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Post by Brother Fease on Nov 10, 2024 15:12:58 GMT
The Brutalist is a historical drama from filmmaker Brady Corbet. The reviews have been stellar, arguably the best of the year. 8.1/10 IMDB user score. 97% on Rotten Tomatoes. At the Venice Film Festival, it won the Silver Lion. Critics highly praise Corbet's ability to capture the Jewish immigrant experience in America after World War II, and the performances from Adrien Brody, Felicity Jones, and Guy Pearce.
The running time is 215 minutes. If The Brutalist captures a Best Picture nomination, it would be the 6th longest best picture nominee of all-time. We haven't seen a film winning best picture with at least a 200 minute running time since 2003's Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King.
What do you guys think of its Oscar chances? Will the Academy be turned away by its long running time? Do you consider Brody to be a top contender of Best Actor?
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Post by JangoB on Nov 10, 2024 15:16:11 GMT
Basically predicting it for everything: Picture, Director, Actor, Supporting Actor, Supporting Actress, Original Screenplay, Cinematography, Production Design, Editing, Score and Costumes.
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Post by stephen on Nov 10, 2024 15:21:24 GMT
Yes, I think it will be the nomination leader and I am predicting it for wins in Director, Actor, Supporting Actor, Cinematography and Score. The fact that it is about architecture makes me think (like Phantom Thread) that the emphasis on the craft in question will lead to a potential win in Production Design, even if Wicked and Gladiator II feel like safer bets for the win based on previous years.
And I think if it can take all of those, Picture isn't out of the question.
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Post by Brother Fease on Nov 10, 2024 15:43:08 GMT
Yes, I think it will be the nomination leader and I am predicting it for wins in Director, Actor, Supporting Actor, Cinematography and Score. The fact that it is about architecture makes me think (like Phantom Thread) that the emphasis on the craft in question will lead to a potential win in Production Design, even if Wicked and Gladiator II feel like safer bets for the win based on previous years. And I think if it can take all of those, Picture isn't out of the question. I would be shocked if this movie got less than 10 nominations.
Currently I have this as my #2 ranked film.
This could very well be an Anora vs. Brutalist competition.
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Post by Pittsnogle_Goggins on Nov 10, 2024 16:11:45 GMT
I’m predicting a ton of noms and very few wins
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allaby
New Member
Posts: 81 
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Post by allaby on Nov 10, 2024 17:10:47 GMT
I predict at least 10 nominations and at least 3 wins.
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Post by Martin Stett on Nov 10, 2024 17:13:10 GMT
The whole kaboodle
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Post by sterlingarcher86 on Nov 10, 2024 17:21:24 GMT
10 nominations. Wins for actor, cinematography and score.
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rhodoraonline
Badass
Your Generosity Hides Something Dirtier and Meaner
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Post by rhodoraonline on Nov 10, 2024 20:39:00 GMT
Picked everything here except Sound and Other. I don't think Sound is very relevant for this type of film but I could be wrong. There's a very real chance of winning Picture, Director, Actor, Supporting Actor, and more. I don't mean I'm predicting it to win all of these at once, but 3-4 of these feel comfortably in reach. For me, this is still the film to beat come Oscar night, sight unseen.
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Post by Tommen_Saperstein on Nov 10, 2024 22:39:35 GMT
I think it gets Power of the Dog'ed. Above the line dominance with tech coattails down the line. Sound included
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Post by finniussnrub on Nov 10, 2024 23:11:23 GMT
I think it gets Power of the Dog'ed. Above the line dominance with tech coattails down the line. Sound included What's CODA in that scenario? As I feel we're missing a feel good alternative at the moment, unless Sing Sing rebounds. |
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Post by mhynson27 on Nov 10, 2024 23:20:33 GMT
I think it gets Power of the Dog'ed. Above the line dominance with tech coattails down the line. Sound included What's CODA in that scenario? As I feel we're missing a feel good alternative at the moment, unless Sing Sing rebounds. Anora and Conclave are both crowd pleasing enough to fit that bill. |
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Post by taranofprydain on Nov 11, 2024 0:16:17 GMT
I’m predicting a ton of noms and very few wins Same. If Scorsese tried it twice and whiffed..... |
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Post by finniussnrub on Nov 11, 2024 0:43:39 GMT
What's CODA in that scenario? As I feel we're missing a feel good alternative at the moment, unless Sing Sing rebounds. Anora and Conclave are both crowd pleasing enough to fit that bill. Conclave I guess but very low key in terms of those elements, compared to say Green Book, CODA or even EEAO. I don't know how Anora is feel good in the least. Because it has comedy? |
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Post by sterlingarcher86 on Nov 11, 2024 0:58:15 GMT
Anora and Conclave are both crowd pleasing enough to fit that bill. Conclave I guess but very low key in terms of those elements, compared to say Green Book, CODA or even EEAO. I don't know how Anora is feel good in the least. Because it has comedy? He didn’t say feel good. He said crowd pleasing. It’s high placement at TIFF despite playing on few screens show it might be crowd pleasing. |
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Post by Tommen_Saperstein on Nov 11, 2024 1:10:45 GMT
I'm just thinking about nom day when I compare it to Power of the Dog. Not thinking about its win haul yet.
