Bigger Lead Actor Snub: Tom Hanks or Taron Egerton?

they both hit all the precursors but Hanks didn't win a Globe so it's Egerton for me.

Hanks didn't campaign as much as Egerton and didn't have a Globe win to his credit, but Captain Phillips was a much stronger film with 6 nominations including Best Picture and Supporting Actor, which makes the snubbing of the lead a much bigger headscratcher. Rocketman got only 1 nomination and couldn't even crack an expanded Makeup field. It always struck me as more of a Globe player than an Oscar one.

Yeah I voted for Hanks for this reason.

I thought that Egerton was going to be in because of his Globe win, but without that he seemed like the annual snubee. In hindsight though, even with the Globes win, it doesn't seem that surprising Egerton missed because there were shenanigans going on with that win, and the Globes can be easily influenced sometimes somewhat similar to when Aaron Taylor-Johnson won a Globe, and Tom Ford just happened to give each voting member an expensive gift. Plus Egerton's age was another big factor. He's not especially young, but 30 is still on the younger side for this category unless you're the critics favorite/in a strong film like Chalamet or Kaluuya, and Egerton had neither. 

Hanks. Egerton won the Globe and was campaigning vigorously, but they really didn't go for his film (probably due to musical biopic fatigue post-Bohemian Rhapsody and the early release). Hanks by rights should have been safe, but fell victim to a well-strategized push for a movie in an already overcrowded Best Actor lineup.

I don't get how anyone can reach the conclusion of Egerton even being a snub given that who's "already in the club" and who is on the outside looking in is often a major factor. Egerton is a nerver-nominated guy. He's still up and coming. He was not even stronger than other unnominated contenders from his race, especially Bale who would probably had replaced Pryce if Two Popes had a less strong showing. If not, it would have been DeNiro.