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Post by madmonsterparty on May 1, 2023 19:23:25 GMT
If no one minds, I'm thinking of starting up the Movie Awards Redux Oscar Poll, 2023 style. This month will be more laid back than normal. If it's alright with everyone around these parts, I'll start the normal poll in June, but for right now, if you want to suggest a movie for the June poll, the floor is all yours!!  Well, what movie do you think will win Best Picture? And in general, what movies do you want to see included in the June 2023 Poll? Thanks in advance for any comments and opinions!!  |
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Post by Pittsnogle_Goggins on May 1, 2023 19:56:16 GMT
Guess I’ll start with Killers of the Flower Moon. Doubt I’ll stick with it but happy to give Marty my vote this early on,
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Post by madmonsterparty on May 1, 2023 20:49:23 GMT
Guess I’ll start with Killers of the Flower Moon. Doubt I’ll stick with it but happy to give Marty my vote this early on, Definitely not a bad place to start!!! At least there's a good chance it'll get nominated!! |
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Post by JangoB on May 1, 2023 20:55:11 GMT
Some bullshit |
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Post by Brother Fease on May 1, 2023 20:57:23 GMT
Great question. The popular thing to say is Killers of the Flower Moon, but there are three issues here: (1) The movie is about 3 hours and 30 minutes. That's too long for a modern day Best Picture winner. Best Picture winners tend to be under 2 hours and 30 minutes. (2) Very rarely does a director direct at least two Best Picture winning films. The last ones were Clint Eastwood and Francis Ford Coppola. Also, the Coen Brothers were the last directors to win Best Picture and be a previous Oscar-winner. (3) The Academy tends to go for the smaller, more independent films.
I am going to dip into the smaller well and go with The Bikeriders. Written and Directed by Jeff Nichols, terrific cast.
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Archie
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Post by Archie on May 1, 2023 20:59:55 GMT
As a wise man once said: some bullshit about vaginas coming to life and turning into chicken nuggets or something is probably winning.
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Post by pacinoyes on May 1, 2023 21:25:54 GMT
Um, I'm not seeing anything about white men winning - particularly the sins of white men - so that knocks out almost all of 2023 that could actually be good - Maestro maybe, Napolean, Flower Moon, The Killer (Fincher), Oppenheimer.......and of course the greatest films ever made in cinema history are usually about the sins of white men....... It's true.........it's damn true.....  So I guess: Past Lives....supposed to have seen this already but missed it - hopefully in the next few weeks....  |
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Post by DeepArcher on May 1, 2023 21:30:22 GMT
Barbie.
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Post by Tommen_Saperstein on May 1, 2023 21:32:15 GMT
The Color Purple
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Post by Brother Fease on May 1, 2023 22:52:42 GMT
madmonsterparty - If you're interested in doing a poll, here's the current betting odds. Sports Betting Online - Killers of the Flower Moon (+250), Oppenheimer (+255), The Color Purple (+325), Asteroid City & The Killer (+600), and Dune: Part Two (+750) OLBG - Past Lives & Maestro as top additional favorites to win Best Picture. BET US Top Ten: 1. The Killers of the Flower Moon (+300) 2. The Color Purple & Past Lives (+550) 4. Dune: Part Two & Maestro (+700) 6. Blitz & The Killer (+850) 8. Ferrari & Lee (+950) 10. AND & Oppenheimer (+1100) Click here. to see the rest.
