fotodude
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Post by fotodude on May 16, 2017 13:25:24 GMT
Still a long time to go, although the imminent Cannes film festival might shed some light on the contenders. So far the offer is wide open, so we've added another 2 choices to last month's slate of 11, despite losing Mudbound and The Beguiled in the process: the newcomers are Suburbicon, Get Out, The Post and The Death of Stalin. But the uncertainty of the situation hasn't prevented one frontrunner from emerging, with Wonderstruck easily taking the month's victory and going up 7 votes. A lovely clip has been released and the film will screen this Thursday, so we'll see if this strong buzz is strengthened or suddenly vanishes. Dunkirk and Detroit are quite far behind, almost tied for the second spot, while Downsizing suffers the most since April, losing 10 votes after its negative screening reactions. Meanwhile, Blade Runner 2049 and Call Me By Your Name have switched places, probably because Sundance seems further away now and the former's new trailer has been very well received. Above them Phantom Thread holds on, 1 vote higher than last month... even though there have been 9 votes less in total, going down to 61 between MAR and OB2. Hopefully the start of the festival season will bring back some enthusiasm to the race.
1. Wonderstruck - 22 votes 2. Dunkirk - 10 votes 3. Detroit - 9 votes 4. Phantom Thread - 4 votes 5. Blade Runner 2049 - 3 votes 5. Downsizing - 3 votes 7. Call Me By Your Name - 2 votes 7. Darkest Hour - 2 votes 7. The Post - 2 votes 10. The Death of Stalin - 1 vote 10. Get Out - 1 vote 10. Molly's Game - 1 vote 10. Suburbicon - 1 vote
Total: 61 votes
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on May 16, 2017 13:36:13 GMT
Still believe that Downsizing will be nominated & will win too..
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on May 16, 2017 19:30:16 GMT
I'll stick with Wonderstruck until I have a reason not to (We'll get reactions Thursday)
Other than that, I struggle to see any other film as the winner: -Dunkirk is too early -The Post is too late -Darkest Hour is middlebrow bait that likely won't have the acclaim and consensus necessary to win -Detroit will be politically polarizing -will Call Me even get nominated -Lean on Pete doesnt even have a release date yet -Is Inner City even 2017 -no way a late PTA film that will likely skip fests and is about an asshole, sex and drug addicted fashion designer winning -Last Flag Flying has no release date -Mudbound has Netflix burden
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Post by jakesully on May 16, 2017 22:35:24 GMT
I'd so go with Mudbound ( sounds right up the Academy's alley) BUT its a Netflix film . So Dunkirk it is .
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Post by quetee on May 17, 2017 0:44:26 GMT
This far out, has our number 1 ever won best picture?
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Post by pendragon on May 17, 2017 2:25:29 GMT
This far out, has our number 1 ever won best picture? Has anyone's? The last time the early front runner actually won was probably The Return of the King.
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Post by quetee on May 17, 2017 19:09:41 GMT
This far out, has our number 1 ever won best picture? Has anyone's? The last time the early front runner actually won was probably The Return of the King. I know. I was just curious so that I can do the opposite. That's why I went for The Post. Cumberbtach has a movie too that will probably be a contender but can't remember name right now.
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fotodude
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Post by fotodude on May 17, 2017 20:49:11 GMT
Has anyone's? The last time the early front runner actually won was probably The Return of the King. I know. I was just curious so that I can do the opposite. That's why I went for The Post. Cumberbtach has a movie too that will probably be a contender but can't remember name right now. The Current War?
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on May 18, 2017 10:59:46 GMT
Wonderstruck reviews are fine, but it probably should have waited until TIFF or Telluride where I think it would play the best-- we'll see how Amazon runs the campaign
By default, I guess I'll have no choice but to go with The Post next time in the vote (It's such bland Oscar bait, but the themes are relevant and it will contend to win Actress and screenplay)
I wish it wasn't so late, but this is looking like a weak year, and they could just default to a lazy choice
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morton
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Post by morton on May 18, 2017 12:07:07 GMT
Wonderstruck reviews are fine, but it probably should have waited until TIFF or Telluride where I think it would play the best-- we'll see how Amazon runs the campaign By default, I guess I'll have no choice but to go with The Post next time in the vote (It's such bland Oscar bait, but the themes are relevant and it will contend to win Actress and screenplay) I wish it wasn't so late, but this is looking like a weak year, and they could just default to a lazy choice Yes, it didn't seem like a Cannes film to me, so the reviews will probably get much better like Nebraska's did. I think it could still get a lot of nominations, but I was never big on it winning only because AMPAS hasn't really embraced a female lead film since Million Dollar Baby. Eventually things will change again, but I still think male lead films will continue to dominate for awhile still.
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