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Post by pacinoyes on Mar 1, 2020 15:23:33 GMT
These are the actors that have 7 or 6 or 5 nominations atm and are still alive (listed them even if not working). Just wondering that given how frequently these guys work, which projects they have brewing - who you think joins that elite level group next?
On some level this question is maybe really "does DiCaprio get 2 before Hanks does?" or "do one of the guys at 7 beat DiCaprio/Hanks to the punch?"
7 Duvall, Bridges, De Niro, Dustin Hoffman
6 Hanks, DiCaprio, Caine, Day-Lewis
5 Freeman, Penn, Hopkins, Hackman
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Post by Pittsnogle_Goggins on Mar 1, 2020 15:27:24 GMT
Thinking DeNiro has a good shot for Killers of the Flower Moon
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Post by stephen on Mar 1, 2020 15:33:46 GMT
Hanks stands a strong shot of getting his seventh this year if News of the World sticks its landing. DiCaprio would be an easy cinch if he worked more often, but his DDL-esque sabbaticals do hinder him somewhat... but I think that his approach actually almost guarantees he gets attention for any movie he does, provided it doesn't flop.
Assuming Killers of the Flower Moon is a success, DiCaprio is probable and De Niro possible, even though the source novel doesn't really scream "awards bait" for either character to me. It's why I'm very curious about the tack Scorsese will be taking.
I think Bridges is the only other one of the seven-nod club who is likely to get his eighth. He's gotten better as he's gotten older, and I can see him getting another couple before all is said and done with him.
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morton
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Post by morton on Mar 1, 2020 16:39:00 GMT
7 I definitely see Bridges getting at least one more possibly winning in Supporting because he's so beloved, and as mentioned De Niro could get his eighth nomination with Killers of the Flower Moon.
Sadly I think Robert Duvall and especially Dustin Hoffman are done.
6 I think Hanks has a good shot with News of the World, and still could get an eighth or beyond since he's only 63 and could have two more decades or so of working. I would guess that he'll pick up 1-2 more nominations though because of how long he had to wait in between his last nominations.
DiCaprio is only 45, and still getting the best scripts, so he'll definitely reach at least eight. I say he ends up in the double digits by the time he's done.
If Day-Lewis was serious about retiring than obviously not, but if he does something like where he disappears for 5-10 years between projects, I think he could definitely reach seven because him coming back the first time would be a huge deal. After that, I don't know if voters would care as much, but it would just depend on what project brought him out of his semi-retirement. I think Caine is done. Youth was probably his last chance because he is 86. I know Hopkins is making a comeback in his early 80s, but I feel that sort of happened for Caine with The Cider House Rules and then being a favorite of Christopher Nolan. Not that he can't have another bigger comeback of course, but I think he's doing great for someone that's almost in his 90s.
5
I don't see anyone reaching eight from this group. I think Freeman and Hackman are done.
Hopkins might have one or possibly two more in him, but three seems like a very tall order for someone that I already mentioned was 82. It's more likely he has one more left in him with The Father, but still it's great that he picked up at least two nominations in his 80s especially since his last Oscar nomination was more than twenty years ago.
Penn is only about 60 now, so he has time in theory to reach 8, but I think he only gets one or two more. I think he's started to lose his luster now a bit, even though he's still seen as a great actor within Hollywood, but as the whole classics question showed, his filmography seems lacking imo compared to some of his peers. To be charitable, I'll say he has a few classics or minor classics, but for someone that has his acting reputation, I would think that overall his filmography would be stronger.
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cranly
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Post by cranly on Mar 1, 2020 18:09:38 GMT
De Niro's Flower Moon performance will presumably be fueled by the deep personal enmity he has for Trump given that he'll be playing a prototypical Trumpian plutocrat villain. I'd say that combined with the residual goodwill over his work in The Irishman will seal him a supporting actor nod.
Hanks also has what look like two very strong roles both this year and next, with his Colonel Tom Parker in particular a likely supporting actor front runner for 2022.
Hopkins and Penn are the only other two on this list who have anything slated that looks nom-able at the moment as far as I'm aware.
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Post by quetee on Mar 1, 2020 22:12:37 GMT
It's between De Niro, Hanks and Leo. Since it took forever for Hanks to score another nod then I think he will be scoring more nods as long as he has the projects and he usually has them.
You know, it could be a tie between De Niro and Hanks.
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Post by countjohn on Mar 2, 2020 4:44:08 GMT
Well De Niro is probably the odds on favorite considering he is one away and has a very promising role this year. Leo getting to eight at some point seems like an inevitability given how often he gets nodded these days although it might take a little time. Hanks is a possibility but he has one nod in the past 20 years so two more feels like a leap. Bridges getting one more is also possible but it's not guaranteed.
So if you're looking at the first to get there I would say it's a race between De Niro and Leo with De Niro having a very good chance this year.
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Post by TerryMontana on Mar 2, 2020 15:06:27 GMT
De Niro and Leo might get one more for Flower Moon. I actually consider it cettain for Di Caprio, tbh.
Hopkins and Hanks have a very strong chance this year, especially Anthony.
DDL won't come back imo and Bridges had a good streak in the last decade but no upcoming projects atm.
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Post by mattfincher on Mar 3, 2020 0:23:58 GMT
Not gonna speculate who gets there first, merely who gets there:
8: Robert Duvall: Highly doubt he has another nom in him. But they nominated him for The Judge, so the movie might not even have to be good...
Jeff Bridges: Probably has one more in him. He's too well liked and they've nominated him for performances which were hardly undeniable works. Then again, his project selection has always been weird and so has when he's been nominated. Gets nominated twice in his 20s. Goes 16 years without a nomination. Then 9. And then gets nominated three times in his 60s? Highly unusual. But sort of makes sense given his filmography. He'll have a run of great films and then a run of crap.
Robert De Niro: I'm not as convinced as everybody else. But he has Killers of the Flower Moon, so maybe.
Dustin Hoffman: Got #MeToo'ed. He's done.
6: Tom Hanks: I don't know about Hanks. I definitely think he's got one more in him. I'm less sure he's got two, but I'll say yes.
Leonardo DiCaprio: Is obviously getting there.
Michael Caine: Is way too old to believe he has two more in him.
DDL: I'm not speculating about this.
5: I'd be stunned if any of the guys who have 5 get there. I'd feel better betting on some of the guys with four. Bale, Phoenix and Cooper, especially. I think they'll all either get there or very close. Wouldn't even be surprised if Pitt had a Bridges-like run in his 60s and gets close given his likability/respect is probably as high as it's ever been.
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