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Post by stephen on Jan 10, 2024 19:15:14 GMT
Outstanding Directorial Achievement in a Theatrical Feature Film: Greta Gerwig, Barbie Yorgos Lanthimos, Poor Things Christopher Nolan, Oppenheimer Alexander Payne, The Holdovers Martin Scorsese, Killers of the Flower Moon
First Time Theatrical Feature: Cord Jefferson, American Fiction Manuela Martelli, Chile ’76 Noora Niasari, Shayda A. V. Rockwell, A Thousand and One Celine Song, Past Lives
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Post by JangoB on Jan 10, 2024 19:21:21 GMT
No alarms and no surprises.
Still, as much as AMPAS likes him, I think Payne'll sit this one out with Glazer or Triet replacing him.
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Post by wilcinema on Jan 10, 2024 19:23:11 GMT
DGA is always the most boring guild. This might be one of those years where the Academy goes 5/5.
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Post by Pavan on Jan 10, 2024 19:23:28 GMT
Pleasantly surprised by Payne's nomination. Cooper sinks further.
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Post by sterlingarcher86 on Jan 10, 2024 19:27:33 GMT
Regardless of who gets nominated for director these would so be our BP nominees in a year with 5
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filmnoir
Full Member
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Post by filmnoir on Jan 10, 2024 19:33:33 GMT
Pleasantly surprised by Payne's nomination. Cooper sinks further. I don't think Payne is all that surprising. Cooper wasn't expected to be nominated. The miss was Glazer who won LAFC, NSFC.
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Post by Brother Fease on Jan 10, 2024 19:51:55 GMT
Pleasantly surprised by Payne's nomination. Cooper sinks further. Payne is probably going to be the odd man out. It is probably going to Glazer.
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Post by Pittsnogle_Goggins on Jan 10, 2024 21:35:35 GMT
No alarms and no surprises. Still, as much as AMPAS likes him, I think Payne'll sit this one out with Glazer or Triet replacing him. I wouldn’t be surprised in both Glazer and Triet got in over Payne and Gerwig
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Post by DanQuixote on Jan 10, 2024 21:38:57 GMT
Nolan, Scorsese and Lanthimos are locks. I think Payne, Gerwig, Triet, Glazer and maaaaaybe Song are fighting for the final two slots. I’ll say Glazer and Triet for now.
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havok2
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Post by havok2 on Jan 10, 2024 21:41:31 GMT
Change Celine for Lanthimos and theres your Oscar nominees
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Post by mhynson27 on Jan 10, 2024 23:54:09 GMT
Haven't even seen the film, but I wish the Philippou's got in for first feature.
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Post by mhynson27 on Jan 10, 2024 23:54:35 GMT
Change Celine for Lanthimos and theres your Oscar nominees Why do you think Lanthimos is the vulnerable one??
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Post by finniussnrub on Jan 11, 2024 1:31:12 GMT
I see much doubt on Payne, however it is worth noting that the director's branch likes him even more than DGA, having nominated him for Nebraska where the DGA ignored him. Additionally, every time Payne's film has gotten into picture, he's made it into director.
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filmnoir
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Post by filmnoir on Jan 11, 2024 2:10:28 GMT
No alarms and no surprises. Still, as much as AMPAS likes him, I think Payne'll sit this one out with Glazer or Triet replacing him. I wouldn’t be surprised in both Glazer and Triet got in over Payne and Gerwig That would mean Scorsese would be the only American nominee. People here don't like Barbie, but it has performed very well with the guilds.
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Post by RiverleavesElmius on Jan 11, 2024 2:11:16 GMT
Why are so many people in such bullheaded stubborn denial about Gerwig being a LOCK?? 🤷♂️ I called her a lock before they even announced the GG nods, but I thought the DGA's were gonna finally have the naysayers accept reality. And I say this as someone who liked but didn't love BARBIE.
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Post by finniussnrub on Jan 11, 2024 2:14:15 GMT
I wouldn’t be surprised in both Glazer and Triet got in over Payne and Gerwig That would mean Scorsese would be the only American nominee. People here don't like Barbie, but it has performed very well with the guilds. So did Dune and Top Gun.
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Post by stabcaesar on Jan 11, 2024 2:17:30 GMT
The fact that Cooper didn’t make it here gives me hope that he or Mulligan might lose their spot to someone with more passion. He was nominated for A Star Is Born.
