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Post by Brother Fease on Jan 1, 2020 2:54:10 GMT
Next week, we will have the PGA, WGA, and DGA nominations come out. I'll start with the PGAs. Since 2009, the PGAs and Oscar Best Picture winner have lined up 8 out of 10 times. The only misses were The Big Short and La La Land. Overall, they are accurate 21/30 times or 70%.
I believe there are six films in the safe/lock territory. You have The Irishman, Jojo Rabbit, Once Upon a Time in Hollywood, Parasite (all nabbed Critics Choice, Golden Globe and SAG Best Picture nominations, and an ACE nomination), Joker and Marriage Story. Joker and Marriage Story failed to score a SAG ensemble nomination, but on the flip side, scored the ACE, Golden Globe (Best Drama), and a Critics Choice (Best Picture) nominations.
That leaves four open spots. I am going to take a wild guess and say Ford v. Ferrari (ACE Drama nominee and Critics Choice Best Picture nominee), Knives Out (ACE Comedy/Musical nominee and Golden Globe Best Picture nominee), Bombshell (MeToo topic and SAG favorite) and 1917 (Picture and Director nominee at the Globes and Critics Choice) as the final four spots. Dolemite is My Name, The Farewell, The Two Popes, Little Women, Hustlers, A Beautiful Day in the Neighborhood, Rocketman, Uncut Gems, and Judy are very much in play.
How about you?
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morton
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Post by morton on Jan 1, 2020 3:21:18 GMT
I pretty much have the same lineup, but I would switch out Bombshell for maybe Uncut Gems or Little Women. The former is Scott Rudin and is doing very well right now at the box office and with critics while the latter is a hit at the box office too.
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rhodoraonline
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Your Generosity Hides Something Dirtier and Meaner
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Post by rhodoraonline on Jan 1, 2020 3:35:10 GMT
Agreeing with your line-up mostly. Knives Out I believe is quite vulnerable. Little Women could easily replace it I would say.
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Post by Brother Fease on Jan 1, 2020 4:03:45 GMT
Agreeing with your line-up mostly. Knives Out I believe is quite vulnerable. Little Women could easily replace it I would say. My issue with Little Women is no Art Director, Costume Design, ACE, or SAG nominations. Its been relatively quite. It even got left out of the Golden Globe Best Drama line-up. I am thinking Knives Out based on its population and the screenplay buzz its been getting.
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Post by TerryMontana on Jan 1, 2020 12:32:57 GMT
When is this happening?
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Post by pacinoyes on Jan 1, 2020 13:20:29 GMT
Little Women in, Bombshell out.......Little Women is a late comer and it's coming strong, Bombshell an underachieving SAG mostly thing.
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Post by Brother Fease on Jan 1, 2020 15:09:02 GMT
January 7th I believe.
WGA is on the 6th. PGA and DGA on the 7th.
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Post by TerryMontana on Jan 1, 2020 15:44:42 GMT
January 7th I believe.
WGA is on the 6th. PGA and DGA on the 7th.
Thanks!!!
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Post by mhynson27 on Jan 1, 2020 16:04:52 GMT
January 7th I believe.
WGA is on the 6th. PGA and DGA on the 7th.
BAFTA is on the 7th as well.
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Post by TerryMontana on Jan 1, 2020 17:04:08 GMT
January 7th I believe.
WGA is on the 6th. PGA and DGA on the 7th.
BAFTA is on the 7th as well. The nominations, yes. The awards will be presented February the 2nd iirc.
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Post by bruinjoe96 on Jan 1, 2020 20:20:36 GMT
1917 Bombshell Ford v. Ferrari The Irishman JoJo Rabbit Joker Marriage Story Once Upon a Time in Hollywood Parasite Uncut Gems
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The-Havok
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Post by The-Havok on Jan 1, 2020 20:22:29 GMT
1917 Bombshell Ford v. Ferrari The Irishman JoJo Rabbit Joker Marriage Story Once Upon a Time in Hollywood Parasite Uncut Gems No Avengers Endgame
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Post by DeepArcher on Jan 1, 2020 20:29:12 GMT
1917 Ford v. Ferrari The Irishman Jojo Rabbit Joker Knives Out Little Women Marriage Story OUATIH Parasite
I think either Joker or OUATIH takes it.
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Post by bruinjoe96 on Jan 1, 2020 21:50:35 GMT
1917 Bombshell Ford v. Ferrari The Irishman JoJo Rabbit Joker Marriage Story Once Upon a Time in Hollywood Parasite Uncut Gems No Avengers Endgame I wish.
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