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Post by HELENA MARIA on Feb 6, 2020 0:55:05 GMT
Leading category : fingers crossed for either Johansson or Ronan.
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Post by Deleted on Feb 6, 2020 0:59:38 GMT
I bet on Johansson for Lead as my main risky move (besides Irishman for Editing). Do I really think it’s going to happen? Maybe. Maybe not.
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Post by futuretrunks on Feb 6, 2020 1:03:55 GMT
Has an actress with a good personal/professional reputation ever lost Best Actress after winning SAG, BAFTA, and the Globe? I don't think people love Judy, but I don't think they love any of the other performances enough to bridge the divide. If Scarlett or Saoirse won BAFTA, I'd be wondering more.
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The-Havok
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Post by The-Havok on Feb 6, 2020 1:06:45 GMT
I have a grudging feeling that it'll be the Supporting Actor category
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Post by HELENA MARIA on Feb 6, 2020 1:10:16 GMT
Has an actress with a good personal/professional reputation ever lost Best Actress after winning SAG, BAFTA, and the Globe? I don't think people love Judy, but I don't think they love any of the other performances enough to bridge the divide. If Scarlett or Saoirse won BAFTA, I'd be wondering more. Not an actrESS but Russell Crowe in 2001 for A BEAUTIFUL MIND. People were expecting him to win his 2nd Oscar that year but he lost to Denzel.
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Post by HELENA MARIA on Feb 6, 2020 1:11:18 GMT
I have a grudging feeling that it'll be the Supporting Actor category Are you predicting Pesci to win a 2nd time?
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The-Havok
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Post by The-Havok on Feb 6, 2020 1:12:38 GMT
I have a grudging feeling that it'll be the Supporting Actor category Are you predicting Pesci to win a 2nd time? I'm predicting Pitt but from what 8 read on the Oscar ballots interviews something makes me think he can get it based on sheer respect
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Post by HELENA MARIA on Feb 6, 2020 1:16:21 GMT
I bet on Johansson for Lead as my main risky move (besides Irishman for Editing). Do I really think it’s going to happen? Maybe. Maybe not. I don't think THE IRISHMAN is winning anything... And that's absolutely soul crushing 😭
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Post by futuretrunks on Feb 6, 2020 1:21:34 GMT
Has an actress with a good personal/professional reputation ever lost Best Actress after winning SAG, BAFTA, and the Globe? I don't think people love Judy, but I don't think they love any of the other performances enough to bridge the divide. If Scarlett or Saoirse won BAFTA, I'd be wondering more. Not an actrESS but Russell Crowe in 2001 for A BEAUTIFUL MIND. People were expecting him to win his 2nd Oscar that year but he lost to Denzel. Yeah, that's an interesting case. But I think Crowe having just won and him being a bit of a prick at times makes the situation different, besides Denzel actually having the better and showier performance. Crowe actually winning SAG felt like an afterglow thing, and Denzel films' release dates in the UK have always been weird BAFTA deadline-wise and part of why he's never been nominated there. Zellwegger won many years ago, and doesn't have a hothead or diva reputation.
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Post by pupdurcs on Feb 6, 2020 1:36:38 GMT
Not gonna happen. This is one of those boring years where all the winners got locked pretty early. Pitt and Dern are overdue, and there was no reliable opposition for Zellweger and Phoenix. They've swept all the televised awards. It's over.
Done and dusted. On to next year.
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Post by Pittsnogle_Goggins on Feb 6, 2020 1:44:17 GMT
If it happens anywhere it will be supporting actress.
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Post by wallsofjericho on Feb 6, 2020 1:55:26 GMT
Nah, bring on next year so we can put this boring race to rest.
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Post by mattfincher on Feb 6, 2020 2:15:56 GMT
Equating Crowe/Denzel to any of these races is such an incredibly dense false equivalency. Crowe had won the year before and basically tried to murder a BAFTA producer for cutting his speech short. Conversely, Denzel had a very public campaign and many high profile names were vouching for him (including the person who presented him the Oscar). The Academy was also under pressure for their historical lack of diversity. Plus, that season was so spread out that there was time for momentum to shift from the precursors. Three of the frontrunners are either due or overdue and the other simply has no competition. Any of the frontrunners losing would be, quite literally, the biggest upset of the century.
