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Post by quetee on Feb 21, 2019 7:09:50 GMT
Who moviegoers think should win the Oscar... ================================
Best Picture Black Panther 24% Bohemian Rhapsody — 19%
A Star Is Born — 18%
Green Book — 14%
BlacKkKlansman — 8%
Roma — 7%
The Favourite — 6%
Vice — 4%
Best Leading Actor
Rami Malek, Bohemian Rhapsody — 44%
Bradley Cooper, A Star Is Born — 20%
Christian Bale, Vice — 19%
Viggo Mortensen, Green Book — 11%
Willem Dafoe, At Eternity’s Gate — 6%
Best Leading Actress
Lady Gaga, A Star Is Born — 42%
Glenn Close, The Wife — 22%
Olivia Colman, The Favourite — 13%
Melissa McCarthy, Can You Ever Forgive Me? — 13%
Yalitza Aparicio, Roma — 10%
Best Supporting Actor
Mahershala Ali, Green Book — 40%
Sam Elliott, A Star Is Born — 28%
Adam Driver, BlacKkKlansman — 16%
Sam Rockwell, Vice — 10%
Richard E. Grant, Can You Ever Forgive Me? — 6%
Best Supporting Actress
Regina King, If Beale Street Could Talk — 35%
Emma Stone, The Favourite — 24%
Amy Adams, Vice — 19%
Rachel Weisz, The Favourite — 15%
Marina de Tavira, Roma — 7%
Best Director
Spike Lee, BlacKkKlansman — 36%
Alfonso Cuarón, Roma — 25%
Adam McKay, Vice — 18%
Yorgos Lanthimos, The Favourite — 14%
Pawel Pawlikowski, Cold War — 7%
Best Animated Feature
Spider-Man: Into the Spider-Verse — 50%
Incredibles 2 — 24%
Isle of Dogs — 15%
Ralph Breaks the Internet — 10%
Mirai — 1%
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Post by Tommen_Saperstein on Feb 21, 2019 7:31:30 GMT
God I hate these populist polls. Box office always wins. I'm assuming a lot of these voters didn't even watch The Favourite or Roma.
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Post by mrimpossible on Feb 21, 2019 13:38:05 GMT
I’m pretty sure if you put Venom as an option it would get a high percentage lol.
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Post by pacinoyes on Feb 21, 2019 13:48:43 GMT
This ties into that thing that I said yesterday in the Brie Larson thread - the dangers of creating your own world - and shutting out things that challenge your world but then pretending you're IN another world.
Listening to political discourse that conforms with your thoughts so you are never challenged, listening to the music you like and never giving anything else a chance that might surprise you, and well watching a film outside your frame of reference or your usual personal tastes. It's always tricky because look, I don't enjoy reading much - certainly not the way I did - so I have to force myself to do it, but at the same time I don't act like I'm current with contemporary authors either.
If you say you like movies - which are a populist art form enough to participate in a poll, you had better really know wtf Roma and The Favourite are in 2019 and how you processes them and feel about them. Because if you don't, that's on you, but you don't love movies really.
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Post by quetee on Feb 21, 2019 15:08:49 GMT
God I hate these populist polls. Box office always wins. I'm assuming a lot of these voters didn't even watch The Favourite or Roma. well, a lot of that is the studio's fault. The favourite was released in 1500 theatres and released at end of nov. As for roma, well they did have access to it and didn't want to watch it.
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Post by Sharbs on Feb 21, 2019 15:15:17 GMT
the BP aspect to this is my guess in the exact order of how many people viewed each movie. Literally no accounting for taste
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Post by theycallmemrfish on Feb 21, 2019 15:21:52 GMT
I hope these turn out to be the results.
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Post by quetee on Feb 21, 2019 15:28:32 GMT
the BP aspect to this is my guess in the exact order of how many people viewed each movie. Literally no accounting for taste vice is dead last but more people watched it compared to the favourite.
