WGA Preview and Predictions: Who Wins?

Brother Fease
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WGA Preview and Predictions: Who Wins? Jan 26, 2020 13:46:16 GMT

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Post by Brother Fease on Jan 26, 2020 13:46:16 GMT

Maybe these are going to be predictable or maybe not. Lets see.

BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY

A Beautiful Day in the Neighborhood - Micah Fitzerman-Blue and Noah Harpster
The Irishman - Steven Zaillian
Jojo Rabbit - Taika Waititi
Joker - Todd Phillips and Scott Silver
Little Women - Greta Gerwig

Anthony McCarten's script, The Two Popes, was deemed as original by the WGA rules. I highly doubt this omission will matter to Academy members, seeing as how it wasn't nominated for Best Picture. Statistically, 23 out of 34 WGA Adapted Screenplay winners have gone on to win the Oscar for writing or 68%. Some of these misses were due to eligible rules. Recent examples would be Moonlight (eligible for original), 12 Years A Slave, and The Pianist. Since 2000, the USC Scripter and the WGA have lined up 12 out of 19 times.

Gerwig's adaptation is the obvious favorite here. She won the Critics Choice and Scripter, and her film is up for Best Picture. Other possibilities are Jojo Rabbit for taking a bleak novel about Nazism and turning it into a satirical comedy, or The Irishman for adapting a thick "non-fiction" book into a three and half hour long film.

BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY

1917 - Sam Mendes & Krysty Wilson-Cairns
Booksmart - Emily Halpern & Sarah Haskins and Susanna Fogel and Katie Silberman
Knives Out - Rian Johnson
Marriage Story - Noah Baumbach
Parasite - Bong Joon-ho and Han Jin-won

The obvious omission here and favorite to win the entire thing is Quentin Tarantino's Once Upon a Time in Hollywood. He won the Globe and Critics Choice for his re-telling of the Sharon Tate murder and the end of the Golden Age of Hollywood. That leaves us with a wide open race. I wouldn't rule out any of these, and that includes the only non-Oscar nominee, Booksmart. Statistically, 22 out of 34 Original WGA winners have gone on to win the Oscar for writing or 65%. Birdman, Django Unchained, The King's Speech, Talk to Her, The Usual Suspects and Pulp Fiction are the recent examples of WGA eligibility rules impacting the winners.

Last Edit: Jan 29, 2020 2:37:39 GMT by Brother Fease

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TerryMontana God Tier Posts: 8,215 Likes: 4,799	WGA Preview and Predictions: Who Wins? Jan 26, 2020 14:23:04 GMT Quote Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Member Give Gift Back to Top Post by TerryMontana on Jan 26, 2020 14:23:04 GMT The Irishman and Parasite. If QT was eligible, it'd be him.

stephen Legend "Not my remains, Al." Posts: 24,712 Likes: 24,986	WGA Preview and Predictions: Who Wins? Jan 26, 2020 14:26:23 GMT Quote Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Member Give Gift Back to Top Post by stephen on Jan 26, 2020 14:26:23 GMT Gerwig and Bong/Han, who go on to win the Oscars.
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JangoB Legend Posts: 11,665 Likes: 10,683 Member is Online	WGA Preview and Predictions: Who Wins? Jan 26, 2020 14:32:13 GMT Quote Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Member Give Gift Back to Top Post by JangoB on Jan 26, 2020 14:32:13 GMT Yeah, I'm with Stephen on this one - Little Women and Parasite.
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tonyz New Member Posts: 98 Likes: 43	WGA Preview and Predictions: Who Wins? Jan 26, 2020 15:39:47 GMT Quote Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Member Give Gift Back to Top Post by tonyz on Jan 26, 2020 15:39:47 GMT Why was Quentin not eligible?
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Brother Fease
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WGA Preview and Predictions: Who Wins? Jan 26, 2020 15:52:41 GMT

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Post by Brother Fease on Jan 26, 2020 15:52:41 GMT

Jan 26, 2020 15:39:47 GMT tonyz said:

Why was Quentin not eligible?

The WGA has a rule, which should go away, that states that only WGA union members can win their screenplay awards. Quentin Tarantino is a member of the DGA union. I have heard in interviews, he wants to join the WGA union, but nobody will let him.

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Brother Fease
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WGA Preview and Predictions: Who Wins? Feb 1, 2020 12:54:09 GMT

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Post by Brother Fease on Feb 1, 2020 12:54:09 GMT

Bumping up the thread. Tonight is the big award. According to you guys, Little Women will win the WGA for Adapted, and Parasite will win for Original. But some of you, are thinking The Irishman and Marriage Story will upset.

Last Edit: Feb 1, 2020 12:54:26 GMT by Brother Fease

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TerryMontana God Tier Posts: 8,215 Likes: 4,799	WGA Preview and Predictions: Who Wins? Feb 1, 2020 13:29:27 GMT Brother Fease likes this Quote Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Member Give Gift Back to Top Post by TerryMontana on Feb 1, 2020 13:29:27 GMT Changing my (adapted) vote to Little Women.

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WGA Preview and Predictions: Who Wins? Feb 2, 2020 0:42:47 GMT

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Post by Tommen_Saperstein on Feb 2, 2020 0:42:47 GMT

Little Women and Parasite have it in the bag.

I'm really curious about who takes original at BAFTA. Are they going to follow suit with the Globes and give it to Tarantino's quintessential American film or go with Parasite which seems to have been received less passionately over there. This is one race that's still pretty interesting. Really hope Parasite comes out on top.

Deleted Deleted Member Posts: 0 Likes:	WGA Preview and Predictions: Who Wins? Feb 2, 2020 0:50:30 GMT Quote Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Member Give Gift Back to Top Post by Deleted on Feb 2, 2020 0:50:30 GMT Irishman whoops Little Women pretty bad in the writing department, hopefully that takes adapted.