Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Jan 22, 2023 16:44:18 GMT
Nathaniel over at The Film Experience is predicting Charlotte Wells for a Best Director nomination, but no Best Picture nomination for Aftersun... Hm... What do you think? I'd think the only way this would happen is if both the film and Wells are nominated, à la Benh Zeitlin/ Beasts of the Southern Wild. I mean, she couldn't even get in at BAFTA for screenplay or director. The support just doesn't seem to be there. I'm just wondering about the backlash/uproar of no female Best Director nominees... I'm not sure the branch will go there ever again. We'll see! |
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filmnoir
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Post by filmnoir on Jan 22, 2023 16:51:25 GMT
Nathaniel over at The Film Experience is predicting Charlotte Wells for a Best Director nomination, but no Best Picture nomination for Aftersun... Hm... What do you think? I'd think the only way this would happen is if both the film and Wells are nominated, à la Benh Zeitlin/ Beasts of the Southern Wild. Nathaniel, The Film Experience doesn't exactly have the best track record for predictions. |
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Post by stephen on Jan 22, 2023 16:55:30 GMT
I mean, she couldn't even get in at BAFTA for screenplay or director. The support just doesn't seem to be there. I'm just wondering about the backlash/uproar of no female Best Director nominees... I'm not sure the branch will go there ever again. We'll see! I don't think that's going to be much of a priority for voters this year, especially considering we're coming off of two consecutive female Best Director winners. The field is already packed as it is, and I think if Wells couldn't get traction at BAFTA, I don't really see the Academy making up for that. |
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Post by finniussnrub on Jan 22, 2023 16:55:52 GMT
I mean, she couldn't even get in at BAFTA for screenplay or director. The support just doesn't seem to be there. I'm just wondering about the backlash/uproar of no female Best Director nominees... I'm not sure the branch will go there ever again. We'll see! I think it says a lot that BAFTA (even with a jury system designed to avoid an all male category) chose only one female nominee. The general consensus this year just is that the best directing was done by men. Further the anonymous ballot system lessens the likelihood of a voter voting for the sake of "representation", particularly in the directors branch who as a group very much prefers just to do their own thing. Even if a voter felt obliged, there isn't a consensus pick on who it should be, given that BAFTA went with Gina Prince-Bythewood over Wells (who has the theoretical late buzz) or Sarah Polley (who had the theoretical early buzz). Yes many prognosticators keep going on and on about Aftersun, but we REALLY haven't seen much of that within the actual industry. |
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filmnoir
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Post by filmnoir on Jan 22, 2023 17:00:13 GMT
I mean, she couldn't even get in at BAFTA for screenplay or director. The support just doesn't seem to be there. I'm just wondering about the backlash/uproar of no female Best Director nominees... I'm not sure the branch will go there ever again. We'll see! But she hasn't shown up in a lot of the precursors to justify a nomination. The last 2 winners happened to be female, but they didn't win because of their gender. Both Zhao and Campion were undeniable. |
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Post by MacLinney on Jan 22, 2023 20:05:42 GMT
I've got Park Chan-wook in director, Riseborough (over Davis, with de Armas still in), and something in the pit of my stomach is telling me Hanks will sneak in for Elvis...
Also, is it an NGNG to snub Fire of Love in doc?
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avnermoriarti
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Post by avnermoriarti on Jan 22, 2023 20:10:23 GMT
Babylon in Best Picture
Charlotte Wells in Best Director (only nom for Aftersun)
RRR and Triangle of Sadness in Original Screenplay
Bardo in International Film
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Post by mhynson27 on Jan 22, 2023 23:58:40 GMT
Babylon in Best Picture Charlotte Wells in Best Director (only nom for Aftersun) RRR and Triangle of Sadness in Original ScreenplayBardo in International Film Definitely not NGNG. It's the consensus #5. |
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Post by Allenism on Jan 23, 2023 3:29:29 GMT
Nighy misses, Mescal rises. In favor of whom? Nighy hasn't shown any weakness, and his film has only gotten stronger since it is now a likely adapted screenplay nominee as well. My answer is literally in the post. |
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Post by finniussnrub on Jan 23, 2023 3:32:02 GMT
In favor of whom? Nighy hasn't shown any weakness, and his film has only gotten stronger since it is now a likely adapted screenplay nominee as well. My answer is literally in the post. Not really, all wisdom puts Nighy as #4, therefore Mescal would be #5. So who is your #4? |
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avnermoriarti
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Friends say I’ve changed. They’re right.
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Post by avnermoriarti on Jan 23, 2023 6:23:31 GMT
Babylon in Best Picture Charlotte Wells in Best Director (only nom for Aftersun) RRR and Triangle of Sadness in Original ScreenplayBardo in International Film Definitely not NGNG. It's the consensus #5. Good, that secures a point in my predictions. |
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havok2
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Post by havok2 on Jan 23, 2023 15:48:55 GMT
Spielberg gets shunned ala Affleck/Cooper/McDonagh/Villeneuve. Either Wells, Berger or Park takes his place
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sirchuck23
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Bad news dawg...you don't mind if I have some of your 300 dollar a glass shit there would ya?
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Post by sirchuck23 on Jan 23, 2023 16:37:52 GMT
Nope for Best Picture
Hoyte van Hoytema for Best Cinematography
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Post by michael128 on Jan 23, 2023 18:09:31 GMT
Babylon in Best Picture
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