on Jan 23, 2024 17:44:18 GMT
PICTURE: Oppenheimer
DIRECTOR: Christopher Nolan
LEAD ACTOR: Paul Giamatti
LEAD ACTRESS: Lily Gladstone
SUPPORTING ACTOR: Robert Downey Jr.
SUPPORTING ACTRESS: Da’Vine Joy Randolph
ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY: Anatomy of a Fall
ADAPTED SCREENPLAY: Barbie
CINEMATOGRAPHY: Oppenheimer
COSTUME DESIGN: Barbie
FILM EDITING: Oppenheimer
MAKEUP AND HAIRSTYLING: Poor Things
ORIGINAL SCORE: Oppenheimer
ORIGINAL SONG: “What Was I Made For?”
PRODUCTION DESIGN: Barbie
SOUND: Oppenheimer
VISUAL EFFECTS: Godzilla Minus One
ANIMATED FEATURE: The Boy and the Heron
INTERNATIONAL FEATURE: The Zone of Interest
DOCUMENTARY FEATURE: 20 Days in Mariupol
LIVE-ACTION SHORT: The Wonderful Story of Henry Sugar
DOCUMENTARY SHORT: IDK. Barber of Little Rock?
ANIMATED SHORT: War is Over!
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Post by Billy_Costigan on Jan 23, 2024 17:52:52 GMT
I don't see many surprises. Screenplays may be the only ones that could change.
PICTURE: Oppenheimer DIRECTOR: Christopher Nolan LEAD ACTOR: Paul Giamatti LEAD ACTRESS: Lily Gladstone SUPPORTING ACTOR: Robert Downey Jr. SUPPORTING ACTRESS: Da’Vine Joy Randolph ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY: The Holdovers ADAPTED SCREENPLAY: Barbie
CINEMATOGRAPHY: Oppenheimer COSTUME DESIGN: Barbie FILM EDITING: Oppenheimer MAKEUP AND HAIRSTYLING: Maestro ORIGINAL SCORE: Oppenheimer ORIGINAL SONG: “What Was I Made For?” PRODUCTION DESIGN: Barbie SOUND: Oppenheimer
VISUAL EFFECTS: Godzilla Minus One |
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Post by JangoB on Jan 23, 2024 17:57:22 GMT
BEST PICTURE
Oppenheimer
BEST DIRECTOR
N o l a n
BEST ACTOR
Brad Lee Cooper (fuck all y'all, NGNG)
BEST ACTRESS
Emma Stone
BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
Robert Downey Jr.
BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Da'Vine Joy Randolph
BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
Anatomy of a Fall
BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
Oppenheimer
BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY
Oppenheimer
BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN
Barbie
BEST EDITING
Oppenheimer
BEST ORIGINAL SCORE
Oppenheimer
BEST ORIGINAL SONG
"What Was I Made For?"
BEST COSTUME DESIGN
Poor Things
BEST SOUND
Oppenheimer
BEST VISUAL EFFECTS
The Creator
BEST MAKEUP & HAIRSTYLING
Maestro
BEST ANIMATED FILM
Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse
BEST INTERNATIONAL FILM
The Zone of Interest
BEST DOCUMENTARY
20 Days in Mariupol
BEST LIVE-ACTION SHORT
The Wonderful Story of Henry Sugar
BEST ANIMATED SHORT
War Is Over! Inspired by the Music of John & Yoko
BEST DOCUMENTARY SHORT
The ABCs of Book Banning
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Post by Pavan on Jan 23, 2024 18:09:25 GMT
Picture: Oppenheimer
Director: Christopher Nolan
Actor: Cillian Murphy
Actress: Emma Stone
Supporting Actor: Robert Downey Jr.
