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Post by Ryan_MYeah on Feb 24, 2017 18:27:19 GMT
Figured we'd have a master thread for all of these. I myself have detailed all of mine and my rationales in another blog post. Enjoy! Click here for link.
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Post by stephen on Feb 24, 2017 18:31:17 GMT
Song: “City of Stars” ~ La La Land Score: La La Land Sound Editing: Hacksaw Ridge Sound Mixing: La La Land (though it really shouldn’t) Editing: La La Land (but I’d love a Hacksaw/Arrival spoiler) VFX: The Jungle Book Makeup: Star Trek Beyond Costume Design: La La Land Production Design: La La Land Cinematography: La La Land Documentary: O.J. Made in America Animated: Zootopia Foreign Language Film: Toni Erdmann Original Screenplay: Manchester by the Sea Adapted Screenplay: Moonlight Supporting Actress: Viola Davis, Fences Supporting Actor: Mahershala Ali, Moonlight Actress: Emma Stone, La La Land Actor: Casey Affleck, Manchester by the Sea (though I think Washington is easily in the realm of possibility) Director: Damien Chazelle, La La Land Picture: La La Land
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Post by Ryan_MYeah on Feb 24, 2017 18:37:45 GMT
Sound Mixing: La La Land (though it really shouldn't) How dare you? But what about the shorts?
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Post by stephen on Feb 24, 2017 18:40:52 GMT
Sound Mixing: La La Land (though it really shouldn't) How dare you? But what about the shorts? I love La La Land and will relish its sweep, but I don't wanna see Kevin go home Oscar-less again.Haven't kept up with the shorts this year. I usually just guess at random, and I will this year: Borrowed Time, Watani: My Homeland and Timecode.
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Post by mrimpossible on Feb 24, 2017 18:42:17 GMT
Song: “City of Stars” ~ La La Land Score: La La Land Sound Editing: Hacksaw Ridge Sound Mixing: La La Land Editing: Arrival VFX: The Jungle Book Makeup: A Man Called Ove Costume Design: Jackie Production Design: La La Land Cinematography: La La Land Documentary: O.J. Made in America Animated: Zootopia Foreign Language Film: The Salesman Original Screenplay: Manchester by the Sea Adapted Screenplay: Moonlight Supporting Actress: Viola Davis, Fences Supporting Actor: Mahershala Ali, Moonlight Actress: Emma Stone, La La Land Actor: Casey Affleck, Manchester by the Sea Director: Damien Chazelle, La La Land Picture: La La Land
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Post by DeepArcher on Feb 24, 2017 18:52:42 GMT
Best Picture: La La Land (but I'm starting to feel the possibility of a Moonlight upset) Best Director: Damien Chazelle Best Actor: Casey Affleck Best Actress: Emma Stone Best Supporting Actor: Mahershala Ali Best Supporting Actress: Viola Davis Best Original Screenplay: Manchester By The Sea Best Adapted Screenplay: Moonlight
Best Cinematography: La La Land Best Film Editing: Arrival (I'm feeling the upset here, though it could just as easily be La La or Hacksaw) Best Original Score: La La Land Best Original Song: "City of Stars" ~ La La Land
Best Foreign Language Film: The Salesman (Toni is still certainly possible) Best Animated Film: Kubo and the Two Strings (it'll probably be Zootopia, but whatever, NGNG) Best Documentary Film: 13th (should be O.J., and still could be based on precursors, but I'm thinking the entire Academy won't sit through that 8-hour runtime)
Best Production Design: La La Land Best Costume Design: Jackie (unless they go all-in for the La La Land sweep) Best Makeup & Hairstyling: Star Trek Beyond Best Visual Effects: The Jungle Book Best Sound Mixing: La La Land Best Sound Editing: Hacksaw Ridge (though I think an Arrival upset is possible)
I know nothing about the shorts other than that I saw Piper before Finding Dory and it was pretty cute, probably better than the film it opened for.
