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Post by Tommen_Saperstein on Nov 24, 2020 20:02:21 GMT
NV and PA certified for Biden
re: popular vote... Biden only needs 60K to crack 80 million, and presumably that'll come from New York when they get off their ass and finish the count.
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Post by quetee on Nov 25, 2020 3:34:42 GMT
Emily didn't want to face Katie Porter and her whiteboard.
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Post by Tommen_Saperstein on Nov 25, 2020 6:42:59 GMT
amazing
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Post by Tommen_Saperstein on Nov 25, 2020 16:17:24 GMT
we're getting the first rumblings of experts reckoning with why the polls continued to underestimate of Trump's support this particular theory to me might be one of the most fascinating asterick to the Trump phenomenon. Very psychological and sociological. Trump's populism thrived on social disengagement and low social trust and he really tapped into the fears of these huge and fundamentally isolated social blocs. He feeds on paranoia, distrust, and isolation. Those are not the kind of people you can easily get on the phone for a 10-minute survey.
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Post by Joaquim on Nov 26, 2020 22:31:55 GMT
we're getting the first rumblings of experts reckoning with why the polls continued to underestimate of Trump's support this particular theory to me might be one of the most fascinating asterick to the Trump phenomenon. Very psychological and sociological. Trump's populism thrived on social disengagement and low social trust and he really tapped into the fears of these huge and fundamentally isolated social blocs. He feeds on paranoia, distrust, and isolation. Those are not the kind of people you can easily get on the phone for a 10-minute survey. I hate to nitpick but as someone who was doing this polling work almost nonstop from midsummer up until the Saturday before the election, these surveys literally take less than 3mins to complete, but yes the point still stands bc if they’re not gonna take a 3min survey they’re sure as hell not taking a 10min one. In fact, that actually makes it reflect even worse on trump supporters
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Post by quetee on Nov 27, 2020 14:30:06 GMT
Still?
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Post by quetee on Nov 27, 2020 14:31:14 GMT
Losing it...
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Post by quetee on Nov 27, 2020 14:32:39 GMT
So now he wants to get rid of Twitter? On 1-20-21 at 12:01 pm, Twitter will be locked and loaded ready to ban his ass.
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Post by quetee on Nov 27, 2020 17:03:46 GMT
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LaraQ
Badass
English Rose
Posts: 2,300
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Post by LaraQ on Nov 27, 2020 17:17:10 GMT
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morton
Based
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Post by morton on Nov 27, 2020 18:03:32 GMT
So now he wants to get rid of Twitter? On 1-20-21 at 12:01 pm, Twitter will be locked and loaded ready to ban his ass. He should have been banned long before that, but we know Twitter wasn’t ever going to have the balls to ban him. That whole thing gave me a really big laugh last night. The desk they had him use makes him look like a toddler, so I think that definitely had to be planned. Someone pointed out the carpet and how half-assed the vacuuming looked, so you know he pissed off the housekeeping staff with his COVID-19 fuckery. The Christmas tree is just sitting there without any decorations. And of course his tantrum is the whole cherry on top. They couldn’t be any more incompetent if they tried.
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Post by Tommen_Saperstein on Nov 29, 2020 17:31:48 GMT
lmao
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Post by jimmalone on Nov 30, 2020 11:25:21 GMT
His last line "Numbers don't lie" is really incredible hilarious, when you take it in a wider context. Not only with the election results, but with his whole presidency.
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Post by quetee on Dec 1, 2020 20:40:14 GMT
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Post by quetee on Dec 1, 2020 20:41:18 GMT
Bill Barr......countdown in...5-4-3-2-1
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Post by Tommen_Saperstein on Dec 2, 2020 6:47:28 GMT
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Post by Tommen_Saperstein on Dec 2, 2020 20:16:30 GMT
I'm curious about how much this colossal in-fighting affects the GOP going forward. We are now living in a world where any conservative or republican official or lawmaker breaks with Trump, they are the enemy. Barr has been a conservative hero and now he's being raked over the coals for saying there was no fraud. How many crazies did he bring back into the light with that statement? Surely not enough. Governor Kemp of GA (who has been a conservative hero of voter suppression) is also being crucified by these same crazies for not militantly falling in line with Trump & Giuliani's delusions. He's going to be up for election in 2022... will all this have died down by now? I'm assuming not if Trump is going to be actively campaigning until 2024, and if that's the case a blue high-turnout scenario could flip that office towards Dems if enough of these OAN/Newsmax-loving deranged mouth-breathers have jumped ship. We're seeing a massive schism forming, keeping some traditional conservatives center-right while pushing others (likely most) farther to the periphery and dragging the establishment with them. My gut says that isn't sustainable long-term. At all. But on the other hand, will any of it be enough to alienate those conservative voters who aren't deranged but only care about their pocketbooks? Because populism isn't even the main problem with the GOP voter-base; it's cynicism, and no amount of Trump insanity is going to make them less cynical. I have a hard time seeing assholes like Toomey or Kemp or Barr (or their fans) voting blue in any reality, even one in which the GOP is actively delusional and fascist. What a depressing time to be alive.