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Post by sterlingarcher86 on Jan 11, 2024 2:21:45 GMT
Maybe this will just be the 5 honestly. Glazer feels like the kind of thing they would do but he couldn’t make the Globes and they seem to be very high brow now much like the directors branch. He will make Bafta but he’s British so of course. Maybe Yorgos will just take the artsy slot.
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Post by finniussnrub on Jan 11, 2024 2:22:07 GMT
Why are so many people in such bullheaded stubborn denial about Gerwig being a LOCK?? 🤷♂️ I called her a lock before they even announced the GG nods, but I thought the DGA's were gonna finally have the naysayers accept reality. And I say this as someone who liked but didn't love BARBIE. DGA frequently isn't 5/5 and frequently the one who misses is the the director of the biggest boxoffice hit out of the nominees: Kosinski, Villeneuve (Dune), Nolan (Inception, Dark Knight), Fincher (TGWTDT), Eastwood (American Sniper), Scott (The Martian). So while Gerwig's in a good position, it's being needlessly stubborn to declare her an unquestionable lock.
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Post by sterlingarcher86 on Jan 11, 2024 2:28:24 GMT
Why are so many people in such bullheaded stubborn denial about Gerwig being a LOCK?? 🤷♂️ I called her a lock before they even announced the GG nods, but I thought the DGA's were gonna finally have the naysayers accept reality. And I say this as someone who liked but didn't love BARBIE. DGA frequently isn't 5/5 and frequently the one who misses is the the director of the biggest boxoffice hit out of the nominees: Kosinski, Villeneuve (Dune), Nolan (Inception, Dark Knight), Fincher (TGWTDT), Eastwood (American Sniper), Scott (The Martian). So while Gerwig's in a good position, it's being needlessly stubborn to declare her an unquestionable lock. There is never more than 3 locks in any Best Director race. Easily the least predictable above the line category. This is coming from someone currently predicting DGA to match 5/5.
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Post by finniussnrub on Jan 11, 2024 2:34:39 GMT
Maybe this will just be the 5 honestly. Glazer feels like the kind of thing they would do but he couldn’t make the Globes and they seem to be very high brow now much like the directors branch. He will make Bafta but he’s British so of course. Maybe Yorgos will just take the artsy slot.I mean theoretically you could've said that about Field last year, and the branch still pulled the wildcard of Östlund. With him, Hamaguichi, and Vinterberg, it's hard not to see it as a deliberate trend, and I can't help but feel that there's a group chat somewhere of director branches voters colluding on who is going to be their idiosyncratic pick this year.
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Post by Brother Fease on Jan 11, 2024 2:41:54 GMT
We never know with the director’s branch — they did leave out Ron Howard for Apollo 13, Ben Affleck, and Kathryn Bigelow. Scorsese and Nolan feels the most safe.
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Post by sterlingarcher86 on Jan 11, 2024 2:44:06 GMT
Maybe this will just be the 5 honestly. Glazer feels like the kind of thing they would do but he couldn’t make the Globes and they seem to be very high brow now much like the directors branch. He will make Bafta but he’s British so of course. Maybe Yorgos will just take the artsy slot.I mean theoretically you could've said that about Field last year, and the branch still pulled the wildcard of Östlund. With him, Hamaguichi, and Vinterberg, it's hard not to see it as a deliberate trend, and I can't help but feel that there's a group chat somewhere of director branches voters colluding on who is going to be their idiosyncratic pick this year. It’s just that the guy who feels like the one they would normally leave out is a guy who never misses when his film gets best picture. This lineup is stronger than most DGA lineups. This has been the top 5 movies for a while now. Ironic since I say this is the least predictable category but at this point this would be the least predictable thing for them to do.
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filmnoir
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Post by filmnoir on Jan 11, 2024 3:24:27 GMT
That would mean Scorsese would be the only American nominee. People here don't like Barbie, but it has performed very well with the guilds. So did Dune and Top Gun. Every year is different. But neither of their films got any acting nominations or was known for their acting. And Kosinski was always seen as vulnerable.
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Post by mhynson27 on Jan 11, 2024 4:22:19 GMT
The fact that Cooper didn’t make it here gives me hope that he or Mulligan might lose their spot to someone with more passion. He was nominated for A Star Is Born. Come on now, Cooper isn't missing.
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