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Feb 24, 2017 19:05:26 GMT
Picture: La La Land Actor: Casey Affleck Actress: Natalie Portman Supporting Actor: Mahershala Ali Supporting Actress: Viola Davis Director: Damien Chazelle Animated Feature: Kubo and the Two Strings Cinematography: La La Land Costume Design: Jackie Documentary: O.J.: Made in America Editing: Hacksaw Ridge Foreign Film: Toni Erdmann Makeup/Hairstyling: Star Trek Beyond Music Score: La La Land Music Song: "City of Stars" La La Land Production Design: La La Land Sound Editing: Arrival Sound Mixing: Arrival Visual F/X: Doctor Strange Adapted Screenplay: Moonlight Original Screenplay: La La Land
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tonyz
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Post by tonyz on Feb 24, 2017 19:30:48 GMT
Best Picture: La La Land
Best Director: Damien Chazelle – La La Land
Best Actor: Casey Affleck – Manchester by the Sea (Denzel could easily win here. This is the one I'm least confident about)
Best Actress: Emma Stone – La La Land
Best Supporting Actor: Mahershala Ali – Moonlight
Best Supporting Actress: Viola Davis – Fences
Best Original Screenplay: Manchester by the Sea (Manchester lost at the Globes and didn't win at the WGA. I think this one is truly a toss up and could easily go for La La Land. I'm hoping it does since I think Manchester has a pretty shitty screenplay.)
Best Adapted Screenplay: Moonlight
Best Editing: La La Land
Best Cinematography: La La Land
Best Production Design: La La Land
Best Costume Design: Jackie
Best Makeup and Hairstyling: Star Trek Beyond
Best Original Score: La La Land
Best Original Song: “City of Stars” – La La Land
Best Visual Effects: The Jungle Book
Best Sound Mixing: La La Land
Best Sound Editing: Hacksaw Ridge
Best Animated Feature: Zootopia
Best Foreign Language Film: The Salesman
Best Documentary: OJ: Made in America
Best Live Action Short: Ennemis Interieurs
Best Animated Short: Piper
Best Documentary Short: Joe’s Violin
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Post by Kirk-Picard on Feb 24, 2017 19:42:31 GMT
Best picture - La La Land Best actress in a leading role - Emma Stone, “La La Land” Best actor in a leading role - Casey Affleck, “Manchester by the Sea” Best director - Damien Chazelle, “La La Land” Best Actress in a supporting role - Viola Davis, “Fences” Best Actor in a supporting role - Mahershala Ali, “Moonlight” Best documentary - “O.J.: Made in America” Best foreign language film - Toni Erdmann Best animated feature film - “Zootopia” Best adapted screenplay - “Moonlight,” Barry Jenkins and Tarell McCraney Best original screenplay - “Manchester by the Sea,” Kenneth Lonergan“ Best original song - “Audition (The Fools Who Dream),” “La La Land” Best original score - “La La Land,” Justin Hurwitz Best cinematography - “La La Land,” Linus Sandgren Best production design - “La La Land,” David Wasco and Sandy Reynolds-Wasco Best visual effects - “The Jungle Book,” Robert Legato, Adam Valdez, Andrew R. Jones and Dan Lemmon Best costume design - “La La Land,” Mary Zophres Best makeup and hair styling - “Star Trek Beyond,” Joel Harlow and Richard Alonzo Best animated short film - Piper Best live action short film - Ennemis Interieurs Best documentary short subject - Extremis Best film editing - “La La Land,” Tom Cross Best sound editing - “Hacksaw Ridge,” Robert Mackenzie and Andy Wright Best sound mixing - “La La Land,” Andy Nelson, Ai-Ling Lee and Steve A. Morrow
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Post by Sharbs on Feb 24, 2017 21:02:41 GMT
