Post by Brother Fease on Jan 11, 2020 14:19:52 GMT
I did acting, screenplay and now director and picture.
BEST DIRECTOR
Mendes, Scorsese, Joon-Ho, and Tarantino are pretty much locks. I say "pretty much" because look at Bradley Cooper, Ridley Scott, Ben Affleck, Kathryn Bigelow, Paul Greengrass, Baz Luhrmann, and Ang Lee. Every year, we seem to have one "sure-fire" getting left out. But in any case, "the big 4" all landed directing nominations at the Globes, DGA and BAFTAs. The last spot gets a bit tricky and quite frankly, I keep on going back and forth here. I believe our primary contenders here are Taika Waititi (DGA), Todd Phillips (BAFTA, Globe), or Greta Gerwig (NSFC winner). Safdie brothers won the NY Film Critics, but their film hasn't been getting any love or respect from the Guilds, BAFTAs, or Globes. If Banderas gets in for Best Actor, I wouldn't rule out Pedro Almodóvar either.
I did some research here, and it turns out, it's very rare for the Globes, BAFTAs, or DGAs to line-up with the Oscars. 2009, 2005, and 1998 were the last time the DGAs and Oscars lined-up. For the Globes, you go back to 1983, and that's when the Globes nominated 6 directors that year. For the BAFTAs, it was 2000 and 1996.
I'll probably change my mind before Monday, but I am going with Waititi.
BEST PICTURE
We have seven in the safe territory. I highly doubt any of these are going to miss. We have Once Upon a Time in Hollywood and 1917. Both won the Globe and landed PGA, DGA, and BAFTA Best Picture nominations. Parasite and The Irishman scored all of the major Guild and BAFTA nominations. Jojo Rabbit missed out on a BAFTA nomination, but was nominated for all the major Guild nominations and won at TIFF. Joker got the BAFTA, PGA and Globe nominations. Marriage Story seems to be slipping, but the Globe Best Drama and PGA nominations should be enough to get in. That leaves up to 3 wildcards here. The PGAs nominated Little Women, Knives Out and Ford v. Ferrari. The Globes in the Best Drama category really like The Two Popes.
If there's going to be an 8th and a 9th, I'll go with Little Women and then Knives Out.