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Post by finniussnrub on Nov 11, 2024 1:16:19 GMT
Conclave I guess but very low key in terms of those elements, compared to say Green Book, CODA or even EEAO. I don't know how Anora is feel good in the least. Because it has comedy? He didn’t say feel good. He said crowd pleasing. It’s high placement at TIFF despite playing on few screens show it might be crowd pleasing. Well I said feel good as the starting point. So I reject the phrase change. |
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Post by mhynson27 on Nov 11, 2024 1:26:16 GMT
But we don't need the alternative to be 'feel good' in the first place.
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Post by sterlingarcher86 on Nov 11, 2024 1:40:01 GMT
He didn’t say feel good. He said crowd pleasing. It’s high placement at TIFF despite playing on few screens show it might be crowd pleasing. Well I said feel good as the starting point. So I reject the phrase change. Yeah but like he said feel good isn’t a requirement. Just because that’s what beat Power of the Dog doesn’t mean the brutalist can only lose to a CODA. |
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Post by finniussnrub on Nov 11, 2024 1:50:16 GMT
But we don't need the alternative to be 'feel good' in the first place. Do we not? The last two director/picture splits were for feel good films (Green Book, CODA) not just "crowd pleasers" (which Anora might not entirely be that when there were 4 walk outs during my screening). |
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Post by sterlingarcher86 on Nov 11, 2024 2:01:09 GMT
But we don't need the alternative to be 'feel good' in the first place. Do we not? The last two director/picture splits were for feel good films (Green Book, CODA) not just "crowd pleasers" (which Anora might not entirely be that when there were 4 walk outs during my screening). That’s not a huge sample size. The one before that was 12 Years a Slave… Though I actually don’t believe there is going to be a split. I have Anora and Baker winning. Baker is no Sian Heder. My reluctance on The Brutalist is whenever someone talks about The Brutalist they are talking about he craft or the performances but not really about how the movie make them feel. That’s important for a BP winner. It doesn’t have to be happy it just has to be something. The laughs during and stunned silence after Anora show me it made people feel. |
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Post by finniussnrub on Nov 11, 2024 2:11:22 GMT
Do we not? The last two director/picture splits were for feel good films (Green Book, CODA) not just "crowd pleasers" (which Anora might not entirely be that when there were 4 walk outs during my screening). Though I actually don’t believe there is going to be a split. I have Anora and Baker winning. Baker is no Sian Heder. My reluctance on The Brutalist is whenever someone talks about The Brutalist they are talking about he craft or the performances but not really about how the movie make them feel. That’s important for a BP winner. It doesn’t have to be happy it just has to be something. The laughs during and stunned silence after Anora show me it made people feel. Well in that instance and La La Land/Moonlight, they did the reverse. Anyway, I would agree more so with your second point of Baker winning both, my point from that start though is I don't see the split with these contenders at the moment, because usually the split is with more disparate films than we have here. The Revenant/Spotlight arguably being an exception, however that had the additional factor of Iñárritu having just won best picture. |
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Post by sterlingarcher86 on Nov 11, 2024 2:20:12 GMT
That’s not a huge sample size. The one before that was 12 Years a Slave…Though I actually don’t believe there is going to be a split. I have Anora and Baker winning. Baker is no Sian Heder. My reluctance on The Brutalist is whenever someone talks about The Brutalist they are talking about he craft or the performances but not really about how the movie make them feel. That’s important for a BP winner. It doesn’t have to be happy it just has to be something. The laughs during and stunned silence after Anora show me it made people feel. Well in that instance and La La Land/Moonlight, they did the reverse. Anyway, I would agree more so with your second point of Baker winning both, my point from that start though is I don't see the split with these contenders at the moment, because usually the split is with more disparate films than we have here. The Revenant/Spotlight arguably being an exception, however that had the additional factor of Iñárritu having just won best picture. Not sure how I forgot Moonlight/ Spotlight but honestly it shows even more that it definitely doesn’t need to be a feel good movie in split. It doesn’t really look like there is any one type of film that needs to win in a split. But like I said I think Baker is winning at the moment. |
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Post by finniussnrub on Nov 11, 2024 2:29:15 GMT
Well in that instance and La La Land/Moonlight, they did the reverse. Anyway, I would agree more so with your second point of Baker winning both, my point from that start though is I don't see the split with these contenders at the moment, because usually the split is with more disparate films than we have here. The Revenant/Spotlight arguably being an exception, however that had the additional factor of Iñárritu having just won best picture. Not sure how I forgot Moonlight/ Spotlight but honestly it shows even more that it definitely doesn’t need to be a feel good movie in split. I t doesn’t really look like there is any one type of film that needs to win in a split. But like I said I think Baker is winning at the moment. Except they ARE distinctly different in the split except Spotlight/Revenant. As the earlier ones were the "important picture" vs "the feel goods", the later ones were the reverse only in terms of what won. |
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Post by sterlingarcher86 on Nov 11, 2024 2:33:20 GMT
Not sure how I forgot Moonlight/ Spotlight but honestly it shows even more that it definitely doesn’t need to be a feel good movie in split. I t doesn’t really look like there is any one type of film that needs to win in a split. But like I said I think Baker is winning at the moment. Except they ARE distinctly different in the split except Spotlight/Revenant. As the earlier ones were the "important picture" vs "the feel goods", the later ones were the reverse. I mean Anora and The Brutalist are pretty different. I’ve kind of already touched on this regarding the emotions they make people feel. (Or lack thereof) |
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