Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Apr 16, 2017 20:13:12 GMT
Kirsten Dunst
Scarlett Johansson
Chris Pine
Kristen Stewart
Channing Tatum
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Post by bobbystarks on Apr 16, 2017 20:18:50 GMT
Definitely
Most likely
Probably
Most likely
Nah
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Post by mizzaphoenix on Apr 16, 2017 20:21:27 GMT
All of them except Tatum. He'll probably get in for a producer nomination one day, rather than acting.
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morton
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Post by morton on Apr 16, 2017 20:42:29 GMT
Kirsten Dunst - Maybe. It seems her professional life is back on track now, and things are going very well for her at the moment. I think she could be like Rachel McAdams in that it seemed like she sort of missed her window in which the Industry was in love with her and wanting her to be a big star. It's easier, imo, for an actor to be nominated during that window, and once he/she is out of that window, I become worried about his/her chances of ever being nominated. With Dunst though, besides having a professional comeback now, I think it also helps that she's worked in the industry for so long, and I think they many in the Industry love it when a former child star turns out to be a success as an adult.
Scarlett Johansson - Again maybe. After Lost in Translation and Girl With a Pearl Earring, I thought it wouldn't be long before she was welcomed into the club, and maybe even would win soon. Then she made all these weird choices that, imo, didn't really seem to help her commercially or critically that much, and it seemed her window had closed. Then, years later she wins a Tony, and her film career is red hot both critically and commercially with her Marvel projects along with Her, Under the Skin, etc. Then, she takes Ghost in the Shell which not only flops, but she gets backlash for taking the role in the first place. Plus her other projects at IMDb all seem like commercial projects, which is fine, but I think it means she loses the critical momentum she had going that could have finally lead to her first nomination.
She still has plenty of time to get that first nomination, but it seems sort of odd that she still even been nominated yet when actresses like Natalie Portman and Anne Hathaway have already won and could win a second fairly soon.
Chris Pine - Before Hell or High Water, I wasn't so sure because he seemed to be behind all the other Chrises in franchises. Now I'm more confident in his chances, but I think it might still be awhile because men usually have to wait longer before voters finally recognize them.
Kristen Stewart - Definitely. I thought she was going to be nominated last year, but unfortunately for her both of her Oscar bait projects didn't go as expected. She has a lot of credibility right now though and as long as she continues doing what she's doing now, I think she'll get her first nomination soon.
Channing Tatum - He's another definitely. He was smart enough to become connected with the right people to lead to an Oscar nomination. Plus, he's someone that has lead two franchises and is by all accounts very well liked by people in the Industry. Like Pine though, it might be awhile before he does get that first nomination, but I could see him being like a Bradley Cooper where once he finally does breakthrough, he'll be showered with multiple nominations in a short time period.
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gyllet
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Post by gyllet on Apr 17, 2017 4:03:09 GMT
Kirsten Dunst - Yes. Eventually.
Scarlett Johansson - Maybe.
Chris Pine - Yes. He has proved to be quite a great actor. More directors will take notice of him after Hell or High Water.
Kristen Stewart - Yes. Why not? She's already an indie-darling and enjoying a long, lovely career.
Channing Tatum - No.
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Post by stephen on Apr 17, 2017 4:04:35 GMT
I can see them all getting nominated if their careers keep going the way they are.
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Post by taranofprydain on Apr 17, 2017 4:23:46 GMT
I think all of them can do it.
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Post by Deleted on Apr 17, 2017 20:27:58 GMT
Kirsten Dunst
Probably not, Woodshock could have had potential, but A24 seems to be burying it
Scarlett Johansson
Of course, as she would have been nominated for Lost in Translation if Focus didnt screw her over
Ghost backlash will be temporary (look at Emma Stone) and after she's done with her commercial projects, she'll use her A-list clout to continue working with top directors
Chris Pine
Depends on his career trajectory, but I'd probably say no
Kristen Stewart
Critics will make her happen eventually
Channing Tatum
Yes, but probably as a producer
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Zeb31
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Post by Zeb31 on Apr 18, 2017 1:31:13 GMT
Yes for all of them.
Morton is right on the money about Dunst. I immediately thought of McAdams as an apt comparison: both are actresses who seemed to somewhat miss their window of opportunity in Hollywood, but who have quietly built interesting résumés for themselves since then by working in smaller-budget fare with various acclaimed filmmakers. Dunst is well-known in the industry, received some major critical love in the past few years for stuff like Melancholia and Fargo, and is still being sought-after by high-profile names like Sofia Coppola, Yorgos Lanthimos and Jeff Nichols. She's also fresh off a BP nominee that won SAG Ensemble, so it's perfectly feasible that she gets a McAdams-type nod if one of her future projects hits big with the Academy.
Johansson I can actually see winning on her first nomination if the right project comes along, most likely in Supporting. It hasn't happened for her yet, but it probably will eventually, and when it does, I don't think the industry will have much trouble throwing her a bone. She strikes an interesting balance between commercial and prestige/arthouse fare, and she's remarkably consistent too (Ghost in the Shell being a rare bomb among the several successes she's had the past few years). Just look at who she's working with between one blockbuster and another: Wes Anderson, the Coen brothers, Spike Jonze, Jonathan Glazer. Plus, she's only 32. Her time will come.
Pine is also someone I think the industry would easily rally up behind provided that the right project comes along. It's just a matter of whether or not he gets it. For now I'll say he does.
Like Jay said, critics will make Stewart happen eventually, especially if she keeps up her current pace. Plus, people who work with her seem to adore her, which can only help her chances.
Tatum makes more sense as a producing nominee, but you just can't write off someone whose body of work over the past three years includes collaborations with the likes of Tarantino, Soderbergh, Bennett Miller and the Coen brothers.
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speeders
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Post by speeders on Apr 18, 2017 2:09:03 GMT
Yes for all of them, with Pine being the least likely of the bunch but his chances certainly skyrocketed after Hell or High Water.
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Post by Johnny_Hellzapoppin on Apr 18, 2017 12:54:58 GMT
I could see all of them getting a nomination
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Post by Deleted on Apr 18, 2017 15:58:45 GMT
Dunst: Almost obv
Pine: Will eventually, but will take time to do so
ScarJo: Def. Could see her going Swinton way and winning that sole, career Oscar for the fuckups AMPAS did with her in the past.
Stewart: The girl's career is on a rise, def. She just needs a sure-to-hit-with-the-voters kind of movie, which Billy Lynn could've been had it been any good.
Tatum: AMPAS fucked him up with Foxcatcher. They better give him that nom now.
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Post by alexanderblanchett on Apr 22, 2017 11:46:06 GMT
Yes.
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Post by jimmalone on Apr 22, 2017 22:14:51 GMT
I'm pretty confident for the three women.
Not so much for the guys. Think Pine will get one eventually, Tatum is the least probable.
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