April Predictions for Oscars 2018

Not predicting Inner City until release date news

PICTURE:
1) Wonderstruck
2) Dunkirk
3) Darkest Hour
4) The Post
5) Detroit
6) Lean on Pete
7) Last Flag Flying
8) Call Me By Your Name
9) Mudbound
10) Greatest Showman
alt: Blade Runner

DIRECTOR:
1) Haynes, Wonderstruck
2) Nolan, Dunkirk
3) Wright, Darkest Hour
4) Bigelow, Detroit
5) Spielberg, The Post
alt: Villeneuve, Blade Runner

ACTOR:
1) Oldman, Darkest Hour
2) Day-Lewis, Untitled PTA
3) Cranston, Last Flag Flying
4) Jackman, Greatest Showman
5) Chalamet, Call Me By Your Name
alt: Hanks, The Post

ACTRESS:
1) Streep, The Post
2) Dench, Victoria and Abdul
3) Winslet, Wonder Wheel
4) Lawrence, mother!
5) Mara, Mary Magdalene
alt: Foy, Breathe

SUPPORTING ACTOR:
1) Stuhlbarg, Call Me By Your Name
2) Buscemi, Lean on Pete
3) Mitchell, Mudbound
4) Mendelsohn, Darkest Hour
5) Phoenix, Mary Magdalene
alt: Bardem, mother!

SUPPORTING ACTRESS:
1) Moore, Wonderstruck
2) Scott Thomas, Darkest Hour
3) Pfeiffer, mother!
4) Leo, Novitate
5) Blige, Mudbound
alt: Robbie, Goodbye Christopher Robin

ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY:
1) Darkest Hour
2) Detroit
3) The Post
4) Get Out
5) Wonder Wheel
alt: Three Billboards

ADAPTED SCREENPLAY:
1) Wonderstruck
2) Last Flag Flying
3) Call Me By Your Name
4) Lean on Pete
5) Mudbound
alt: Death of Stalin

First I've heard of this Cranston project.

I'm really holding out hope that You Were Never Really Here is a big hit at Cannes and can get some crossover appeal. It's a gritty darker-than-dark noir tale, and there's a great deal of room for Phoenix to plumb the damaged depths that he excelled so well at with The Master. Question is, will it be too dark for AMPAS and will he get the Gyllenhaal treatment?

I think he's likely a prime candidate for Original Screenplay if nothing else. The writing branch adores PTA.

Downsized got destroyed at test screenings and Payne revised the script into something far stranger and weirder than initially set-up

It will likely receive backlash for its satire and treatment of Chau's character, too

Unless critics and the industry goes for it (not impossible, I guess) my hopes for the film have dramatically dropped-- this would bomb on an Academy ballot since some will just hate it (which I sorta expected, but not to this extent because I thought it would still ignite enough admiration)

Best Picture:

Downsizing
Detroit
Wonderstruck
Mudbound
Molly’s Game
Suburbicon
The shape of water
Mother
Get out
Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri