2019 Atlanta Film Critics Circle Winners.

Pretty basic and with that "ensemble" award a way out of male acting decisions but this looks like much of what we'll see from these fairly benign groups......at some point someone will need to lay down the gauntlet for.......Banderas or Phoenix someone like that or else Driver and Pitt and Dern could steamroll with not a lot of passion necessarily .............though tomorrow is LAFC and NBR who might do it..........theoretically.

Considering how divisive Joker is with critics, I don't see Phoenix winning too many critics awards, especially the major ones (though I can definitely see NBR with the whole WB connection). I don't think he needs it though, I can easily see him sweep the televised awards without them.

Yes, I'm getting a little worried that I may have overpredicted Jojo Rabbit now, but I admit I'm biased because I'd be happy if it's not a threat at all for BP, lol. The fact that this basic critics group didn't go for it might mean something, or maybe it's just an anomaly and it shows up at most of the other awards. 

Also agree that this could be our four acting winners. I'm the least sure about Driver, but it's still possible that he wins especially if Marriage Story is really strong and say Joker ends up in a Nightcrawler type of situation. Phoenix probably sweeps though.

This is a good sign for Laura Dern. Of course, it's just one award, but I figured Jennifer Lopez would dominate the regional awards, so the fact that Dern was able to win the first one out of the gate might mean that maybe Lopez is more of a pundits and fan thing. I admit it's difficult to know sometimes because I end up overestimating or underestimating something or someone when that kind of bubble happens. 

I keep reading that the Globes love Marriage Story, but that could be one of those bubble things, lol. There's no tweets or anything to back that up just from someone who interacted with some Globe voters at Venice, so that seems believable, but also from someone who follows Globe voters's social media accounts which is less reliable.

From that person, it did confirm my suspicions that the Globes were going to award some bad winners last time from how one voter who is very active on Twitter was reacting about how people shouldn't blame her when they see who the winners were, lol. Still I don't know how many voters have said they love such and such, whether they'd actually vote for it because loving something doesn't mean they'll actually vote for it although it seems like they would, and of course, whether they're telling the truth at all about loving something or just saying that they do. 

Anyhow if they do love it maybe Driver can surprise, but I still think they'd rather predict whose going to win the Oscar over anything else so I think they go with Phoenix. Plus I think they'll love Phoenix more. Keeping my fingers crossed that at least one acting race is competitive though, and it's not like 2017 where the four acting winners just steamroll everything.

I think you and iHeart are definitely right about Lopez, but sometimes just seeing so much irrational dislike towards Dern at other places makes me doubt myself. (Not that it's irrational to not like her performance, but it is irrational to make up dumb nicknames for her and say that she's a bad actress in general or that every craft person will vote against her because of something she did as an AMPAS Governor.) 

Pitt will win the majority of the regional groups, but I think Pesci will win the big 3. Too many people will view Pitt as a lead.

I could see Song Kang-ho win one of the big 3 as well.

Did they steamroll everything in 2017, though? Industry-wise, sure, but up until then, Dafoe and Metcalf were touted as the frontrunners and even McDormand showed some vulnerability.

Hopefully! 😀