Supporting Actress: Da'Vine Joy Randolph
Original Screenplay: The Holdovers
Adapted Screenplay: Oppenheimer
Cinematography: Oppenheimer
Editing: Oppenheimer
Production Design: Barbie
Costume Design: Barbie
Makeup & Hairstyling: Maestro
Original Score: Oppenheimer
Original Song: "What Was I Made For?", Barbie
Sound: Oppenheimer
Visual Effects: Godzilla Minus One
Animated Feature: Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse
International Feature: The Zone of Interest
Documentary: 20 Days of Mariupol
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Post by sterlingarcher86 on Jan 23, 2024 20:17:45 GMT
Picture: Oppenheimer
Director: Christopher Nolan
Actor: Paul Giamatti
Actress: Lily Gladstone
Supporting Actor: Robert Downey Jr.
Supporting Actress: Da'Vine Joy Randolph
Original Screenplay: The Holdovers
Adapted Screenplay: Barbie
Cinematography: Oppenheimer
Editing: Oppenheimer
Production Design: Barbie
Costume Design: Barbie
Makeup & Hairstyling: Maestro
Original Score: Oppenheimer
Original Song: "What Was I Made For?", Barbie
Sound: Oppenheimer
Visual Effects: Godzilla Minus One
Animated Feature: Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse
International Feature: The Zone of Interest
Documentary: 20 Days of Mariupol
I had Oppenheimer for Adapted but I think maybe Gerwig’s director snub will rally people to award her here.
Both lead actor races are close but I’m going with my predicted SAG winners for now.
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Post by sophiefox on Jan 23, 2024 20:33:12 GMT
PICTURE: Oppenheimer (want to win: Barbie or Poor Things)
DIRECTOR: Christopher Nolan (want to win: Justine Triet)
LEAD ACTOR: Cillian Murphy (want to win: Paul Giamatti)
LEAD ACTRESS: Emma Stone (want to win: ditto)
SUPPORTING ACTOR: Ryan Gosling (want to win: ditto)
SUPPORTING ACTRESS: Da’Vine Joy Randolph (want to win: ditto)
ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY: The Holdovers
ADAPTED SCREENPLAY: American Fiction
CINEMATOGRAPHY: Killers of the Flower Moon
COSTUME DESIGN: Poor Things
FILM EDITING: Oppenheimer
MAKEUP AND HAIRSTYLING: Poor Things
ORIGINAL SCORE: Oppenheimer
ORIGINAL SONG: “I'm Just Ken"
PRODUCTION DESIGN: Barbie
SOUND: Oppenheimer
VISUAL EFFECTS: The Creator
ANIMATED FEATURE: Spider Man: Across the Spider-Verse
INTERNATIONAL FEATURE: The Zone of Interest
DOCUMENTARY FEATURE: 20 Days in Mariupol
LIVE-ACTION SHORT: The Wonderful Story of Henry Sugar
DOCUMENTARY SHORT:
ANIMATED SHORT:
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Post by mhynson27 on Jan 23, 2024 22:46:40 GMT
BEST ACTOR Brad Lee Cooper (fuck all y'all, NGNG) No Sir. You've already used your dark magic powers to get Bening a nom. |
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Post by JangoB on Jan 23, 2024 23:36:38 GMT
BEST ACTOR Brad Lee Cooper (fuck all y'all, NGNG) No Sir. You've already used your dark magic powers to get Bening a nom. I didn't wish for it, I was just trying to read their dark minds! |
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Post by Brother Fease on Jan 24, 2024 11:18:47 GMT
I'll go:
Best Picture - Oppenheimer
Best Director - St. Christopher
Best Actor - Paul Giamatti
Best Actress - Emma Stone
Best Supporting Actor - Robert Downey Jr
Best Supporting Actress - Da’Vine Joy Randolph
Best Adapted Screenplay - Cord Jefferson
Best Original Screenplay - Justine Triet & Arthur Harari
Best Animated Feature - The Boy and The Heron
Best Documentary - 20 Days in Mariupol
Best Cinematography, Editing, Sound, Score - Oppenheimer
Best Costume Design, Production Design - Barbie
Best Original Song - What Was I Made for
Best Visual Effects - The Creator
Best Makeup & Hairstyling - Maestro
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Post by DanQuixote on Jan 24, 2024 13:12:31 GMT
Picture: Oppenheimer
Director: Christopher Nolan
Actor: Paul Giamatti (or the SAG winner)
Actress: Lily Gladstone (or the SAG winner)
Supporting Actor: Robert Downey Jr.