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Post by bruinjoe96 on Feb 21, 2019 19:24:40 GMT
If I had to guess, I assume Dunkirk and Get Out were at the top of last year's Oscar survey. 🤔
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Post by theycallmemrfish on Feb 21, 2019 19:37:41 GMT
If I had to guess, I assume Dunkirk and Get Out were at the top of last year's Oscar survey. 🤔 I'm honestly shocked by this... BEST PICTURE:
The Shape of Water 19% Dunkirk 17% Get Out 16% Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri 14% Darkest Hour 10% Lady Bird 9% The Post 9% Call Me By Your Name 4% Phantom Thread 2%
BEST DIRECTOR:
Guillermo Del Toro (The Shape of Water) 31% Christopher Nolan (Dunkirk) 29% Jordan Peele (Get Out) 23% Greta Gerwig (Lady Bird) 14% Paul Thomas Anderson (Phantom Thread) 3%
BEST ACTOR: Gary Oldman (Darkest Hour) 44% Daniel Kaluuya (Get Out) 23% Denzel Washington (Roman J. Israel) 15% Daniel Day-Lewis (Phantom Thread) 11% Timothee Chalamet (Call Me By Your Name) 7%
BEST ACTRESS:
Frances McDormand (Three Billboards) 30% Sally Hawkins (The Shape of Water) 20% Margot Robbie (I, Tonya) 19% Saorsie Ronan (Lady Bird) 16% Meryl Streep (The Post) 15%
BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR:
Sam Rockwell (Three Billboards) 28% Woody Harrelson (Three Billboards) 23% Richard Jenkins (The Shape of Water) 18% Christopher Plummer (All the Money in the World) 16% Willem Dafoe (The Florida Project) 15%
BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Allison Janney (I, Tonya) 30% Octavia Spencer (The Shape of Water) 30% Laurie Metcalf (Lady Bird) 24% Mary J. Blige (Mudbound) 10% Lesley Manville (Phantom Thread) 6%
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morton
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Post by morton on Feb 21, 2019 20:06:13 GMT
If I had to guess, I assume Dunkirk and Get Out were at the top of last year's Oscar survey. 🤔 I'm honestly shocked by this... BEST PICTURE:
The Shape of Water 19% Dunkirk 17% Get Out 16% Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri 14% Darkest Hour 10% Lady Bird 9% The Post 9% Call Me By Your Name 4% Phantom Thread 2%
BEST DIRECTOR:
Guillermo Del Toro (The Shape of Water) 31% Christopher Nolan (Dunkirk) 29% Jordan Peele (Get Out) 23% Greta Gerwig (Lady Bird) 14% Paul Thomas Anderson (Phantom Thread) 3%
BEST ACTOR: Gary Oldman (Darkest Hour) 44% Daniel Kaluuya (Get Out) 23% Denzel Washington (Roman J. Israel) 15% Daniel Day-Lewis (Phantom Thread) 11% Timothee Chalamet (Call Me By Your Name) 7%
BEST ACTRESS:
Frances McDormand (Three Billboards) 30% Sally Hawkins (The Shape of Water) 20% Margot Robbie (I, Tonya) 19% Saorsie Ronan (Lady Bird) 16% Meryl Streep (The Post) 15%
BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR:
Sam Rockwell (Three Billboards) 28% Woody Harrelson (Three Billboards) 23% Richard Jenkins (The Shape of Water) 18% Christopher Plummer (All the Money in the World) 16% Willem Dafoe (The Florida Project) 15%
BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Allison Janney (I, Tonya) 30% Octavia Spencer (The Shape of Water) 30% Laurie Metcalf (Lady Bird) 24% Mary J. Blige (Mudbound) 10% Lesley Manville (Phantom Thread) 6%Maybe it's because of Blade II and the Hellboy movies. I could see del Toro still having a fan person following after those. This is like a walk down memory lane today reading the Ed Norton and Barry Pepper threads, but does anyone remember the infamous review that Harry Knowles did for Blade II where he compared it to cunnilingus? Then everyone but his followers were like first ewww, and then "bullshit because you've never gotten that far with woman".
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Post by bruinjoe96 on Feb 21, 2019 20:08:40 GMT
If I had to guess, I assume Dunkirk and Get Out were at the top of last year's Oscar survey. 🤔 I'm honestly shocked by this... BEST PICTURE:
The Shape of Water 19% Dunkirk 17% Get Out 16% Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri 14% Darkest Hour 10% Lady Bird 9% The Post 9% Call Me By Your Name 4% Phantom Thread 2%
BEST DIRECTOR:
Guillermo Del Toro (The Shape of Water) 31% Christopher Nolan (Dunkirk) 29% Jordan Peele (Get Out) 23% Greta Gerwig (Lady Bird) 14% Paul Thomas Anderson (Phantom Thread) 3%
BEST ACTOR: Gary Oldman (Darkest Hour) 44% Daniel Kaluuya (Get Out) 23% Denzel Washington (Roman J. Israel) 15% Daniel Day-Lewis (Phantom Thread) 11% Timothee Chalamet (Call Me By Your Name) 7%
BEST ACTRESS:
Frances McDormand (Three Billboards) 30% Sally Hawkins (The Shape of Water) 20% Margot Robbie (I, Tonya) 19% Saorsie Ronan (Lady Bird) 16% Meryl Streep (The Post) 15%
BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR:
Sam Rockwell (Three Billboards) 28% Woody Harrelson (Three Billboards) 23% Richard Jenkins (The Shape of Water) 18% Christopher Plummer (All the Money in the World) 16% Willem Dafoe (The Florida Project) 15%
BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Allison Janney (I, Tonya) 30% Octavia Spencer (The Shape of Water) 30% Laurie Metcalf (Lady Bird) 24% Mary J. Blige (Mudbound) 10% Lesley Manville (Phantom Thread) 6%Wow! Each winner matched the eventual Oscar winners. Incredible!
