The nominees who have scored the 3 major precursors

BEST ACTOR
Leonardo DiCaprio- Once Upon a Time in Hollywood
Adam Driver- Marriage Story
Joaquin Phoenix- Joker

I think these 3 are safe for the Oscar nomination, but BAFTA could be wacky since Bale, Egerton, and Pryce could all have more support over there than say Driver and DiCaprio. For AMPAS though I think Banderas gets one spot, and Bale if he makes BAFTA. I'm still tempted to go with De Niro because he could be one of those that surprises on Oscar morning, but Banderas is sort of already that so I don't know if De Niro will too.

BEST ACTRESS
Cynthia Erivo- Harriet
Renee Zellweger- Judy
Scarlett Johansson- Marriage Story
Charlize Theron- Bombshell

These 4 seem set to me at BAFTA, and either Ronan or Nyong'o gets the last spot there. For AMPAS, pretty much the same except with Erivo, Nyong'o, and Ronan fighting for the last two spots. Erivo sort of feels like someone who shows up everywhere but misses the Oscar nomination, but she does have the role and her film has done very well at the box office. Plus "basic" biopics get nominated all time. I think LW could rebound with AMPAS, but who knows maybe it won't. If it does well with BAFTA, it could have been a visibility issue or just SAG and the Globes just not liking it. Nyong'o has the critics and is a former winner, but I'm still wary about the genre of her film.

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
Tom Hanks- A Beautiful Day in the Neighborhood
Al Pacino- The Irishman
Joe Pesci- The Irishman
Brad Pitt- Once Upon a Time in Hollywood

For BAFTA, I'd probably add Hopkins and maybe take out Hanks in place of someone like Hugh Laurie in The Personal History of David Copperfield. For AMPAS, I think Pacino, and Pesci, and Pitt are in with Song being next in line, and then Hanks and Hopkins for the last spot.

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Laura Dern- Marriage Story
Margot Robbie- Bombshell
Jennifer Lopez- Hustlers

These 3 seem safe for AMPAS and probably BAFTA just because there's like no one else that makes sense in this category. Maybe Robbie could get in for OUATIH at either place, but basically I think they're locked in. Next in line is Johasson, imo. She did miss the Globes, but she got a double nomination at SAG, and JJR was still strong enough to get into SAGE, so I think it's strong enough to get at least one Oscar nomination for acting and Johansson is the best bet right now.

After that I don't know. I think BAFTA goes with Tilda Swinton for The Personal History of David Copperfield or perhaps another British actress for the final spot, but AMPAS, uh I don't know it could be Kidman, it could be Bates, maybe one of the Parasite actresses, or maybe Pugh or Zhao although I think both are longshots now unless Pugh get in at BAFTA. Honestly I wouldn't be surprised if there was some kind of random nomination like Anna Paquin for The Irishman for the final spot.