Supporting Actress: Da'Vine Joy Randolph
Original Screenplay: Anatomy of a Fall
Adapted Screenplay: Barbie
Cinematography: Oppenheimer
Editing: Oppenheimer
Production Design: Barbie
Costume Design: Barbie
Makeup & Hairstyling: Maestro
Original Score: Oppenheimer
Original Song: "What Was I Made For?", Barbie
Sound: Oppenheimer
Visual Effects: The Creator
Animated Feature: Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse
International Feature: The Zone of Interest
Documentary: 20 Days of Mariupol
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Post by stephen on Jan 24, 2024 16:02:15 GMT
Best Picture: Oppenheimer
Best Director: Christopher Nolan, Oppenheimer
Best Actor: Paul Giamatti, The Holdovers
Best Actress: Emma Stone, Poor Things
Best Supporting Actor: Robert Downey, Jr., Oppenheimer
Best Supporting Actress: Da'Vine Joy Randolph, The Holdovers
Best Original Screenplay: The Holdovers
Best Adapted Screenplay: Barbie
Best International Feature: The Zone of Interest
Best Documentary Feature: 20 Days in Mariupol
Best Animated Feature: Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse
Best Cinematography: Oppenheimer
Best Production Design: Barbie
Best Costume Design: Poor Things
Best Makeup & Hairstyling: Maestro
Best Visual Effects: The Creator
Best Film Editing: Oppenheimer
Best Sound: Oppenheimer
Best Score: Oppenheimer
Best Song: "What Was I Made For?" - Barbie
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Post by finniussnrub on Jan 24, 2024 16:31:58 GMT
Why are so many predicting Oppenheimer will lose screenplay, it's has all the trademarks of an Oscar winning screenplay (e.g. dialogue driven)? Please don't say Critics Choice.
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Post by stephen on Jan 24, 2024 16:38:29 GMT
Why are so many predicting Oppenheimer will lose screenplay, it's has all the trademarks of an Oscar winning screenplay (e.g. dialogue driven)? Please don't say Critics Choice. Mainly because I feel like it's their way to give Greta her flowers, especially in the wake of this ridiculous backlash. Nolan's already getting Director and Picture, and while last year they didn't spread the love, that's an anomaly in recent years. |
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Post by Tommen_Saperstein on Jan 24, 2024 16:47:25 GMT
Best Picture: Oppenheimer
Best Director: Chris Nolan
Lead Actor: Murphy
Lead Actress: Stone
Supporting Actor: RDJ
Supporting Actress: Randolph
Original Screenplay: The Holdovers
Adapted Screenplay: Barbie
Cinematography: Oppenheimer
Costume Design: Barbie
Film Editing: Oppenheimer
Makeup & Hairstyling: Maestro
Original Score: Oppenheimer
Original Song: Billie Eilish
Production Design: Barbie
Sound: Oppenheimer
Visual Effects: nooo clue... I'll go with The Creator
Animated Feature: The Boy and the Heron
International Feature: The Zone of Interest
Documentary: 20 Days in Mariupol
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Post by Brother Fease on Jan 24, 2024 17:16:39 GMT
Why are so many predicting Oppenheimer will lose screenplay, it's has all the trademarks of an Oscar winning screenplay (e.g. dialogue driven)? Please don't say Critics Choice. I am going with American Fiction, because it is the Toronto winner and won at Critics Choice. Plus, the Academy likes to honor satires. Oppy did not win the Globe or CCA. Screenplays are going to be hard to predict because the WGA is holding their awards in April. Barbie could very well win Adapted too. I have Oppy third. |
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Post by Brother Fease on Jan 24, 2024 17:18:43 GMT
Why are so many predicting Oppenheimer will lose screenplay, it's has all the trademarks of an Oscar winning screenplay (e.g. dialogue driven)? Please don't say Critics Choice. Mainly because I feel like it's their way to give Greta her flowers, especially in the wake of this ridiculous backlash. Nolan's already getting Director and Picture, and while last year they didn't spread the love, that's an anomaly in recent years. Picture and screenplay are the most popular combos in this preferential ballot system. |
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Post by stabcaesar on Jan 24, 2024 17:23:33 GMT
PICTURE: Oppenheimer
DIRECTOR: Christopher Nolan
LEAD ACTOR: Paul Giamatti
LEAD ACTRESS: Emma Stone
SUPPORTING ACTOR: Robert Downey Jr.
