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Post by JangoB on Feb 4, 2020 13:08:28 GMT
The precursors are behind us and the only thing left now is to guess the final outcome. So let's do it!
Best Picture: Parasite
I absolutely understand that 1917 is the safe prediction and that its precursor combo is incredibly strong (PGA + DGA + GG + BAFTA) but I just have this gut feeling that the Academy may go for the most hyped contender. Parasite is not a little movie that could, it's a hype juggernaut that everybody seems to love and I can easily imagine it being the type of movie that doesn't get low placements on the ballots and prevails because of that. Yes, there's the International category for it which is a hindrance and of course no foreign language film has ever won before but the popularity of this one seems so strong that it may just break that stat. But of course 1917 is right up there as well and for me this prediction is almost a coin-flip situation.
Best Director: Sam Mendes, 1917
Best Actor: Joaquin Phoenix, Joker
Best Actress: Renee Zellweger, Judy
Best Supporting Actor: Brad Pitt, Once Upon a Time in Hollywood
Best Supporting Actress: Laura Dern, Marriage Story
Best Adapted Screenplay: Jojo Rabbit
The WGA + BAFTA combo will be hard to top. Plus I think Waititi's advantage over Gerwig here is that her script, no matter how great, will probably be seen by a lot of voters as yet another version of a story that's been told multiple times before, while Waititi's script may just seem fresher and more unique to them. Plus Jojo is clearly a beloved film that's done very well.
Best Original Screenplay: Parasite
Best Cinematography: 1917
Best Film Editing: Ford v Ferrari
Best Original Score: Joker
Best Original Song: “I’m Gonna Love Me Again,” Rocketman
Although part of me does think that Erivo may have a chance here...A weird category to predict this year for sure.
Best Production Design: Once Upon a Time in Hollywood
Best Costume Design: Little Women
The consolation prize for Gerwig's film, Phantom Thread style. Which will also be richly deserving.
Best Sound Editing: 1917
Best Sound Mixing: 1917
Best Makeup and Hairstyling: Bombshell
Best Visual Effects: 1917
This still seems like a fairly unusual winner in this category to me but I think it will happen.
Best International Film: Parasite
Best Animated Feature: Klaus
A tough one since Toy Story 4 has been doing very well at the guilds and it also has the box office and all that but I guess the Klaus support may translate into an Oscar too.
Best Animated Short: Hair Love
Best Documentary Feature: For Sama
Best Documentary Short Subject: Learning to Skateboard in a Warzone (If You're a Girl)
Best Live Action Short: Brotherhood
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Post by mhynson27 on Feb 4, 2020 15:55:36 GMT
Exact same as yours, except I have Parasite taking editing too.
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Post by TerryMontana on Feb 4, 2020 15:56:20 GMT
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Post by TerryMontana on Feb 4, 2020 16:26:54 GMT
I have to say I agree with the picks in the above picture with a few exceptions:
1917 will win BP imo and Ford v Ferrari will get the editing award (Parasite is an outsider here).
Visual effects will might to Endgame although I'm not predicting it.
Rocketman is wining the Oscar for best song.
As for the documentaries and the short films, I have no opinion.
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Post by Deleted on Feb 4, 2020 16:48:18 GMT
Picture: Parasite
Director: Mendes
Actors: same as everyone
Screenplay: Parasite, Jojo Rabbit
Editing: Parasite
Score: Joker
Sound: 1917 for both
Production Design: Parasite kinda NGNG
Costume: Little Women
FLF: Pain and Glory NGNG (kinda maaaad prediction, but it's kinda a gut feeling. If this or Corpus Christi happens then I'm almost dead certain the night goes according to my predictions)(trying to have fun here)
Cinematography: 1917
VFX: Irishman? Lol kinda weird to think this is the only Oscar a Scorsese film wins.