Best Picture - La La Land Best Director - Damien Chazelle Best Actor - Denzel Washington Best Actress - Emma Stone Best Supporting Actor - Mahershala Ali Best Supporting Actress - Viola Davis Best Original Screenplay - La La Land Best Adapted Screenplay - Moonlight Best Cinematography - La La Land Best Original Score - La La Land Best Editing - La La Land Best Production Design - La La Land Best Costume Design - La La Land Best Sound Editing - Hacksaw Ridge Best Sound Mixing - La La Land Best Visual Effects - The Jungle Book Best Foreign Film - The Salesman Best Animated Feature - Zootopia Best Original Song - "City of Stars" La La Land Best Documentary Feature - 13th
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Zeb31
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Post by Zeb31 on Feb 24, 2017 21:47:53 GMT
Best Picture: La La Land
Best Director: Damien Chazelle, La La Land
Best Actor: Denzel Washington, Fences
Best Actress: Emma Stone, La La Land
Best Supporting Actor: Mahershala Ali, Moonlight
Best Supporting Actress: Viola Davis, Fences
Best Original Screenplay: Kenneth Lonergan, Manchester by the Sea
Best Adapted Screenplay: Barry Jenkins & Tarell Alvin McCraney, Moonlight
Best Cinematography: Linus Sandgren, La La Land
Best Editing: Tom Cross, La La Land
Best Production Design: La La Land
Best Costume Design: Madeline Fontaine, Jackie
Best Visual Effects: The Jungle Book
Best Makeup and Hairstyling: Star Trek Beyond
Best Original Score: Justin Hurwitz, La La Land
Best Original Song: "City of Stars", La La Land
Best Sound Mixing: La La Land
Best Sound Editing: Hacksaw Ridge
Best Animated Feature: Zootopia
Best Foreign Language Feature: The Salesman, Iran
Best Documentary Feature: O.J.: Made in America
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Post by joephoenix on Feb 24, 2017 23:44:55 GMT
Best Picture: La La Land Best Director: Damian Chazelle, La La Land Best Actor: Denzel Washington, Fences Best Actress: Emma Stone, La La Land Best Supporting Actor: Mahershala Ali, Moonlight Best Supporting Actress: Viola Davis, Fences Best Original Screenplay: Manchester by the Sea Best Adapted Screenplay: Moonlight Best Animated Film: Zootopia Best Foreign Film: Toni Erdmann Best Documentary: O.J.: Made in America Best Cinematography: La La Land Best Film Editing: La La Land Best Production Design: La La Land Best Costume Design: La La Land Best Makeup and Hairstyling: Star Trek Beyond Best Original Score: La La Land Best Original Song: "City of Stars", La La Land Best Sound Mixing: La La Land Best Sound Editing: Hacksaw Ridge Best Visual Effects: The Jungle Book Best Animated Short: Piper Best Documentary Short: Extremis Best Live Action Short: Ennemis Interieurs
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Post by moviebuffbrad on Feb 25, 2017 4:05:19 GMT
La La Land Damien Chazelle Denzel Washington Emma Stone Dev Patel Viola Davis Manchester Moonlight
Editing: LLL Cinematography: LLL Score: LLL Song: City of Stars Make-up: Star Trek Beyond Visual FX: Jungle Book Animated Feature: Kubo Documentary: OJ
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Post by MoonShadow on Feb 25, 2017 4:29:33 GMT
La La Land Casey Affleck Emma Stone Mahershala Ali Viola Davis Damien Chazelle Kubo and the Two Strings La La Land Jackie O.J.: Made in America Hacksaw Ridge Toni Erdmann Star Trek Beyond La La Land "City of Stars" La La Land La La Land Arrival Arrival Doctor Strange Moonlight Original Screenplay: La La Land
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Post by Deleted on Feb 25, 2017 9:32:50 GMT
La La Land Chazelle Casey Emma Dev if the movie doesn't win Cinematography, or Mahershala Viola Original Screenplay: Manchester By The Sea Adapted Screenplay: Moonlight (if Arrival wins Editing) Editing: Arrival (if it doesn't win Adapted Screenplay, or La La Land) Cinematography: Lion upset if Patel doesn't win Score: La La Land Song: City Of Stars Makeup: Star Trek VFX: The Jungle Book Animated: Kubo, don't really hear much Zootopia nowadays Documentary: OJ Made In America Foreign: Toni Erdmann Production Design: Fantastic Beasts Costume Design: Jackie Sound Editing: Hacksaw Ridge Sound Mixing: La La Land So LLL wins 6 only.
