Post by Brother Fease on Feb 20, 2017 11:37:32 GMT
Here's what we know:
- Manchester won the Critics Choice and BAFTA, and 15 critics circle screenplay awards (not counting online, african american, or women's only groups ).
- La La Land won the Globe and Critics Choice, and 3 critics circle screenplay awards.
- Hell or High Water won 11 critics circle screenplay awards.
- Since 2000, 12/16 Best Picture winners have gone on to win a screenplay award. The exception years were 2000 (Gladiator didn't win a single screenplay award), 2002 (Neither did Chicago), 2004 (Million Dollar Baby lost to Sideways), and 2011 (Midnight in Paris beat out The Artist).
- The Golden Globes have accurately predicted the Oscar Screenplay winner 12/16 times too. In 2002 (Schmidt) and 2015 (Steve Jobs), the Globe winner wasn't nominated.
- The BAFTAs have accurately predicted the Original Screenplay winners 10/16 times, and the Adapted Screenplay winner 9/16 times.
- Musicals winning Best Picture have won a screenplay award 3/10 times.
Who takes it?
I think it is close, but I am going to say Manchester for now. I am about not really confident about the pick. The screenplay could be part of the LLL wave.
- Manchester won the Critics Choice and BAFTA, and 15 critics circle screenplay awards (not counting online, african american, or women's only groups ).
- La La Land won the Globe and Critics Choice, and 3 critics circle screenplay awards.
- Hell or High Water won 11 critics circle screenplay awards.
- Since 2000, 12/16 Best Picture winners have gone on to win a screenplay award. The exception years were 2000 (Gladiator didn't win a single screenplay award), 2002 (Neither did Chicago), 2004 (Million Dollar Baby lost to Sideways), and 2011 (Midnight in Paris beat out The Artist).
- The Golden Globes have accurately predicted the Oscar Screenplay winner 12/16 times too. In 2002 (Schmidt) and 2015 (Steve Jobs), the Globe winner wasn't nominated.
- The BAFTAs have accurately predicted the Original Screenplay winners 10/16 times, and the Adapted Screenplay winner 9/16 times.
- Musicals winning Best Picture have won a screenplay award 3/10 times.
Who takes it?
I think it is close, but I am going to say Manchester for now. I am about not really confident about the pick. The screenplay could be part of the LLL wave.