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Post by Kings_Requiem on May 1, 2023 23:04:11 GMT
Oppenheimer
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Post by mhynson27 on May 1, 2023 23:14:28 GMT
The Colour Purple
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Post by sterlingarcher86 on May 1, 2023 23:27:12 GMT
Great question. The popular thing to say is Killers of the Flower Moon, but there are three issues here: (1) The movie is about 3 hours and 30 minutes. That's too long for a modern day Best Picture winner. Best Picture winners tend to be under 2 hours and 30 minutes. (2) Very rarely does a director direct at least two Best Picture winning films. The last ones were Clint Eastwood and Francis Ford Coppola. Also, the Coen Brothers were the last directors to win Best Picture and be a previous Oscar-winner. (3) The Academy tends to go for the smaller, more independent films. I am going to dip into the smaller well and go with The Bikeriders. Written and Directed by Jeff Nichols, terrific cast. Miloš Forman did it more recently than Coppola |
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Post by Brother Fease on May 1, 2023 23:43:31 GMT
Great question. The popular thing to say is Killers of the Flower Moon, but there are three issues here: (1) The movie is about 3 hours and 30 minutes. That's too long for a modern day Best Picture winner. Best Picture winners tend to be under 2 hours and 30 minutes. (2) Very rarely does a director direct at least two Best Picture winning films. The last ones were Clint Eastwood and Francis Ford Coppola. Also, the Coen Brothers were the last directors to win Best Picture and be a previous Oscar-winner. (3) The Academy tends to go for the smaller, more independent films. I am going to dip into the smaller well and go with The Bikeriders. Written and Directed by Jeff Nichols, terrific cast. Miloš Forman did it more recently than Coppola You're right. Amadeus and Cuckoos Nest. Three directors in the last 50 years, right? |
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Post by stabcaesar on May 2, 2023 2:12:53 GMT
Did anyone get it right last year or the year before?
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Post by countjohn on May 2, 2023 2:38:00 GMT
Cry Macho. If you visualize it it will happen.
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Post by madmonsterparty on May 2, 2023 3:08:37 GMT
madmonsterparty - If you're interested in doing a poll, here's the current betting odds. Sports Betting Online - Killers of the Flower Moon (+250), Oppenheimer (+255), The Color Purple (+325), Asteroid City & The Killer (+600), and Dune: Part Two (+750) OLBG - Past Lives & Maestro as top additional favorites to win Best Picture. BET US Top Ten: 1. The Killers of the Flower Moon (+300) 2. The Color Purple & Past Lives (+550) 4. Dune: Part Two & Maestro (+700) 6. Blitz & The Killer (+850) 8. Ferrari & Lee (+950) 10. AND & Oppenheimer (+1100) Click here. to see the rest. That is so cool!!! Thanks for the heads up on this, Brother Fease!!! |
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Post by madmonsterparty on May 2, 2023 3:09:58 GMT
Cry Macho. If you visualize it it will happen. If that would happen, that would make my year!!!! Nothing could top that! |
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Post by madmonsterparty on May 2, 2023 3:11:01 GMT
Did anyone get it right last year or the year before? That's actually a really good question!! I'm not sure right *now*, but I wouldn't mind looking into that further though. |
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Post by mhynson27 on May 2, 2023 3:19:13 GMT
2 people voted for EEAAO in the July poll. That's the earliest anyone got it last year.
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Post by TheAlwaysClassy on May 2, 2023 4:58:02 GMT
May December
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Post by The_Cake_of_Roth on May 2, 2023 6:04:58 GMT
No idea what will win, but I can already tell you what won’t win - Killers of the Flower Moon (for all the reasons Fease listed) and Oppenheimer... and I say this as someone who's probably the biggest Nolan stan on this board...
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Post by Pavan on May 2, 2023 6:22:21 GMT
Gonna start with Oppenheimer.
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morton
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Post by morton on May 3, 2023 3:22:37 GMT
Yeah, I think it hits everything that wins Best Picture lately. |
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Post by pacinoyes on May 3, 2023 10:38:01 GMT
I'm not sold on Color Purple because the size of the movie outpaces what this director has done before......a feature debut for the screenwriter (I think, too lazy to look it up) .......Warner Brothers hasn't been a player at the BP level recenly.......also a musical not exactly a thriving genre for winners ........ and also old material re-done which gets nods but not BP wins (WSS, All Quiet)........if we're saying Scorsese is fighting against a "he would be a 2 time BP winner" trend and its length (and a "sins of the white male" bias) - then TCP has many signs of a "lots of nods, but not a BP win....." too..... Though I picked Past Lives - which is a directorial debut ........so what do I know......... all of them actually don't hit all the boxes to me anyway, but I'm a notorious pessimist .......  |
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