9th Annual Best Picture Preferential Ballot Simulation

Hello everybody! Don't know if you remember me - but here I am, once again, with my 9th Annual Best Picture Preferential Ballot Simulation... All who have seen each of the nine Best Picture nominees at the Oscars this year (give or take a Ford v Ferrari, which clearly cannot win either the online simulation or the Oscar, and maybe also Marriage Story, for the same reason, although I'm less decided in that case) are invited to post their ranked ballots here - with sincere thanks in advance!

Since I myself haven't seen Little Women (or Parasite or Jojo Rabbit - but at least the first of these I'm seeing very soon) and won't be able to until the 7th or 8th (which is when it premieres over here), I will refrain from voting this year. (My mom also won't be able to vote, for similar reasons.) Unofficially, here is my ranking of the six movies I've seen thus far:

1. Marriage Story
2. Once Upon a Time... in Hollywood
3. 1917
4. The Irishman
5. Joker
6. Ford v Ferrari

(I also didn't vote last year, as I didn't see The Favourite in time. My mom did, though.)

The interesting thing about this is that there is now a six-year streak going of the likely runner-up for Best Picture at the Oscars finishing either runner-up or, in one case, tied for second place, in this simulation (as Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri was eliminated in third place only after a tie with Call Me By Your Name). The beginning of this streak coincides with the time I started holding these at both Awards Daily and the now defunct IMDb Message Boards. (The first two years I only did it on IMDb.) So, perhaps, with everybody's help, we can once more get a not insignificant clue about which of the contenders will NOT win Best Picture...

The history:

2011 The Social Network ----- details not saved (second place was Black Swan, I believe)
2012 - not held -
2013 Zero Dark Thirty --------- 37-24 over Silver Linings Playbook
2014 Her --------------------- 33-33 tied with Gravity, won 19-18 on total first place votes
2015 Birdman ----------------- 62-61 over Boyhood
2016 Mad Max: Fury Road ----- 51-37 over The Revenant
2017 Moonlight --------------- 41-32 over La La Land
2018 Phantom Thread --------- 39-33 over Call Me By Your Name
2019 The Favourite ----------- 45-30 over Roma

I will more than likely both tally the votes and announce the results on Monday.