filmnoir
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Post by filmnoir on Feb 25, 2019 16:08:14 GMT
Regina King had other factors in her favor that made up for SAG/BAFTA and being the only actress in her category without a Best Picture nod.
In addition to Critics Choice, the Globe, King had won the Big 3 - NYFC, LAFC, NSFC critics awards. Rarely did someone with those stats not go on to win the Oscar. She had won the most awards of all 20 acting nominees.
The red flag was SAG. Adams, Weisz, Stone needed to prevail there to have a chance. Weisz had the home advantage at BAFTA. But at Oscar, she and Stone likely split votes. Both were previous winners who made little impact with the precursors. And there was no momentum for Adams, despite 6 nods.
People were too fixated on the Stallone/Rylance race. Regina King was always more Mark Rylance in as far as industry respect.
That's why pundits, oddsmakers continue to have her as the frontrunner. This race was never as competitive as some had made it out to be.
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Post by stabcaesar on Feb 25, 2019 16:11:34 GMT
It's still perplexing how Regina King was snubbed at SAG. BAFTAs somewhat made sense as they've been notorious with black actors, but SAG is just bizarre.
Anyway, at least Amy Adams will always be around and her time will eventually come sooner rather than later.
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Post by stephen on Feb 25, 2019 16:20:15 GMT
Her SAG snub was easily explainable. Films and performances are nominated by a committee at SAG, rather than a universal voting ballot, and Annapurna released If Beale Street Could Talk and Vice screeners really late, and Vice had the more A-list cast and hence became more of a priority for voters. I'd bet dollars to donuts that if it had gotten an earlier release or if more on the committee had seen it, King would've gotten in there.
BAFTA historically has a . . . well, I won't say aversion because that implies a conscious decision to do so, but they tend to overlook films dealing with minorities in America (or, indeed, sub-cultures within America like the Deep South), and If Beale Street Could Talk fits in that category. King missing there wasn't a huge shock, really, regardless of Annapurna's issues.
King won because she's a well-respected actress in the business who had a strong supportive maternal role (catnip in this category!), but her closest competitors both had Oscars (one of which was really recent), Marina de Tavira was always a pipe dream, and Adams had zero momentum, a role that isn't an Oscar-friendly part, and couldn't even win when King was out of the race at SAG and BAFTA even with her perceived "overdue" status. Smart money was always on Regina, with Weisz as the possible spoiler if The Favourite overperformed.
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filmnoir
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Post by filmnoir on Feb 25, 2019 16:20:25 GMT
It's still perplexing how Regina King was snubbed at SAG. BAFTAs somewhat made sense as they've been notorious with black actors, but SAG is just bizarre. Anyway, at least Amy Adams will always be around and her time will eventually come sooner rather than later. Pundits who had talked to SAG voters, said they hadn't seen If Beale St Could Talk at the time.
She also more known more as TV actress. She hadn't made a film in almost 10 years.
I actually thought the SAG/BAFTA snubs worked in her favor. It created a groundswell support. It would have more for iffy for odds makers to continue to bet on her if she LOST SAG and BAFTA.
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