fotodude
Junior Member
Posts: 398
Likes: 132
|
Post by fotodude on Apr 10, 2017 18:38:27 GMT
New month, new BP poll. Last month some people complained about the new format, so let me clarify: this is only to make my tallying easier. Since the poll doesn't let us add more options here, I'm simply going to list all the films that received at least one vote last time. If you want to vote for something else, you can: just post your choice below. Otherwise only use the poll function to vote. You can also post below to explain your vote, or if you want to guarantee future bragging rights if you call it early, but only the poll votes will be tallied (with the exception above). I'll keep it open for a few days, then post the results with some comments. Last month Dunkirk narrowly won, followed by Bigelow's Detroit Project and Phantom Thread, between a total of 72 votes. Let's see if we can keep or increase that number. These were the results in April last year. Not the most accurate, so let's see if we can do better this year.
|
|
Lubezki
Based
the social distancing
Posts: 4,332
Likes: 6,554
|
Post by Lubezki on Apr 10, 2017 18:50:23 GMT
Sticking with Falkirk.
|
|
Deleted
Deleted Member
Posts: 0
Likes:
|
Post by Deleted on Apr 10, 2017 19:07:48 GMT
Wonderstruck alt: Downsizing
|
|
|
Post by TheAlwaysClassy on Apr 10, 2017 20:57:50 GMT
I'm starting to think the Detroit project might take this.
|
|
Zeb31
Based
Bernardo is not believing que vous êtes come to bing bing avec nous
Posts: 2,557
Likes: 3,794
|
Post by Zeb31 on Apr 10, 2017 21:55:33 GMT
I'll go with Wonderstruck this month, but it's a toss-up between that and the Bigelow (which I'm still feeling will get pushed back). These were the results in April last year. Not the most accurate, so let's see if we can do better this year. My first thought was "woah, not one person predicted La La Land back then?". My second was "oh, that's right".
|
|
fotodude
Junior Member
Posts: 398
Likes: 132
|
Post by fotodude on Apr 10, 2017 21:56:52 GMT
Wonderstruck alt: Downsizing My thoughts exactly.
|
|
Deleted
Deleted Member
Posts: 0
Likes:
|
Post by Deleted on Apr 10, 2017 22:22:22 GMT
I'll go with Wonderstruck this month, but it's a toss-up between that and the Bigelow (which I'm still feeling will get pushed back). These were the results in April last year. Not the most accurate, so let's see if we can do better this year. My first thought was "woah, not one person predicted La La Land back then?". My second was "oh, that's right". Detroit trailer is releasing this week, so I doubt it will get pushed back after all
|
|
Deleted
Deleted Member
Posts: 0
Likes:
|
Post by Deleted on Apr 10, 2017 23:18:24 GMT
Fuck it, I'll go with PTA's film.
|
|
|
Post by Martin Stett on Apr 10, 2017 23:50:37 GMT
Sticking with Molly. Not a lot of confidence in a first time director, but the story sounds right.
|
|
Zeb31
Based
Bernardo is not believing que vous êtes come to bing bing avec nous
Posts: 2,557
Likes: 3,794
|
Post by Zeb31 on Apr 11, 2017 0:29:56 GMT
Detroit trailer is releasing this week, so I doubt it will get pushed back after all If that's the case, then I'll default to Downsizing as my runner-up. The Post also makes a lot of sense as the kind of safe consensus pick à la Spotlight that benefits from the preferential system, but I don't know if it'll generate enough passion to crack the top 3.
|
|
Deleted
Deleted Member
Posts: 0
Likes:
|
Post by Deleted on Apr 11, 2017 1:02:40 GMT
Yeah, I don't have much faith in The Post being that huge-- possibly a win for Streep, but that's it
It's pure bait, but it won't have the acclaim or emotional thorough-line that Spotlight did, and the movie is going to be such a late release
|
|
|
Post by therealcomicman117 on Apr 11, 2017 1:15:16 GMT
Bigelow's Detroit film, I guess. There's not a clear potential winner right now of course.
|
|
fotodude
Junior Member
Posts: 398
Likes: 132
|
Post by fotodude on Apr 11, 2017 6:39:41 GMT
Please check that in the poll.
