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Post by Brother Fease on Jan 20, 2024 0:52:25 GMT
DGA NOMINEES Greta Gerwig - Barbie Alexander Payne - The Holdovers Martin Scorsese - Killers of the Flower Moon
Christopher Nolan - Oppenheimer Yorgos Lanthimos - Poor Things
Nolan won the Globe, Critics Choice, and NY Film Critics Best Director award. Scorsese took home NBR. Jonathan Glazer for The Zone of Interest won Best Director prizes at LA Film Critics and National Society of Film Critics awards. Bradley Cooper for Maestro earned Best Director nominations at the Globes, Critics Choice, and BAFTA awards. Andrew Haigh for All of Us Strangers and Justine Triet for Anatomy of a Fall were nominated for the BAFTA. Celine Song for Past Lives landed a Globe nomination for Best Director.
Nolan & Payne are the only directors with a DGA and BAFTA nomination for Best Director.
In the last 10 years, 39/50 DGA nominees went on to score a Best Director nomination at the Oscars. That comes to an average of 4/5 per year.
Ruben Östlund for Triangle of Sadness, Lenny Abrahamson for Room, Benh Zeitlin for Beasts of The Southern Wild, Jason Reitman for Juno, and Fernando Meirelles for City of God are the only directors to get nominated this century without any nominations from the Big 4 precursor awards. All of these contenders were nominated for a Golden Globe Best Motion Picture award. So for your out of the box nominees, I'll include Ben Affleck for Air, Todd Haynes for May December, Cord Jefferson for American Fiction, and J. A. Bayona for Society of the Snow.
11 of the last 15 People's Choice winners at the Toronto International Film Festival score Best Picture, Best Director, and Screenplay awards.
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speeders
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Post by speeders on Jan 21, 2024 11:33:54 GMT
Nolan Scorsese Payne Lanthimos Glazer
Alt. Triet
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Post by JangoB on Jan 21, 2024 11:52:39 GMT
1. Christopher Nolan 2. Martin Scorsese 3. Alexander Payne 4. Yorgos Lanthimos 5. Jonathan Glazer
It feels very strange to predict an all-male lineup considering how big Anatomy of a Fall and Barbie are, but I just don't know how to throw out any of the dudes I've got there.
Nolan is locked.
Scorsese is kinda locked too - the directors branch worships him.
Payne seems to be in an excellent spot with that BAFTA mention and with The Holdovers being so admired by everyone, plus this branch loves him too.
Lanthimos missing makes no sense to me considering how much of a visionary directorial showcase his film is described to be (I still haven't seen it).
And Glazer just feels right as this year's international pick with his experimental and eye-catching approach to heavy subject matter.
Triet can certainly get in on the strength of her movie alone, and she's got European support, and she can become the female pick of the year... but compared to those other guys her achievement is the least flashy/fancy one. She's my alt pick and I want to predict her but, to quote Eddie Redmayne in The Good Nurse, I can't. And Gerwig is probably the hitmaker snub of the year. But I wouldn't be surprised to see her nominated either. Maybe we're in for some crazy surprises, who knows.
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Post by stabcaesar on Jan 21, 2024 11:57:37 GMT
1. Christopher Nolan 2. Martin Scorsese 3. Alexander Payne 4. Yorgos Lanthimos 5. Jonathan Glazer It feels very strange to predict an all-male lineup considering how big Anatomy of a Fall and Barbie are, but I just don't know how to throw out any of the dudes I've got there. Nolan is locked. Scorsese is kinda locked too - the directors branch worships him. Payne seems to be in an excellent spot with that BAFTA mention and with The Holdovers being so admired by everyone, plus this branch loves him too. Lanthimos missing makes no sense to me considering how much of a visionary directorial showcase his film is described to be (I still haven't seen it). And Glazer just feels right as this year's international pick with his experimental and eye-catching approach to heavy subject matter. Triet can certainly get in on the strength of her movie alone, and she's got European support, and she can become the female pick of the year... but compared to those other guys her achievement is the least flashy/fancy one. She's my alt pick and I want to predict her but, to quote Eddie Redmayne in The Good Nurse, I can't. And Gerwig is probably the hitmaker snub of the year. But I wouldn't be surprised to see her nominated either. Maybe we're in for some crazy surprises, who knows. MTE
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Post by mhynson27 on Jan 21, 2024 13:30:58 GMT
Nolan Payne Scorsese Lanthimos Triet
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Post by Brother Fease on Jan 21, 2024 15:25:16 GMT
1. Christopher Nolan 2. Martin Scorsese 3. Alexander Payne 4. Yorgos Lanthimos 5. Jonathan Glazer It feels very strange to predict an all-male lineup considering how big Anatomy of a Fall and Barbie are, but I just don't know how to throw out any of the dudes I've got there. Nolan is locked. Scorsese is kinda locked too - the directors branch worships him. Payne seems to be in an excellent spot with that BAFTA mention and with The Holdovers being so admired by everyone, plus this branch loves him too. Lanthimos missing makes no sense to me considering how much of a visionary directorial showcase his film is described to be (I still haven't seen it). And Glazer just feels right as this year's international pick with his experimental and eye-catching approach to heavy subject matter. Triet can certainly get in on the strength of her movie alone, and she's got European support, and she can become the female pick of the year... but compared to those other guys her achievement is the least flashy/fancy one. She's my alt pick and I want to predict her but, to quote Eddie Redmayne in The Good Nurse, I can't. And Gerwig is probably the hitmaker snub of the year. But I wouldn't be surprised to see her nominated either. Maybe we're in for some crazy surprises, who knows. I have a slightly different order, but same nominees.
1. St. Christopher - Nominated for all four major precursor awards. Won at NY, Globe, and Critics Choice 2. St. Martin - Only missed at BAFTA. Won the NBR Best Director prize. 3. Jonathan Glazer - Nominated at the BAFTA. Won Best Director at the Boston Film Critics, LA, and NSFC.
4. Alexander Payne - Only missed at the Globes. Payne is well respected within the industry. All three of his previous Best Picture nominated films were up for Best Director.
Those are the four I am most confident in. For the last one, I can see them going for Cord Jefferson, Justin Triet, Bradley Cooper, Greta Gerwig, or Yorgos Lanthimos. My head tells me Lanthimos. That feels more like a Director's Branch type of a pick.
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