The-Havok
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Post by The-Havok on Jan 12, 2020 16:52:53 GMT
If it misses key nominations like Director and Editing, I think it can miss Picture altogether. It already missed SAG Ensemble and the traction for it is weak. I don't buy it being top 5 it wasn't nominated for BAFTA Picture either
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Post by Pittsnogle_Goggins on Jan 12, 2020 17:12:45 GMT
I don’t think it will miss if they’re doing 8/9 noms but I’d be perfectly fine if it did. It’s outside of my personal top 20 so I certainly don’t think it’s BP worthy.
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Post by wilcinema on Jan 12, 2020 17:12:52 GMT
No.
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Post by TerryMontana on Jan 12, 2020 17:30:10 GMT
No.
I still believe it will miss a big nod (BD) or more probably a big Oscar win (only Dern wining, it will miss script) but it will get a BP nod.
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Post by countjohn on Jan 12, 2020 18:27:28 GMT
I personally wouldn't nod it but there's no way it doesn't get in.
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The-Havok
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Post by The-Havok on Jan 12, 2020 19:26:12 GMT
Btw Nathaniel Rogers is expecting it to miss
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filmnoir
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Post by filmnoir on Jan 12, 2020 19:45:56 GMT
Btw Nathaniel Rogers is expecting it to miss And he also has a horrible track record.
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The-Havok
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Post by The-Havok on Jan 12, 2020 19:54:57 GMT
Yeah, by your ugly face avatar LOL Mrs Pelosi deserves better
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The-Havok
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Post by The-Havok on Jan 12, 2020 19:55:08 GMT
Btw Nathaniel Rogers is expecting it to miss And he also has a horrible track record.
Pressed?
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morton
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Post by morton on Jan 12, 2020 19:57:18 GMT
Btw Nathaniel Rogers is expecting it to miss And he also has a horrible track record.
I don't follow The Film Experience as much as I used to because I liked it better for some reason when it was just him writing, but I feel so bad for him because the last few years have just broke him. I try not to get too involved with award season but usually fail, lol, but I know that having Glenn Close lose last year was a big dagger to the heart for him. He's also been crushed when Carol missed Best Picture, Gyllenhaal missed for Nightcrawler and when Kidman missed for The Paperboy among other things in the past decade. This year is almost going to be as bad as last year though if Zellweger does win because he's never been fond of her as an actress, and now she'll probably win a second Oscar while Close still has none.
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The-Havok
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Post by The-Havok on Jan 12, 2020 20:00:07 GMT
And he also has a horrible track record.
I don't follow The Film Experience as much as I used to because I liked it better for some reason when it was just him writing, but I feel so bad for him because the last few years have just broke him. I try not to get too involved with award season but usually fail, lol, but I know that having Glenn Close lose last year was a big dagger to the heart for him. He's also been crushed when Carol missed Best Picture, Gyllenhaal missed for Nightcrawler and when Kidman missed for The Paperboy among other things in the past decade. This year is almost going to be as bad as last year though if Zellweger does win because he's never been fond of her as an actress, and now she'll probably win a second Oscar while Close still has none. He's calling Lopez a lock when she missed BAFTA its over
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filmnoir
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Post by filmnoir on Jan 12, 2020 20:00:38 GMT
And he also has a horrible track record.
Pressed? You're twisting his words around. He only had 6 films that he felt were sure things. He said that Marriage Story will likely get in.
He said there may be an "extreme probability" it won't. That's not the same as "expects".
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The-Havok
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Post by The-Havok on Jan 12, 2020 20:02:14 GMT
You're twisting his words around. He only had 6 films that he felt were sure things. He said that Marriage Story will likely get in.
He said there may be an "extreme probability" it won't. That's not the same as "expects".
KEK you actually went and checked his predictions [laugh]
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filmnoir
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Post by filmnoir on Jan 13, 2020 14:03:14 GMT
Really???
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The-Havok
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Post by The-Havok on Jan 13, 2020 14:06:37 GMT
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filmnoir
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Post by filmnoir on Jan 13, 2020 14:09:49 GMT
Where? It got in every where were it expected - Picture, Actor, Actress, Supporting Actress, Original Screenplay, Score.
Baumbach was never predicted for Director. And it wouldn't have a lot of tech awards.
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Post by TerryMontana on Jan 13, 2020 17:05:07 GMT
It got 6 nods out of possible 7 (BD).
I also predicted it would underperform but I was wrong. You hardly call this underperformance...
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