Animated, Song etc.: didn't follow, no idea
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Post by JangoB on Feb 4, 2020 16:56:09 GMT
Picture: Parasite Director: Mendes Actors: same as everyone Screenplay: Parasite, Jojo Rabbit Editing: Parasite Score: Joker Sound: 1917 for both Production Design: Parasite kinda NGNG Costume: Little Women FLF: Pain and Glory NGNG (kinda maaaad prediction, but it's kinda a gut feeling. If this or Corpus Christi happens then I'm almost dead certain the night goes according to my predictions)(trying to have fun here)Cinematography: 1917 VFX: Irishman? Lol kinda weird to think this is the only Oscar a Scorsese film wins. Animated, Song etc.: didn't follow, no idea C'mon, you know it ain't happening. NGNGs are still supposed to be plausible, aren't they?  |
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Post by Pavan on Feb 4, 2020 17:07:47 GMT
Picture: 1917
Director: 1917
Actor: Joaquin Phoenix, Joker
Actress: Renee Zellweger, Judy
Supporting Actor: Brad Pitt, Once Upon a Time in Hollywood
Supporting Actress: Laura Dern, Marriage Story
Original Screenplay: Parasite
Adapted Screenplay: Jojo Rabbit
Cinematography: 1917
Editing: Ford v Ferrari
Original Score: 1917
Production Design: Once Upon a Time in Hollywood
Costume Design: Little Women
Makeup & Hair styling: Bombshell
Sound Editing: Ford v Ferrari
Sound Mixing: 1917
Visual Effects: Avengers: Endgame
Original Song: "I'm gonna love me again", Rocketman
International Feature: Parasite
Animated Feature: Toy Story 4
Documentary Feature: American Factory
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Post by DeepArcher on Feb 4, 2020 17:52:58 GMT
Best Picture: Parasite. Fuck it. The only thing I have to lose is my faith/interest in the Oscars, and that happens every year.
Best Director: Sam Mendes, 1917.
Best Actor: Joaquin Phoenix, Joker.
Best Actress: Renee Zellweger, Judy.
Best Supporting Actor: Brad Pitt, Once Upon a Time ... in Hollywood.
Best Supporting Actress: Laura Dern, Marriage Story.
Best Original Screenplay: Parasite.
Best Adapted Screenplay: Jojo Rabbit.
Best Cinematography: 1917.
Best Film Editing: Parasite.
Best Original Score: Joker.
Best Original Song: "I'm Gonna Love Me Again," Rocketman.
Best Production Design: Once Upon a Time ... in Hollywood.
Best Costume Design: Little Women.
Best Makeup & Hairstyling: Bombshell.
Best Visual Effects: 1917.
Best Sound Mixing: 1917.
Best Sound Editing: 1917.
Best International Film: Parasite.
Best Animated Feature: Klaus.
Best Documentary Feature: American Factory.
As for the shorts ... um, the ones that were on that Academy tweet? Fuck if I know!
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Post by Ryan_MYeah on Feb 4, 2020 19:19:05 GMT
Best Picture: EDIT: Parasite
Best Director: Sam Mendes - 1917
Best Lead Actor: Joaquin Phoenix - Joker
Best Lead Actress: Renee Zellweger - Judy
Best Supporting Actor: Brad Pitt - Once Upon a Time in Hollywood
Best Supporting Actress: Laura Dern - Marriage Story
Best Original Screenplay: Parasite
Best Adapted Screenplay: Jojo Rabbit
Best Animated Feature: Klaus
Best International Feature Film: Parasite
Best Documentary Feature: For Sama (I believe in this one)
Best Cinematography: 1917
Best Film Editing: Ford v Ferrari
Best Production Design: Once Upon a Time in Hollywood
Best Costume Design: Jojo Rabbit
Best Makeup and Hairstyling: Bombshell
Best Original Score: Joker
Best Original Song: “Stand Up” - Harriet
Best Sound Mixing: 1917
Best Sound Editing: 1917
Best Visual Effects: 1917
Best Live-Action Short: The Neighbor’s Window
Best Animated Short: Hair Love
Best Documentary Short: Life Overtakes Me
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Post by stephen on Feb 4, 2020 20:11:55 GMT
Best Picture: Parasite
Best Director: Sam Mendes, 1917
Best Actor: Joaquin Phoenix, Joker
Best Actress: Renee Zellweger, Judy
Best Supporting Actor: Brad Pitt, Once Upon A Time... in Hollywood
Best Supporting Actress: Laura Dern, Marriage Story
Best Original Screenplay: Parasite
Best Adapted Screenplay: Jojo Rabbit
Best International Film: Parasite
Best Live-Action Short: Saria
Best Documentary Feature: For Sama
Best Documentary Short: Learning to Skateboard in a War Zone (If You're A Girl)
Best Animated Feature: Klaus
Best Animated Short: Hair Love
Best Cinematography: 1917
Best Production Design: Once Upon A Time... in Hollywood
Best Costume Design: Little Women
Best Film Editing: Parasite
Best Visual Effects: 1917
Best Sound Mixing: 1917
Best Sound Editing: 1917
Best Score: Joker
Best Song: "I'm Gonna Love Me Again", Rocketman
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Post by Brother Fease on Feb 5, 2020 0:31:03 GMT
Exact same as yours, except I have Parasite taking editing too. Here's the thing: Editing and Sound Mixing have matched up every year since 2013. If FvF wins the editing, its probably taking sound mixing. |
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Post by mhynson27 on Feb 5, 2020 1:43:55 GMT
Exact same as yours, except I have Parasite taking editing too. Here's the thing: Editing and Sound Mixing have matched up every year since 2013. If FvF wins the editing, its probably taking sound mixing. Well I'm not predicting FvF to take either of the sound categories so there you go. |
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Post by DeepArcher on Feb 5, 2020 1:50:30 GMT
Exact same as yours, except I have Parasite taking editing too. Here's the thing: Editing and Sound Mixing have matched up every year since 2013. If FvF wins the editing, its probably taking sound mixing. I bring this up a lot too because it is interesting to me that these two have aligned more often in recent years than even Sound Mixing and Sound Editing. I do think at the end of the day this trend is arbitrary more than anything, and it just so happens that they're two awards that just tend to go to the same "types" of films (and yeah, all of those films that make-up this trend are all music-based, action, or war films). Ford v. Ferrari is really the only one that I can see taking both (unless we're in for a truly dire situation with Joker), and I actually predicted that earlier in the season, but Ford v. Ferrari has some hot competition in the Editing category (despite still being the frontrunner, I would guess) and I don't see 1917 being overtaken in either Sound category. I do think if this trend continues this year it might be a random thing worth paying attention to... |
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Post by Brother Fease on Feb 5, 2020 3:17:44 GMT
Here's the thing: Editing and Sound Mixing have matched up every year since 2013. If FvF wins the editing, its probably taking sound mixing. I bring this up a lot too because it is interesting to me that these two have aligned more often in recent years than even Sound Mixing and Sound Editing. I do think at the end of the day this trend is arbitrary more than anything, and it just so happens that they're two awards that just tend to go to the same "types" of films (and yeah, all of those films that make-up this trend are all music-based, action, or war films). Ford v. Ferrari is really the only one that I can see taking both (unless we're in for a truly dire situation with Joker), and I actually predicted that earlier in the season, but Ford v. Ferrari has some hot competition in the Editing category (despite still being the frontrunner, I would guess) and I don't see 1917 being overtaken in either Sound category. I do think if this trend continues this year it might be a random thing worth paying attention to... Since 1996, 16 out of the 23 Best Film Editing and Mixing winners have gone to the same film. I think it's far from coincidence.
The reason why I haven't done my final predictions yet is because I am still figuring out the Sound Mixing and Film Editing category.
Sound Editing is obviously going to 1917. Its won the MPSE and the BAFTA, and it's a war film.
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Post by Deleted on Feb 5, 2020 6:33:25 GMT
Picture: Parasite Director: Mendes Actors: same as everyone Screenplay: Parasite, Jojo Rabbit Editing: Parasite Score: Joker Sound: 1917 for both Production Design: Parasite kinda NGNG Costume: Little Women FLF: Pain and Glory NGNG (kinda maaaad prediction, but it's kinda a gut feeling. If this or Corpus Christi happens then I'm almost dead certain the night goes according to my predictions)(trying to have fun here)Cinematography: 1917 VFX: Irishman? Lol kinda weird to think this is the only Oscar a Scorsese film wins. Animated, Song etc.: didn't follow, no idea C'mon, you know it ain't happening. NGNGs are still supposed to be plausible, aren't they? I mean, yeah. Academy is way too basic to think like that even. But there's no stakes anyway, so what the hell? Some heavy hitters like Pan, Amelia have lost in the past (maybe voting system was different, idk) so it isn't really THAT unprecedented. I do sense some shocker though. |
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Post by JangoB on Feb 5, 2020 11:25:47 GMT
C'mon, you know it ain't happening. NGNGs are still supposed to be plausible, aren't they? I mean, yeah. Academy is way too basic to think like that even. But there's no stakes anyway, so what the hell? Some heavy hitters like Pan, Amelia have lost in the past (maybe voting system was different, idk) so it isn't really THAT unprecedented. I do sense some shocker though. The voting system was indeed different when Pan and Amelie lost  |
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Post by therealcomicman117 on Feb 5, 2020 15:41:16 GMT
Picture: 1917
Director: 1917
Actor: Joaquin Phoenix, Joker
Actress: Renee Zellweger, Judy
Supporting Actor: Brad Pitt, Once Upon a Time in Hollywood
Supporting Actress: Laura Dern, Marriage Story
Original Screenplay: Parasite
Adapted Screenplay: Jojo Rabbit
Cinematography: 1917
Editing: Ford v Ferrari
Original Score: Joker
Original Song: "I'm gonna love me again" - Rocketman
Production Design: Once Upon a Time in Hollywood
Costume Design: Little Women
Makeup & Hair styling: Bombshell
Sound Editing: 1917
Sound Mixing: 1917
Visual Effects: 1917
International Feature: Parasite
Animated Feature: Klaus
Animated Short: Hair Love
Documentary Feature: American Factory
Best Documentary Short Subject: Learning to Skateboard in a Warzone (If You're a Girl)
Best Live Action Short: Brotherhood
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Post by Tommen_Saperstein on Feb 6, 2020 0:02:34 GMT
Picture
Going to win: 1917
Spoiler: Parasite
Should win: Parasite but I'm fine either way
Director
Going to win: Mendes
Spoiler: N/A
Should win: Bong
Lead Actress
Going to win: Zellweger
Spoiler: N/A
Should win: Johnasson
Lead Actor
Going to win: Phoenix
Spoiler: No one
Should win: Driver is the only one who has business being in this group
Supporting Actress
Going to win: Dern
Spoiler: Nope
Should win: Johansson again.
