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Post by youngserling on Jan 18, 2024 16:43:09 GMT
And not just because she wasn't nominated for a Bafta. Lily Gladstone and Emma Stone feel confident in the category, the Cate Blanchett and Michelle Yeoh of the year, it is impossible to imagine that they will not be nominated. But what if voters feel that Lily Gladstone is safe and decide to support someone else. I honestly feel that last year many felt that Andrea Riseborough needed that support and voted for her and in the end an apparently safe Viola Davis was left out.
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Post by Pittsnogle_Goggins on Jan 18, 2024 16:51:29 GMT
No
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Post by JangoB on Jan 18, 2024 17:03:03 GMT
Narp
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Post by Brother Fease on Jan 18, 2024 17:18:24 GMT
Gladstone is getting nominated, but she is not likely to win. All hail Emma Stone.
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Post by RiverleavesElmius on Jan 18, 2024 17:45:21 GMT
Gladstone is getting nominated, but she is not likely to win. All hail Emma Stone. Boy, you sure change your tune quickly. All because of BAFTA? Phhft, BAFTA is literally the WORST Oscar harbinger in the last 10 years. SAG and the rest of the guilds are much more important. I'm rooting for Stone, it's the performance if the year imo, but it's very much a horse-race between her and Gladstone.
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Post by jasonjoliepitt on Jan 18, 2024 18:04:20 GMT
I really hope so. Would love to see Aunjanue Ellis made it in instead and then we can have the Riseborough hurricane all over again lol. Frances Fisher has shown her power y'all
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Post by ibbi on Jan 18, 2024 18:25:30 GMT
It would be deeply and disgustingly funny if Scorsese, DeNiro and Sling Blade all got nominated, and there was no mention of Mrs. Mollie Cobb.
But no, I don't think so. The argument you're making you could make about literally anyone. People are as likely to have thought that way about every potential front runner in every category in every year.
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Post by countjohn on Jan 18, 2024 18:32:39 GMT
Err, no, she's still the frontrunner. BAFTA is close to useless as an Oscar precursor these days with their funky rules.
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Post by stephen on Jan 18, 2024 18:36:03 GMT
No, but it did narrow her win margin substantially. She can't afford to lose SAG now, and it would be even better if Stone didn't win BAFTA.
I do expect that the BAFTA snub and the resulting backlash can only help her case, though.
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Post by stabcaesar on Jan 18, 2024 18:41:23 GMT
No she isn't, but I don't see her winning at all. The reality is she's supporting in her film and that really hurts her chances.
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Archie
Based
Eraserhead son or Inland Empire daughter?
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Post by Archie on Jan 18, 2024 19:13:22 GMT
I don't get this silly overreaction. If anything, the BAFTA snub has actually increased her chances of winning. The backlash is insane, and she will fully capitalize on that.
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Post by DanQuixote on Jan 18, 2024 19:30:26 GMT
Nah.
However, the race between Stone and Gladstone (and maaaaaybe Hüller) for the win is much closer now. I think Gladstone still takes SAG, Stone takes BAFTA and then Gladstone takes the Oscar. Kinda like Yeoh last year in terms of trajectory.
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filmnoir
Full Member
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Post by filmnoir on Jan 18, 2024 20:50:10 GMT
I don't get this silly overreaction. If anything, the BAFTA snub has actually increased her chances of winning. The backlash is insane, and she will fully capitalize on that. People said the same thing about Kristen Stewart, Carey Mulligan. Film Twitter is not AMPAS.
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Post by pupdurcs on Jan 18, 2024 20:53:20 GMT
I don't get this silly overreaction. If anything, the BAFTA snub has actually increased her chances of winning. The backlash is insane, and she will fully capitalize on that. People said the same thing about Kristen Stewart, Carey Mulligan. Film Twitter is not AMPAS. Cold, but harsh reality . We are probably looking at 2 time Best Actress winner Emma Stone now.
