coop032
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Choose life.
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Post by coop032 on May 8, 2021 2:22:57 GMT
Blonde
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Post by quetee on May 8, 2021 2:24:09 GMT
So Bradley has the potential to be in 3 bp nominees this year?
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Post by mhynson27 on May 8, 2021 2:33:04 GMT
So Bradley has the potential to be in 3 bp nominees this year? What's the 3rd?? Because Bernstein/Maestro isn't going to come out this year.
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Post by mhynson27 on May 8, 2021 2:33:29 GMT
Thinking about it, if anyone is going to be in 3 BP nominees this year, it'll be Timmy.
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Post by mhynson27 on May 8, 2021 2:37:15 GMT
I know there's always the whole argument of the 'new/changing Academy', but I'm not sure they're ready to embrace a film with multiple artsy shots of dead fetuses.
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Post by quetee on May 8, 2021 3:07:10 GMT
So Bradley has the potential to be in 3 bp nominees this year? What's the 3rd?? Because Bernstein/Maestro isn't going to come out this year. Oops. Okay.
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morton
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Post by morton on May 8, 2021 4:24:00 GMT
I think it'll go to a bigger, studded movie.... Especially after the minor-stuff crop we just had. Could be a huge victory-lap year for Ridley.... so Gucci or Last Duel....? Wouldn't count out Northman, Nightmare Alley, the DOR, Blonde maybe.... I’m probably wrong like always lol, but I feel like voters will want to go the other way this year too like how after Moonlight won, I know some voters went for Green Book because they were tired of smaller movies. I know The Shape of Water won in between there, but I still think history can repeat in a way. I wasn’t going to vote for House of Gucci because of my jinxing power lol, but I think that maybe people will really want something entertaining and maybe not a downer, if it is like I, Tonya or The Wolf of Wall Street. Not sure what else might qualify at this point. Possibly Don’t Look Up, but it’s Netflix, and I’ve lost confidence in them winning Best Picture after last season. That could definitely change in a few months, but I do think critics might have their knives out even more for Adam McKay since Vice still nabbed a lot of nominations despite the poor reviews. Maybe The French Dispatch, but it could be the big film that most people predict that doesn’t end up winning like Silence, so I’m wary predicting something that because it rarely if ever pans out.
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Post by Pavan on May 8, 2021 6:08:51 GMT
Would like to see a big budget prestige flick win the BP for a change. When was the last time that happened? Return of the King ? The Departed? That's a long time.
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Post by bob-coppola on May 8, 2021 14:52:59 GMT
Completely forgot about NA, even though I'm reading the book right now and loving every bit of it. Actually, because I'm reading the book, I don't see it as BP winner material. It's quite dark, and a horrorish-noir isn't what AMPAS goes for and wouldn't fare that well with #1 votes. It'll be a huge tech marvel tho. French Dispatch might be too Wes Andersy/quirky. It could also just be another major tech player like Grand Budapest Hotel. I agree with that. But regarding TSOW, even though it is a "strange" movie (it's pretty acessible tho), it had a message of tolerance and diversity, which NA doens't have. TFD could have a message about press freedom or be a love letter to the arts, which would put it ahead of NA. The membership is changing, but being "important" is still pretty big. But both TFD and NA will probably end up as more tech players, and maybe screenplay. Don't see acting noms either other than Blanchett and maybe Collette.
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morton
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Post by morton on May 8, 2021 17:29:13 GMT
French Dispatch might be too Wes Andersy/quirky. It could also just be another major tech player like Grand Budapest Hotel. I agree with that. But regarding TSOW, even though it is a "strange" movie (it's pretty acessible tho), it had a message of tolerance and diversity, which NA doens't have. TFD could have a message about press freedom or be a love letter to the arts, which would put it ahead of NA. The membership is changing, but being "important" is still pretty big. But both TFD and NA will probably end up as more tech players, and maybe screenplay. Don't see acting noms either other than Blanchett and maybe Collette. Yeah I was trying to think of what could be “important” too since that seems to be a factor especially this past decade; although it’s hard to pin down because what is “important” to voters changes every year. Both Don’t Look Up and The French Dispatch would seem to have it, but this far out I’m not sure I see them being able to go all the way since the overwhelming favorites face a lot of scrutiny and backlash along the way. Plus this past decade, there’s been a tendency for directors who have never been nominated before to win Best Picture especially right after 2014, but I’m still looking to mostly films by directors that have been nominated before at this stage. I guess because they’ve already got in the club, and the trend won’t last forever.
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Post by quetee on May 8, 2021 18:28:15 GMT
Would like to see a big budget prestige flick win the BP for a change. When was the last time that happened? Return of the King ? The Departed? That's a long time. I had a thread on this very topic several years ago about how the academy was going to break an 90 year old trend: At least one top grossing movie per decade won the Oscar. You're right, ROTK is the last highest grossing movie to do so. The last best picture nominee that was the highest grossing movie in its respective year was Black Panther. The only other highest grossing bp nominee that had a shot at winning bp though was American Sniper.
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Post by TheAlwaysClassy on May 9, 2021 11:28:35 GMT
The French Dispatch
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Post by wilcinema on May 9, 2021 11:31:42 GMT
The French Dispatch makes a lot of sense on paper, but it will have to deliver.