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Post by therealcomicman117 on Feb 6, 2020 2:23:51 GMT
Not gonna happen. This is one of those boring years where all the winners got locked pretty early. Pitt and Dern are overdue, and there was no reliable opposition for Zellweger and Phoenix. They've swept all the televised awards. It's over. Done and dusted. On to next year. ^ Basically this. It might be the most predictable Oscar year in forever. I don't see anyone else challenging the main four, considering as you've pointed out, they've basically won every major precursor to date.
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Post by mattfincher on Feb 6, 2020 2:30:18 GMT
Are you predicting Pesci to win a 2nd time? I'm predicting Pitt but from what 8 read on the Oscar ballots interviews something makes me think he can get it based on sheer respect ... Pitt literally has more votes than Pesci from these anonymous ballots. This place will never give up on The Irishman. It's like your lost puppy.
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The-Havok
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Post by The-Havok on Feb 6, 2020 2:37:17 GMT
I'm predicting Pitt but from what 8 read on the Oscar ballots interviews something makes me think he can get it based on sheer respect ... Pitt literally has more votes than Pesci from these anonymous ballots. This place will never give up on The Irishman. It's like your lost puppy. LOL dude you sound so pressed. Pitt already has one Oscar so it's not like he'd be flabbergasted about it.
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Post by mattfincher on Feb 6, 2020 2:40:43 GMT
... Pitt literally has more votes than Pesci from these anonymous ballots. This place will never give up on The Irishman. It's like your lost puppy. LOL dude you sound so pressed. Pitt already has one Oscar so it's not like he'd be flabbergasted about it. Pressed? No, I just find it hilarious this place's continued insistence than The Irishman is still in races that it has clearly been long out of it. Plus, your argument is absurd given the small sample of the premise it's based on isn't even true.
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filmnoir
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Post by filmnoir on Feb 6, 2020 3:35:31 GMT
Are you predicting Pesci to win a 2nd time? I'm predicting Pitt but from what 8 read on the Oscar ballots interviews something makes me think he can get it based on sheer respect I wouldn't rely on those ballots - they always pick ones for "shock value".
They've had plenty of opportunities to reward Pesci by now - considering he's never won Globe, SAG, BFCA. He won BAFTA for Most Promising Newcomer.
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Post by Deleted on Feb 6, 2020 4:21:46 GMT
I bet on Johansson for Lead as my main risky move (besides Irishman for Editing). Do I really think it’s going to happen? Maybe. Maybe not. I don't think THE IRISHMAN is winning anything... And that's absolutely soul crushing 😭 It's weird too considering how crazy well received it was when it came out, seemed like it was a serious Best Picture contender. The way films majorly pick up and then utterly lose steam during the awards race has always been kinda weird to me.
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Post by countjohn on Feb 6, 2020 4:58:13 GMT
If it's happening anywhere it would be one of the Irishman guys knocking off Pitt but I doubt that happens. Would love to see Saoirse or Scarlett win but RZ has it wrapped up. Dern has the overdue factor and there isn't really another strong contender there. It is a little known fact that many Academy voters are gamers who live in societies so Phoenix is obviously a sure thing too.
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Post by TerryMontana on Feb 6, 2020 6:34:43 GMT
Not happening.
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Post by jasonjoliepitt on Feb 6, 2020 7:33:31 GMT
Would love to see Johansson or Ronan over Zellweger but doesn't seem like happening. Hopefully I am wrong.
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AKenjiB
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Post by AKenjiB on Feb 7, 2020 6:37:02 GMT
Best Actress seems like the most likely place for an upset but I really highly doubt it’ll happen. All 4 seem pretty locked in.
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Post by Tommen_Saperstein on Feb 7, 2020 6:43:29 GMT
a tiny part of me wants to say Johansson (in lead) and Pesci are still possible, but the rest of me would be absolutely gobsmacked if any of the favorites lose. I really don't think it's happening. I think our four acting winners were confirmed a month ago at the Globes and now we're just waiting for the inevitable.
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Post by evilbliss on Feb 7, 2020 10:26:37 GMT
I have a grudging feeling that it'll be the Supporting Actor category Let's just hope that happens. I'm really hoping for an upset in that category.
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