Post by Deleted on Mar 24, 2017 10:19:52 GMT
Obviously it wont match the peak that 7 hit, but analyzing its potential
The series is still popular and April is pretty empty in terms of competition
Fast 6 opened to 97m and and Fast 7 did 147m, 125m is the middle range so I'd say that is the absolute ceiling it does
So to be safe in sake of argument, I'll say it opens to 110m
Only films that opened to 110m and missed 300m domestic:
June: Man of Steel- 116m OW, 291m DOM
November: Harry Potter- 125m OW, 295m OW
November: Twilight Breaking Dawn Part 1- 138m OW, 281m DOM
November: Twilight Breaking Dawn Part 2- 141m OW, 291m DOM
November: Twilight New Moon- 142m OW, 296m DOM
The Fast series tends to drop big (Furious 7 fell 59,5% 2nd weekend, Fast 6 fell 63,9%, Fast 5 fell 62,4%), so you're looking at a 2nd weekend drop in the 60-65% range barring anything insane which is unlikely because, like I said, April is open and this franchise follows a pattern
So, you're looking at Fate of the Furious to finish somewhere between 290m-300m
Absolute high ceiling would be 320m-330m if it were to somehow open up to 120m or higher
300m domestic would look good for 1b WW-- it would have to do 700m foreign and Furious 7 did 1,1b foreign, while Fast 6 did 550m foreign
Fast 7's domestic total made up for 23,% of its final box office
Fast 6's domestic total made up for 30,3% of its final box office
The series is still popular and April is pretty empty in terms of competition
Fast 6 opened to 97m and and Fast 7 did 147m, 125m is the middle range so I'd say that is the absolute ceiling it does
So to be safe in sake of argument, I'll say it opens to 110m
Only films that opened to 110m and missed 300m domestic:
June: Man of Steel- 116m OW, 291m DOM
November: Harry Potter- 125m OW, 295m OW
November: Twilight Breaking Dawn Part 1- 138m OW, 281m DOM
November: Twilight Breaking Dawn Part 2- 141m OW, 291m DOM
November: Twilight New Moon- 142m OW, 296m DOM
The Fast series tends to drop big (Furious 7 fell 59,5% 2nd weekend, Fast 6 fell 63,9%, Fast 5 fell 62,4%), so you're looking at a 2nd weekend drop in the 60-65% range barring anything insane which is unlikely because, like I said, April is open and this franchise follows a pattern
So, you're looking at Fate of the Furious to finish somewhere between 290m-300m
Absolute high ceiling would be 320m-330m if it were to somehow open up to 120m or higher
300m domestic would look good for 1b WW-- it would have to do 700m foreign and Furious 7 did 1,1b foreign, while Fast 6 did 550m foreign
Fast 7's domestic total made up for 23,% of its final box office
Fast 6's domestic total made up for 30,3% of its final box office
Also, I like F. Gary Gray but this looks terrible. 