SUPPORTING ACTRESS: Da’Vine Joy Randolph
ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY: The Holdovers
ADAPTED SCREENPLAY: Barbie
CINEMATOGRAPHY: Oppenheimer
COSTUME DESIGN: Barbie
FILM EDITING: Oppenheimer
MAKEUP AND HAIRSTYLING: Maestro
ORIGINAL SCORE: Oppenheimer
ORIGINAL SONG: “What Was I Made For?”
PRODUCTION DESIGN: Barbie
SOUND: Oppenheimer
VISUAL EFFECTS: The Creator
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Post by stephen on Jan 24, 2024 17:23:44 GMT
Mainly because I feel like it's their way to give Greta her flowers, especially in the wake of this ridiculous backlash. Nolan's already getting Director and Picture, and while last year they didn't spread the love, that's an anomaly in recent years. Picture and screenplay are the most popular combos in this preferential ballot system. I know, but looking at the landscape of this particular season where Barbenheimer discourse dominated the year, and with Gerwig missing Director and unlikely to win Picture, Screenplay (which she was the presumed favourite in when it was running in Original) is a reasonable place where voters can have their cake and eat it, too. But look, I am not interested in debating stats or percentages or anything like that. I'm going off gut feeling. |
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Post by Brother Fease on Jan 24, 2024 17:35:28 GMT
Picture and screenplay are the most popular combos in this preferential ballot system. I know, but looking at the landscape of this particular season where Barbenheimer discourse dominated the year, and with Gerwig missing Director and unlikely to win Picture, Screenplay (which she was the presumed favourite in when it was running in Original) is a reasonable place where voters can have their cake and eat it, too. But look, I am not interested in debating stats or percentages or anything like that. I'm going off gut feeling. Barbie and American Fiction feel like better picks for screenplay over Oppy. However, if Oppy dominates the Guilds like with Everything or Birdman, I think smart money would be on Oppy for screenplay. I have American Fiction as my #1 at the moment. |
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Post by finniussnrub on Jan 24, 2024 18:09:03 GMT
Why are so many predicting Oppenheimer will lose screenplay, it's has all the trademarks of an Oscar winning screenplay (e.g. dialogue driven)? Please don't say Critics Choice. I am going with American Fiction, because it is the Toronto winner and won at Critics Choice. Plus, the Academy likes to honor satires. Oppy did not win the Globe or CCA. Screenplays are going to be hard to predict because the WGA is holding their awards in April. Barbie could very well win Adapted too. I have Oppy third. I told you NOT to say Critics Choice. The more important thing is the majority of Best picture winners win screenplay, those that lose are visual centric films not dialogue driven ones like Oppenheimer. |
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Post by Brother Fease on Jan 24, 2024 19:19:20 GMT
I am going with American Fiction, because it is the Toronto winner and won at Critics Choice. Plus, the Academy likes to honor satires. Oppy did not win the Globe or CCA. Screenplays are going to be hard to predict because the WGA is holding their awards in April. Barbie could very well win Adapted too. I have Oppy third. I told you NOT to say Critics Choice. The more important thing is the majority of Best picture winners win screenplay, those that lose are visual centric films not dialogue driven ones like Oppenheimer. I mentioned more than just CCA. Also, if you look at my other post, I mentioned that Oppy will most likely to win screenplay if the major Guilds go crazy for it. |
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Post by finniussnrub on Jan 24, 2024 20:16:42 GMT
I told you NOT to say Critics Choice. The more important thing is the majority of Best picture winners win screenplay, those that lose are visual centric films not dialogue driven ones like Oppenheimer. I mentioned more than just CCA. Also, if you look at my other post, I mentioned that Oppy will most likely to win screenplay if the major Guilds go crazy for it. Yeah you mentioned TIFF award, which doesn't equal to screenplay winner. You mentioned Globes which went to Anatomy of a Fall, which is also nothing because it's an original screenplay. But also all are not academy bodies, where let's look at the academy, where Barbie underperformed overall, twitter may be raging over the snubs, but does the academy care? The success of Green Book and Bohemian Rhapsody says, no. |
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Post by Pittsnogle_Goggins on Jan 24, 2024 22:04:59 GMT
Picture: Oppenheimer
Director: Christopher Nolan
Actor: Paul Giamatti
Actress: Lily Gladstone
Supporting Actor: Robert Downey Jr.