|
|
Deleted
Deleted Member
Posts: 0
Likes:
|
Post by Deleted on Apr 11, 2017 12:53:32 GMT
I'm horrible at predicting these things, but Darkest Hour looks capable
|
|
Deleted
Deleted Member
Posts: 0
Likes:
|
Post by Deleted on Apr 11, 2017 15:44:28 GMT
Wonderstruck alt: Downsizing My thoughts exactly. Only 2 i see with least amount of cons Detroit- early release, no festivals, possible backlash, might be more of a commercial genre thing (like Bigelow's 90s thrillers) Darkest Hour- bait like this doesn't really win anymore, probably just the Oldman show, fine but pedestrian script Dunkirk- early release, no festivals, WB will also have Blade Runner, will it have acclaim or be a genre commercial thing, unlikely for SAG ensemble or Screenplay Lean on Pete- is it too small, will it be emotional and consensus enough, does it have a narrative The Post- will be a very, very late release, is it Bridge of Spies or Lincoln Inner City- very late release, unlikely to be crowdpleasing Call Me By Your Name- would be more shocking than Moonlight tbh PTA- very, very late release, unfavorable subject matter, Focus is packed Blade Runner- Mad Max redux at best Last Flag Flying- positive screening reactions, should contend for writing and acting noms, but if Boyhood couldn't do it--- Greatest Showman- musicals are very polarizing, if La La Land couldn't do it Mudbound- Netflix is untested
|
|
fotodude
Junior Member
Posts: 398
Likes: 132
|
Post by fotodude on Apr 11, 2017 16:33:00 GMT
Only 2 i see with least amount of cons Detroit- early release, no festivals, possible backlash, might be more of a commercial genre thing (like Bigelow's 90s thrillers) Darkest Hour- bait like this doesn't really win anymore, probably just the Oldman show, fine but pedestrian script Dunkirk- early release, no festivals, WB will also have Blade Runner, will it have acclaim or be a genre commercial thing, unlikely for SAG ensemble or Screenplay Lean on Pete- is it too small, will it be emotional and consensus enough, does it have a narrative The Post- will be a very, very late release, is it Bridge of Spies or Lincoln Inner City- very late release, unlikely to be crowdpleasing Call Me By Your Name- would be more shocking than Moonlight tbh PTA- very, very late release, unfavorable subject matter, Focus is packed Blade Runner- Mad Max redux at best Last Flag Flying- positive screening reactions, should contend for writing and acting noms, but if Boyhood couldn't do it--- Greatest Showman- musicals are very polarizing, if La La Land couldn't do it Mudbound- Netflix is untested What were the screening reactions for Last Flag Flying? I missed them.
|
|
Deleted
Deleted Member
Posts: 0
Likes:
|
Post by Deleted on Apr 11, 2017 17:35:45 GMT
Only 2 i see with least amount of cons Detroit- early release, no festivals, possible backlash, might be more of a commercial genre thing (like Bigelow's 90s thrillers) Darkest Hour- bait like this doesn't really win anymore, probably just the Oldman show, fine but pedestrian script Dunkirk- early release, no festivals, WB will also have Blade Runner, will it have acclaim or be a genre commercial thing, unlikely for SAG ensemble or Screenplay Lean on Pete- is it too small, will it be emotional and consensus enough, does it have a narrative The Post- will be a very, very late release, is it Bridge of Spies or Lincoln Inner City- very late release, unlikely to be crowdpleasing Call Me By Your Name- would be more shocking than Moonlight tbh PTA- very, very late release, unfavorable subject matter, Focus is packed Blade Runner- Mad Max redux at best Last Flag Flying- positive screening reactions, should contend for writing and acting noms, but if Boyhood couldn't do it--- Greatest Showman- musicals are very polarizing, if La La Land couldn't do it Mudbound- Netflix is untested What were the screening reactions for Last Flag Flying? I missed them. Sounds good with a very showy performance from Cranston
|
|
|
Post by notacrook on Apr 11, 2017 20:24:46 GMT
I would actually go with Dunkirk. I trust Nolan to pull it off, enough to impress the Academy. It seems the kind of epic war film that could become a juggernaut, both in terms of box office and awards.
But it could easily not happen. My second choice would be Bigelow's project, and then probably The Greatest Showman.
|
|
|
Post by joephoenix on Apr 11, 2017 23:01:51 GMT
I'll go with Downsizing this month but nothing really sticks out.
|
|
Deleted
Deleted Member
Posts: 0
Likes:
|
Post by Deleted on Apr 13, 2017 0:52:13 GMT
Not voting here, but can only buy Phantom Thread and Downsizing as BP winners, and Wonderstruck and Detroit as other nominees.
|
|
|
Post by jakesully on Apr 13, 2017 1:03:40 GMT
Probably a shot in the dark but I went with Mudbound. The thing that gives me pause is its a Netflix film but the reviews were pretty strong and the subject matter is so damn baity , I'll still go with it.
On a sidenote, this is the 2nd year in a row that I voted for a Garrett Hedlund film winning Best Picture in April haha. Got burned bad with Billy Lynn's Long Halftime Walk last year . But I am much more confident with this one considering the strong reviews.
|
|
|
Post by quetee on Apr 13, 2017 5:17:37 GMT
Yikes, our track record was pretty bad last April. At this point, just going for bp nod and I'm picking Downsizing.
|
|
Deleted
Deleted Member
Posts: 0
Likes:
|
Post by Deleted on Apr 13, 2017 5:29:24 GMT
Might change my alternate from Downsizing to Darkest Hour now
|
|
|
Post by Tommen_Saperstein on Apr 13, 2017 5:50:40 GMT
Movies that won't win BP: Downsizing (premise is too strange to be a BP winner) Wonderstruck (the academy clearly has no love for Haynes) Dunkirk (I don't need to explain why this is wishful thinking) Call Me By Your Name (the same kind of movie won't win twice in a row)
Darkest Hour and Detroit are the safest bets here.
|
|
|
Post by mhynson27 on Apr 13, 2017 5:50:49 GMT
Might change my alternate from Downsizing to Darkest Hour now Why??? What did I miss?
|
|