Who wins the major BAFTA awards?

They will be airing on February 2nd. Before 2000, the BAFTAs aired after the Oscars. Now they air before. When we look at the BAFTAs in the 21st century, we have the following statistics:

Best Picture  - 8/19 or 42%

Best Director  - 11/19 or 58%

Best Actor - 12/19 or 63%

Best Actress - 14/19 or 74%

Best Supporting Actor - 11/19 or 58%

Best Supporting Actress - 13/19 or 68%

Best Adapted Screenplay - 9/19 or 47%

Best Original Screenplay -  11/19 or 58%

- The BAFTA Best Picture and the Oscar Best Picture have not lined up since 12 Years a Slave. In fact, I think it's good luck to NOT win the BAFTA. Last year, Green Book only won Supporting Actor. Moonlight was completely shutout. Birdman only took cinematography.

- The BAFTAs and Oscars have lined-up in the major categories at most 6 out of 8.

- Since 2010, the BAFTA Best Actress winner has gone on to win 8 of the last 9 times. And yes, the BAFTAs did accurately predict Meryl Streep to win over Viola Davis, and Olivia Colman over Glenn Close. The misses in 2001, 2003, 2004 and 2009 were understandable. You had either screener issues or the film being released in a different year than the American release.

Who wins in the major BAFTAs?

Best Film - 1917 or Once Upon A Time in Hollywood. The Brits tend to go with the British film or the Globe winner.

Best Director - Mendes

Best Actor - Joaquin Phoenix

Best Actress - Renee Zellwegger

Best Supporting Actor - Brad Pitt

Best Supporting Actress - Laura Dern or Margo Robbie (whether it be Once or Bombshell)

Best Adapted Screenplay - Maybe Waititi or Gerwig or Zaillian

Best Original Screenplay - Tarantino

I can also see them digging The Irishman.