Supporting Actor
Going to win: Pitt
Spoiler: Nope nope nope
Should win: Anyone other than Pitt, but especially Pacino or Pesci
Original Screenplay
Going to win: Parasite
Spoiler: Once Upon a Time in Hollywood
Should win: Parasite
Adapted Screenplay
Going to win: Jojo Rabbit
Spoiler: Little Women
Should win: Irishman
Cinematography
Going to win: 1917
Spoiler: Not a chance
Should win: The Lighthouse hands down
Film Editing
Going to win: Ford v Ferrari
Spoiler: Parasite
Should win: Parasite
Original Score
Going to win: Joker
Spoiler: 1917
Should win: 1917
Production Design
Going to win: Once Upon a Time in Hollywood
Spoiler: 1917
Should win: from this group, 1917
Costume design
Going to win: Jojo Rabbit
Spoiler: Little Women or Once Upon a Time in Hollywood
Should win: Little Women
Makeup
Going to win: Bombshell
Spoiler: Nah
Should win: I give the slightest edge to Joker but Bombshell is a good pick too.
Sound Editing
Going to win: Ford v Ferrari
Spoiler: 1917
Should win: Ford v Ferrari
Sound Mixing
Going to win: 1917
Spoiler: Ford v Ferrari
Should win: Ford v Ferrari
Visual Effects
Going to win: 1917
Spoiler: Could be any nominee other than Star Wars
Should win: Star Wars
Original Song
Going to win: I'm Gonna Love Me Again
Spoiler: Into the Unknown
Should win: Stand Up
International Feature
Going to win: Parasite
Spoiler: Please...
Should win: Portrait of a Lady on Fire Parasite
Animated Film
Going to win: Klaus
Spoiler: Toy Story 4 or Missing Link
Should win: I Lost My Body
Documentary
Going to win: For Sama
Spoiler: American Factory
Should win: For Sama
Don't follow the short races.
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Post by Ryan_MYeah on Feb 6, 2020 22:24:43 GMT
Best Picture: 1917 (I’ll be elated if Parasite wins, though) Best Director: Sam Mendes - 1917Best Lead Actor: Joaquin Phoenix - JokerBest Lead Actress: Renee Zellweger - JudyBest Supporting Actor: Brad Pitt - Once Upon a Time in HollywoodBest Supporting Actress: Laura Dern - Marriage StoryBest Original Screenplay: ParasiteBest Adapted Screenplay: Jojo RabbitBest Animated Feature: KlausBest International Feature Film: ParasiteBest Documentary Feature: For Sama (I believe in this one) Best Cinematography: 1917Best Film Editing: Ford v FerrariBest Production Design: Once Upon a Time in HollywoodBest Costume Design: Jojo RabbitBest Makeup and Hairstyling: BombshellBest Original Score: JokerBest Original Song: “ Stand Up” - HarrietBest Sound Mixing: 1917Best Sound Editing: 1917Best Visual Effects: 1917Best Live-Action Short: The Neighbor’s WindowBest Animated Short: Hair LoveBest Documentary Short: Life Overtakes MeAll of these stay exactly the same... except I’m drinking the Parasite wins Best Picture kool aid. But if you guys get my hopes up for nothing, so help me... |
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Post by Pittsnogle_Goggins on Feb 7, 2020 18:32:19 GMT
Picture: 1917
Director: 1917
Actor: Joaquin Phoenix, Joker
Actress: Renee Zellweger, Judy
Supporting Actor: Brad Pitt, Once Upon a Time in Hollywood
Supporting Actress: Laura Dern, Marriage Story
Original Screenplay: Parasite
Adapted Screenplay: Jojo Rabbit
Cinematography: 1917
Editing: Ford v Ferrari
Original Score: Joker
Production Design: Once Upon a Time in Hollywood
Costume Design: Little Women
Makeup & Hair styling: Joker
Sound Editing: Ford v Ferrari
Sound Mixing: 1917
Visual Effects: 1917
Original Song: "I'm gonna love me again", Rocketman
International Feature: Parasite
Animated Feature: Toy Story 4
Documentary Feature: American Factory
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Javi
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Post by Javi on Feb 7, 2020 21:32:52 GMT
Picture: Parasite
Director: 1917
Actor: Joaquin Phoenix, Joker
Actress: Renée Zellweger, Judy
Supporting Actor: Brad Pitt, Once Upon a Time in Hollywood
