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Post by Deleted on Jan 18, 2021 4:59:35 GMT
Obviously there are sometimes curveballs (see Jennifer Lopez just last year), but at this stage (i.e. before the industry awards really start to shape the races), who feels like a "lock" to you?
By category, I'll say...
ACTOR Chadwick Boseman, Ma Rainey's Black Bottom Anthony Hopkins, The Father
ACTRESS Viola Davis, Ma Rainey's Black Bottom Frances McDormand, Nomadland
SUPPORTING ACTOR Leslie Odom Jr., One Night in Miami
SUPPORTING ACTRESS Amanda Seyfried, Mank
Who are you thinking?
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Post by mhynson27 on Jan 18, 2021 5:05:22 GMT
I'm probably a lot more liberal with the term 'lock' but:
Boseman Hopkins Lindo Davis McDormand Mulligan Odom Jr. Kaluuya Cohen Seyfried Colman
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Post by pupdurcs on Jan 18, 2021 5:09:05 GMT
Actor
Boseman, Lindo, Hopkins
Actress
Davis, McDormand
Supporting Actor
Cohen, Boseman
Supporting Actress
Seyfried
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Post by stabcaesar on Jan 18, 2021 5:18:41 GMT
Boseman is definitely locked in both categories.
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Post by TerryMontana on Jan 18, 2021 6:22:08 GMT
Nobody is a lock for a win atm. For a nomination, pretty much all these already mentioned.
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morton
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Post by morton on Jan 18, 2021 6:28:08 GMT
Actor Boseman Hopkins Lindo
Actress Davis McDormand Mulligan
Best Supporting Actor Cohen Odom Jr
Best Supporting Actress Colman Seyfried
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Post by DanQuixote on Jan 18, 2021 9:44:19 GMT
I rarely call people locks.
Actor - Boseman. Actress - Davis and McDormand. Supporting Actor - Supporting Actress -
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Post by Pittsnogle_Goggins on Jan 18, 2021 16:48:40 GMT
Actor: Boseman
Actress: McDormand Davis
Supporting Actor: None
Supporting Actress: Seyfried
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Post by Deleted on Jan 18, 2021 16:56:24 GMT
Actor: Boseman Actress: McDormand Davis Supporting Actor: None Supporting Actress: Seyfried Definitely considered saying "none" for Supporting Actor as well, but I just can't imagine they're going to let One Night in Miami slide without an Acting nomination - Odom Jr. is the most familiar face and he's bound to have residual Hamilton goodwill. Just out of curiosity, why are you feeling hesitant on Hopkins in Leading Actor?
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Post by Pittsnogle_Goggins on Jan 18, 2021 17:23:07 GMT
Actor: Boseman Actress: McDormand Davis Supporting Actor: None Supporting Actress: Seyfried Definitely considered saying "none" for Supporting Actor as well, but I just can't imagine they're going to let One Night in Miami slide without an Acting nomination - Odom Jr. is the most familiar face and he's bound to have residual Hamilton goodwill. Just out of curiosity, why are you feeling hesitant on Hopkins in Leading Actor? I think both Odom Jr and Kaluuya are near certainties to get nominated but I can still envision a scenario where either one is snubbed. Hopkins I also consider a near certainty but again just have him more on the cusp of a lock. Just me being extremely stringent with the term lock more than anything.
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Post by dadsburgers on Jan 18, 2021 19:31:15 GMT
Locked meaning, to me, that I'd be absolutely floored if any of these missed at this point.
