I definitely think we're writing off Empire of Light too quickly. That film just feels like the sort of thing critics would pass over but then gets a big -back on the industry level. Its pedigree is just too strong to simply overlook. Plus we are certain it's at least getting into Cinematography because it's Deakins + Mendes, but Colman's reviews were also insanely strong even if the film wasn't. In any other year, the film having a middling reception around a Best Actress candidate wouldn't be an issue (i.e. last year). Colman herself proved that she can get in even if her film isn't warmly received, as The Lost Daughter had a very low RT score if memory serves.
And as far as Dan's choices here, I definitely think one of Williams + Robbie will wind up running supporting; the Babylon camp would be insane not to take advantage of that void left by Williams, and I think that if Blanchett winds up picking up critics' steam, the Fabelmans crew will try to pull a Christoph Waltz 2.0 and switch her category again.
Post by Tommen_Saperstein on Oct 23, 2022 15:56:11 GMT
same as Tyler and I agree with Stephen that Colman is being underestimated. Empire of Light could stay in the 50s on metacritic and go on to miss big in other categories and Colman could absolutely still get in. She's a beloved actress and her ink was incredible.