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Post by Pittsnogle_Goggins on May 9, 2021 13:56:32 GMT
Thinking something more mainstream like the McKay or Russel films.
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flasuss
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Post by flasuss on May 10, 2021 0:31:18 GMT
Thinking something more mainstream like the McKay or Russel films. I don't see a DOR movie going somewhere in a post-Me Too world, when his career barely survived before it. Maybe even for noms and such, but zero chance for BP or BD.
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Post by quetee on May 14, 2021 22:20:05 GMT
The Northman pushed to next year.
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Post by franklin on May 14, 2021 22:30:26 GMT
This sucks, I guess it's not ready on time and not meant to be an accessible Oscar player.
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Post by stephen on May 14, 2021 22:39:32 GMT
This sucks, I guess it's not ready on time and not meant to be an accessible Oscar player. Unless they want to Mad Max: Fury Road it. Get it that Cannes bow and go HARD.
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Post by mhynson27 on May 14, 2021 23:14:49 GMT
This sucks, I guess it's not ready on time and not meant to be an accessible Oscar player. Unless they want to Mad Max: Fury Road it. Get it that Cannes bow and go HARD. Why wouldn't they just do that this year though??
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Post by stephen on May 14, 2021 23:44:30 GMT
Unless they want to Mad Max: Fury Road it. Get it that Cannes bow and go HARD. Why wouldn't they just do that this year though?? No idea. They’ve only got Stillwater, The Card Counter, Belfast and Downton Abbey 2 this year. Maybe they are hoping that it'll be their first big theatrical release post-pandemic. I also wonder if Eggers had some say in that, and was hoping that they could roll it out properly in a theater setting. The sort of movie it is, a spring release might actually be bankable rather than risking it when a fair amount of people are still unsure about going out even after being vaccinated. That buffer might be what Focus is banking on.
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Zeb31
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Bernardo is not believing que vous êtes come to bing bing avec nous
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Post by Zeb31 on May 15, 2021 1:18:07 GMT
Why wouldn't they just do that this year though?? No idea. They’ve only got Stillwater, The Card Counter, Belfast and Downton Abbey 2 this year. Maybe they are hoping that it'll be their first big theatrical release post-pandemic. I also wonder if Eggers had some say in that, and was hoping that they could roll it out properly in a theater setting. The sort of movie it is, a spring release might actually be bankable rather than risking it when a fair amount of people are still unsure about going out even after being vaccinated. That buffer might be what Focus is banking on. I'm biased because I'm currently reading (and greatly enjoying) the novel it's based on, but Focus also bought worldwide rights to John Michael McDonagh's The Forgiven, though as far as I'm aware their deal excludes North America for some reason. There's always the chance that McDonagh mishandles the subject matter, but everything I've read so far has been quite engrossing. There's no guarantee that that's coming out this year, especially since McDonagh's previous films all hit Sundance and Berlin instead of debuting at the fall festivals, but unless some other distributor has scooped up North American rights I don't see why Focus wouldn't handle those territories as well, though that might be wishful thinking on my end. Now that The Northman is out of the running, nothing in Focus' slate strikes me as a clear #1 push. It's too early to write any of them off, but Stillwater is coming out in July, Schrader has never been an awards darling, the first Downton Abbey came and went without making any noise with awards groups (not even tech love, not even from the BAFTAs), and Branagh is hit or miss (lately far more miss than hit) as a director. Maybe Last Night in Soho?
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Post by mhynson27 on May 15, 2021 2:17:28 GMT
No idea. They’ve only got Stillwater, The Card Counter, Belfast and Downton Abbey 2 this year. Maybe they are hoping that it'll be their first big theatrical release post-pandemic. I also wonder if Eggers had some say in that, and was hoping that they could roll it out properly in a theater setting. The sort of movie it is, a spring release might actually be bankable rather than risking it when a fair amount of people are still unsure about going out even after being vaccinated. That buffer might be what Focus is banking on. I'm biased because I'm currently reading (and greatly enjoying) the novel it's based on, but Focus also bought worldwide rights to John Michael McDonagh's The Forgiven, though as far as I'm aware their deal excludes North America for some reason. There's always the chance that McDonagh mishandles the subject matter, but everything I've read so far has been quite engrossing. There's no guarantee that that's coming out this year, especially since McDonagh's previous films all hit Sundance and Berlin instead of debuting at the fall festivals, but unless some other distributor has scooped up North American rights I don't see why Focus wouldn't handle those territories as well, though that might be wishful thinking on my end. Now that The Northman is out of the running, nothing in Focus' slate strikes me as a clear #1 push. It's too early to write any of them off, but Stillwater is coming out in July, Schrader has never been an awards darling, the first Downton Abbey came and went without making any noise with awards groups (not even tech love, not even from the BAFTAs), and Branagh is hit or miss (lately far more miss than hit) as a director. Maybe Last Night in Soho?Yeah, something tells me Last Night in Soho is a stealth contender.
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Post by michael128 on May 20, 2021 0:02:52 GMT
The Last Duel
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Post by Tommen_Saperstein on May 20, 2021 3:28:34 GMT
well ok, fine. Benedetta
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Post by quetee on May 27, 2021 18:24:48 GMT
Last week.
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