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jakob
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Post by jakob on Feb 25, 2017 18:19:20 GMT
Picture: La La Land Director: Damien Chazelle Actor: Casey Affleck Actress: Emma Stone Supporting Actor: Mahershala Ali Supporting Actress: Viola Davis Original Screenplay: Manchester by the Sea Adapted Screenplay: Moonlight Editing: La La Land Cinematography: La La Land Production Design: La La Land Costume Design: Jackie Makeup & Hairstyling: Star Trek Beyond Visual Effects: The Jungle Book Sound Mixing: La La Land Sound Editing: Hacksaw Ridge Original Score: La La Land Original Song: City of Stars, La La Land Animated Film: Zootopia Animated Short: Piper Documentary Feature: OJ: Made in America Documentary Short: The White Helmets Short Film: Silent Nights
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ibad
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Post by ibad on Feb 25, 2017 18:48:36 GMT
Best Picture - La La Land Best Directing - Damien Chazelle, La La Land Actress - Emma Stone, La La Land Actor - Denzel Washington, Fences Supporting Actress - Viola Davis, Fences Supporting Actor - Mahershala Ali, Moonlight Adapted Screenplay - Moonlight Original Screenplay - Manchester by the Sea Foreign Language Film - The Salesman (Iran) Animated Feature - Zootopia Animated Short - Piper Documentary Feature - O.J.: Made in America Documentary Short - The White Helmets Live Action Short - La Femme et la T.G.V. Cinematography - La La Land Costume Design - La La Land Makeup and Hair - A Man Called Ove Production Design - La La Land Visual Effects - The Jungle Book Film Editing - La La Land Sound Editing - La La Land Sound Mixing - La La Land Score - La La Land Song - “City of Stars” (La La Land)
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Post by alovelynight on Feb 25, 2017 23:00:10 GMT
Best Picture: La La Land Best Actor: Denzel Washington Best Actress: Emma Stone Best Director: Damien Chazelle Best Supporting Actor: Mahershala Ali Best Supporting Actress: Viola Davis Best Original Screenplay: Manchester by The Sea Best Adapted Screenplay: Moonlight Best Foreign Language Film: The Salesman Best Animated Feature: Zootopia Best Documentary Feature: OJ, made in America Best Animated Short: Piper Best Documentary Short: The White Helmets Best Live Action Short: Silent Nights Best Cinematography: La La Land Best Costume Design: La La Land Best Makeup and Hair: Star Treck, Beyond Best Visual Effects: The Jungle Book Best Film Editing: La Land Best Sound Mixing/Editing: La La Land Best Score: La La Land Best Song: City of Stars
Though I wouldn't be surprised to see some upset in few categories (especially Best Actress).
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The-Havok
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Doing pretty good so far
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Post by The-Havok on Feb 26, 2017 18:56:02 GMT
Best Picture: La La Land Best Achievement in Directing: Damien Chazelle Possible upset: Barry Jenkins Best Performance by an Actor in a Leading Role: Denzel Washington, Fences. Possible upset: Pretty much everyone but Garfield Best Performance by an Actress in a Leading Role: Emma Stone, La La Land. Possible upset: Isabelle Huppert Best Performance by an Actor in a Supporting Role: Mahershala Ali, Moonlight. Possible upset: Michael Shannon, Nocturnal Animals Best Performance by an Actress in a Supporting Role: Viola Davis, Fences Best Original Screenplay: La La Land, Alt: Manchester by the Sea Best Adapted Screenplay: Arrival Alt: Moonlight Best Film Editing: La La Land Alt: Arrival Best Original Score: La La Land Best Original Song: 'City of Stars', La La Land Best Cinematography: La La Land Alt: Silence Best Sound Editing: Hacksaw Ridge Alt: La La Land Best Sound Mixing: La La Land Best Production Design: La La Land Alt: Fantastic Beasts Best Costume Design: Jackie Alt: La La Land Best Hair and Makeup: Star Trek Best Visual Effects: The Jungle Book Best Animated Feature: Zootopia Best Foreign Language Film: The Salesman Alt: Toni Erdmann
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Post by Brother Fease on Feb 26, 2017 19:05:54 GMT
Best Picture, Director, Original Screenplay - La La Land Best Actor - Affleck Best Actress - Stone Best Supporting Actor - Ali Best Supporting Actress - Davis Best Adapted Screenplay - Moonlight Best Art Direction, Score, Cinematography, Song (COS), Sound Mixing, and Score - La La Land Best Costume Design - Jackie Best Make-Up - Star Trek Beyond Best Visual Effects - The Jungle Book Best Animated Feature - Zootopia Best Documentary - OJ: Made in America Best Foreign Language Film - The Salesman
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bkguy182
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Post by bkguy182 on Feb 26, 2017 19:10:30 GMT
La la Chazelle Denzel Stone Ali Davis Manchester (la la) Moonlight
Cinematography: la la land Editing: la la land Score: la la land Song: city of stars Production design: la la land Makeup: suicide squad (ove) Costume: Jackie (la la) S. Editing : hacksaw S. Mixing: la la land Vfx: arrival (kubo)
Kubo (zootopia) 13th (oj) Salesman (Toni)
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Post by pessimusreincarnated on Feb 26, 2017 19:31:50 GMT
Picture- La La Land Director- Damien Chazelle, La La Land Actor- Casey Affleck, Manchester by the Sea Actress- Emma Stone, La La Land Supporting Actor- Mahershala Ali, Moonlight Supporting Actress- Viola Davis, Fences Original Screenplay- Manchester by the Sea Adapted Screenplay- Moonlight Film Editing- La La Land Cinematography- La La Land Costume Design- Jackie Production Design- La La Land Sound Editing- Hacksaw Ridge Sound Mixing- La La Land Best Makeup/Hairstyling- Star Trek Beyond Best Visual Effects- The Jungle Book Best Original Score- La La Land Best Original Song- "City of Stars", La La Land Best Animated Feature- Zootopia Best Documentary Feature- I Am Not Your Negro (NGNG I suppose? I think OJ being more of a miniseries than a feature film will hurt its chances, and does the Netflix-produced 13th really have a whole lot of buzz right now? I think IANYN has a pathway to victory here) Best Foreign Language Film- Toni Erdmann
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Post by napierslogs on Feb 26, 2017 22:09:55 GMT
Best Picture: La La Land
Best Director: Damien Chazelle, La La Land
Best Actress: Emma Stone, La La Land
Best Actor: Denzel Washington, Fences
Best Supporting Actress: Viola Davis, Fences
Best Supporting Actor: Mahershala Ali, Moonlight
Best Adapted Screenplay: Moonlight
Best Original Screenplay: Manchester by the Sea
Best Cinematography: Lion
Best Costume Design: Jackie
Best Film Editing: La La Land
Best Makeup and Hair: Star Trek Beyond
Best Production Design: Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them
Best Score: La La Land
Best Song: City of Dreams, La La Land
Best Sound Editing: Arrival
Best Sound Mixing: La La Land
Best Visual Effects: Star Wars
Best Animated Feature: Zootopia
Best Documentary: O.J.: Made in America
Best Foreign Film: Toni Erdmann
I'm sticking with Washington as the front-runner since and this way, either I'll be right, or the best actor will win so it'll be a win-win for me. I know I'm probably wrong in Cinematography, but I really feel like Lion is going to pull an upset somewhere tonight but I don't see Moonlight losing in either of the bigger categories, and La La Land has to be vulnerable somewhere, so I've decided this is my NGNG pick.
My other against-the-grain pick is Arrival in Sound Editing. I watched it last night, or tried to, but it got too silly for me, and I ended up just listening to it. Its sound is amazing.
I'm predicting La La Land for only 7 wins, a lot less than most people's 10 or so. But since 2010, the BP winner has averaged only 3.8 wins. So La La Land winning just 7 would still be a pretty big sweep relatively speaking.
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Post by therealcomicman117 on Feb 26, 2017 22:25:45 GMT
Best Picture: La La Land Best Director: Damien Chazelle – La La Land Best Actor: Casey Affleck – Manchester by the Sea (Denzel could easily win as well, though) Best Actress: Emma Stone – La La Land Best Supporting Actor: Mahershala Ali – Moonlight Best Supporting Actress: Viola Davis – Fences Best Original Screenplay: Manchester by the Sea Best Adapted Screenplay: Moonlight Best Editing: La La Land Best Cinematography: La La Land Best Production Design: La La Land Best Costume Design: Jackie Best Makeup and Hairstyling: Star Trek Beyond Best Original Score: La La Land Best Original Song: “City of Stars” – La La Land Best Visual Effects: The Jungle Book Best Sound Mixing: La La Land Best Sound Editing: Hacksaw Ridge Best Animated Feature: Zootopia Best Foreign Language Film: The Salesman Best Documentary: OJ: Made in America Best Live Action Short: Ennemis Interieurs Best Animated Short: Piper Best Documentary Short: Joe’s Violin
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gyllet
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Post by gyllet on Feb 27, 2017 0:19:26 GMT
Picture: La La Land Director Barry Jenkins
Actor: Denzel Washington Actress: Isabelle Huppert Supporting Actor: Mahersahala Ali Supporting Actress: Who else?
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