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Post by mrimpossible on Feb 20, 2017 0:38:40 GMT
Cause why not right? Post some early contenders and predict what nominations they'll get or which Actor/Actress might get nominated.
I think Call Me By Your Name might be a BP contender but I think it'll have to do really well with critics awards like Moonlight and Fury Road which I can see it doing.
Right now I think it'll get 2 noms:
Adapted Screenplay
Supporting Actor - Hammer or Stuhlbarg
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Zeb31
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Post by Zeb31 on Feb 20, 2017 15:04:09 GMT
FYC:  |
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Post by mhynson27 on Feb 20, 2017 15:15:37 GMT
Dunkirk gets in for Picture and Director.
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Post by Real Duality on Feb 20, 2017 15:17:14 GMT
Charlie Hunnam is getting great reviews for The Lost City of Z, as is the movie. Amazon had success with Manchester by the Sea.
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no
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Post by no on Feb 20, 2017 17:18:47 GMT
I don't anticipate Dunkirk getting recognition.
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Post by Billy_Costigan on Feb 20, 2017 18:30:45 GMT
Battle of the Sexes (Stone and Carell)
Mary Magdalene (Mara)
Stronger (Gyllenhaal)
The Darkest Hour (Oldman)
The Glass Castle (Larson)
Downsizing (Damon)
Plus, Bigelow, PTA, Aronofsky, Nolan, Villeneuve, Scott, Soderbergh, Coppola, Haneke, and Haynes.
This year looks so much better than 2016 on paper.
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morton
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Post by morton on Feb 20, 2017 18:45:09 GMT
I don't anticipate Dunkirk getting recognition. Yes, I've been burnt by predicting Christopher Nolan too many times, so I'm anticipating mostly techs and maybe Best Picture in a field of 7-10. If Ali wins Best Supporting Actor, all four winners will be fictional characters which hasn't happened since 1997, so I figure that next year the Oscars will be back to awarding actors who play real people at least in the leading categories. I'm not sold on the director of Marshall since Reginald Hudlin has directed mostly comedies, but Thurgood Marshall seems like a very baity role for Chadwick Boseman. On the other hand, Stephen Frears and Judi Dench reteaming again for her to take on playing Queen Victoria again seems like a match made in Oscar heaven or Oscar hell for some people. The only cons are that she has won before, and Oscar isn't kind to older actresses, but I don't think that either will be an issue with Dench since other actors just love her, and it's been quite awhile since her Supporting win. If the movie hits, it feels like it would be the right time for her to finally win a leading Oscar. ETA: I totally blanked on Gary Oldman in Winston Churchill. I do wonder if John Lithgow and The Crown, and the other Churchill film with Brian Cox being released before Oldman's Churchill film will end up hurting Darkest Hour and Oldman's chances. |
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eduardo
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Post by eduardo on Feb 20, 2017 18:53:02 GMT
The Darkest Hour (Oldman) Oh yeah, I can see the Brits branch loooving this. |
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Post by stephen on Feb 20, 2017 19:00:35 GMT
The Darkest Hour (Oldman) Oh yeah, I can see the Brits branch loooving this. True, but don't forget there's this dude in the mix as well:  |
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Post by bobbystarks on Feb 20, 2017 19:02:57 GMT
FYC:  She has so much stuff coming out this year. |
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Dougie Jones
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Post by Dougie Jones on Feb 20, 2017 19:20:19 GMT
FYC: damn she is looking gooood in this picture |
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fotodude
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Post by fotodude on Feb 20, 2017 19:24:19 GMT
FYC: Seconded. |
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fotodude
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Post by fotodude on Feb 20, 2017 19:35:23 GMT
Nobody's mentioned Under the Silver Lake yet and I think that could make a splash. It looks amazing on paper.
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Post by Billy_Costigan on Feb 20, 2017 20:51:15 GMT
True, but don't forget there's this dude in the mix as well: This dude will get a nod on general principal (if the movie is any good). |
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Post by Kirk-Picard on Feb 20, 2017 21:01:26 GMT
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Feb 20, 2017 21:01:35 GMT
PICTURE:
1) Wonderstruck
2) Downsizing
3) Darkest Hour
4) Dunkirk
5) Detroit
6) Inner City
---------
7) Mudbound
8) The Greatest Showman
alt: Lean on Pete
DIRECTOR:
1) Haynes, Wonderstruck
2) Payne, Downsizing
3) Wright, Darkest Hour
4) Nolan, Dunkirk
5) Bigelow, Detroit
alt: Gilroy, Inner City
ACTOR:
1) Oldman, Darkest Hour
2) Lewis, Untitled PTA
3) Washington, Inner City
4) Jackman, Greatest Showman
5) Sutherland, Leisure Seeker
alt: Damon, Downsizing
ACTRESS:
1) Bening, Film Stars
2) Dench, Victoria and Abdul
3) Chastain, Molly's Game
4) Mirren, Leisure Seeker
5) Winslet, Wonder Wheel
alt: Stone, Battle of the Sexes
SUPPORTING ACTOR:
1) Farrell, Inner City
2) Elba, Molly's Game
3) Hammer, Call Me By Your Name (Stuhlbarg)
4) Mendelsohn, Darkest Hour
5) Mitchell, Mudbound
alt: Hoffman, Untitled Baumbach
SUPPORTING ACTRESS:
1) Moore, Wonderstruck
2) Pfeiffer, mother!