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Post by mhynson27 on Jan 18, 2024 21:19:45 GMT
Nope
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Post by mhynson27 on Jan 18, 2024 21:21:13 GMT
I don't get this silly overreaction. If anything, the BAFTA snub has actually increased her chances of winning. The backlash is insane, and she will fully capitalize on that. People said the same thing about Kristen Stewart, Carey Mulligan. Film Twitter is not AMPAS. Totally different. The Gladstone backlash is for a much more specific reason than just 'film twitter likes her'.
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filmnoir
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Post by filmnoir on Jan 18, 2024 21:50:35 GMT
People said the same thing about Kristen Stewart, Carey Mulligan. Film Twitter is not AMPAS. Totally different. The Gladstone backlash is for a much more specific reason than just 'film twitter likes her'. What is the specific reason - considering in this case Scorsese and DiCaprio were also snubbed. Stewart and Mulligan were the early front runners. When Stewart bombed at SAG and BAFTA, and Mulligan at BAFTA, Film Twitter insisted there was going to be a backlash that propelled them to Oscar wins. We all know how that turned out.
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Post by PromNightCarrie on Jan 18, 2024 21:59:02 GMT
No. Looking at the recent history of the BAFTAs, they aren't reliable with their weird system now. I still have her and Stone as the real face off on Oscar night.
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Post by JangoB on Jan 18, 2024 22:42:14 GMT
I don't get this silly overreaction. If anything, the BAFTA snub has actually increased her chances of winning. The backlash is insane, and she will fully capitalize on that. People said the same thing about Kristen Stewart, Carey Mulligan. Film Twitter is not AMPAS. Those two weren't about to become the first Native American BA winner in history for a BP contender about the genocide of them.
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filmnoir
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Post by filmnoir on Jan 18, 2024 23:04:37 GMT
People said the same thing about Kristen Stewart, Carey Mulligan. Film Twitter is not AMPAS. Those two weren't about to become the first Native American BA winner in history for a BP contender about the genocide of them. If Gladstone wins, I don't think it's because of a backlash on Film Twitter.
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Post by Brother Fease on Jan 18, 2024 23:54:44 GMT
Gladstone is getting nominated, but she is not likely to win. All hail Emma Stone. Boy, you sure change your tune quickly. All because of BAFTA? Phhft, BAFTA is literally the WORST Oscar harbinger in the last 10 years. SAG and the rest of the guilds are much more important. I'm rooting for Stone, it's the performance if the year imo, but it's very much a horse-race between her and Gladstone. Lets be clear on a few things here:
1. Jessica Chastain, Sandra Bullock, and Hilary Swank are the only actresses to win Oscar, but without a BAFTA nomination. I am referring to the years when the BAFTAs came before the Oscars. Chastain won the Oscar, when none of the BAFTA nominees failed to make the Oscar list. Bullock and Swank had screener issues. Theron and Berry were nominated in the next calendar season. Gladstone missing here is a big deal.
2. I am not saying it is impossible for Gladstone to win the Oscar. But it is indeed a hurdle. If the Guilds go crazy for KOTFM, Gladstone would be a smart pick.
3. No where am I changing "my tune". When facts change, so does my opinion. That should be true for everybody.
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Post by stabcaesar on Jan 19, 2024 1:19:31 GMT
Gladstone missed because she’s supporting in her film. Supporting campaigning for lead almost never wins.
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Post by futuretrunks on Jan 19, 2024 1:55:28 GMT
Her obstacle is the nomination, so yes, she's in danger. If she gets nominated, ____ will make some calls. Stone will fade.
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Post by Tommen_Saperstein on Jan 19, 2024 1:57:37 GMT
Gladstone might be moving down a spot or two but there's no way she doesn't get nominated.
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Post by Allenism on Jan 19, 2024 2:22:59 GMT
The BAFTA snub doesn't really mean much, but it does hurt her chances of winning. Stone has a previous and quite recent win in her disfavour, Huller being a relative unknown in a film not many people saw probably seals her fate as a nominee only, too. Robbie's nom seems almost locked at this point, but the passion for Barbie is diffused across many elements of it and not really concentrated on her performance. I have a gut feeling that Mulligan is the dark horse who ends up dashing the finish line, kind of like Chastain in her year.
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