Post by Tommen_Saperstein on Aug 12, 2020 22:31:38 GMT
Streep, but from this list I actually think Soairse could eclipse them all. She already has four nominations and has shown a remarkable range. Blanchett has mostly departed from prestige projects this last decade for more experimental fare (she really doesn't need any more Oscars) but at 51 she still has plenty of time to swoop back in for more gold if she wants it. Ronan meanwhile has been attaching herself to prestige projects and directors left and right and especially last decade. If that continues, she's destined for at least 3-4 more Oscar noms in the 2020s whereas Blanchett only earned two in the 2010s (down 4 from the oughts). I really think Ronan could catch up. She's only 26! I'm always amazed when I look up her age because it feels like she's been an item for a while and yet she's still so young. At the end of this next decade she's only going to be 36, which comparatively is still pretty young. She has so much time left.
btw, Ronan is getting nominated for Ammonite whenever that comes out. Blanchett has Nightmare Alley on the horizon but that might be too genre-y for the Oscars.
I think it's going to be Blanchett from this list - she'll be at 8 soon enough and.....she's crazy ambitious, is exceedingly self-aware and aware of history ..........nothing slows her down she works like a demon. She's also the best actress on this list
Ronan is historic on pace but I'll be a sexist and say watch her win one and have a baby/marriage - a lot can happen in life.
Observation: In general Oscars play much more into how an actress is thought of than a male actor - it's a little sexist because (almost) no one argues as passionately for artistry for actresses as they do male actors ... you can do it but it doesn't lend itself to it like with males. A lot of people can stan for a lot of actors as "best" regardless of their Oscar tally......for females the Oscars are what the Gen Pop gravitates towards much more it seems to me.
Post by urbanpatrician on Aug 12, 2020 23:26:43 GMT
1. Streep - I don't think her record will be broken. Part of the reason she holds it is because she takes every single project known to man. Blanchett certainly doesn't have that need. Kidman doesn't have it. Lawrence doesn't appear to have it, though it's too early to tell.
2. Blanchett - Blue Jasmine is the ultimate turning point of her career. A mid-career Oscar win, and it proved that she was here to stay. She is definitely going to keep going and eyes are always gonna be on her in anticipation of her career unfolding. The only thing working against her is age. She is already 51 and has 7 nods. When Streep was 51, she had 12 already.
3. Lawrence - The thing in her favor is youth. She's only 30 and has 4 nods already. While she cooled off in the late '10s, she is considered one of the 5 most marketable faces, and her fans will come out of the woodworks as soon as she starts headlining projects again. The thing working in her favor is her mass marketability. Lots of fans, and her being able to do pretty much every project there is, with no concern that she won't be able to sell them or at least make something bad into something watchable that people are gonna go see.
Nobody can predict how her career is gonna turn out. But if she can capture 3 nods in the 2020s, she is probably the most likely to be on pace with Streep. The others are just too old. I know Julia Roberts only has 4, but I'm sure we can conclude that their situations are a bit different.
4. Adams - Age is against her (45). She got into the biz rather late (31 was her first nod), but the thing working in her favor is that she is the only person who has Streep's inclination to work in every single project with any awards intentions. You have to have that inclination first and foremost to break the record.
So nobody's going to even mention Winslet? Y'all crack me up. Blanchett is 7 years older, with the same number of nominations, and might have fewer nominations next year if Ammonite breaks through. If Blanchett was going to be Streep 2.0 she'd have 9 or 10 by now.
Oh honey, clearly you forgot to add me to the list, but it's me! I now know where in China they makes these Oscars.
Blannie, but don't underestimate Winslet because traditionally these Brit actresses (Helen Mirren, Maggie Smith, etc) often have powerful third acts.
Where's Renée? She's more succesful than Nicole. Who's to say she won't come out of nowhere and grab another one...
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I don't think anyone at least on this poll will beat her record. Maybe someone who hasn't been born yet, but it's going to stand a long time possibly forever whenever they do something like join the Oscars and Emmys together because of the lines between theatrical releases and television becoming more and more blurred.
Anyhow of those on the poll I think Ronan has the best chance because of her age, and she's already to 4 Oscar nominations. I'm sure she'll have a few slow down periods, but she's not only ambitious but she's already went through one stretch where she wasn't nominated for almost a decade, so for me I think it shows that she'll most likely be back again if they cool down on her for a period.
I know she's similar to Winslet in that they've both racked up a lot of nominations at a young age, but with Winslet after she finally won, I was worried that she'd become a Sarandon or Hayward type because it was all about finally awarding her, and after those kind of wins voters can really cool down on someone. Plus, it took her seven years to get something to stick again. I think she'll continue to be nominated and possibly even win again because she's only 44, but I don't think she'll be able to break Streep's record even though she could break or tie Hepburn/Nicholson's record of nominations. Even with her likely entering a stage where a lot of the plum Dame Mirren/Dench etc. type of roles go to her in the future, I think that she'll go through some long or at least somewhat long stretches of them cooling down on her again.
That could possibly happen to Ronan, but as I said before since she already went through a period between her first and second nominations, I'm not as concerned that she won't be back again.
Blanchett will also continue to rack up nominations and at least one more win, but she is 51 so I don't think that she can break Streep's record. She could definitely break Hepburn/Nicholson's though, but 21 just seems unattainable imo especially since I think she'll do take breaks again and do other things like work on stage or do fun projects or experimental projects. Even Streep went through a short time in the '90s where they didn't nominate her, but then at some point in the late '90s and early '00s, at least for me it seemed like she had reached a level where they would pretty much nominate her for anything because of who she was. She was considered an even bigger acting goddess even than she was before, and while Blanchett, Winslet, and Ronan in the future will be thought of as some of the best actresses ever, I just don't think see them quite reaching that rarified air that Streep is in.
Plus, as much as Blanchett and Winslet will be in demand when they enter their sixties and seventies and so on, Streep really had no American competition at least for roles whereas I think things will be a little different for Blanchett and Winslet as they get older because I do feel that there will be a little bit more competition than Streep had. They both will still get the top roles, but it won't be like they're the only ones that are in consideration the way that Streep basically was.
According to staystics and their talent I don't think that Ronan will get 4 other Oscar noms in the next 12 years or Lawrence (who right now is semiretired) will get 4 Oscar noms in the next 5 years.- They are beloved by the Academy, but they will be Oscar darlings forever. That's only Meryl Streep privilege. Blanchett on the other hand, is a talented actress, alla Hepburn, has already 7 noms and 2 wins, and she could get 4 or more noms in the next 12 years.-
Kate Winslet is semiretired at 44, most from her films are british. She got 6 nom in 13 years, but her probably underserved 7th nome came 7 years after her oscar win. Was the typical she is still alive nomination.