3) Thomas, Darkest Hour
4) Leo, Novitate
5) Chau, Downsizing
alt: Robbie, Untitled AA Milne
ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY:
1) Downsizing
2) Darkest Hour
3) Detroit
4) Inner City
5) Greatest Showman
alt: Untitled PTA, Untitled AA Milne
ADAPTED SCREENPLAY:
1) Wonderstruck
2) Call Me By Your Name
3) Molly's Game
4) Mudbound
5) Leisure Seeker
alt: Lean on Pete, Last Flag Flying
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Post by ptacoenlover on Feb 20, 2017 23:15:27 GMT
I think Chastain for Molly's Game as well as Watts and Harrelson for The Glass Castle will have a lot of talk about them being "overdue".
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Post by Allenism on Feb 21, 2017 2:05:18 GMT
PICTURE: 1) Wonderstruck 2) Downsizing 3) Darkest Hour 4) Dunkirk 5) Detroit 6) Inner City --------- 7) Mudbound 8) The Greatest Showman alt: Lean on Pete DIRECTOR: 1) Haynes, Wonderstruck 2) Payne, Downsizing 3) Wright, Darkest Hour 4) Nolan, Dunkirk 5) Bigelow, Detroit alt: Gilroy, Inner City ACTOR: 1) Oldman, Darkest Hour 2) Lewis, Untitled PTA 3) Washington, Inner City 4) Jackman, Greatest Showman 5) Sutherland, Leisure Seeker alt: Damon, Downsizing ACTRESS: 1) Bening, Film Stars 2) Dench, Victoria and Abdul 3) Chastain, Molly's Game 4) Mirren, Leisure Seeker 5) Winslet, Wonder Wheel alt: Stone, Battle of the Sexes SUPPORTING ACTOR: 1) Farrell, Inner City 2) Elba, Molly's Game 3) Hammer, Call Me By Your Name (Stuhlbarg) 4) Mendelsohn, Darkest Hour 5) Mitchell, Mudbound alt: Hoffman, Untitled Baumbach SUPPORTING ACTRESS: 1) Moore, Wonderstruck 2) Pfeiffer, mother! 3) Thomas, Darkest Hour 4) Leo, Novitate 5) Chau, Downsizing alt: Robbie, Untitled AA Milne ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY: 1) Downsizing 2) Darkest Hour 3) Detroit 4) Inner City 5) Greatest Showman alt: Untitled PTA, Untitled AA Milne ADAPTED SCREENPLAY: 1) Wonderstruck 2) Call Me By Your Name 3) Molly's Game 4) Mudbound 5) Leisure Seeker alt: Lean on Pete, Last Flag Flying I don't see how you can predict Hammer without Chalamet when the it's the latter's performance getting the most effusive praise. |
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Feb 21, 2017 3:16:18 GMT
Chalamet is going leading and hes still young at 20ish years old which is a tough sell for the Academy
Hammer is someone the industry has been trying to make happen for a long time now
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Drish
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Post by Drish on Feb 21, 2017 3:46:41 GMT
I think Chastain for Molly's Game as well as Watts and Harrelson for The Glass Castle will have a lot of talk about them being "overdue". I so hope you're right! |
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Post by youngserling on Feb 21, 2017 3:48:17 GMT
Judi Dench - Mrs Brown Part II
Cate Blanchett - Manifesto (I'm not sure if the movie is eligible, in addition the film needs a good campaign to obviate how experimental the movie is. But if the film is eligible and has a good campaign plus the fact that is Cate Blanchett)
Steve Carell and Emma Stone - Battle of the Sexes (Especially if Emma Stone does not win the Oscar for La La Land)
Michelle Pfeiffer - Murder on the Orient Express (This could be the Comeback)
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Post by getclutch on Feb 21, 2017 4:17:36 GMT
Best Picture
Call Me by Your Name
Downsizing
Untitled Detroit project
The Greatest Showman
Dunkirk
Mother!
The Mercy
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Post by cinemagirl16 on Feb 21, 2017 11:27:14 GMT
For a very early prediction, I'd bet the two frontrunners for Best Actress will be Helena Bonham Carter - 55 Steps and Saoirse Ronan - On Chesil Beach.
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Post by Allenism on Feb 21, 2017 14:46:54 GMT
Chalamet is going leading and hes still young at 20ish years old which is a tough sell for the Academy Hammer is someone the industry has been trying to make happen for a long time now I agree that his age is a pretty significant strike against him (for some reason the Academy just can't be bothered with men under ~27, lead or supporting), but if early reviews are anything to go by, I can't see Hammer getting in without the film's lead following suit. |
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Post by Pavan on Feb 21, 2017 15:39:14 GMT
FYC:  Robbie looks great |
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