In order of lockiness:
Lead Actor: Chadwick Boseman Delroy Lindo Anthony Hopkins
Lead Actress: Frances McDormand Viola Davis
Supporting Actor: Leslie Odom Jr. Daniel Kaluuya
Supporting Actress: Amanda Seyfried Youn Yuh-jung (I feel like she's been so consistent and she's flying under everyone's radar)
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Post by bob-coppola on Jan 18, 2021 19:41:18 GMT
Maybe I'm being a little unpatient this season, but I'm pretty sure of the following:
ACTOR Riz Ahmed, Sound of Metal Chadwick Boseman, Ma Rainey's Black Bottom Anthony Hopkins, The Father Gary Oldman, Mank (I think this movie is really gonna pick up steam with industry awards begin)
ACTRESS Viola Davis, Ma Rainey's Black Bottom Vanessa Kirby, Pieces of a Woman Frances McDormand, Nomadland Carey Mulligan, Promising Young Woman
SUPPORTING ACTOR Sacha Baron Cohen, Chicago 7 Leslie Odom Jr., One Night in Miami
SUPPORTING ACTRESS Ellen Burstyn, Pieces of a Woman Olivia Colman, The Father Amanda Seyfried, Mank
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Post by therealcomicman117 on Jan 18, 2021 21:06:42 GMT
Of course anything can happen, but these all feel like safe bets.
Lead Actor: Chadwick Boseman Delroy Lindo Anthony Hopkins
Lead Actress: Frances McDormand Viola Davis
Supporting Actor: Leslie Odom Jr. Daniel Kaluuya
Supporting Actress: Olivia Colman Amanda Seyfried Youn Yuh-jung (thank Dagsburgers for reminding me of her, she has been showing up a lot at these recent awards)
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Post by quetee on Jan 18, 2021 21:18:49 GMT
I just feel as though supporting actor is wide open.
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Post by Pittsnogle_Goggins on Jan 18, 2021 22:34:49 GMT
Locked meaning, to me, that I'd be absolutely floored if any of these missed at this point. In order of lockiness: Lead Actor:Chadwick Boseman Delroy Lindo Anthony Hopkins Lead Actress:Frances McDormand Viola Davis Supporting Actor:Leslie Odom Jr. Daniel Kaluuya Supporting Actress:Amanda Seyfried Youn Yuh-jung (I feel like she's been so consistent and she's flying under everyone's radar)While I’m currently predicting her I wouldn’t be the least bit shocked if she was snubbed.
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Post by mhynson27 on Jan 19, 2021 1:14:20 GMT
I think she'll get in, but calling Youn a lock right now is very risky. We saw what happened to Zhao Shuzhen just last year.
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Post by iheartamyadams on Jan 19, 2021 4:38:20 GMT
Boseman Hopkins Lindo
Davis McDormand
SBC Odom Jr.
Seyfried Colman
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Post by iheartamyadams on Jan 19, 2021 4:43:34 GMT
I think she'll get in, but calling Youn a lock right now is very risky. We saw what happened to Zhao Shuzhen just last year. She’s not a lock, but she’s been far more dominant with critics than Shuzhen. She’s currently the critic leader in Supporting Actress.
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Post by mhynson27 on Jan 19, 2021 6:09:48 GMT
I think she'll get in, but calling Youn a lock right now is very risky. We saw what happened to Zhao Shuzhen just last year. She’s not a lock, but she’s been far more dominant with critics than Shuzhen. She’s currently the critic leader in Supporting Actress. Huh, I thought Zhao led critics. Who did?
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Post by stabcaesar on Jan 19, 2021 7:00:04 GMT
She’s not a lock, but she’s been far more dominant with critics than Shuzhen. She’s currently the critic leader in Supporting Actress. Huh, I thought Zhao led critics. Who did? Laura Dern.
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Post by mhynson27 on Jan 19, 2021 8:18:39 GMT
Huh, I thought Zhao led critics. Who did? Laura Dern. Yikes
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Post by iheartamyadams on Jan 19, 2021 12:27:36 GMT
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Post by mhynson27 on Jan 19, 2021 12:44:42 GMT
Love that for Bakalova
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flasuss
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Post by flasuss on Jan 19, 2021 15:10:34 GMT
Lead Actor: Chadwick Boseman Anthony Hopkins Delroy Lindo
Lead Actress: Viola Davis Frances McDormand Carey Mulligan
Supporting Actor: Chadwick Boseman
Supporting Actress: Olivia Colman Amanda Seyfried
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Post by Deleted on Feb 4, 2021 16:23:52 GMT
Welp...
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