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Post by Martin Stett on Feb 21, 2019 22:24:40 GMT
I'm honestly shocked by this... BEST PICTURE:
The Shape of Water 19% Dunkirk 17% Get Out 16% Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri 14% Darkest Hour 10% Lady Bird 9% The Post 9% Call Me By Your Name 4% Phantom Thread 2%
BEST DIRECTOR:
Guillermo Del Toro (The Shape of Water) 31% Christopher Nolan (Dunkirk) 29% Jordan Peele (Get Out) 23% Greta Gerwig (Lady Bird) 14% Paul Thomas Anderson (Phantom Thread) 3%
BEST ACTOR: Gary Oldman (Darkest Hour) 44% Daniel Kaluuya (Get Out) 23% Denzel Washington (Roman J. Israel) 15% Daniel Day-Lewis (Phantom Thread) 11% Timothee Chalamet (Call Me By Your Name) 7%
BEST ACTRESS:
Frances McDormand (Three Billboards) 30% Sally Hawkins (The Shape of Water) 20% Margot Robbie (I, Tonya) 19% Saorsie Ronan (Lady Bird) 16% Meryl Streep (The Post) 15%
BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR:
Sam Rockwell (Three Billboards) 28% Woody Harrelson (Three Billboards) 23% Richard Jenkins (The Shape of Water) 18% Christopher Plummer (All the Money in the World) 16% Willem Dafoe (The Florida Project) 15%
BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Allison Janney (I, Tonya) 30% Octavia Spencer (The Shape of Water) 30% Laurie Metcalf (Lady Bird) 24% Mary J. Blige (Mudbound) 10% Lesley Manville (Phantom Thread) 6%Wow! Each winner matched the eventual Oscar winners. Incredible! This makes it the most accurate Oscar predictor.
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Post by Tommen_Saperstein on Feb 21, 2019 22:36:17 GMT
Wow! Each winner matched the eventual Oscar winners. Incredible! This makes it the most accurate Oscar predictor. they're definitely going to be wrong about a few this year. Gaga and Black Panther in BP are certifiably not happening (and neither are Bohemian Rhapsody or ASIB lol), and Lee is a huge longshot for director. Again, I assume more people have seen BlacKkKlansman than Roma but none of that matters (and I doubt many people have seen Cold War too for that matter). Anyone who's been following the awards race even from a distance knows Cuaron has at least a BD win in the bag and very likely BP too. The Guilds and Globes are far more populist than the Academy.
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Post by Pittsnogle_Goggins on Feb 22, 2019 0:32:26 GMT
Well Black Panther would be a better BP than Roma.
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Post by quetee on Feb 22, 2019 2:50:59 GMT
If I had to guess, I assume Dunkirk and Get Out were at the top of last year's Oscar survey. 🤔 I'm honestly shocked by this... BEST PICTURE:
The Shape of Water 19% Dunkirk 17% Get Out 16% Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri 14% Darkest Hour 10% Lady Bird 9% The Post 9% Call Me By Your Name 4% Phantom Thread 2%
BEST DIRECTOR:
Guillermo Del Toro (The Shape of Water) 31% Christopher Nolan (Dunkirk) 29% Jordan Peele (Get Out) 23% Greta Gerwig (Lady Bird) 14% Paul Thomas Anderson (Phantom Thread) 3%
BEST ACTOR: Gary Oldman (Darkest Hour) 44% Daniel Kaluuya (Get Out) 23% Denzel Washington (Roman J. Israel) 15% Daniel Day-Lewis (Phantom Thread) 11% Timothee Chalamet (Call Me By Your Name) 7%
BEST ACTRESS:
Frances McDormand (Three Billboards) 30% Sally Hawkins (The Shape of Water) 20% Margot Robbie (I, Tonya) 19% Saorsie Ronan (Lady Bird) 16% Meryl Streep (The Post) 15%
BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR:
Sam Rockwell (Three Billboards) 28% Woody Harrelson (Three Billboards) 23% Richard Jenkins (The Shape of Water) 18% Christopher Plummer (All the Money in the World) 16% Willem Dafoe (The Florida Project) 15%
BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Allison Janney (I, Tonya) 30% Octavia Spencer (The Shape of Water) 30% Laurie Metcalf (Lady Bird) 24% Mary J. Blige (Mudbound) 10% Lesley Manville (Phantom Thread) 6%I'm shocked too. Hmmmm.
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Post by quetee on Feb 22, 2019 2:52:10 GMT
Well Black Panther would be a better BP than Roma. might as well. Five years from now, if you ask people the majority will say it won anyway.
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Post by The_Cake_of_Roth on Feb 24, 2019 0:27:30 GMT
linkLol at the tiny pocket in south Texas that searched Roma.
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Post by quetee on Feb 24, 2019 0:55:03 GMT
How many people were searching for the song when they typed Bohemian Rhapsody? Well, my friend knows someone who votes for Oscar and I kept bugging my friend to ask him how he voted cause I was curious about best picture/actress. He still hasn't gotten back to me but my friend did tell me weeks ago that Vice and BR are in his top ten. I was like what...…. People seem to like BR. It won't win best picture and I think it has more to do with Singer.
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