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flasuss
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Post by flasuss on Dec 2, 2020 22:02:11 GMT
Either it will die down, or the most radical Trumptards won't vote, which means most Republicans that challenge him will lose.
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Post by Tommen_Saperstein on Dec 5, 2020 2:07:16 GMT
A lot of talk from CNN and others about how Trump's fraud narrative might undercut Republican turnout in the GA runoff. Is this wishful thinking or is there actually something to that? I'm partial to the former. All this talk of boycotting the election reeks of the outraged pearl-clutching of angry, paranoid losers, but it's hot air. I'm confident the vast majority of them will turn out to vote for the red ticket to keep the radical communist deep state libs from taking power in the senate. I'd be shocked if dems win one of those seats, let alone both. GA Republicans aren't going to let a black preacher beat an attractive blond white woman or a liberal Jew unseat an established Trumpy incumbent. Just not gonna happen.
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Post by RiverleavesElmius on Dec 7, 2020 5:01:42 GMT
A lot of talk from CNN and others about how Trump's fraud narrative might undercut Republican turnout in the GA runoff. Is this wishful thinking or is there actually something to that? I'm partial to the former. All this talk of boycotting the election reeks of the outraged pearl-clutching of angry, paranoid losers, but it's hot air. I'm confident the vast majority of them will turn out to vote for the red ticket to keep the radical communist deep state libs from taking power in the senate. I'd be shocked if dems win one of those seats, let alone both. GA Republicans aren't going to let a black preacher beat an attractive blond white woman or a liberal Jew unseat an established Trumpy incumbent. Just not gonna happen. GA Republicans couldn't do SHIT to prevent the state from going to Biden in the Presidential race, so why would the runoff be any different? I'd be shocked if they DIDN'T win at least 1 of the seats, if not both. Loeffler is especially vulnerable.
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Post by jimmalone on Dec 7, 2020 9:33:56 GMT
A lot of talk from CNN and others about how Trump's fraud narrative might undercut Republican turnout in the GA runoff. Is this wishful thinking or is there actually something to that? I'm partial to the former. All this talk of boycotting the election reeks of the outraged pearl-clutching of angry, paranoid losers, but it's hot air. I'm confident the vast majority of them will turn out to vote for the red ticket to keep the radical communist deep state libs from taking power in the senate. I'd be shocked if dems win one of those seats, let alone both. GA Republicans aren't going to let a black preacher beat an attractive blond white woman or a liberal Jew unseat an established Trumpy incumbent. Just not gonna happen. It could go either way. One scenario is that Trump might finally have stepped over a red line with his try of a coup, which could take away many of the more moderate republican voters to stay away from him. However I think much more likely is as you say that Republicans won't allow the Democrats to control both chambers of the Congress. So yeah I think Republicans will win both seats.
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Post by Tommen_Saperstein on Dec 7, 2020 21:47:39 GMT
well goddamn it, here are some Georgia runoff polls. I couldn't resist Ossoff and Warnock are running ahead by 0.8 and 2.2 points respectively. Don't want to get my hopes up and my gut is still telling me that Georgia is still an uphill battle, buuuut Georgia polls were remarkably accurate this year on the top of the ticket. Have to be wary about this. I'd rather predict dems lose and be wrong than the alternative, but these aren't bad numbers. Ossoff wasn't polling this well pre-November 3rd. People were voting against Trump in November more than they were voting for dems and with everything he's been doing and saying over the last few weeks, that could materialize into re-engaging those GA Biden voters to vote against Loeffler and Purdue. In January, voting against Loeffler and Purdue is more a vote against Trump than it was in November.
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Post by Tommen_Saperstein on Dec 8, 2020 1:04:27 GMT
don't remember armed protesters surrounding Monica Palmer's house and threatening her. Meanwhile...
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Post by pacinoyes on Dec 8, 2020 15:25:08 GMT
Meanwhile, its been 4 days since 'urbanpatrician' last posted. Where are urbanpatrician and cherry68 anyway.......it's been quite a while now..........
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Post by mhynson27 on Dec 8, 2020 15:49:06 GMT
Meanwhile, its been 4 days since 'urbanpatrician' last posted. Where are urbanpatrician and cherry68 anyway.......it's been quite a while now.......... Practically been a whole month! Wonder if they'll ever return.
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