Supporting Actress: Laura Dern, Marriage Story
Original Screenplay: Parasite
Adapted Screenplay: Jojo Rabbit
Cinematography: 1917
Editing: Ford v Ferrari
Original Score: Joker
Production Design: Parasite
Costume Design: Little Women
Makeup: Bombshell
Sound Editing: Ford v Ferrari
Sound Mixing: Ford v Ferrari
Visual Effects: 1917
Original Song: Rocketman
International Feature: Parasite
Animated Feature: Toy Story 4
Documentary Feature: For Sama
Documentary Short: Learning to Skateboard in a Warzone (If You're a Girl)
Animated Short: Hair Love
Live Action Short: Brotherhood
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Post by countjohn on Feb 7, 2020 23:32:53 GMT
Best Picture- 1917 Want to win- 1917, or Joker for the LOL's Best Director: Sam Mendes, 1917 Want to win- Mendes Best Actor: Joaquin Phoenix, Joker Want to win- Phoenix Best Actress: Renee Zellweger, Judy Want to win- Johansson Best Supporting Actor: Brad Pitt, Once Upon a Time in Hollywood Want to win- Pacino Best Supporting Actress: Laura Dern, Marriage Story Want to Win- I guess Dern. Haven't seen a few of these and a lot of them seem meh Best Adapted Screenplay: Jojo Rabbit Want to win- The Irishman Best Original Screenplay: Parasite Want to win- Once Upon a Time in Hollywood Best Cinematography: 1917 Want to win- 1917 Best Film Editing: Ford v Ferrari Want to win- Ford v Ferrari Best Original Score: Joker Want to win- 1917 Best Original Song: “I’m Gonna Love Me Again,” Rocketman Want to win- Elton Best Production Design: Once Upon a Time in Hollywood Want to win- 1917 Best Costume Design: Little Women Want to win- Joker Best Sound Editing: Ford vs Ferrari Want to win- Ford v Ferrari Best Sound Mixing: Ford vs Ferrari Want to win- Ford v Ferrari Best Makeup and Hairstyling: Bombshell Want to win- Joker Best Visual Effects: 1917 Want to win- Lion King might have honestly been the best as bad as the movie was Best International Film: Parasite Want to win- Abstain Best Animated Feature: Toy Story IV Want to win- Toy Story IV Best Picture: ParasiteI absolutely understand that 1917 is the safe prediction and that its precursor combo is incredibly strong (PGA + DGA + GG + BAFTA) but I just have this gut feeling that the Academy may go for the most hyped contender. I know I might come off as "picking on" people who pick Parasite sometimes but I don't mind this. Everyone picks the upset sometimes and if you acknowledge that it's fine. It just annoys me when people seem oblivious to the precursors despite the fact that this is supposed to be a site for awards prognostications. |
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The-Havok
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Doing pretty good so far
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Post by The-Havok on Feb 8, 2020 5:03:15 GMT
I may actually be predicting 1917 to win Best Picture, thinking the foreign language thing will prevail or has prevailed with most voters maybe.
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Post by Brother Fease on Feb 8, 2020 21:07:34 GMT
Picture - 1917
Director - Sam Mendes
Acting - Phoenix, Zellwegger, Pitt, Dern
Screenplay - Jojo Rabbit and Parasite
Animation - Klaus
Art Direction - Once Upon a Time in Hollywood
Costume Design - Little Women
Cinematography, Visual Effects, Sound Editing - 1917
Make-up - Bombshell
Film Editing, Sound Mixing - Ford v. Ferrari
Documentary - For Sama
International Film - Parasite
Score - Joker
Song - Rocketman
Shorts - Learning to Skateboard, Brotherhood, and Hairlove
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sg90
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Post by sg90 on Feb 8, 2020 21:23:00 GMT
BP: 1917
Director: Sam Mendes
Acting: Phoenix, Zellwegger, Pitt, Dern
OS: Once upon A Time
AS: Little Women
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