Supporting Actress: Da'Vine Joy Randolph
Original Screenplay: Anatomy of a Fall
Adapted Screenplay: Oppenheimer
Cinematography: Oppenheimer
Editing: Oppenheimer
Production Design: Barbie
Costume Design: Barbie
Makeup & Hairstyling: Maestro
Original Score: Oppenheimer
Original Song: "What Was I Made For?", Barbie
Sound: Oppenheimer
Visual Effects: Godzilla Minus One
Animated Feature: The Boy and the Heron
International Feature: The Zone of Interest
Documentary: 20 Days of Mariupol
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Post by Brother Fease on Jan 24, 2024 23:58:28 GMT
I mentioned more than just CCA. Also, if you look at my other post, I mentioned that Oppy will most likely to win screenplay if the major Guilds go crazy for it. You mentioned Globes which went to Anatomy of a Fall, which is also nothing because it's an original screenplay. But also all are not academy bodies, where let's look at the academy, where Barbie underperformed overall, twitter may be raging over the snubs, but does the academy care? The success of Green Book and Bohemian Rhapsody says, no. 2022 - The Fabelmans (No Oscar wins) 2021 - Belfast (Original Screenplay) 2020 - Nomadland (Picture, Director, Actress) 2019 - Jojo Rabbit (Adapted Screenplay) 2018 - Green Book (Picture, Supporting Actor, Original Screenplay) 2017 - Three Billboards (Actress, Supporting Actor) 2016 - La La Land (6 Oscar wins for Director, Actress, Score, Song, Cinematography, Production Design) 2015 - Room (Actress) 2014 - Imitation Game (Adapted Screenplay) 2013 - 12 Years A Slave (Picture, Adapted Screenplay, Supporting Actress) 2012 - Silver Linings Playbook (Actress) 2010 - The King's Speech (Picture, Director, Actor, Original Screenplay) 2009 - Precious (Supporting Actress, Adapted Screenplay) 2008 - Slumdog Millionaire (Picture, Director, Adapted Screenplay, Cinematography, Editing, Sound Mixing, Song, Score)
Out of the 14 People's Choice winners to score a Best Picture nomination, The Fabelmans is the only one to go home empty-handed. If there's a category ripe for American Fiction to fulfill the "at least one win" quota, it is Adapted Screenplay.
I am not guaranteeing a win, but I wouldn't rule out American Fiction as a potential winner here. Barbie and Oppy are strong contenders too.
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Post by sterlingarcher86 on Jan 26, 2024 14:58:09 GMT
Tip for those of you who are into betting. Paul Giamatti is currently 4\1 for winning best actor. Honestly I think that's good odds now but DO NOT bet now. Wait until the minute he wins SAG and then place the bet before they change the odds. I do this every year. Last year I did it with Jamie Lee Curtis right after SAG and the year before Troy Kotzur right after BAFTA. Alway at least double my money. My account started with 100 and it now up to 900.
If Paul doesn't win SAG and Lily does you can do the same with her but her odds are like 2/1.
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